Suggested Projects for Class on PCT

[Bruce Nevin (2006.12.31 12:12 EST)]

Rick Marken (2006.12.30.1720) --

That sounds interesting but, frankly, I don't know what I would
be asking them to do or how I would evaluate whether they had
done it correctly. How do you tease out variables? How do you
know whether or not the variables have been teased out correctly?

Yes, identifying variables of any complexity or subtlety is not easy,
and that is a significant challenge.

I know that I have identified a number of those variables as variables
that I have controlled at different times in my experience as a driver
of cars and motorcycles over the past 45 years or so. (Driving an hour
in rush hour traffic on Rt. 128 over months and years can be a
demonstration of a kind of contagion of insanity.) I can report that to
you, but verbal reports are not useful to you. I thought you might by
introspection discover that your own control of proximity to the car in
front of you varies as means of controlling some other variable or
variables, if not those that I identified then perhaps some others. For
example, I thought that you might think about how you perceive
relationships to other cars behind, beside, and moving into lane in
front of you, and whether your control of those perceptions (if you
control them) might affect your reference for proximity to the car you
have been following. Then by considering such variables, perhaps you
might ask how an investigator might test for your control of them. Such
exercises could at least suggest what to look for in others, so that you
could then begin to think of how to set up test situations.

While driving with someone, you might ask them to leave more distance,
or less, and see if they identify a reason for not changing the
distance; or if, having changed the distance in compliance with your
request, something occurs which they complain of, which would have been
less likely to occur without that change, such as someone pulling in
front of the car and filling the widened gap. Or you might have an
accomplice in another car drive in one or another of the relationships
to your subject's car, a perception of which your subject might be
controlling, and observe if proximity to the car in front reliably
co-varies in the predicted way. Driving simulators might present
opportunities. I'm sure I'm just scratching the surface, I have no
experience or nor any evidence of talent at designing experiments.

  /B

David Goldstein (2006.12.31.0737)

Rick (and listmates),

You still don't quite understand about Q Methodology. But you are
getting closer.

A 'factor A' person is defined by a particular sequence of items. A
'factor B' person by a different sequence of items.
The sequence applies to each person in a group. The different factors
are made up of people who have different sequences of items, even though
the sorting instruction is the same. (For example: Sort the items from
'most like you when driving to most unlike you when driving.')

The sequence is based on feeling/emotions, with strong feelings/emotions
being on each end of the continuum (sequence). Weak or no feelings are
in the middle of the continuum. By examining a 'factor A' person, one
might come up with hypotheses for what variables of experience are being
controlled.

Please note that I said this was only a beginning project. It is not
meant to replace the test for the controlled variable.
For the longest time, I have been interested in applying PCT to higher
level variables that are difficult to model quantitatively. The research
that Dick Robertson, Mike Merkel and I did on the self-image is an
example of this. Dick's suggestion to follow-up on this research may be
very worthwhile.

Where do hypotheses about controlled variables come from? Where did your
hypothesis about variables for a person 'catching a fly ball' come from?
Perhaps you reviewed the literature. This is like talking to people who
have experience with the topic. Or you talked to a person who told you
something interesting--like how sea captains know whether their ship is
going to collide with another ship on the horizon.

In MOL Therapy, one of the hardest things for a therapist to learn is to
stop being a problem solver, an advice or suggestion giver, or an
interpreter. One has to trust that the Reorganization System which has
been responsible for the person to change from a single fertilized egg
to an adult person knows how to solve new and unfamiliar problems. So
yes, I have learned to have confidence in the person I am 'guiding'.

Rick, you asked for suggestions about research projects. I did what you
asked and so did Bruce. You didn't like the suggestions. This is what
happens in therapy when the therapist makes suggestions or gives advice,
most of the time. It really is a waste of time for everyone concerned.

The best thing would have been if we could have had an MOL Therapy-type
discussion on the topic and I would have helped you move to higher
levels of perception within you. I am willing to do this on Sightspeed
or Skype with you if you are interested.

Best regards,
David
David M. Goldstein, Ph.D.

···

-----Original Message-----
From: Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)
[mailto:CSGNET@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU] On Behalf Of Rick Marken
Sent: Saturday, December 30, 2006 9:41 PM
To: CSGNET@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
Subject: Re: Suggested Projects for Class on PCT

[From Rick Marken (2006.12.30.1840)]

David Goldstein (2006.12.30.2032)

Rick,

You are not understanding the results of a Q-Methodology study
involving a group of people. The different factors represent different

groups of people. Each person is assigned to one group. The Q-sort
for each factor goes from statements which are most like the persons
in the group to statements which are most unlike the persons in
the group. By examining the rank order of items in each factor, one
might obtain a suggestion for what variables of driving experience a
person in a group was controlling. People in different factors would
have different rank orders of items and might be controlling for
different variables of experience.

You should really understand something before rejecting it.

I agree. But I don't think I un-understood it all that much;-) You say
a factor represents a group of people. That's a different notion of
factor than what I am familiar with but let's go with it. So there are
"factor A" people and "factor B" people and so on. You go on to say
that the "Q-sort for each factor goes from statements which are most
like the persons in the group to statements which are most unlike the
persons in the group". So this sounds like, for all "factor A" people,
there is an ordering of statements that are most like to least like
"factor A" people. And so on for "factor B" people, etc. So "keeping
your distance from the car in front" might be a statement most like
"factor A" people and "flashing you lights at slow drivers" might be a
statement least like "factor A" people. Then you say "By examining the
rank order of items in each factor, one might obtain a suggestion for
what variables of driving experience a person in a group was
controlling". This seems to mean that, if I'm a "factor A" person, then
  I probably control for "keeping my distance from the car in front"
because that statement is highly ranked for "factor A" people.

This seems to me to be exactly what I thought it was, except that what
I call "trait" is what you call "factor". You are inferring what
variable(s) I control from a trait you think I have: the trait of being
a "factor A" person.

It seems to me like this approach is like going around Hogan's barn to
get people to say what they think they control for. Hogan's barn, in
this case, is the Q-sort procedure., which seems like an unnecessarily
complicated way to ask a person "what are your goals when you drive?"
It also seems to be unnecessarily invalid, since you are coming to
conclusions about individuals based on group membership (their being in
a particular "factor"). That is, you are concluding that a goal of
mine is "keeping my distance from the car in front" because I'm a
"factor A" person

And finally, even if everything about this procedure weren't as overly
complex and invalid as it looks, it doesn't seem to provide much more
than _hypotheses_ about the variables a person controls when driving.
Why should I put any weight on verbal descriptions of what a person
_thinks_ they control? If you asked a fielder what he's controlling
when he catches a fly ball I think the last thing you would hear is
"vertical optical velocity", which is one of the variables that
fielders almost certainly do control. If you asked George Bush what
he's controlling for with the "war on terror" I think the last thing
you would hear is "income for the military industrial complex", which I
would bet is at least one goal that has produced this tragic and costly
canard.

Asking people about what they are controlling for may be a good source
of hypotheses about controlled variables. But, ultimately, the only way
to determine what perceptions people are actually controlling is to use
some version of the test for controlled variables.

The statements that Bruce Nevin had in his email could result in some
other statements about what experiences people are controlling when
they are driving.

You and Bruce seem to put a lot more faith in what people say than I do.

Best

Rick

-----Original Message-----
From: Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)
[mailto:CSGNET@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU] On Behalf Of Rick Marken
Sent: Saturday, December 30, 2006 8:04 PM
To: CSGNET@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
Subject: Re: Suggested Projects for Class on PCT

[From Rick Marken (2006.12.30.1700)]

David Goldstein (2006.12.30.1004)

Rick,

If we were doing a Q-Methodology study, your statements might make it

into the Q-set. Namely,

"I usually keep a nice distance from the car in front, proportional
to speed: the faster I'm going, the farther I stay behind the person
in front. "

"When I am on surface streets and in a rush and I find myself behind
some slow moving clod, I will get as close behind as I can get and
...

honk and flash my lights."

I don't understand how you can say that:

"I hope to help students understand that how a person is categorized
on some dimension (such as their attitude regarding tailgating) has
no force on how they control (such as the variables involved in
driving)."

Actually, I said it in response to this from you:

Each student would Q-sort the items according to a condition of
instruction: Most like my experience of driving to Most unlike my
experience of driving. The Q-sorts would be correlated and factor
analyzed. Each factor represents a group of people who have similar
views on the expereince of driving. The Q-sort for each group could
be

studied to see what variables of expereince are suggested.

So even if my statements made it into the Q-set, the result of the
Q-sort, according to what you say here, would be a set of factors, on
each of which I would "stand" somewhere because of where my statements

were ranked. The factors are derived (as you note) from the
correlations between the Q-sorts for a group of people. So the factors

represent something like "traits". One of those factors might be
called "cautiousness" because statements like my first one above ("I
usually keep a nice distance...") load high on it. So you might
conclude from the factor analysis result that I have a high level of
"cautiousness". Another factor might be called "punitiveness" because
it loads high on questions like the second ("... honk and flash my
lights"). So I might also end up having a high level of
"punitiveness". So the result of the Q-sort will be that I have been
categorized as high in "punitiveness" and "cautiousness". It looks to
me like the Q-sort technique is (like all psychometric techniques) an
attempt to analyze people in terms of personality "traits" based on
the correlations between their responses to tests (like the Q-sort).
This is certainly fun to do but I, personally, don't care for it as an

approach to the scientific study of closed loop systems.

Best

Rick
---
Richard S. Marken Consulting
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

Richard S. Marken Consulting
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

[From Fred Nickols (2006.12.31.0909 EST)]

[From Bruce Nevin (2006.12.30 17:51 EST)]

Other goals:
- Not annoying other drivers.
- Always being in the faster-moving lane
- Avoiding accidents (as my grandfather used to say, 99% are caused by
the other guy)

Drivers may control more than one of these goals at once. Many pairs of
these goals conflict, not always in immediately obvious ways.

A useful student exercise could be just to tease out these variables.

I can add one to the list...

While driving, it is occasionally the case that someone "tailgates" me. (I
try not to tailgate other people.)

When I am being tailgated, I glance into my rear view mirror much more
frequently than when I am not. I do so, I think, because I am trying to
decide if I need to do something other than keep an eye on the tailgater.
The ordinary flow of traffic can jam things up now and then so someone can
wind up on my tail owing more to that than to their driving habits. Ditto
for me. Two options are always available and I have used both: (1) I slow
down, forcing the tailgater to pass me and (2) I pull over and let the other
person go around me. (I prefer the former and my wife prefers the latter.)

In any event, I agree with Bruce: It might be interesting to have a
discussion about driving, amply illustrated with personal experiences, as a
way of identifying the many things for which drivers are controlling and
then examine those examples in light of PCT.

Regards,

Fred Nickols
nickols@att.net

[From Rick Marken (2006.12.31.0935)]

Bruce Nevin (2006.12.31 12:12 EST)--

Rick Marken (2006.12.30.1720) --

That sounds interesting but, frankly, I don't know what I would
be asking them to do or how I would evaluate whether they had
done it correctly. How do you tease out variables? How do you
know whether or not the variables have been teased out correctly?

Yes, identifying variables of any complexity or subtlety is not easy,
and that is a significant challenge.

Yes, having students _identify_ potential controlled variables sounds like a good exercise. In fact, I think it's a great idea. It would help students understand what a controllable perceptual variable _is_ and what some possible controlled variables _are_.

I can report that to you, but verbal reports are not useful to you. I thought you might by introspection discover that your own control of proximity to the car in front of you varies as means of controlling some other variable or
variables, if not those that I identified then perhaps some others.

Actually, I think just having students understand that something like _proximity_ is a perceptual variable that is contollable at different levels would be great for them to learn. I think one of the main problems people have when first encountering PCT is understanding what a perceptual variable _is_. It's things like the tension in a muscle, the color of a house, the speed of a car, the honesty of statement, the balance of a checkbook, etc. This is important to know because we control variables (no constants;-))

For example, I thought that you might think about how you perceive
relationships to other cars

I think that's getting a little too advanced. I think I'll stay away from theories of perception, other than to say that the nervous system computes perceptions as a function of the array of intensities at the sensory surface.

Then by considering such variables, perhaps you might ask how an investigator might test for your control of them.

Yes. Exactly!

Great suggestion, Bruce. Thanks

Best

Rick

···

---

Richard S. Marken Consulting
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

Message
[David Goldstein (2006.12.31.1227)]

Here is the list of items which Bill referred to. I used them in a case study of MOL Therapy. The items with asterisks next to them are the ones which changed over the 23 sessions in a statistically significant way.

The person did the Q-sort after each session.

Item

Description

  I learned a new way of viewing a problem.                   
  I have corrected my understanding of the problem            
  I have gathered more information about the problem.                                                  

4.*

  I have a more positive, hopeful and less pessimistic attitude when thinking about the problem.                                                  

5.*

  I have decided what I want to happen about the problem.                                                  

6.*

  I have decided that solving the problem has a high priority.                                            
  I have noticed that I am in conflict when it comes to this problem.                                    

8.*

  I have reworked a problem so that I can achieve it, it is more doable, and within my abilities.           
  I am more aware of my feelings/emotions when I am addressing this problem.                                  
  I have expressed and communicated my feelings/ emotions, understandings and wants when addressing the problem.                                   
  I am more aware that my reactions to the problem relate to past history, or imagining than to what is actually happening now.                           
  I have noticed and stopped over-reacting or under-reacting to the problem.                            
  I have noticed that my feelings/emotions, actions or wants keep changing when it comes to the problem.                                                  

14.*

  I have stopped taking a certain action (coping style).                                                    

15.*

  I have started taking a certain action (coping style) which I know how to do.                            

16.*

  I have learned a new action (coping style)
···

By the way, anyone in the group who is interested in a pdf file of the published article, which just came out and is online, please drop me a note. I am not allowed to put it on any website for at least for months by agreement with the publisher.

David G.

[From Rick Marken (2006.12.31.1025)]

David Goldstein (2006.12.31.0737)--

Rick (and listmates),

You still don't quite understand about Q Methodology. But you are
getting closer.

I think I'm about as close as I'm ever going to get;-)

The sequence is based on feeling/emotions, with strong feelings/emotions being on each end of the continuum (sequence). Weak or no feelings are in the middle of the continuum. By examining a 'factor A' person, one might come up with hypotheses for what variables of experience are being controlled.

Yes, I agree. But it just seems like an unnecessarily laborious way to do it. Why not just ask a person what they think they are doing?

Where do hypotheses about controlled variables come from?

An excellent question. Speaking for myself I would say the two main places are 1) my own experience and 2) my understanding of the physical situation in which the behavior occurs.

Where did your hypothesis about variables for a person 'catching a fly ball' come from?

From Bill Powers, who got it from this great article by a physicist who figured it out using graphs and trigonometry (ie. an understanding of the physical situation).

Rick, you asked for suggestions about research projects. I did what you asked and so did Bruce. You didn't like the suggestions. This is what happens in therapy when the therapist makes suggestions or gives advice, most of the time. It really is a waste of time for everyone concerned.

I'm sorry. But this is not a therapy session. At least I don't use it as such. I think of this as a forum for teaching and learning PCT. I didn't care for your Q-sort suggestion for the reasons I mentioned: mainly that it seems like an overcomplicated way of coming up with hypotheses about controlled variables. I guess it also looked like an attempt to squeeze a conventional psychological testing technique into PCT (or to squeeze PCT into a conventional testing technique) and, as you know, I react rather badly to that. But I see that Bill Powers has posted something on this so maybe I'll learn why Q methodology is the new direction in PCT.

The best thing would have been if we could have had an MOL Therapy-type discussion on the topic and I would have helped you move to higher levels of perception within you. I am willing to do this on Sightspeed or Skype with you if you are interested.

I am planning to suggest doing an MOL type interaction as a project in class. But I don't think getting me up a level will help me appreciate Q methodology any more than I already don't. I'm sorry I don't like it; but, again, maybe Bill's post can cure me. I will read it now.

Best

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken Consulting
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

From Phil Runkel on 31 Jan at 17:06 PST

Replying to Rick Marken's of 2006.12.30.1840.

Rick: I agree with what you say about factor analysis. I made the same point, if more verbose, on pages 50-52 of Casting Nets. Making any statement about an individual after taking data from a group requires making very shaky assumptions.

--Phil R.

[Martin Taylor 2006.12.31.22.57]

From Phil Runkel on 31 Jan at 17:06 PST

Replying to Rick Marken's of 2006.12.30.1840.

Rick: I agree with what you say about factor analysis. I made the
same point, if more verbose, on pages 50-52 of Casting Nets. Making
any statement about an individual after taking data from a group
requires making very shaky assumptions.

Happy New Year, which it will be for most of you before you see this.

I think you might enjoy the atteched, from the current issue of
American Scientist.

Martin

AmSciIndividualsAndClinicalTrials.pdf (654 KB)