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Bill:
The hardest thing to learn about tracking is that you must not try to
oredict the behavior of the "trackee", but rather concentrate on
discerning intent. That is part of the great wisdom of PCT - that
behvior is an artifasct of perception, and perception is the basis of
what we call intent. As Washington Carter and Joe Redhawk used to say
to me "Is he going where we want him to go, or are we following him to
where he wants to be?"
In tracking someone or something capable of exhibiting intent, the key
to success is to try and think like the trackee. You must try to
percieve the world as he does. Trying to predict whether he will turn
left or right, climb up or down, is hopeless, because you will always
be one step or so behind. You will be analyzing his last gee while he
is executing the next haw. If, however, you can gain some insight as
to how he is viewing the world that you both are simultaneously
experienceing, you stand some chance of doing what John Boyd called
"getting inside his decision cycle." If you can do that, you might
get in sync with his movements, and go where he wants to be(and arrive
first), rather than trying to get him where you want him.
Your descriptions of the mornings in Colorado make me envious, and
anxious for vacation.