reality and proving PCT (was Bayes and Shannon)

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.04.11.24]

(Gavin Ritz, 2008.04.04.17.52NZT)

The question begs is there any such thing as an external reality "whatever
that may mean".

Unproven and unprovable. The best we can do is to act on the conditional: "If there exists an external reality, then ...". If no external realit exists, then there's no fun.

The Copenhagen Interpretation tells us it's all a dream.

That's a funny interpretation of the collapse of he wavefunction, or the decay of entanglement consequent on interactions with the rest of the world.

A brief aside.

What are the three experiments (like the three that more or less prove, the
Big Bang theory), that proves the PCT theory (conjecture).

No experiment ever proves any theory. All an experiment can do is be inconsistent with a theory or be consistent with a more or less precise derivation from the theory. If a theory demands "if X then Y" and you see X but not Y, then the theory isn't correct as stated and interpreted. If the theory says "if X then 3.2 +- 1" and you observe X and 2.1, the theory may need refining while still being fundamentally correct -- or it may be totally out the window. Ptolemaic epicyclic theory predicted solar system phenomena extremely well, within the precision of observations. What proved it wrong? Not experiments, becaue they all "proved" it right. What proved it wrong was a simpler set of descriptive elemens (Kepler's ellipses) and a simpler theory (universal gravitation, and that was simpler only because it applied to more than just the planets).

For me, what "proves" basic PCT isn't so much its consistency with experiments (so far), as its consistency with, and the possibity of its derivation from, basic thermodynamic laws (others disagree that this is demonstrable; I think it has been demonstrated). That does not extend to specific constructions of control systems, which are more readily tested by experiment.

Martin

(Gavin Ritz. 2008.04.05.18.33NZT)

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.04.11.24]

(Gavin Ritz, 2008.04.04.17.52NZT)

The Copenhagen Interpretation tells us it's all a dream.

That's a funny interpretation of the collapse of he wavefunction, or
the decay of entanglement consequent on interactions with the rest of
the world.

Not that funny really, because all of physics is just a mental
representation. You don't really believe there is actually something called
hydrogen or there is anything such as these particles. Sure one that works
out pretty well. Very very clever mental representation.

He is a simple test, show me how to measure energy directly. Without making
a calculation.

Gavin

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.05.10.21]

(Gavin Ritz. 2008.04.05.18.33NZT)

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.04.11.24]

(Gavin Ritz, 2008.04.04.17.52NZT)

The Copenhagen Interpretation tells us it's all a dream.

That's a funny interpretation of the collapse of he wavefunction, or
the decay of entanglement consequent on interactions with the rest of
the world.

Not that funny really, because all of physics is just a mental
representation.

In which case, isn't it rather restrictive to say that it is "The Copenhagen Interpretation" that proves it to be so? Even Plato made the same point, didn't he?

What you are saying sounds as though the Copenhagen interpretation has finally provided proof that there is no external reality to which our perceptions could possibly be related. There's nothing at all that produces shadows on the wall of the cave. The shadows are all there is. All is solipsism. If you believe that, why did you write your message?

Perceptual control theory ordinarily works on the presumption that there is an external reality, but that we can never know more of it than what we get from our perceptions. All those perceptions involve processing and transformations, and probably none reflect the precise data from any single sensor.

You don't really believe there is actually something called
hydrogen or there is anything such as these particles.

Why not? What counter-evidence might argue the contrary? What competing theory provides a simpler or more precise description of our perceptions?

Sure one that works
out pretty well. Very very clever mental representation.

Yes, it is very clever. How is that relevant to proving the mental representation cannot refer to any external reality?

He is a simple test, show me how to measure energy directly. Without making
a calculation.

Could you explain the relevance of that question to the Copenhagen interpretation? Could you show how to measure anything at all without making some kind of inference from sensory values? How about, say, one's tiredness after running 100m? The strength of democratic institutions in whatever country you live?

Of course, your own constructed perceptions tell you that you don't have to, because there is no such thing as tiredness, democracy, or institutions, and therefore no sense in which they could be measured. If you did believe there was some kind of reality on which those perceptions might be based, why would you have a problem if, to measure them, you needed to combine a few other perceptual variables in a "calculation"? What's different about "energy"?

Martin

[From Bill Powers (2008.04.05.0937 MDT)]

Martin Taylor 2008.04.05.10.21 –

(Gavin Ritz.
2008.04.05.18.33NZT)

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.04.11.24]

(Gavin Ritz,
2008.04.04.17.52NZT)

The Copenhagen Interpretation
tells us it’s all a dream.

That’s a funny interpretation of
the collapse of he wavefunction, or

the decay of entanglement consequent on interactions with the rest
of

the world.

Not that funny really, because all of physics is just a mental

representation.

In which case, isn’t it rather restrictive to say that it is “The
Copenhagen Interpretation” that proves it to be so? Even Plato made
the same point, didn’t he?

What you are saying sounds as though the Copenhagen interpretation has
finally provided proof that there is no external reality to which our
perceptions could possibly be related. There’s nothing at all that
produces shadows on the wall of the cave. The shadows are all there is.
All is solipsism. If you believe that, why did you write your
message?

The accusation of solipsism may come from a misreading of Gavin’s (and
my) position – and possibly even your own. You have said that the
uncertainty is in the eye of the beholder, which agrees with my ideas,
but this is not the same as saying there is nothing underlying the
uncertainty. In fact, I proposed three things that you pointed out may
underly uncertainty.

There is a difference between saying that all experiences are
perceptions, and saying that there is nothing outside us causing those
experiences. My position, and I believe Gavin’s, is simply that we have
no way of knowing what is outside even though we are convinced there must
be something.

The Copenhagen Interpretation, on the other hand, seems to be saying that
the uncertainty we experience is simply a true representation of the
nature of the external reality. It’s not just that we are uncertain about
position and momentum because of limitations on human perception and
interpretation: instead, position and momentum, independently of us
observers, are themselves uncertain, so we should not imagine that a
particle “really” has a position and a momentum at a specific
time. This kind of attitude is at the foundations of quantum physics. The
fault, dear Brutus, is not in ourselves, but in the stars.

I can see two ways to interpret that idea. One is the obvious one – that
the proponents are naive realists, who believe that what we perceive is
what actually exists, including uncertainty. But the other way of seeing
this position is that it actually is semi-solipsistic: it says that all
we can know is what we perceive or measure and that there is no point
in even speculating about a so-called “real reality.” There
is no real reality; all that exists is our measurements and perceptions.
By that interpretation, it is not possible that position and momentum
could be completely determinate while our measurements of them are
uncertain.

I believe that the latter view is actually close to what some physicists
maintain. I think I ran into this view many times as I was learning
physics. It explains why, when I asked why there is gravity, my mentors
became impatient with me and told me not to ask why. All we know is what
we observe, and gravity is one of those things. It’s not to be explained,
it’s simply to be taken into account. This, it seems to me, is the
mind-set that allows quantum physics to exist. Don’t ask why such things
as entanglement or tunneling or uncertainty or other quantum effects
exist. Don’t ask for a deeper explanation. These are simply summaries of
observations, and the observations are too well-established and
replicable to doubt. These observations are the deepest explanations we
will ever find, so just accept them and go on from there.

[GAVIN:]

You don’t really believe there is actually something called

hydrogen or there is anything such as these particles.

[MARTIN]:

Why not? What counter-evidence might argue the contrary? What competing
theory provides a simpler or more precise description of our
perceptions?

When you have to invoke logic, argument, and counterargument, that is the
sure sign that you are not talking about experiences. You don’t have to
argue about experiences, because you can’t even doubt that they are
occurring. The hydrogen atom is imaginary. Nobody can see or otherwise
experience it. It is a proposition which, if it really were true, would
account for certain aspects of what we can experience. We have no way of
finding out if hydrogen actually exists. All we can do is make
predictions about what we would observe if it did exist and had the
properties we assign to it, and then see if those predictions match what
we experience. All we can say is that so far, we haven’t found anything
wrong with the hypothesis that hydrogen exists.

Of course that works both ways. The fact that we can’t prove the
existence of hydrogen atoms also means that we can’t disprove it. But
just on the basis of comparing our experiences with the population of
entities that makes up physics, we can say that it’s pretty unlikely that
hydrogen exists in the particular form in which we imagine it. We might
have got lucky, of course, but it would be rather foolish to assume that.
In fact that would violate one of the admonitions in science, which is
that we should avoid wishful thinking.

[GAVIN]: Sure one that
works

out pretty well. Very very clever mental
representation.

[MARTIN]:Yes, it is very clever. How is that relevant to proving the
mental representation cannot refer to any external
reality?

That isn’t the proposition in hand. The mental representation could refer
to an external reality. Ptolemy’s proposition about the crystalline
spheres that generate epicycles could have referred to an external
reality, if there had really been crystalline spheres up there. The
proposition does not have to do with whether there COULD be an external
counterpart of the mental representation. It has to do with whether there
IS an external counterpart. Anything you imagine MIGHT correspond to
something in real reality. It’s opposite, if it has one, MIGHT equally
well do the same. MIGHT and COULD don’t prove anything except mightness
and couldness. And MIGHT and COULD automatically imply MIGHT NOT and
MAYBE COULDN’T.

Modeling consists of proposing entities and structures below the level of
observation which, if they did exist with the properties we give them,
would correctly predict what we experience. That is as close as we will
ever get to “knowing” what is going on behind the scenes. From
time to time some of the things we have imagined to exist run up against
phenomena contrary to what we imagine, and then we have to knock down the
mental construct and erect a new one, as we substituted oxygen for
phlogiston, or PCT for stimulus-response theory. We can’t really ask if
the new idea is right; all we can really say is that it predicts better.

Show me how to verify that that runny stuff I drink and shave with is
really made of atoms of hydrogen and oxygen, and you will just that
easily refute my position.

Best,

Bill P.

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.05.14.26]

[From Bill Powers (2008.04.05.0937 MDT)]

Martin Taylor 2008.04.05.10.21 --

(Gavin Ritz. 2008.04.05.18.33NZT)

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.04.11.24]

(Gavin Ritz, 2008.04.04.17.52NZT)

The Copenhagen Interpretation tells us it's all a dream.

That's a funny interpretation of the collapse of he wavefunction, or
the decay of entanglement consequent on interactions with the rest of
the world.

Not that funny really, because all of physics is just a mental
representation.

In which case, isn't it rather restrictive to say that it is "The Copenhagen Interpretation" that proves it to be so? Even Plato made the same point, didn't he?

What you are saying sounds as though the Copenhagen interpretation has finally provided proof that there is no external reality to which our perceptions could possibly be related. There's nothing at all that produces shadows on the wall of the cave. The shadows are all there is. All is solipsism. If you believe that, why did you write your message?

The accusation of solipsism may come from a misreading of Gavin's (and my) position -- and possibly even your own. You have said that the uncertainty is in the eye of the beholder, which agrees with my ideas, but this is not the same as saying there is nothing underlying the uncertainty.

Which is what Gavin seemed to be saying.

There is a difference between saying that all experiences are perceptions, and saying that there is nothing outside us causing those experiences. My position, and I believe Gavin's, is simply that we have no way of knowing what is outside even though we are convinced there must be something.

Well, our readings of what Gavin meant differ.

[GAVIN:]
You don't really believe there is actually something called
hydrogen or there is anything such as these particles.

[MARTIN]:
Why not? What counter-evidence might argue the contrary? What competing theory provides a simpler or more precise description of our perceptions?

When you have to invoke logic, argument, and counterargument, that is the sure sign that you are not talking about experiences.

I suppose that depends on what you call "experiences". Anything at or above your logic level must not count as an experience. I take perceptions at all levels to be "experiences".

[GAVIN]: Sure one that works
out pretty well. Very very clever mental representation.

[MARTIN]:Yes, it is very clever. How is that relevant to proving the mental representation cannot refer to any external reality?

That isn't the proposition in hand.

I think Gavin said it was. It wouldn't be to most of us on CSGnet, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't take Gavin at his word. You are substituting your view (which corresponds pretty well to mine, so far as I can see) for Gavin's, and then writing as though I disagreed with you. I don't disagree with you, and I don't necessarily disagree with Gavin, if indeed he wrote in a misleading way and actually does look at things the same way you do.

Martin

(Gavin Ritz, 2008.04.06. 10.04NZT)

[From Bill Powers
(2008.04.05.0937 MDT)]

Martin Taylor 2008.04.05.10.21 –

(Gavin Ritz.
2008.04.05.18.33NZT)

[Martin Taylor 2008.04.04.11.24]

(Gavin Ritz, 2008.04.04.17.52NZT)

I couldn’t have given a better
answer than Bill’s below.

But it’s not only momentum and position,
you can refigure the equation to be Energy and time, both very elusive
concepts. Hence my earlier comment why not try measure energy directly. What is
this stuff called energy. Even Feynman conceded that he doesn’t know what it is.

It’s a clever production of the mind.

What did Bohr say about the Copenhagen
Interpretation and the mind, there lies the answer?

It’s an incredible measure of a mental
process abstracted of an abstraction with an or-or logic.

By the way I don’t dispute there is
something outside ourselves, of course there is, just kick a rock and find out.
But if you don’t have receptors in what you are kicking (a rock) in this
case you may well believe it isn’t there.

The Copenhagen
Interpretation tells us it’s all a dream.

That’s a funny
interpretation of the collapse of he wavefunction, or

the decay of entanglement consequent on interactions with the rest of

the world.

Not that funny really, because all of physics is just a mental

representation.

In which case, isn’t it rather restrictive to say that it is “The
Copenhagen Interpretation” that proves it to be so? Even Plato made the
same point, didn’t he?

What you are saying sounds as though the Copenhagen
interpretation has finally provided proof that there is no external reality to
which our perceptions could possibly be related. There’s nothing at all that
produces shadows on the wall of the cave. The shadows are all there is. All is
solipsism. If you believe that, why did you write your message?

The accusation of solipsism may come from a misreading of Gavin’s (and my)
position – and possibly even your own. You have said that the uncertainty is
in the eye of the beholder, which agrees with my ideas, but this is not the
same as saying there is nothing underlying the uncertainty. In fact, I proposed
three things that you pointed out may underly uncertainty.

There is a difference between saying that all experiences are perceptions, and
saying that there is nothing outside us causing those experiences. My position,
and I believe Gavin’s, is simply that we have no way of knowing what is outside
even though we are convinced there must be something.

The Copenhagen Interpretation, on the other hand, seems to be saying that the
uncertainty we experience is simply a true representation of the nature of the
external reality. It’s not just that we are uncertain about position and
momentum because of limitations on human perception and interpretation:
instead, position and momentum, independently of us observers, are themselves
uncertain, so we should not imagine that a particle “really” has a
position and a momentum at a specific time. This kind of attitude is at the
foundations of quantum physics. The fault, dear Brutus, is not in
ourselves, but in the stars.

I can see two ways to interpret that idea. One is the obvious one – that the
proponents are naive realists, who believe that what we perceive is what
actually exists, including uncertainty. But the other way of seeing this
position is that it actually is semi-solipsistic: it says that all we can know
is what we perceive or measure and that there is no point in even
speculating about a so-called “real reality.” There is no real
reality; all that exists is our measurements and perceptions. By that
interpretation, it is not possible that position and momentum could be
completely determinate while our measurements of them are uncertain.

I believe that the latter view is actually close to what some physicists
maintain. I think I ran into this view many times as I was learning physics. It
explains why, when I asked why there is gravity, my mentors became impatient
with me and told me not to ask why. All we know is what we observe, and gravity
is one of those things. It’s not to be explained, it’s simply to be taken into
account. This, it seems to me, is the mind-set that allows quantum physics to
exist. Don’t ask why such things as entanglement or tunneling or uncertainty or
other quantum effects exist. Don’t ask for a deeper explanation. These are
simply summaries of observations, and the observations are too well-established
and replicable to doubt. These observations are the deepest explanations we
will ever find, so just accept them and go on from there.

[GAVIN:]

You don’t really believe there is actually something called

hydrogen or there is anything such as these particles.

[MARTIN]:
Why not? What counter-evidence might argue the contrary? What competing theory
provides a simpler or more precise description of our perceptions?

When you have to invoke logic, argument, and counterargument, that is the sure
sign that you are not talking about experiences. You don’t have to argue about
experiences, because you can’t even doubt that they are occurring. The hydrogen
atom is imaginary. Nobody can see or otherwise experience it. It is a
proposition which, if it really were true, would account for certain aspects of
what we can experience. We have no way of finding out if hydrogen actually
exists. All we can do is make predictions about what we would observe if it did
exist and had the properties we assign to it, and then see if those predictions
match what we experience. All we can say is that so far, we haven’t found
anything wrong with the hypothesis that hydrogen exists.

Of course that works both ways. The fact that we can’t prove the existence of
hydrogen atoms also means that we can’t disprove it. But just on the basis of
comparing our experiences with the population of entities that makes up
physics, we can say that it’s pretty unlikely that hydrogen exists in the
particular form in which we imagine it. We might have got lucky, of course, but
it would be rather foolish to assume that. In fact that would violate one of
the admonitions in science, which is that we should avoid wishful thinking.

[GAVIN]: Sure one that
works

out pretty well. Very very clever mental representation.

[MARTIN]:Yes, it is very clever. How is that relevant to proving
the mental representation cannot refer to any external reality?

That isn’t the proposition in hand. The mental representation could refer to an
external reality. Ptolemy’s proposition about the crystalline
spheres that generate epicycles could have referred to an external reality, if
there had really been crystalline spheres up there. The proposition does not
have to do with whether there COULD be an external counterpart of the mental
representation. It has to do with whether there IS an external counterpart.
Anything you imagine MIGHT correspond to something in real reality. It’s
opposite, if it has one, MIGHT equally well do the same. MIGHT and COULD don’t
prove anything except mightness and couldness. And MIGHT and COULD
automatically imply MIGHT NOT and MAYBE COULDN’T.

Modeling consists of proposing entities and structures below the level of
observation which, if they did exist with the properties we give them, would
correctly predict what we experience. That is as close as we will ever get to
“knowing” what is going on behind the scenes. From time to time some
of the things we have imagined to exist run up against phenomena contrary to
what we imagine, and then we have to knock down the mental construct and erect
a new one, as we substituted oxygen for phlogiston, or PCT for
stimulus-response theory. We can’t really ask if the new idea is right; all we can
really say is that it predicts better.

Show me how to verify that that runny stuff I drink and shave with is really
made of atoms of hydrogen and oxygen, and you will just that easily refute my
position.

Best,

Bill P.