While the Cat's Away....

[From Bruce Gregory (990724.0924 EDT)]

Since Rick is off line at the moment, I'm taking this brief window of
opportunity to revisit the state trooper and the motorist. All of you who
are not interested in this topic can now hit the erase key. For anyone who
might be left, I'll remind you that the state trooper is sitting over the
hill with his radar gun. He is controlling his perception: (1) no one is
exceeding 80 mph, or (2) he, the trooper, is pursuing the speeder. (Note to
Marc: this reference level and program are stored in memory.)

Meanwhile, I am driving along at 70 mph. Am I intimidated by the state
trooper? It depends. If a higher level control system is guarding the
perception that I am doing nothing to get me in trouble with the state
police, and set the reference speed to protect that perception, the answer
is yes. If a higher level reference system set this reference speed because
it is a comfortable speed that minimizes the need to overtake other traffic,
the answer is no.

Bruce Gregory

from [ Marc Abrams (990724.1101) ]

[From Bruce Gregory (990724.0924 EDT)]

Since Rick is off line at the moment, I'm taking this brief window of
opportunity to revisit the state trooper and the motorist.

You really don't think he's going to let this pass do you :-). It might be a
week but he'll have his say. :slight_smile:

All of you who
are not interested in this topic can now hit the erase key. For anyone who
might be left, I'll remind you that the state trooper is sitting over the
hill with his radar gun. He is controlling his perception: (1) no one is
exceeding 80 mph, or (2) he, the trooper, is pursuing the speeder. (Note

to

Marc: this reference level and program are stored in memory.)

You are mentioning _one_ potential CV. What else is he controlling for at
the time? Is he hungry?, does he need to go to the bathroom?. Did he have a
big fight with his wife this morning? Is he wondering how to spend that
overtime pay?, Does he have a ticket "quota" to fufill?. Etc., etc.

It's not what is stored in memory ( everything _in principle_ goes into
memory ) It is how the stored material is utilized that makes all the
difference. References that are set from memory will have dramatically
different effects if the imagination mode is being utilized in the
"relationship level" versus the "event Level". or "sequence level".

Meanwhile, I am driving along at 70 mph. Am I intimidated by the state
trooper? It depends. If a higher level control system is guarding the
perception that I am doing nothing to get me in trouble with the state
police, and set the reference speed to protect that perception, the answer
is yes. If a higher level reference system set this reference speed

because

it is a comfortable speed that minimizes the need to overtake other

traffic,

the answer is no.

And what determines the state of the "higher level" reference? Why couldn't
you have references for _both_ "not getting into trouble" and "minimizing
your need to overtake other traffic". _at the same time_.
Like the trooper, you are assuming that you are controlling for _one_
variable. If you are "intimidated" by the trooper it's because of a
reference you have that was set by memory/imagination. That could very well
be another high level reference you have, at the same time. You don't know
that a trooper is in fact over the next hill, If you do, you can't be sure
he was/is paying attention to you, rather then doing any number of other
things ( i.e. tlaking on the radio, looking at a unique auto pass by,
etc/ ). How information flows through the hierarchy is important. Where it
comes from is equally important. In order to get a realistic grip on your
example we need to have a better handle on these two questions.

Marc

[From Bruce Gregory (990724.1227 EDT)]

Marc Abrams (990724.1101)

You are mentioning _one_ potential CV. What else is he controlling for at
the time? Is he hungry?, does he need to go to the bathroom?. Did
he have a
big fight with his wife this morning? Is he wondering how to spend that
overtime pay?, Does he have a ticket "quota" to fulfil?. Etc., etc.

I'm not interested in what else be is controlling for _unless_ it is
necessary to explain what is happening as far as this particular interaction
is concerned. If I drive by at 90 mph and he ignores me, then I must
consider what other perceptions he might have been controlling that
distracted him from his "duty".

It's not what is stored in memory ( everything _in principle_ goes into
memory ) It is how the stored material is utilized that makes all the
difference. References that are set from memory will have dramatically
different effects if the imagination mode is being utilized in the
"relationship level" versus the "event Level". or "sequence level".

All that may be perfectly true, but how does it effect my analysis? What is
wrong with my analysis that would be rectified by considering these issues?

And what determines the state of the "higher level" reference?
Why couldn't
you have references for _both_ "not getting into trouble" and "minimizing
your need to overtake other traffic". _at the same time_.

I could indeed. One way to test this would be to drive on the road at a time
when there was very little traffic and see how I behave.

Like the trooper, you are assuming that you are controlling for _one_
variable.

No, I am assuming the simplest possible model that explains the data. That's
what we usually do in science.

If you are "intimidated" by the trooper it's because of a
reference you have that was set by memory/imagination. That could
very well
be another high level reference you have, at the same time. You
don't know
that a trooper is in fact over the next hill, If you do, you can't be sure
he was/is paying attention to you, rather then doing any number of other
things ( i.e. talking on the radio, looking at a unique auto pass by,
etc/ ). How information flows through the hierarchy is important. Where it
comes from is equally important. In order to get a realistic grip on your
example we need to have a better handle on these two questions.

I disagree. Only if the simplest model _fails_ to explain the data, do we
need to worry about complications. There is insufficient data to either
warrant or to make possible the kind of model you are proposing to build.
You are quite correct that my model ignores many things that may be
occurring, but that is its strength, not its weakness. A powerful model
explains what you are seeking to understand _without_ needless
complications. Think of all the things that Galileo _might_ have worried
about with regard to the two cannon balls dropped from the leaning tower. He
ignored these possibilities and settled on the simplest possible
interpretation, even arguing that the experiment would be totally convincing
if it could be conducted in a vacuum. It is not difficult to imagine
complications. Resist the temptation! Now go, and sin no more, my son.

Bruce Gregory

[From Bruce Gregory (990724.1624 EDT)]

It occurred to me that you, Marc, might find it interesting to look at the
opening of _How to Write a Damn Good Novel_ by James Frey. Frey
distinguishes between _homo sapiens_ and _homo fictus_. You are interested
in describing _homo sapiens_. A PCT model describes _homo fictus_. As Frey
says, "_homo fictus_ is simpler, just as life in a story is simpler than it
is in the real world."

Bruce Gregory

from [ Marc Abrams (990724.1228) ]

[From Bruce Gregory (990724.1227 EDT)]

I'm not interested in what else be is controlling for _unless_ it is
necessary to explain what is happening as far as this particular

interaction

is concerned.

I believe it is.

If I drive by at 90 mph and he ignores me, then I must
consider what other perceptions he might have been controlling that
distracted him from his "duty".

How do you know he is "ignoring" you. What does that mean?

> It's not what is stored in memory ( everything _in principle_ goes into
> memory ) It is how the stored material is utilized that makes all the
> difference. References that are set from memory will have dramatically
> different effects if the imagination mode is being utilized in the
> "relationship level" versus the "event Level". or "sequence level".

All that may be perfectly true, but how does it effect my analysis? What

is

wrong with my analysis that would be rectified by considering these

issues?

Because your analysis has no justification unless you can do the test. Since
you can't. It's simply your interpretation versus someone else's. That's
science? Where is your model of this "simple" analysis.

I could indeed. One way to test this would be to drive on the road at a

time

when there was very little traffic and see how I behave.

Maybe, but you still have no idea what the trooper might be controlling for
and you would have a _very_ difficult time driving and focusing your
attention on introspection. Again, this is science?

No, I am assuming the simplest possible model that explains the data.

That's

what we usually do in science.

Sorry, I disagree. First of all you have no model. You have a verbal
description that _might_ describe a single CV at a single level. What
"data" are you explaining? What happens at one level is affected by what
happens both below it ( perceptions ) and above it ( setting the
reference ). _How_ those perceptions and reference levels come to be, at
_each_ level is fundamental and important..

Specifically, what's the point of your example? If you are trying to
describe how or why a driver or trooper might be controlling for a specific
variable ( speed, possibly ) then you don't have enough "data". Nor do you
have a model to test your assumptions with. Sorry Bruce, this isn't
science.

I disagree. Only if the simplest model _fails_ to explain the data,

Again, you have no data, you have no model, you have no explanation.

do we
need to worry about complications. There is insufficient data to either
warrant or to make possible the kind of model you are proposing to build.

Your right about the data. But I _can_ build a model and I can use the same
"data" you use to do _Your_ science. I can make certain assumptions about
the data. Except in my case I'll be able to test the validity of it with the
model. _If_ I can't build a model, then it falls into the same bucket as
your descriptions. _Pure Speculation_. Nothing wrong with that, but it is
what it is.

You are quite correct that my model ignores many things that may be
occurring, but that is its strength, not its weakness.

You don't have a model Bruce. You have a _very_ generalized description of
something that _might_ take place. It doesn't _explain_ anything. It's not
that it ignores many things that are happening. It ignores the things you
_need_ to "explain" what you want to explain.

A powerful model explains what you are seeking to understand _without_

needless

complications.

Agreed.

Think of all the things that Galileo _might_ have worried
about with regard to the two cannon balls dropped from the leaning tower.

He

ignored these possibilities and settled on the simplest possible
interpretation, even arguing that the experiment would be totally

convincing

if it could be conducted in a vacuum. It is not difficult to imagine
complications. Resist the temptation! Now go, and sin no more, my son.

I appreciate the advice Bruce. But I am a glutton for punishment :slight_smile:

Marc

from [Marc Abrams (990724.1625)]

[From Bruce Gregory (990724.1624 EDT)]

It occurred to me that you, Marc, might find it interesting to look at the
opening of _How to Write a Damn Good Novel_ by James Frey. Frey
distinguishes between _homo sapiens_ and _homo fictus_. You are interested
in describing _homo sapiens_. A PCT model describes _homo fictus_. As Frey
says, "_homo fictus_ is simpler, just as life in a story is simpler than

it

is in the real world."

Bruce, I _heartily_ endorse and agree with "simpler is better". But only
when "simplest" can _explain_ the phenomenon. So I would say the model
should be the simplest possible to explain the phenomenon

I believe that PCT not only is the proper _foundation_ for Psych, but it is
the proper foundation for _all_ life sciences. That doesn't mean that PCT
can currently _explain_ them all. Lots and Lots of research is needed
everywhere. Including Psych. I am beginning to understand and appreciate the
intensity of Isaac with regard to "doing science". I am interested in trying
to see what might be plausible, which might be one or two steps from doing
science, But without this I am afraid that "scientific" inquiry into this
may not be possible. I'd like to think that the modeling effort will help in
two areas. One is to see if Bill's memory proposals are plausible. If so,
what kinds of data might be useful in _validating_ the model. Once we have a
working model and an ability to collect data, we can then do "science". We
might ( probably will ) be limited in the kinds of data we can get
directly, but that is also the existing case with the current PCT model.

Marc

[From Bruce Gregory (990725.0631 EDT)]

Marc Abrams (990724.1228)

Specifically, what's the point of your example? If you are trying to
describe how or why a driver or trooper might be controlling for
a specific
variable ( speed, possibly ) then you don't have enough "data". Nor do you
have a model to test your assumptions with. Sorry Bruce, this isn't
science.

You're right. I'll wait for the data.

Bruce Gregory