[From Bill Powers (930514.1215 MDT)]
Chuck Tucker, Rick Marken, Oded Maler, etc. (930514)
I'm somewhat inclined to agree with Bob Stewart when he says
"When are they going to get off of these silly ideas and begin
to do something important." And I'm inclined to agree with Rick
Marken when he says we might as well treat the world as if it's
really there. All this epistemology stuff is an interesting
puzzle, but unless it makes some difference in the way we build
and test models, it just leads us off into sidetracks that never
go anywhere. I'm as prone to temptation as anyone when it
comes to the seductions of verbal philosophy, but there's a lot
of other stuff I'd like to be doing.
I don't think there's any real problem among us about the basic
principles of PCT or HPCT. When we get to the level of
describing how behavior is supposed to work according to the
model, we all say it the same way and apparently mean the same
things. All the trouble begins when extraneous subjects start to
get into the conversation, like What is Scientific Truth? Who,
basically, cares? Sometimes I think I care, but when I get back,
as Chuck would say, to the actual problems of modeling, I find
that the answers I've been so intellectually defending and
setting forth make remarkably little difference in what I do
next.
···
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Oded Maler (930514 etc), Ken Hacker (various) --
As to how we can apply control theory to dealing with large
social phenomena, long discussions of what PCT or HPCT can or
can't do are really a lot of hot air. We won't know what can be
done until we try to do it. I don't see any point in trying to
anticipate how it will all come out -- if anyone thinks that PCT
will fail in the end, fine, but there's no current reason to
stop trying to apply it and see how far we can get. The only
reason I can see for claiming that PCT won't be able to handle
this or that problem is to discourage anyone from making the
attempt. That's just conservatism for the sake of conservatism.
Apparently, when proponents of PCT suggest that it might be
applied to certain problems this simply irritates people who
think they are already on the way to solving those problems, or
already have a solution and don't want to hear a different one.
I get sucked into those arguments because I want to defend my
approach, but when you come right down to it, I don't have to
defend my approach to anyone. If I want to see PCT applied to
social phenomenon, I'll either do it myself or keep shopping
around for someone willing to do it. Who's going to tell me I
can't do that?
All this foofaraw arises from wanting too much for the
scientific establishment to approve of what we're doing. As soon
as it becomes important to influence the establishment, we find
ourselves trying to answer objections framed in another way of
thinking, and fall into the same games that have been holding up
the sciences of behavior just about forever. And all the things
we'd like to be working on just stop dead.
Just in terms of what I think I know about behavior, brains, and
environments, it seems to me that the brain (including my brain)
has to work with perceptions, and deal with whatever the senses
can tell a brain about the world outside it. You can tell me
about 200 years of philosophical history, or go on and on about
what a lot of dead people have had to say on that subject, or
cite mathematical abstractions up the yin yang, but it still
looks that way to me. Nobody is saying anything to make it look
any different, that I can see. I think that human interactions
come out of a lot of individuals trying to deal with the world
around them, including the other people, and I don't see any
reason why one can't model societies given good enough models of
the people in them, at enough levels. Nobody has yet said
anything to make this seem like an unreasonable idea. It seems
worth a try.
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Now that Wolfgang Zocher has completed Simcon version 4.5, I'm
going to get it set up for distribution, and go on with Primer
3. Anybody who wants to learn more about PCT and start applying
it is welcome to come along. I am experiencing a distinct lull
in my enthusiasm for doing anything but getting on with the
work.
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Best,
Bill P.