[From Rick Marken (2002.07.01.0900)]
First, I would like to encourage all PCT enthusiasts who can possibly
attend the CSG conference to do so. The conference is a definite go and
it will be held from July 24 - 28 at Aqueduct Center in Chapel Hill, NC.
Next, I would like to see if we can start a discussion of modeling, both
for now and during the conference. This interest is motivated by an
article that Chuck Tucker recently sent me. The article, by Lissack and
Richardson (who, I presume, are sociologists), is called _When Modeling
Social Systems, Models <> The Modeled_ . It is a "reaction" to a book by
Wolfram called _A New Kind of Science_. Apparently Wolfram thinks that
you can learn all about living systems by just looking at how models
behave. Lissack and Richardson worry that this may stop the funding of
observational research. I've ordered Wolfram's book so I don't know what
point he is really trying to make. But Lissack and Richardson don't
seem to get what modeling is about (and if their description of
Wolfram's book is accurate, Wolfram doesn't see to get it either), at
least not from my point of view. They think modeling is, at best, to
help conceptualize underlying processes. This is partially true. But I
see models as an attempt to represent the structural and functional
characteristics of a system that are responsible for the behavior we
observe. Models are a guess at the nature of the "reality" responsible
for what we perceive. They are an essential component of the scientific
process.
The Lissack/Richardson article as well as some other off-line
discussions have suggested to me that the PCT approach to modeling --
which I think is equivalent to the approach to modeling in the
"physical" sciences" -- is not really part of mainstream
behavioral/social science thinking. I think this may be one of the main
reasons for the lack of acceptance of PCT. I realized that most of the
lack of acceptance of PCT takes the form of _acceptance_ of PCT. Many
social scientists agree with PCT as it is verbally described: they
reject cause-effect thinking, they agree that behavior occurs in a
closed loop, they think that perception is a central component of
behavior, etc. This is why we so often hear that PCT is nothing new, or
"nothing but..". So PCT has really suffered, I think, not from rejection
but from _acceptance_. What's accepted is verbal descriptions of PCT,
which can be made to mean what the listener wants to hear.
This, I think, is why modeling is essential. People who do modeling and
understand what modeling is about are not likely to think that PCT is
"nothing but..." something else -- because they can see that the PCT
model doesn't function like that something else. Unfortunately, PCT is
often "up against" other verbal theories rather than other models. This
makes things even more difficult.
So maybe the way to get PCT across is to explain what modeling is
_about_ from the PCT perspective rather than describe what the PCT model
_is_. I think that most of the theories we rail against --
cause-effect, caused output, reinforcement, manual control, etc -- can
be rejected, not as being incorrect theories but as being _non-models_
in the scientific sense.
Best regards
Rick
···
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Richard S. Marken, Ph.D.
The RAND Corporation
PO Box 2138
1700 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138
Tel: 310-393-0411 x7971
Fax: 310-451-7018
E-mail: rmarken@rand.org