[From Rick Marken (940602.1400)]
Martin Taylor (940602 14:00) --
Simulations provide proof of principle, and surprises in simulations lead to
better understanding of principles.
This is certainly true. But the main reason I run simulations (models) is to
understand phenomena, not principles. The phenomenon I want to understand is
purposive behavior.
Consider Rick's discussion some weeks ago of the experimentation on the
Marken effect. He said, if I recall, that it originally didn't work in
simulation, until they added a transport lag. He then said that the Marken
effect was explained by transport lag.
Close, but you skipped over the best part -- the phenomenon. The Marken
effect IS a phenomenon; it "works" because it happens. It is a real
phenomenon. It was discovered while I was testing what I thought was a very
obvious prediction of the PCT model -- that the response to a distrubing
variable should be the same whether this variable was the output of another
control system or of an inanimate signal source. What I found was quite
surprisingly different: the response to the other-control-system-generated
distrubance differed from the response to the SAME waveform from a signal
generator. This observation was a BIG surprise and I didn't report it until I
was sure of what I observed; my report was then quickly confired by Bill
Powers; he duplicated the PHENOMENON. This phenomenon (dubbed the Marken
effect -- my kids are still proud)) seemed to be inconsistent with the basic
PCT model. The question now was "why is this happening? How can we explain
what we see? Bill Powers quickly discovered the simple explanation -- this IS
the way a control system behaves when there is a transport lag (and the
human nervous system obviously does introduce a transport lag). So there was
no need for a new model. The "surprising" observation was surprising only
because I had not included a necessary part of the model (the need for the
transport lag in our models is not always evident when we are working with
other data).
So when you say that inclusion of the transport lag "isn't an explanation; it
is a description of the circumstances under which the effect is found" you
are, I think, missing the point -- big time. The transport lag is part of
the model that explains the phenomenon (better control with live than with
equivalent passive disturbance). Saying that inclusion of the transport lag
is a "description of the circumstances under which the effect is found" is
like saying that "having a perceptual system is a description of the
circumstances under which the phenomenon of control is found". It's a
true statement -- but it doesn't really capture what we are doing when we
are doing modelling, which is, trying to find a mechanism that will explain
the phenomena we observe.
PCT should be useful as well as interesting.
Yes. And it's use is to explain purposive behavior, NOT to say old things
in new ways or to justify what was already thought to be true.
Best
Rick