Taking PCT for granted

[From Rick Marken (980301.1050)]

Last week I spoke to Marc Abrams and promised that I would
try to post something about what the world might be like when
the PCT model of human nature is taken for granted in the same
way that the Copernican model of the solar system is taken
for granted. This issue came up (I think) while we were discussing
the thread on "Disturbing disturbances". This thread has become
very technical [see eg. Bill Powers (980301.0940 MST)] and,
for that reason, some readers may find it unnecessarily esoteric
and unimportant. I personally think it is a _very_ important
topic; what is being debated is the essential difference between
the control of input model of behavior and the cause-effect model
of behavior which it seeks to replace.

But Marc convinced me that most people who eventually come to
accept the PCT model will do so without much understanding of
the detailed reasons (such as the fact that environmental events
-- disturbances -- don't cause actions) for doing so. I imagine
that the situation will be similar to what is now true of the
Copernican model; virtually all people now accept the idea that
the earth turns on an axis as it moves in an orbit around the Sun
but I'm sure that very few people know why this is a better view
of what's going on than the one that seems more obvious: the
Sun moving around a flat, stationary earth.

The view of behavior that seems most obvious to _everyone_ is
that behavior is caused by environmental events. We see people
"reacting" to verbal and non-verbal stimuli all the time. It
looks like these "disturbances" cause (or select) behavior.
This is the view of behavior that Bruce A., Martin, and Jeff V.
are defending in the "Disturbing disturbances" thread. Actually,
they are trying to show that this is the only _possible_ way
for behavior to work; they are saying that behavior works this
way _even if people are control systems_. Bill and I are trying
to show that this is not the case; that lineal cause-effect
doesn't apply to the behavior of control systems: cause-effect
and control of input are not equivalent. We are also trying to
show that a VERY unfortunate side-effect of control of input
is the _illusion of cause-effect_ (behavioral illusion); the
illusion that stimuli act on the organism to cause behavior.

This debate gets highly technical because there is no one crucial
piece of data that proves one model better than another; the
"proof" is based on a collection of mathematical and observational
data (as is also the case with the Copernican model). The debate
also gets pretty acrimonious because there is a lot at stake
(careers, curricula, textbooks, etc;); the PCT model calls into
question nearly all the work done to date in the context of the
cause-effect model. These debates are like those between advocates
of the Copernican and Ptolomaic models that went on over 400 years
ago.

Apparently, once the debate is finally won in academic circles,
the public will take the winning model (PCT in this case) for
granted without having any idea _why_ this is the right choice.
So in 400 or so years (maybe 300 if we're lucky;-)) PCT will be
taken for granted and people won't know that this is a good choice
because "a control system needs no information about the variables
that influence the state of a controlled variable in order to
control that variable" or because of the "behavioral illusion" or
any of the other esoteric reasons for accepting the PCT view.

So what will the world be like once people take the PCT view
of people for granted; when "control of input" rather tban
"cause-effect" is the default view of people? Since I've taken
so much time prefacing this post, I'll wait and see if anyone
else has any ideas about this quesrtion: what will the world be
like when people take "control of input" for granted, even if
they don't know _why_ they do?

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken Phone or Fax: 310 474-0313
Life Learning Associates e-mail: rmarken@earthlink.net
http://home.earthlink.net/~rmarken/

[From Bruce Nevin (980302.1130)]

Rick Marken (980301.1050)--

So what will the world be like once people take the PCT view
of people for granted; when "control of input" rather tban
"cause-effect" is the default view of people? Since I've taken
so much time prefacing this post, I'll wait and see if anyone
else has any ideas about this quesrtion: what will the world be
like when people take "control of input" for granted, even if
they don't know _why_ they do?

A provocative question.

What difference does it make? As you say,

there is no one crucial
piece of data that proves one model better than another; the
"proof" is based on a collection of mathematical and observational
data (as is also the case with the Copernican model).

A corollary is that at present we can see no obvious, blatant consequences
of shifting from one conceptualization to the other.

People might place greater value on empathy, trying to intuit the point of
view of the other person, looking for evidence what that point of view is.
What would the effects be of widespread recognition of living in different
perceptual universes? As opposed to the normal view now that we live in the
identical universe but assign different values to aspects of the shared
environment.

It will no longer seem plausible that coercion is a way to bring about
predictable change in other people. Reorganization could still be an aim of
coercion. "Anything but this, and if it's still not good I'll keep
pushing." Something like boot camp for jail prisoners, which has been well
regarded of late, may still be considered effective, but teaching methods
and learning techniques are likely to change. Brainstorming might be better
understood and better practiced -- to borrow selectionist terminology,
superfecundity, blind variation, and selection of ideas. In general, the
range of things that seems possible or plausible will be greatly different.

To stimulate ideas, maybe we could imagine that we still lived within the
nested spheres of the heavens on a stationary, central earth that is flat
to its four corners. Nothing would get put in orbit. Well, I suppose you
could try to stick things to the closest sphere, but success would be seen
as very unlikely. The idea of using a gravity slingshot to reach the moon
and planets would earn a Golden Fleece award from Strom Thurmond. We would
have no communications satellites in geostationary orbit. "Hell, we know
all them spheres is turnin'. First, you boys want to fire a rocket up there
and embed something in the closest sphere, and let me tell you a lot of my
constituents is spooked enough about that. But if you try to stick
something up there so's it doesn't move, you know damn well it's just going
to fall back down--and nobody wants your gadgets fallin' on their heads!"
We would understand weather even less well than we do today. And forget
about global warming!

This fantasy is silly, of course. In fact, differences would be so great
and so pervasive as to baffle comparisons. Think of the technology of
commerce alone. For example, synchronized chronometry and time zones would
be vanishingly improbable, and navigation of ships would still be a
coastwise adventure. In other words, enormous ramifications of the change
from Ptolomaic to Copernican conceptions are clearly visible today that
were beyond imagining at the time of the controversy. Just so with PCT.

In sum, although at present we can see no obvious, blatant consequences of
shifting from one conceptualization to the other, some time after such
shift there are likely to be a great many ramifications pervading all
aspects of life and profoundly affecting everything we do.

  Bruce Nevin

[From Bioll Powers (980302.1525 MST)]

Rick Marken (980301.1050)--

Last week I spoke to Marc Abrams and promised that I would
try to post something about what the world might be like when
the PCT model of human nature is taken for granted in the same
way that the Copernican model of the solar system is taken
for granted.

What a marvellous post! I particularly like your prediction of how people
will behave once PCT has won the day. They'll go along with whoever seems
to win the debate among the eggheads. That rings 100% true.

Best,

Bill P.

This issue came up (I think) while we were discussing

···

the thread on "Disturbing disturbances". This thread has become
very technical [see eg. Bill Powers (980301.0940 MST)] and,
for that reason, some readers may find it unnecessarily esoteric
and unimportant. I personally think it is a _very_ important
topic; what is being debated is the essential difference between
the control of input model of behavior and the cause-effect model
of behavior which it seeks to replace.

But Marc convinced me that most people who eventually come to
accept the PCT model will do so without much understanding of
the detailed reasons (such as the fact that environmental events
-- disturbances -- don't cause actions) for doing so. I imagine
that the situation will be similar to what is now true of the
Copernican model; virtually all people now accept the idea that
the earth turns on an axis as it moves in an orbit around the Sun
but I'm sure that very few people know why this is a better view
of what's going on than the one that seems more obvious: the
Sun moving around a flat, stationary earth.

The view of behavior that seems most obvious to _everyone_ is
that behavior is caused by environmental events. We see people
"reacting" to verbal and non-verbal stimuli all the time. It
looks like these "disturbances" cause (or select) behavior.
This is the view of behavior that Bruce A., Martin, and Jeff V.
are defending in the "Disturbing disturbances" thread. Actually,
they are trying to show that this is the only _possible_ way
for behavior to work; they are saying that behavior works this
way _even if people are control systems_. Bill and I are trying
to show that this is not the case; that lineal cause-effect
doesn't apply to the behavior of control systems: cause-effect
and control of input are not equivalent. We are also trying to
show that a VERY unfortunate side-effect of control of input
is the _illusion of cause-effect_ (behavioral illusion); the
illusion that stimuli act on the organism to cause behavior.

This debate gets highly technical because there is no one crucial
piece of data that proves one model better than another; the
"proof" is based on a collection of mathematical and observational
data (as is also the case with the Copernican model). The debate
also gets pretty acrimonious because there is a lot at stake
(careers, curricula, textbooks, etc;); the PCT model calls into
question nearly all the work done to date in the context of the
cause-effect model. These debates are like those between advocates
of the Copernican and Ptolomaic models that went on over 400 years
ago.

Apparently, once the debate is finally won in academic circles,
the public will take the winning model (PCT in this case) for
granted without having any idea _why_ this is the right choice.
So in 400 or so years (maybe 300 if we're lucky;-)) PCT will be
taken for granted and people won't know that this is a good choice
because "a control system needs no information about the variables
that influence the state of a controlled variable in order to
control that variable" or because of the "behavioral illusion" or
any of the other esoteric reasons for accepting the PCT view.

So what will the world be like once people take the PCT view
of people for granted; when "control of input" rather tban
"cause-effect" is the default view of people? Since I've taken
so much time prefacing this post, I'll wait and see if anyone
else has any ideas about this quesrtion: what will the world be
like when people take "control of input" for granted, even if
they don't know _why_ they do?

Best

Rick
--
Richard S. Marken Phone or Fax: 310 474-0313
Life Learning Associates e-mail: rmarken@earthlink.net
http://home.earthlink.net/~rmarken/

[From Bruce Gregory (980302.1746 EST)]

Bruce Nevin (980302.1739 EST)]

Bruce Gregory (980302.1706 EST)

> In fact, navigation is
>_still_ done using a geo-centric model. Space travel is another
>story, but it represents the only place I can think of where the
>geo-centric model really breaks down.

Rick posited a flat earth at the center. Hence the other ramifications. Wrong?

I should have known Rick would be a flat-earther... No, not
wrong.

Bruce

[from Tracy Harms (19980202.16)]

[Rick Marken (980301.1050)]

So what will the world be like once people take the PCT view
of people for granted; when "control of input" rather tban
"cause-effect" is the default view of people? Since I've taken
so much time prefacing this post, I'll wait and see if anyone
else has any ideas about this quesrtion: what will the world be
like when people take "control of input" for granted, even if
they don't know _why_ they do?

Best

Rick

The most interesting consequences are surely beyond our anticipation.
However, to make a tiny step of a guess, I expect that a world where PCT
is presumed will be one in which few people think in terms of "what can
I do which will manipulate a specific response?" (This does not
necessarily mean that intents will be less manipulative, of course.)
Instead people will more naturally think about values, both their own
values and those of other people. For it will be understood that what
comes to pass will be the result of control, and that what is controlled
is the result of values.

···

--
Tracy Harms
Bend, Oregon

             "Did any among them see beyond rigid beliefs?
              Where was one man who'd escaped the narrow
              destiny of his prejudices?"
                             Frank Herbert: *Dune Messiah*

[From Richard Kennaway (980303.1148 JST)]

One way of answering this would be to ask, what is one's own life like
once one takes PCT for granted? What happens to one's interactions with
other people who do, or do not, take PCT for granted? How does one relate
to people (small children, especially one's own) who do not yet have
either that or any competing system concept?

-- Richard Kennaway, jrk@sys.uea.ac.uk
   (The etl.go.jp address is temporary.)

[From Bill Powers (980303.0342 MST)]

Tracy Harms (19980202.16), Rick Marken (980301.1050)--

So what will the world be like once people take the PCT view
of people for granted; when "control of input" rather tban
"cause-effect" is the default view of people?

I think a very important change will be from trying to predict the future
to trying to decide what future we intend to have. How many people do we
want to be competing with for resources? What kind of life-style do we
intend to allow our children to have? What kind of people do we intend to
be in our dealings with others? How many poor and miserable people do we
intend for our society to produce?

A great deal of traditional psychology and sociology is an attempt to
determine the "circumstances" that influence human behavior. But human
behavior, or at least the effects it has, is determined primarily by
internal reference signals, intentions, and not by circumstances.
Circumstances only dictate actions after one has decided what results are
to be accomplished. We try to predict what will happen in the future only
when our actions have no influence on the future. In fact, if our actions
influence the outcome we won't even accept that a true prediction has been
made.

I've used this illustration before, but maybe not on the net. Suppose I say
"I'm going to throw this ball into that corner of the room, and I predict
that after it stops bouncing it will end up in this water glass." I then
throw the ball, and after it stops bouncing I pick it up and put it in the
water glass. Would anyone accept that as an example of a prediction?
Obviously not; if we can control the outcome, prediction of the outcome is
meaningless.

So after PCT is taken for granted, we will spend a lot less time predicting
the future, and a lot more deciding what we intend to happen.

Best,

Bill P.

Since I've taken

···

so much time prefacing this post, I'll wait and see if anyone
else has any ideas about this quesrtion: what will the world be
like when people take "control of input" for granted, even if
they don't know _why_ they do?

Best

Rick

The most interesting consequences are surely beyond our anticipation.
However, to make a tiny step of a guess, I expect that a world where PCT
is presumed will be one in which few people think in terms of "what can
I do which will manipulate a specific response?" (This does not
necessarily mean that intents will be less manipulative, of course.)
Instead people will more naturally think about values, both their own
values and those of other people. For it will be understood that what
comes to pass will be the result of control, and that what is controlled
is the result of values.

--
Tracy Harms
Bend, Oregon

            "Did any among them see beyond rigid beliefs?
             Where was one man who'd escaped the narrow
             destiny of his prejudices?"
                            Frank Herbert: *Dune Messiah*

[from Jeff Vancouver 980303.1039 EST]

[From Bill Powers (980303.0342 MST)]

I find this post riddled with inconsistencies with PCT.

I think a very important change will be from trying to predict the future
to trying to decide what future we intend to have. How many people do we
want to be competing with for resources? What kind of life-style do we
intend to allow our children to have? What kind of people do we intend to
be in our dealings with others? How many poor and miserable people do we
intend for our society to produce?

Circumstances only dictate actions after one has decided what results are
to be accomplished. We try to predict what will happen in the future only
when our actions have no influence on the future. In fact, if our actions
influence the outcome we won't even accept that a true prediction has been
made.

So if we have the reference condition, do circumstances dictate actions?

I've used this illustration before, but maybe not on the net. Suppose I say
"I'm going to throw this ball into that corner of the room, and I predict
that after it stops bouncing it will end up in this water glass." I then
throw the ball, and after it stops bouncing I pick it up and put it in the
water glass. Would anyone accept that as an example of a prediction?
Obviously not; if we can control the outcome, prediction of the outcome is
meaningless.

You have said time and again we cannot control others. They are automonous
agents. So how do we control the perceptions that derive from the answers
to the questions you describe in the first paragraph? I do not see how
those perceptions can be controlled without some attempt to change others
or classify them. When you say "what kinds of people..." that implies that
the "kind of person" they are at one instance will carry to the next. That
we can and will need to predict a person "that they are of a certain kind."

So after PCT is taken for granted, we will spend a lot less time predicting
the future, and a lot more deciding what we intend to happen.

People are not balls that can be picked up. Prediction will be rampant.
However, armed with a much better understanding of how people operate, our
predictions and interventions for change will be better (not a lot better,
but better).

Sincerely,

Jeff

[From Rick Marken (980303.1205)

Bill Powers (980303.0342 MST)--

I think a very important change will be from trying to
predict the future to trying to decide what future we
intend to have.

What a _great_ post! Makes me glad I asked the question.

Jeff Vancouver (980303.1039 EST) re: Bill Powers (980303.0342 MST) -

I find this post riddled with inconsistencies with PCT.

God I love this net! :slight_smile:

Jeff Vancouver (980303.1400 EST) --

It does not seem to me that the output went from _no output_ to
output. The issue is variance. _Nothing_ is missing data. It
is of no use.

So I guess you're going to press ahead with the cause-effect
approach to studying control. Wonderful. Thanks.

So does the response "No I'm not" after some lag from the
comment "You are a paranoid schizophrenic" tell you something
about the perception the focal person is controling?

Yes -- if the disturbance was applied as part of an iterative
Testing procedure. The particular response to that particular
distrubance doesn't tell you about the controlled perception.
What tells you about the controlled perception is the response
(or lack thereof) to many different disturbances. The disturbances
and expected responses are iteratively generated under the
hypothesis that the subject is controlling variable X1. If the
subjects respose (or lack therof) to _one_ of the disturbances
in unexpected, then the hypothesis about the controlled
variable is revised (from X1 to X2), new disturbances and expected
responses are formulated, the disturbances are applied and, again,
the hypothesis about the controlled variable is changed (X 2 to X3)
if there is an unexpected response (or lack thereof). Eventually, you
hone in on a definition of the controlled variable that allows you
to predict the subject's response (or lack thereof) to any
disturbance.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken Phone or Fax: 310 474-0313
Life Learning Associates e-mail: rmarken@earthlink.net
http://home.earthlink.net/~rmarken

[From Bruce Gregory (980303.1520 EST)]

Bill Powers (980303.0342 MST)

A great deal of traditional psychology and sociology is an attempt to
determine the "circumstances" that influence human behavior. But human
behavior, or at least the effects it has, is determined primarily by
internal reference signals, intentions, and not by circumstances.
Circumstances only dictate actions after one has decided what results are
to be accomplished.

This is a "reference signal"-centric viewpoint. It makes sense
only _after_ control is established. Of more interest from a
learning perspective is _how_ control is established. There is
no control without the ability to perceive and understanding
how new perceptual possibilities are created would seem to
me at least to be one of the most important impacts of a wider
acceptance of PCT. It would revolutionize teaching and learning
with all this implies.

Bruce

p.s. I seem to have that chemical imbalance under control...

[From Bill Powers (980303.1429 MST)]

Jeff Vancouver 980303.1039 EST--

I find this post riddled with inconsistencies with PCT.

Try a different interpretation, then.

How many people do we
want to be competing with for resources?

How many babies to I intend to bring into the world?

What kind of life-style do we intend to allow our children to have?

Do I intend to gobble up as many resources as I can, or will I choose to
leave something for them?

What kind of people do we intend to be in our dealings with others?

Do I want to play Me First, or do I want to offer communication and support
to others in the hope that these things will become mutual?

How many poor and miserable people do we intend for our society to produce?

Will I treat poverty as a crime and support social systems that prevent
some people from living a decent life?

Circumstances only dictate actions after one has decided what results are
to be accomplished. We try to predict what will happen in the future only
when our actions have no influence on the future. In fact, if our actions
influence the outcome we won't even accept that a true prediction has been
made.

So if we have the reference condition, do circumstances dictate actions?

Yes. If I intend to pick up a soup spoon, the position of the soup spoon
determines where I must move my hand (unless there's more than one soup
spoon).

You have said time and again we cannot control others. They are automonous
agents.

I never said any such thing. I described some methods for controlling the
actions of other people, and pointed out some difficultes that arise when
you try to do this. I said that the only truly reliable method is the
application of superior physical force to the other person. Where in that
do you come up with a statement that we CANNOT control others? Or even that
we SHOULD not?

So how do we control the perceptions that derive from the answers
to the questions you describe in the first paragraph? I do not see how
those perceptions can be controlled without some attempt to change others
or classify them.

We can use persuasion, bargaining, overwhelming physical force, deception,
false promises, and misdirection to mention a few. PCT tells us what we can
expect from using various strategies. There's not a word in PCT that tells
us not to try to change or control others. If you drew such a conclusion,
you must have been adding some premises of your own (like, for example,
"it's not nice to use overwhelming force on other people").

[What did you mean by 'or classify them?"]

When you say "what kinds of people..." that implies that
the "kind of person" they are at one instance will carry to the next. That
we can and will need to predict a person "that they are of a certain kind."

I'm talking about what kind of person _I_ want to be. This has to do mainly
with principles and system concepts, which are slow to be learned and even
slower to be changed.

So after PCT is taken for granted, we will spend a lot less time predicting
the future, and a lot more deciding what we intend to happen.

People are not balls that can be picked up. Prediction will be rampant.
However, armed with a much better understanding of how people operate, our
predictions and interventions for change will be better (not a lot better,
but better).

I'm sure prediction will still happen. But rather than extrapolating, say,
from our current crime rate to the next decade's rate, we will decide that
we intend for the next decade's rate to be much lower, and work continually
toward that end, instead of just observing it to see if we were right.

You seem to have interpreted my agenda as applying only to other people. I
saw each point as being adopted by each person who understands PCT, as a
private goal and understanding. I would like to persuade others to adopt
this sort of view, not to force them them to adopt it.

Best,

Bill P.

[from Jeff Vancouver 980304.0900 EST]

[From Rick Marken (980303.1205)

So I guess you're going to press ahead with the cause-effect
approach to studying control. Wonderful. Thanks.

Something like that, I hope this is my last post on the subject though.

There are two perceptions that I am attempting to control related to my
flurry of activity on this net beginning from the anti-valentine post.
First, I am interested in promoting PCT. I believe it has much to offer in
our understanding of human behavior. I think psychology should adopt it as
the paradigm for the study of humans. Recognizing that psychology is a
science and that communities of people define a science, it is important to
me that we "convert" more and more psychologists to see the merits of PCT.
So the answer to Bill's question about why he should care about what those
how disagree with him think, is because they are the ones that need to be
converted. I am not trying necessarily to get Bill to care, I understand
that his head is sore from banging it against that wall, but I care. That
is a perception I am interested in controlling.

The second perception that I am attempting to control, I think, is that I
am respected. This is much more personal. Although as Rick points out,
nearly everyone is probably trying to control this to some extent, what I
mean by personal is that it you disrespected me on some aspect unrelated to
the first perception I am trying to control, I would be disturbed. I would
act to get the perception that I am respected in line. I also think that I
have a relatively high gain for this ECU.

Despite the personal nature of the respect perception, it also overlaps
greatly with the prompting PCT perception (some inputs are shared). In
particular, I believe (i.e., my input functions are organized such that)
that you are less likely to persuade someone of your viewpoint when you are
calling that person an idiot. Thus, when I see people, and not just
myself, being called an idiot, I figure the promoting of PCT is suffering.
Because it is so common on this list, I do not tell colleagues about the
list for fear they will get angry and lose interest in PCT. (I somewhat
fear this even in the published work even though I promote it. The other
day a colleague came in with Rick's Psych Methods paper saying how angry it
made her.) I have made this point before. I am making it now only so Rick
can get a better insight into the perceptions I am controlling and others
can hear my side of the story.

Anyway, at this level in my hierarchy, the point of my actions is to make
the list friendlier, so that the good ideas that are here can be promoted.

This does bring us to the point of why I and others keep getting called
idiots. The fundamental issue is that some of the methods and meanings of
the findings from "conventional psychology"(CP from now on - and this is
_not_ standing for controlled perception, Rick) are useful. The primary
arguments have focused on the notion of cause-effect and between-subject
designs. I have tried to avoid the between-subjects design aspect in an
attempt to maintain another perception - time on net. My main position
regarding the cause-effect is essentially this: people use the words
differently, but the actually methods imployed by CPers often comes to a
similar point in a line of studies that PCTers come to, but pass beyond.
My main argument to CPers is to pass beyond their usual ending point of
studies. The point is, I believe not lost on CPers. They have been saying
for years they should do more long-term research, but they rarely to it.
Anyway, I do not wish to expand on my arguments of CPers as they are not
the audience I am taking to now.

The point I am making to PCTers gets me the "your an idiot" message.
Again, to help Rick with his test of me, when you say "you are a CPer" I
hear "you are an idiot" simply because you are saying it. It is like a
Texan calling you a New Yorker - it is likely derogatory from the Texan. A
New Yorker calling you a New Yorker could not be a higher compliment.

So why do I get the idiot message? Because I insist that the
'cause-effect' research methodology of CP is one of the steps in the Test.
Why do I think this? Because of posts like the following:

[From Rick Marken (980220.0945)]
My causal influence on Jeff's controlled perceptions requires
compensatory actions on his part (posting replies to me) and this
disturbance resistance process involves a great deal of effort
on Jeff's part.

and

[From Rick Marken (980302.2145)]
Jeff:

So does the response "No I'm not" after some lag from the
comment "You are a paranoid schizophrenic" tell you something
about the perception the focal person is controling?

Yes -- if the disturbance was applied as part of an iterative
Testing procedure. The particular response to that particular
distrubance doesn't tell you about the controlled perception.
What tells you about the controlled perception is the response
(or lack thereof) to many different disturbances.

But Rick goes on to say:

I know that when you are not wearing PCT glasses it _looks like_ ou are
dealing with a cause-effect situation in your experiments; you present a
"stimulus" (d) and then a "response (o) occurs (maybe). It would be
nice (for you) if this were really what was going on but, alas, it is
not.

If it is not cause-effect, then what is it? Rick says, the behavioral
illusion. Below is the explanation of the behavior illusion from Rick's
web site:

From Behavioral Illusion:
In the typical psychology experiment a variable (the independent variable

or IV) is manipulated and its effect on another variable (the dependent
variable or DV) is

measured. The observed relationship between IV and DV is supposed to

reveal something about the nature of the organism under study. But this is
only true if the

organism under study is not a perceptual control system. A perceptual

control system acts to protect controlled perceptions from the effects of
disturbance. An

observer who cannot see or is unaware of the perception under control will

see the disturbance as an IV and the actions that protect the perception
from disturbance

as a DV. The observed relationship between IV and DV appears to

characterize the organism's responsiveness to external events, but this is
an illusion: a

behavioral illusion. The relationship between IV and DV actually

characterizes the responsiveness of the (unobserved) controlled perception
to the effects of the

organism and the disturbance.

and:

A psychologist looking at these results would conclude that something

about you had changed between Experiment 1 and Experiment 2. If you
controlled the

orientation of the line in both experiments, the psychologist would

conclude that you became less responsive to changes in the IV in the second
experiment

compared to the first; if you controlled the shape of the rectangle in

both experiments, the psychologist would conclude that you became more
responsive to changes

in the IV in the second experiment compared to the first.

In fact, you were the same in both experiments. What changed between

Experiments 1 and 2 was not you but your environment. The environmental
connection

between you and the perception you were controlling was different in

Experiments 1 and 2. It looks like your responsiveness to stimulation (the
IV) changes

between Experiment 1 and 2; in fact, it is the environment's

responsiveness to you that changes. This is the behavioral illusion.

Rick fails to understand why Martin and I and others are not persuaded by
this illustration of the behavioral illusion. The answer: he paints
psychologist as idiots.

To the first post of the Behavioral Illusion. The psychologist does not
allow the organisms actions to effect the environment. They stop the
experiment before that can happen. Thus, p does not equal d + o because o
is not allowed to have an effect. Generally this is accomplished by
physically restricting the connection between the system and the CEV. Now
will this give the psychologist a myopic view of the way humans work?
ABSOLUTELY. But will is mean that they are misinterpreting the results of
their experiment? Not necessarily.

In the second paragraph from the behavioral illusion, Rick believes the
psychologist is going to infer something changed in the person between
experiment 1 and 2, when in fact something in the environment changed. It
would be the stupid psychology that changed the environment (or allows the
participant to change the environment), and then infer that the person
changed. I similar problem exists in the example in "The Dancer and the
Dance" article. The difference in the graph resulting from the change in
the elasticity of the rubberband is a scaling issue. Any decent
psychologist should not make that mistake (of course, some psychologists
might always make these mistakes or all psychologists might have made these
mistakes sometime in their careers - they are only human - but they are
recognized as mistakes by CPers).

So we have it that in the course of doing the test, it may be that with
some tests, that a disturbance is applied and a response ("compensatory
actions") is elicited. Again:

[From Rick Marken (980220.0945)]
My causal influence on Jeff's controlled perceptions requires
compensatory actions on his part (posting replies to me) and this
disturbance resistance process involves a great deal of effort
on Jeff's part.

Yet, this is not at all what the CPer is doing. Or so Rick claims.

How can he make that claim? Well, because of the following:

[From Bill Powers (980220.0354 MST)]
The crunch always comes when such people make a statement that fits their
understanding of what I said, but is directly contradictory to the meanings
of PCT. A person will agree that behavior controls perception, and then,
with no apparent sense of contradiction, speak of perceptions "guiding"
behavior. Since they see no contradiction, when I correct them they feel
I'm quibbling over some mysterious word-usage peculiar to PCT. But the real
problem, obviously, is that they really didn't understand what they agreed
to. They didn't really get it.

and:

? (I do not remember source)
The point is that once a function is part of a negative feedback control
loop linear-causative S-R principles no longer apply to understanding the
inputs and outputs, because the output is part of the input.

and:

[From Rick Marken (980302.2145)]
The disturbances
and expected responses are iteratively generated under the
hypothesis that the subject is controlling variable X1. If the
subjects respose (or lack therof) to _one_ of the disturbances
in unexpected, then the hypothesis about the controlled
variable is revised (from X1 to X2), new disturbances and expected
responses are formulated, the disturbances are applied and, again,
the hypothesis about the controlled variable is changed (X 2 to X3)
if there is an unexpected response (or lack thereof). Eventually, you
hone in on a definition of the controlled variable that allows you
to predict the subject's response (or lack thereof) to any
disturbance.

The jist of these arguments if that because the system is really
controlling perceptions, and that is not what CPers are looking for, they
are missing the point. The really crux, as Bill puts it, is that they do
not do the follow-up of the TEST.

My point is this: Some of them may be missing the point, but that does not
mean that the methodology that they used up to that point is flawed, it is
merely incomplete! But we should build on what they are doing, not condemn
all of it as useless.

Still others of them are not missing the point. You all just think they
are because you do not understand the difficulty of doing the other parts
of the test on the types of controlled variables they are studying. Or,
any attempt to do that which is not .98 in effect size is of no use. You
apply an unrealistically high reference condition and a dictonomous output
function ("if error, say 'they do not get it'; if no error, say 'they get
it'").

So let me model the type of interaction I think would be more constructive:

[From Bill Powers (980303.1429 MST)]

Jeff Vancouver 980303.1039 EST--

I find this post riddled with inconsistencies with PCT.

Try a different interpretation, then.

Fair enough.

Circumstances only dictate actions after one has decided what results are
to be accomplished. We try to predict what will happen in the future only
when our actions have no influence on the future. In fact, if our actions
influence the outcome we won't even accept that a true prediction has been
made.

So if we have the reference condition, do circumstances dictate actions?

Yes. If I intend to pick up a soup spoon, the position of the soup spoon
determines where I must move my hand (unless there's more than one soup
spoon).

Why is "circumstances dictate actions" so completely different from
"environments determine actions" or "people respond to circumstances" or
"environments dictate actions"?

You have said time and again we cannot control others. They are automonous
agents.

I never said any such thing. I described some methods for controlling the
actions of other people, and pointed out some difficultes that arise when
you try to do this. I said that the only truly reliable method is the
application of superior physical force to the other person. Where in that
do you come up with a statement that we CANNOT control others? Or even that
we SHOULD not?

THis is a surprise to me. It must be others on here that sing this song.

So how do we control the perceptions that derive from the answers
to the questions you describe in the first paragraph? I do not see how
those perceptions can be controlled without some attempt to change others
or classify them.

We can use persuasion, bargaining, overwhelming physical force, deception,
false promises, and misdirection to mention a few. PCT tells us what we can
expect from using various strategies. There's not a word in PCT that tells
us not to try to change or control others. If you drew such a conclusion,
you must have been adding some premises of your own (like, for example,
"it's not nice to use overwhelming force on other people").

PCT begins to help us to understand the types of effect of these attempts.
Research on the nature of these is also necessary. The kinds of research
CPers are doing is often helpful. I would be glad to be more specific if
this interested you.

[What did you mean by 'or classify them?"]

When you say "what kinds of people..." that implies that
the "kind of person" they are at one instance will carry to the next. That
we can and will need to predict a person "that they are of a certain kind."

I meant the 'kinds of people' I quoted from you.

I'm talking about what kind of person _I_ want to be. This has to do mainly
with principles and system concepts, which are slow to be learned and even
slower to be changed.

If is were only this simple.

I'm sure prediction will still happen. But rather than extrapolating, say,
from our current crime rate to the next decade's rate, we will decide that
we intend for the next decade's rate to be much lower, and work continually
toward that end, instead of just observing it to see if we were right.

There much between setting the reference condition and maintaining the
perception.

You seem to have interpreted my agenda as applying only to other people. I
saw each point as being adopted by each person who understands PCT, as a
private goal and understanding. I would like to persuade others to adopt
this sort of view, not to force them them to adopt it.

No, but other people are likely to be central.

Much later

Jeff

P.S. I am collecting the articles people have asked for. They will be in
the mail shortly.

Sincerely,

Jeff

[From Rick Marken (980304.1200)]

I am in a class today and I have to rush back soon but I was
really intrigued by this post from Jeff:

Jeff Vancouver (980304.0900 EST) --

I think psychology should adopt it as the paradigm for the study
of humans.

How do you get them to understand the paradigm, let alone adopt
it, if you don't show them what it is. How do you teach the control
paradigm using the example (in your research) of the cause -effect
paradigm?

The second perception that I am attempting to control, I think,
is that I am respected

I respect you just fine, Jeff. I just disagree with you.

I believe.. that you are less likely to persuade someone of your
viewpoint when you are calling that person an idiot.

Who has called anyone an idiot? You (and Abbott and Taylor, et al)
are wrong about PCT but you are certainly not idiots. It's much
easier to deal with idiots;-)

(I somewhat fear this even in the published work even though I
promote it. The other day a colleague came in with Rick's Psych
Methods paper saying how angry it made her.) I have made this
point before.

I'm really glad to hear that the paper made someone mad; that tells
me that your colleague probably understood it. What is your point,
Jeff? Should I not have written the paper? Should I not have mentioned
the behavioral illusion? What could I have done that would not have
upset your colleague (other than suggesting more efficient ways to
calculate ANOVAs) ? :wink:

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken Phone or Fax: 310 474-0313
Life Learning Associates e-mail: rmarken@earthlink.net
http://home.earthlink.net/~rmarken

[From Rick Marken (980304.1010)]

Jeff Vancouver's (980304.0900 EST) --

The fundamental issue is that some of the methods and meanings of
the findings from "conventional psychology"...are useful.

I agree that this is the fundamental issue between us.

My main argument to CPers is to pass beyond their usual ending
point of studies.

There's more to it than that. CPers have to develop hypotheses
about the variables their subjects are controlling. What is
missing from CP research is the concept of a _controlled variable_.
Without that concept, an observed IV-DV relationships can, at best,
be just the starting point for PCT research. Such relationships
might suggest variables that subjects _might_ be controlling.
The next step -- the step the CPers _never_ take -- is to
systematically test these hypotheses. The _only_ way that CPers
can do research that is useful to PCT is to "pass beyond"
the usual ending point of their studies (the point at which
these studies tell us nothing) to the point where they _begin_
testing for controlled variables.

The point is, I believe not lost on CPers.

Then why have no CPers "passed beyond" IV-DV research to The
Test for controlled variables?

Again, to help Rick with his test of me, when you say "you are a
CPer" I hear "you are an idiot" simply because you are saying it.

Well, listen up. You are a CPer and you are definitely _not_
an idiot. You are just controlling for perceptions that make it
impossible for you to come all the way over to PCT. The same is
true of Bruce A., Martin and all the other CPers. People are not
CPers because they are stupid; they are CPers because CP is a
perception they want (for whatever reason).

So why do I get the idiot message? Because I insist that the
'cause-effect' research methodology of CP is one of the steps
in the Test.

I think you are perfectly capable of understanding why the
apparent "cause-effect" component of the Test is irrelevant
to the merits of the research methodology of CP (of course, it
is because this "cause-effect" component is conducted in the
context of hypotheses about controlled variables). You just
don't _want_ to understand this because you don't _want_ to
believe that you have to do a different kind of research in
order to understand control systems. This is not idiocy on your
part; it is simply your human nature.

If it is not cause-effect, then what is it?

Control.

Below is the explanation of the behavior illusion from Rick's
web site:

[Jeff quotes my excellent description of the behavioral illusion;-)]

Rick fails to understand why Martin and I and others are not
persuaded by this illustration of the behavioral illusion. The
answer: he paints psychologist as idiots.

CPers don't fall for the behavioral illusion because they are
idiots; they fall for it because (unlike the case in my demo) it
is usually _very difficult to see controlled variables_. The
behavioral illusion is like the "illusion" that the sun moves
around the earth. It took very brilliant people (like Bill Powers),
making the right observations in the context of the right model,
to realize that what we are seeing -- the appearance that
environmental events cause behavior via the organism or the
appearance that the sun goes around the earth -- is an illusion.

To the first post of the Behavioral Illusion. The psychologist
does not allow the organisms actions to effect the environment.

The responses have to have an effect on the controlled perception.
There is no way for the experimenter to keep responses from having
an effect on controlled percpetions -- at least, not without violent
opposition from the subject. I have not heard of such violent
opposition from subjects in most psychology experiments. Where I
taught kids were give credit for participating in such experiments
are rarely complained about it; most seemed to even enjoy it.
They wouldn't have if they were kept from controlling their
perceptions to any significant degree.

In the second paragraph from the behavioral illusion, Rick
believes the psychologist is going to infer something changed
in the person between experiment 1 and 2, when in fact something
in the environment changed. It would be the stupid psychology
that changed the environment (or allows the participant to change
the environment), and then infer that the person changed. I
similar problem exists in the example in "The Dancer and the
Dance" article. The difference in the graph resulting from the
change in the elasticity of the rubberband is a scaling issue.
Any decent psychologist should not make that mistake (of course,
some psychologists might always make these mistakes or all
psychologists might have made these mistakes sometime in their
careers - they are only human - but they are recognized as mistakes
by CPers).

I'm afraid you did not understand the point I was making with the
demo (and not because you are an idiot). The point of showing the
two linear functions was just to illustrate that the function
is a charateristic of the _environmental connection_ between
subject and cv _in both cases_. This is _always_ true of the
relationship between IV and DV in conventional experiments when
the subject is a control system.

In my demos, the cv and the connections to it (in the case of
the rubber bands) are quite visible. That's because it's a _demo_;
I want people to see the relationship between all variables in the
control loop. In real experiments the experimenter _cannot see_
the cvs (the analog of the knot in the rubber band demo or the
square or line angle in the web demo). Nor can the experimenter see
the connection between subject's outputs and cvs. All they see is
the relationship between IV (d) and DV (o). They think they are
seeing the IV having an effect on the DV via the organism. They
think they see this, not becuase they are idiots but because
IT LOOKS THIS WAY! It looks this way to ME TOO!! It looks this
way to EVERYONE! Only one person was smart enough (and courageous
enough) to figure out that this appearance was an illusion.
That person is, of course, William T. Powers.

My point is this: Some of them may be missing the point, but that
does not mean that the methodology that they used up to that point
is flawed, it is merely incomplete! But we should build on what
they are doing, not condemn all of it as useless.

We _are_ proposing building on what they are doing. I think it's
fine to take the results of conventional research as a _starting
point_ for hypotheses about what variables people are controlling.
For example, some of the work in social psych suggests that
at least some people may control for not being perceived as the
"odd ball". Well, it's time to start developing more precise
hypotheses about the variable under control (perhaps it something
like "never disagree with a group of more than 2 people") and
start figuring out way to test these hypotheses. There's no need
to pay any more attention to the research on "conformity" than
what it takes to come up with guesses about controlled perceptions.
Once you've got a hypothesis, there is certainly no need to start
doing "conformity: studies the way they have always been done;
those studies were not aimed at figuring out what the subjects
were controlling. So it's the end of the line for that kind of
study. It's time to "pass on" to Testing for controlled variables.

Still others of them [CPs] are not missing the point. You all
just think they are because you do not understand the difficulty
of doing the other parts of the test on the types of controlled
variables they are studying.

But the parts of the test that they have done tell us nothing
about controlled variables. Again, I know you say the above,
not because you are an idiot, but because you really want to
continue doing research in a familiar way and becuase you really
believe that the best way to convert CPs to PCT is to be friendly
about it. The problem is that PCT and CP are completely incompatible
(look at how your colleague felt about my kind, friendly "Dancer.."
paper). And the centerpiece of their incompatibility is the
_controlled variable_. Controlled variables _don't exist_ for CPs.
Because they don't, CPs are not studying studying anything relevant
to PCT.

I think the best way for us to deal with this little problem between
us is to ignore it. If I want PCT research done then I'm just
going to have to figure out ways to do it. I certainly can't
make you stop wasting you time on conventional research and
make you start doing the kind of research I think should be done.
I'll just try to think of some research that deals with the kinds
of "fuzzy" variables that interest you and see if you or anyone
else (I presume that won't be your colleague) wants to run with it.

Best

Rick

···

--

Richard S. Marken Phone or Fax: 310 474-0313
Life Learning Associates e-mail: rmarken@earthlink.net
http://home.earthlink.net/~rmarken/

[From Bill Powers (980305.0816 MST)]

Rick Marken (980304.1010)--
Jeff Vancouver's (980304.0900 EST) --

Jeff:>> My main argument to CPers is to pass beyond their usual ending

point of studies.

Rick:>There's more to it than that. CPers have to develop hypotheses

about the variables their subjects are controlling.

I think that Avery Andrews (980305) put his finger on the most fundamental
problem here, which is neither of the above:

It strikes me that one of the characteristics of established scientific
disciplines is that (a) nobody ever talks about the really fundamental
principles (b) relatively few people understand them.

I wish that Jeff Vancouver would address this point. What, in fact, are the
basic principles of behavioral organization under which other psychologists
operate, Jeff? On the PCT side, we have the basic principle that behavior
is the visible part of a process by which organisms control their own
experiences of the perceived world. What corresponding basic principle do
other psychologists use when they don't use PCT? What do _they_ say
behavior is?

Best,

Bill P.

[From Bill Powers (980305.1304 MST)]

Jeff Vancouver 980304.0900 EST--

To the first post of the Behavioral Illusion. The psychologist does not
allow the organisms actions to effect the environment. They stop the
experiment before that can happen. Thus, p does not equal d + o because o
is not allowed to have an effect.

It may be that the problem here is not grasping what the Behavioral
Illusion is. I don't blame you for that; it's not obvious.

Take one of the simplest examples of a stimulus and a response, an
"unconditional reflex." If I blow a puff of air on your eyeball, you are
highly likely to blink, and would have trouble _not_ blinking. So it seems
that there can't be any illusion involved; the stimulus and the response
are perfectly clear. The puff of air stimulates sensory endings that seem
to be hooked up directly to the muscles that operate the eyelids. And there
can't be any feedback, because the blink can't affect the puff of air.

Nevertheless, we can ask if the Behavioral Illusion might be involved. What
would we look for? Some variable that is affected in one direction by the
puff of air, and in the opposite direction by the action of blinking. If we
could find such a variable, we could view it as being controlled by the
organism, so the action of blinking is produced to counteract some physical
effect of the puff of air. Once we had identified the controlled variable,
we could then predict that _anything_ that affected that variable would be
met by an opposing effect from the eyelids. For example, we might be able
to predict that a steady stream of air blowing on the eyes would result in
a narrowing of the eyelids and an increase in the blink rate, or that
touching a bit of dry tissue-paper to the eyeball (hint) would also result
in a blink or a series of blinks.

Can you make a guess as to what that controlled variable might be?

Or consider the knee-jerk reflex. A hammer applied to the tendon below (or
is it above?) the knee-cap results in the lower leg kicking upward. This
looks like a perfectly straightfoward response to a stimulus, but it could
also be an example of the Behavioral Illusion. What variable might be
affected one way by the hammer-tap, and the other way by the contraction of
the muscle that causes the kick of the leg?

Here's an easier one. If I push on your chest, you are likely to move one
foot backward by perhaps ten inches. It looks as if the push against the
skin of your chest is a stimulus that causes your muscles to respond by
moving one leg backward. But can you think of some variable that is
affected in one direction by the push and in the opposite direction by
moving the leg? And having identified that variable, could you predict the
response to a similar push in _any_ direction?

Here's another one at a different level. Rick says to you, "Only an idiot
could believe what you believe." You reply "Don't insult me, Rick." It
looks as though Rick's statement is a stimulus, and your reaction is a
response to it. But can you think of some variable that might be affected
in one direction by Rick's statement, and in the opposite direction by your
reply?

If you can solve these little problems, then you might start to see that
the Behavioral Illusion, or at least the potential for it, is more common
than you might have thought.

···

---------------------------------------------------------

My point is this: Some of them may be missing the point, but that does not
mean that the methodology that they used up to that point is flawed, it is
merely incomplete! But we should build on what they are doing, not condemn
all of it as useless.

Still others of them are not missing the point. You all just think they
are because you do not understand the difficulty of doing the other parts
of the test on the types of controlled variables they are studying. Or,
any attempt to do that which is not .98 in effect size is of no use. You
apply an unrealistically high reference condition and a dictonomous output
function ("if error, say 'they do not get it'; if no error, say 'they get
it'").

It's almost dichotomous. If you get it, you can make individual predictions
with a perhaps one chance in 100,000 of being wrong. If you don't get it,
your chances of being wrong will tend to be more like one in three or so.
It's really up to you to decide whether the added probability of predicting
correctly is worth the trouble.
--------------------------------------------------------

So if we have the reference condition, do circumstances dictate actions?

Yes. If I intend to pick up a soup spoon, the position of the soup spoon
determines where I must move my hand (unless there's more than one soup
spoon).

Why is "circumstances dictate actions" so completely different from
"environments determine actions" or "people respond to circumstances" or
"environments dictate actions"?

What you're missing here is that when circumstances dictate or determine
actions, they do so in an entirely trivial way. It makes sense that if you
intend to pick up a soup spoon, your hand is going to have to move to the
position of the spoon. So in that trivial sense, the position of the spoon
determines or dictates where your hand will move. However, this is not to
say that if there is a soup spoon present, your hand will be caused to move
to that position. That is determined by whether or not you intend to pick
up the spoon. If you don't intend to pick it up, the spoon will have no
real or apparent effect on your hand position at all.

So this is yet another example of the Behavioral Illusion. If you do intend
to pick up the spoon, I can move the spoon around and show that this
results in your moving your hand to corresponding positions. So it looks as
though the spoon's position is a stimulus and the movement of your hand is
a response to it. But in terms of PCT, we know that what _really_ needs
explaining is the way you can move your hand to the position of the spoon
_wherever it is_, and why, if you cease to want to pick up the spoon, the
apparent effect of spoon on hand instantly disappears.

Just remember that psychologists have been looking for responses to stimuli
for 100 years or so. If PCT were only a matter of extending this search
just a little bit, wouldn't that extension have been discovered about
500,000 psychologist-years ago?

Best,

Bill P.

[from Jeff Vancouver 980304.1255 EST]

Forgive me all those bored with this thread. I too am trying to extricate
myself from it. But Bill's is a good question and it is impolite not to
reply.

[From Bill Powers (980305.0816 MST)]

Rick Marken (980304.1010)--
Jeff Vancouver's (980304.0900 EST) --

Jeff:>> My main argument to CPers is to pass beyond their usual ending

point of studies.

Rick:>There's more to it than that. CPers have to develop hypotheses

about the variables their subjects are controlling.

I think that Avery Andrews (980305) put his finger on the most fundamental
problem here, which is neither of the above:

It strikes me that one of the characteristics of established scientific
disciplines is that (a) nobody ever talks about the really fundamental
principles (b) relatively few people understand them.

I wish that Jeff Vancouver would address this point. What, in fact, are the
basic principles of behavioral organization under which other psychologists
operate, Jeff? On the PCT side, we have the basic principle that behavior
is the visible part of a process by which organisms control their own
experiences of the perceived world. What corresponding basic principle do
other psychologists use when they don't use PCT? What do _they_ say
behavior is?

I think Avery's first point is a good one, with clarification. Some do
talk about the fundamentals, but they have not achieved any shared
understanding. To simplify somewhat, one could classify psychologists into
the following categories regarding the fundamentals:

1. Those that believe they know the fundamentals. That would include many
on this net as well as some other groups that have a different set of
fundamentals. Thus, what is believed may be very different among these
groups.

2. Those that believe they have a handle on the fundamentals, but
understand that all the data are not in. Again, these may be very
different camps. Also, individuals may very in terms of how much the
believe the fundamentals. I put myself into this group, where I hold PCT
as fundamental, but HPCT as more tentative. Not surprisingly, those in
group #1 do not believe those in group #2 are true believers, and therefore
are heretics who must hold to someone else's fundamentals.

3. Those who observe the previous two sets and say that we are not near
knowing the fundamentals because we are not near agreeing on them. They
might believe that the only reasonable question now is which fundamental
applies where. In this sense, many in this group look like members of the
next group.

4. Those who observe the first two sets and say that we never will know
the fundamentals because ... (depending on the answer determines what
subset you are here.)

5. Those who have a "working" idea of the fundamentals, but avoid that
level of understanding because of what all the previous sets are saying.
For many of these, hedonistic or behaviorist notions are the "working" idea.

Of these groups, #3 is probably the most common for basic researchers. For
applied researchers, # 5 is most common (understand that I have not sampled
a representative set of psychologists - this is pure intuition from
interactions and reading). Therefore, the answer to Bill's question is
that most psychologists are agnostics. They believe that we do not know
the basic principles. Given the belief that the fundamentals are not
known, the second point, that they are not understood, is somewhat mute.

One of my main arguments to the conventional psychologists is that we ought
not settle for #3 or #5 (and the #4 is wrong). That we ought to be
proactively seeking the fundamentals. There are several of us who make
this pitch and we usually are people in groups #1 and #2 (that is, we have
an idea about what those fundamentals will ultimately look like, but we
don't necessarily have the same idea).

One of my main arguments to you all is that one should not be surprised
that those in group #3 are questioning your stuff (or more importantly the
breadth of what your stuff applies to). They see the diversity and treat
you as just another contender. Then they go back to looking at their own
narrow subject of study. I see one of my main goals as trying to explain
to them why your theory is relevant to helping them understand their stuff.
I tend to get no help here in doing that. Oh well.

Most of my closest colleagues in terms of area of expertise (I/O
psychology) fall into the 5th group. On the one hand, I find their
position appalling. But I understand their need to try to make some
progress in helping others, while waiting for the basic psychologists to
work out the fundamentals. I often sell myself as if I am like them in
that I am only using PCT as a helpful theory (a heuristic). My lastest
article ruins that possibility for me, though.

Anyway, one of my main lines of attack is that the differing groups are not
as different as they think. Owing to a lot of fuzzy thinking, semantic
misunderstandings, and some mistaken conceptions, the appearance of
difference is greater then the difference. You, Bill, have accused me of
looking with a fuzzy lens. I have still not developed a response to that.
Perhaps it is true.

Back to research now?

Jeff

Sincerely,

Jeff

[from Jeff Vancouver 980304.1620 EST]

Now it is a challenge I cannot pass up. Bill, you have me pegged.

[From Bill Powers (980305.1304 MST)]
Take one of the simplest examples of a stimulus and a response, an
"unconditional reflex."

Can you make a guess as to what that controlled variable might be?

Liquid on the eye. But I do not know how it could sense that, so I would
need to know more about eye physiology to make a really good guess.

Or consider the knee-jerk reflex. A hammer applied to the tendon below (or
is it above?) the knee-cap results in the lower leg kicking upward. This
looks like a perfectly straightfoward response to a stimulus, but it could
also be an example of the Behavioral Illusion. What variable might be
affected one way by the hammer-tap, and the other way by the contraction of
the muscle that causes the kick of the leg?

You got me here. I would think that the hammer-tap may be causing a nerve
to fire that normally represents something else. Thus, to understand what
the contraction is controlling one would need to understand what the nerve
is normally for. But my guess is that you would not give this example, if
such was the case.

Here's an easier one. If I push on your chest, you are likely to move one
foot backward by perhaps ten inches. It looks as if the push against the
skin of your chest is a stimulus that causes your muscles to respond by
moving one leg backward. But can you think of some variable that is
affected in one direction by the push and in the opposite direction by
moving the leg? And having identified that variable, could you predict the
response to a similar push in _any_ direction?

Balance, that is easy. It seems that even a behaviorist would have to
acknowledge that one.

Here's another one at a different level. Rick says to you, "Only an idiot
could believe what you believe." You reply "Don't insult me, Rick." It
looks as though Rick's statement is a stimulus, and your reaction is a
response to it. But can you think of some variable that might be affected
in one direction by Rick's statement, and in the opposite direction by your
reply?

The kinds of statements Rick makes to me.

If you can solve these little problems, then you might start to see that
the Behavioral Illusion, or at least the potential for it, is more common
than you might have thought.

I am afraid I still do not get this point. The social psychologist is
interested in what "causes" violent behavior. She hypothesizes that
insults do it _because_ they make the person feel bad about themselves and
that violence makes them feel good again (or stops the insults). She then
wonders what makes people feel insulted. Manipulates that thing in a
study, and observes behavior. What she is interested in, more than
anything else, is determining what cues create the perception of insult.
Her "theory" hypothesizes a control system, but she does not do all the
research required to fully test her "theory" (the nature of the perception
being controlled). She stops when she finds some cues (inputs). That's
her fault, but she is not theorizing behaviorism.

Why is "circumstances dictate actions" so completely different from
"environments determine actions" or "people respond to circumstances" or
"environments dictate actions"?

What you're missing here is that when circumstances dictate or determine
actions, they do so in an entirely trivial way. It makes sense that if you
intend to pick up a soup spoon, your hand is going to have to move to the
position of the spoon. So in that trivial sense, the position of the spoon
determines or dictates where your hand will move. However, this is not to
say that if there is a soup spoon present, your hand will be caused to move
to that position. That is determined by whether or not you intend to pick
up the spoon. If you don't intend to pick it up, the spoon will have no
real or apparent effect on your hand position at all.

But if you are always (in parallel) controlling for perceptions of respect
(or avoiding disrespect), then the psychologist learning that
advertisements of white men playing sports is often insulting to African
American men, that is not trivial. It says get those posters out of South
Central LA.

Just remember that psychologists have been looking for responses to stimuli
for 100 years or so. If PCT were only a matter of extending this search
just a little bit, wouldn't that extension have been discovered about
500,000 psychologist-years ago?

Most basic psychologists have stopped looking for responses to stimuli.
The behavioral illusion might be that you infer that that is what they are
doing from their behavior. Rick is convinced that is what I am
controlling. I have not believed in stimulus-response since before high
school. Think about that for awhile.

Jeff

Sincerely,

Jeff

[From Bruce Gregory (980305.2002 EST)]

Jeff Vancouver 980304.1620 EST

Most basic psychologists have stopped looking for responses to stimuli.
The behavioral illusion might be that you infer that that is what they are
doing from their behavior. Rick is convinced that is what I am
controlling. I have not believed in stimulus-response since before high
school. Think about that for awhile.

This indeed may be so. But I ask you to think about something for a while. The
vast majority of Americans do not believe they are sexists or racists. When
they look inside their heads, they do not find "sexist thoughts" or "racist
thoughts." But their perceptual worlds are such that they do not even think of
women when they considering candidates for certain jobs, and they cross the
street to avoid encountering members of some races after 11 p.m. This suggests
to me at least, that what we believe and the worlds in which we dwell can be
very different.

Bruce

[From Rick Marken (980305.2020)]

I was going to expand on the following points I made in a post
to Jeff Vancouver yesterday:

Rick Marken (980304.1010) --

CPers don't fall for the behavioral illusion because they are
idiots; they fall for it because (unlike the case in my demo) it
is usually _very difficult to see controlled variables_.

In my demos, the cv and the connections to it (in the case of
the rubber bands) are quite visible...In real experiments the
experimenter _cannot see_ the cvs

But I had this damn class so I didn't have a chance. Then, low
and behold, I find that Bill Powers did it for me:

Bill Powers (980305.1304 MST) --

It may be that the problem here is not grasping what the Behavioral
Illusion is. I don't blame you for that; it's not obvious.

Take one of the simplest examples of a stimulus and a response, an
"unconditional reflex."...Can you make a guess as to what that
controlled variable might be?...Here's another one at a different
level. Rick says to you, "Only an idiot could believe what you
believe." You reply "Don't insult me, Rick."...can you think of
some variable that might be affected in one direction by Rick's
statement, and in the opposite direction by your reply?

If you can solve these little problems, then you might start to see
that the Behavioral Illusion, or at least the potential for it, is
more common than you might have thought.

The point, of course, is that controlled variables are _not_ easy
to see, whether they are "simple" variables (like the sensed stretch
of the patellar tendon) or complex (like the perception of being
treated with respect).

I will only comment briefly on Jeff's answers to Bill's questions
(just to submit my own understanding of PCT to Bill's scrutiny).
But before I do, I would like to make a plea to Jeff and everyone
else who is certain that he or she understands PCT but continually
finds him or herself in arguments with Bill about some "small"
issue related to PCT. My plea is to try to stop defending against
PCT and try to _learn_ it. Posts like [Bill Powers (980305.1304 MST)]
and Bill's almost certain forthcoming reply to [Jeff Vancouver
(980304.1620 EST)] should be like manna from heaven for those who
really want to learn PCT.

I remember spending the last few years of the 1970s (my addiction
to PCT began in about 1976) looking for every paper I could find
by W. T. Powers. I remember the ecstasy I experienced when I
found Bill's 1978 Psych Review paper (by accident, while thumbing
through the latest issues of that journal) and the 1979 Byte series
(also by accident; I was just getting into personal computing).
But I knew I needed more and more. So I finally wrote to Bill and
went to visit him (luckily I was in Minnesota while he was still
in Chicago, an easy 8 hour commute). I finally learned PCT from
my many wonderful conversations with Bill.

Now (since 1991) we have the net and people who want to learn
PCT can converse with Bill any time they want. If I had had the
opportunity to do this in the late 1970s I could have learned PCT
in two years instead of the six or so it took me. So my plea to
all those who want to learn PCT is to realize what you've got here
and take advantage of it. If I had been able to get posts like
[Bill Powers (980305.1304 MST)] in 1976 I would have been in heaven;
I would have been able to learn about the most important (and,
for most people, the most difficult) concept in PCT years before
I finally understood it; the concept of the controlled variable.

Now, some comments on Jeff Vancouver's (980304.1620 EST) replies
to Bill's questions. Jeff said:

I would think that the hammer-tap may be causing a nerve to fire
that normally represents something else.

No. It's stretching the tendon, causing the perception of stretch
(the controlled perception) to deviate from the reference; the
"kick" is a side effect of the muscle output aimed at bringing
perceived stretch back to the reference.

Bill --

It looks as though Rick's statement is a stimulus, and your
reaction is a response to it. But can you think of some variable
that might be affected in one direction by Rick's statement, and
in the opposite direction by your reply?

Jeff --

The kinds of statements Rick makes to me.

No. Remember, the controlled perception is affected _oppositely_ by
my statement _and_ your reply. So my statement can't be the controlled
perception. In fact, it's a _disturbance_ to a controlled perception.
The controlled perception is probably something like "being
respected". That perception is pushed one way by my statement and
the other way by yours.

I am afraid I still do not get this point.

That's because you don't quite understand what a controlled
variable is yet. Your answers to Bill's questions and your
description of the research done by the social psychologist
proves this. I _know_ that you will be able to understand what
a controlled variable is as soon as you _let yourself_ understand
it.

Most basic psychologists have stopped looking for responses to
stimuli.

So you say. I don't agree with this because they are still looking
for relationships between environmental variables (IVs, stimuli)
and response variables (DVs, responses). But they are _definitely_
not looking for controlled variables. You will be able to see that
this is true only when you have learned what a controlled variable
_is_.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken Phone or Fax: 310 474-0313
Life Learning Associates e-mail: rmarken@earthlink.net
http://home.earthlink.net/~rmarken/