[From Rick Marken (951206.1815)]
Rick Marken's proposal is a good idea, and I think it should pursued.
Cool. Did it seem like I described a reasonable operant conditioning
experiment?
I think pitting PCT and reinforcement is the wrong way to go.
Why? I really don't understand this.
Rick says he wants to "keep things clean and simple." I just tried to show
that the reinforcement response to a PCT "disturbance" experiment would
likely also be "why can't they keep it simple?"
But you (and Abbott and Cherpas) are supposed to know what the reinforcement
"response" will be. That's the idea. With your help (and that of the other
ex-reinforcement theorists) we can design a study that will pit reinforcement
against control theory; and it will do so in a way that reinforcement
theorists will agree is a fair test of both theories. This really shouldn't
be hard. Just a simple operant conditioning experiment -- like the one's
Skinner did when he first "discovered" reinforcement.
Chris Cherpas has already suggested CONC VIVI, which is simple from an EAB
standpoint (since a lot of complications appear to 'cancel out' in the
relative measure), but has been previously characterized as excessively
complex by Bill Powers on several occasions.
I don't care how complicated the experiment is; I just want to be sure that
any complications are really necessary in order to appropriately test the
models. Complications are NOT necessary to test the control model; I can't
understand why they would be necessary in order to test the reinforcement
model. But I can be convinced that such complications are necessary; you can
convince me by illustrating their necessity using the reinforcement model. No
hand waving: the working reinforcement model!
You and Cherpas make reinforcement theorists sound like the OJ defense
team -- more interested in obfuscation and evasion than in understanding
what's actually going on in operant situations. This really should be easy.
Bruce Abbott says that reinforcement theory and control theory explain
operant behavior -- but control theory does it better. Well, can't we TEST
that, can't we? Or should I call the pope and ask for an ex cathedra on it;-)
Surely reinforcement theory is up to handling the operant behavior taught
first in every introductory psych text -- reinforced bar-pressing. Isn't
it??
Instead of trying to bring PCT and reinforcement head to head, why not just
show good PCT in a context that reinforcement devotees would find
interesting?
I haven't a clue what they would find interesting. I thought a demonstration
that there is no such thing as reinforcement might capture their interest -
- but nooo. Aren't reinforcement theorists interested in whether or not they
have the right theory of behavior? Geez, even the Catholic Church cared about
whether or not it had the right theory of the universe; at least they cared
enough to imprison Galileo (in a villa, true; but at least they were showing
some INTEREST. Can't we expect the same from those big, smart reinforcement
theorists;-))
I recall that there were some studies using a computer display and mouse
published in JEAB a few years ago...They could form a basis for the proposed
experiments; building on a procedure already published in the journal of
record.
YES!! This would be VERY valuable. Please try to find it!
Martin Taylor (951206 17:40) --
I would have thought that you would want the new operant data to be useable
in testing models. To do that, you have to have some idea of the structure
of plausible models, don't you?
Absolutely. But we already know what the control model of operant behavior
is. What we don't know is the reinforcement model -- the _working_
reinforcement model; not crap like Killeen's "systems analysis". That's why
we need the reinforcement mavens; they can help us design research that will
really TEST the reinforcement model. Presumably, the reinforcement maven's
know what the reinforcement model really is. Nobody seems to think WE do.
Bruce Abbott (951206.1750 EST) --
I like the general idea but have a number of concerns about whether it can
do the job you set for it.
How could it NOT do the job? Tell me, and then tell me how to MAKE it
DO the job!
We're doing an experiment to test the predictions of two theories. If we
design it correctly (with your help), one theory will predict the results
better than the other. What's your concern? Is there no way to remove
your concern? I'm asking YOU (and the other reinforcement experts) to
design the experiment so that YOU know that it will do the job (test
reinforcment and control theories of operant behavior).
We've already done a demonstration of this type, on stimulus control. The
participants did just what was expected (qualitatively) under reinforcement
theory, and a nice quantitative model based on an assumed control structure
did a beautiful job of fitting the data, once the right parameters were
found. Reinforcement theory offered an account of both acquisition and
performance; the PCT model assumed that control had been established without
stating how this was achieved. Hardly a basis for rejecting either view.
Reinforcement theory was never used to predict the results of this experiment
(except "qualitatively", as you say; that is verbally; and it even failed
qualitatively becuase we showed that the actual actions that produced the
results were NOT related to the stimuli that were presumably controlling
them). If you thought that this "stimulus control" demo didn't reject
reinforcement theory, why didn't you tell us how to design it so that it
COULD reject it (or, at least, show QUANTITATIVELY that reinforcement theory
could not account for the results as well as control theory).
You seem to spend a lot more time explaining why everything we do to
test reinforcement theory is no challenge to the theory than you do
explaining what we could do to TEST the theory. Do you really wonder
why Bill and I often think you might be on the reinforcement
theorists' payroll?
Which reinforcement theory do you propose we use for making predictions?
Any one that can actually be implemented as a working model; all of
them, hopefully. Surely they can all handle the simplest case of
operant behavior.
If there's more experimental error than you are used to in a typical
tracking study, will it be possible to distinguish the PCT and reinforcement
models on the basis of fit alone?
Let's design the study so that the experimental error is low enough to allow
discimination of teh models.
Come on, Bruce. What is this crap? You seem to be saying that it is
impossible to compare the predictions of reinforcement and control theory
models of behavior. I seem to recall that your goal is to show that
the control theory model of behavior is superior to the reinforcement model.
How are you going to show that if you can't compare the two models' ability
to predict experimental data?
If you developed a PCT model that didn't fit the data very well, would you
reject PCT on that basis, or your particular model?
I would try to find a way to patch up my model to make it work. If I
couldn't do that in a sensible, simple way, I would have to consider
adopting the model that did work.
Would it be fair to expect EABers to reject reinforcement theory under
similar conditions, rather than the particular model proposed for the
situation tested?
No. I would expect them to try to patch up their model so that it at
least works in the simplest case. If they can fix it up, then we
continue with other test comparisons; if not, they might want to
consider switching to the model that workds; control theory.
But why worry about what the reinforcemnt theorists will do if their
model fails? Let's just test the model and (hopefully) show that it does
fail; let THEM worry about what to do next. I'd personally welcome them
onto the PCT team if they wanted to join.
As for the predictions based on PCT, how would these be derived? By
constructing a model beforehand? How will you know what controlled
variables are involved so that you can construct the model?
We will develop the model based on our assumption about what variable is
controlled (probably the rate of picture presentation); the fit of the
model will be an indication of how well we guess; we can try other guesses to
improve the fit. Reinforcement theorists are free to determine the
reinforcer in any way they like -- and they are also free to determine
any other needed parameters in order to make a prediction. I'd give
reinforcement theory all the breaks (except for violating what we
already know about the world from physics and chemistry). But you're the
ex-reinforcement theorist; you tell me what the reinforcement theorists
need to make them think it's a fair test; as far as I'm concerned, they can
have anything they like except the results in advance;-)
These questions need to be addressed before we can get any further with your
proposal.
Yes. And they are the questions I was hoping you could answer.
Again, this does not have to be complex; it should be simple so everyone
can understand it. The operant experiment I described is VERY simple.
Reinforcement theory should be able to handle it, no problems. I'm looking to
you to tell me how to make this experiment as clear a test of reinforcement
and control theory as possible.
If you're a fan of PCT (as you claim) I would imagine that you would love
to try to find way to prove the superiority of PCT over reinforcement theory.
So, is the operant experiment I described OK? Can you write a reinforcement
model to account for the expected results?
Best
Rick