Marken and Kennaway, PCT heroes

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.17.0931 MDT)]

Beside Rick Marken's ground-breaking 90-minute presentation of PCT at
Oxford, and Richard Kennaway's equally impressive presentation of
hierarchical control at Cambridge not long ago, we can now celebrate the
acceptance of a paper by Richard for presentation at a control-systems
conference in Bath, England, I believe for this Fall. This is the Right
Stuff in the Right Places.

It is time that we began attracting not only attention but new people with
relevant technical skills into the CSG fold. This summer's CSG meeting will
be its 20th in a row. Childhood is coming to an end. It's time to decide
what we want to be when we grow up. I think that Marken and Kennaway are
showing the way, and I hope that others will follow. Ask not what PCT can
do for you, ask what you can do for PCT. We choose to revolutionize the
life sciences not because it is easy, but because it is hard. Let no one
say that we saw the future through an open portal, and shut the door on it.

Best,

Bill P.

[Martin Taylor 2004.06.17.14.28]

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.17.0931 MDT)]

... Ask not what PCT can
do for you, ask what you can do for PCT. We choose to revolutionize the
life sciences not because it is easy, but because it is hard. Let no one
say that we saw the future through an open portal, and shut the door on it.

Are you sure you spelled Kennedway correctly :slight_smile:

I hope the presentations have the result you anticipate!

Martin

From [Marc Abrams (2004.06.17.1430)]

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.17.0931 MDT)]

I'm happy for you Bill, I hope you get what you want out of this.

This summer's CSG meeting will
be its 20th in a row. Childhood is coming to an end. It's time to

decide

what we want to be when we grow up.

When did it become 'we'? You've had 50 years to think about it. I'm sure
you'll come up with something.

Are you really asking _me_ for my opinion? Bill Williams? Martin Taylor?
Bruce Nevin? I guess you and Phil R. can hammer it out.

Marc

Considering how often throughout history even intelligent people have
been proved to be wrong, it is amazing that there are still people who
are convinced that the only reason anyone could possibly say something
different from what they believe is stupidity or dishonesty.

Being smart is what keeps some people from being intelligent.

Thomas Sowell

Don't argue with an idiot; people watching may not be able to tell the
difference.

Anon

I don't approve of political jokes. I've seen too many of them get
elected

Anon

From: Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)
[mailto:CSGNET@listserv.uiuc.edu] On Behalf Of Bill Powers
Sent: Thursday, June 17, 2004 11:48 AM
To: CSGNET@listserv.uiuc.edu
Subject: Marken and Kennaway, PCT heroes

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.17.0931 MDT)]

Beside Rick Marken's ground-breaking 90-minute presentation of PCT at
Oxford, and Richard Kennaway's equally impressive presentation of
hierarchical control at Cambridge not long ago, we can now celebrate

the

acceptance of a paper by Richard for presentation at a control-systems
conference in Bath, England, I believe for this Fall. This is the

Right

Stuff in the Right Places.

I think that Marken and Kennaway are
showing the way, and I hope that others will follow. Ask not what PCT

can

do for you, ask what you can do for PCT. We choose to revolutionize

the

life sciences not because it is easy, but because it is hard. Let no

one

say that we saw the future through an open portal, and shut the door

on

···

-----Original Message-----
it.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.17.1509 MDT)]

Martin Taylor 2004.06.17.14.28 --

Are you sure you spelled Kennedway correctly :slight_smile:

Good, I knew some smart person would catch it.

I hope the presentations have the result you anticipate!

Anything's possible. Thanks.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT)]

Back home and only moderately jet lagged!

Bill Powers (2004.06.17.0931 MDT)--

Beside Rick Marken's ground-breaking 90-minute presentation of PCT at
Oxford

I'm afraid that "ground breaking" , though it sounds great, is an
overstatement. This is actually the third talk I've been invited to
give on PCT at an academic institution. I think I've gotten a bit
better at it each time. My goal is to eventually have a nice, generic
PCT talk that can be easily tailored for different audiences. There
are people out there who want to learn what PCT is about and I want to
develop a reasonably interesting way of telling them about it.

and Richard Kennaway's equally impressive presentation of
hierarchical control at Cambridge not long ago, we can now celebrate
the
acceptance of a paper by Richard for presentation at a control-systems
conference in Bath, England, I believe for this Fall.

I agree that acceptance of Richard's paper -- which, though I haven't
read it, I presume is very good based on my knowledge of Richard's work
-- should be celebrated. Although it's nice to be invited to give
talks at places (like Oxford) that have some academic cachet, I think
it's even more valuable to get talks _and_ papers accepted through the
conventional review process.

I think that the only way to put "the Right Stuff in the Right Places"
is to publish it through the usual academic channels. It was my
publications in refereed journals that got me the invitation to Oxford.
  I know it's hard and often frustrating to get good PCT stuff
published. But I think it is well worth the effort.

I think it has been a mistake for you to have stopped trying to get
your work published in refereed journals. I know it's a pain to get
good PCT past the gatekeepers. But that is the only way to get the
attention of those who are in the Right Places. CSGNet cannot be the
venue where that can happen. Even if there were a review process on
CSGNet, such as the one you suggest -- which is eminently reasonable --
it would simply be rejected by those who are not interested in PCT as a
scientific model.

So my hat is off to Richard Kennaway and Dan Palmer, two people who I
know are working to publish (or present) quality PCT research through
the conventional channels. I think it would serve PCT much better if
you, too, would spend your time trying to publish in conventional
academic journals some of the remarkable work you've done in the last
decade rather than trying to deal with the agenda-based and often
vicious blather that passes for scientific discussion on CSGNet.
Although reviewers can be as agenda-based and vicious as some of the
contributors to CSGNet, at least there is the possibility of a highly
visible publication at the end of the process. There is no such silver
lining to arguments on CSGNet.

Regarding the talk at Oxford itself, the person who invited me (based
on my publications, which she liked) suggested that the topic that
might be of most interest (to an audience of experimental psychologists
and neuroscientists) would be something about the neuroscience
implications of PCT. So that's what I did. The talk was entitled
"Functional architecture of purposeful behavior: Implications of
control theory for neuroscience". I first talked about what purposeful
behavior is (control), how to recognize it (variables in reference
states, protected from disturbance), described the control model,
pointed out the difference between the PCT and manual control models of
behavior, explained control of perception (in terms of catching balls),
described the hierarchical control model and the implications of this
model for the organization of the neural architecture that underlies
behavior. I used several computer demos (run locally) to illustrate my
points, including my baseball catching model (to illustrate "complex
control" as the control of two different perceptual variables
simultaneously) and your pendulum balancing model (to illustrate
control of a hierarchy of different _types_ of perceptual variable). It
was a lot of material but I got through it all pretty efficiently. The
main questions afterwards concerned how control systems actually work;
for example, there was a question about how a control system would
behave when the perception was artificially forced to zero (as it is
when the egg is removed from the grey lag goose). Also, in the audience
was Peter McLeod, whose work on catching I have critiqued. He was aware
of my critiques and I think we agreed at the end that his model of
catching (which was described in _Nature_) is a control of perception
model. I think his model is a control model and I think we agreed that
if there is any difference between us it is in terms of how to go about
determining what variables are controlled. I plan to keep in touch with
Peter and his colleagues and see if we can start working together
rather than at cross purposes.

It is time that we began attracting not only attention but new people
with
relevant technical skills into the CSG fold.

I think that the only way to do this is through publication in refereed
journals. Giving talks in good venues is also good. But we won't be
invited to give those talks unless we have _current_ publications in
visible and respected mainstream journals. CSGNet has been great
because it gives us easy access to some really great discussions on
PCT. But it can also be a huge waste of time and effort. It's hard not
to succumb to defending oneself and one's work from some of the sludge
that is posted. But I think that when the sludge appears the best
thing to do is ignore it and and start working on writing up, say, the
pendulum or "little man" model in a form that would be publishable in
Psych Review, say. If you need help with the scholarship I'd be happy
to contribute. But that's what I think we should do. If good PCT gets
into the current, highly visible parts of the behavioral science
literature then it will definitely get the attention of new people with
relevant (and actual) skills and interests.

Best regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

From[Bill Williams 19 June 2004 11:55 PM CST]

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT)]

Back home and only moderately jet lagged!

I think eventually efforts such as Rick's and the progress in
the biological and behavioral sciences will result in conrol thoery
becoming a replacement for cognitive psychology. And, I certainly
look forward to this.

However, closer to home, there continue to be issues concerning PCT.

As Rick described the continuing controversy, the opposition consists

"vicious blather."

To which the proper response is to call such people "ignorant sluts."

that passes for scientific discussion on CSGNet.
Although reviewers can be as agenda-based and vicious as some of the
contributors to CSGNet,

All living control systems all have an agenda, so what. And, the accusation

of viciousness does not not meet Bill Powers' standard for Peer review

correctness.

at least there is the possibility of a highly
visible publication at the end of the process. There is no such silver
lining to arguments on CSGNet.

This presupposes that Bill Powers and Rick Marken have nothing to learn,

again a presupposition that has not been demonstrated. Bill Powers still

does not understood that if the U and S of A sends people to Mars that

it will cost _even the economy_ quite a bit.

It's hard not
to succumb to defending oneself and one's work from some of the sludge
that is posted. But I think that when the sludge appears the best
thing to do is ignore it

Both you and Bill Powers have an unfortunate habit of using unfortunate

terms to refer to people with whom you disagree. Perhaps I shouldn't blame

you for picking up some of Bill Powers' bad habits. Bill Powers, however,

is often later ashamed of what he has said. Bill Powers recently said, as

I understand it, that he was giving up his effort to construct a PCT based

model of the economy. I hope you will consider doing likewise. You seem

to be making headway in getting a hearing for control theory among people

who may be disposed to adopt control theory. You said sometime ago that

you planned to stick to what you know. I thought that this was an excellent

idea. Much of the wasted time on the CSGnet is the fault of people attempting

projects where they are getting into questions which they are insufficiently

informed to be able to avoid obvious errors. These errors have nothing

neccesarily to do with control theory, but these mistakes create an

unfortunate impression. Almost as unfortunate as your rather gratuitiously

calling Michelle "an ignorant slut."

Bill Williams

Bill Powers (2004.06.17.0931 MDT)--

Beside Rick Marken's ground-breaking 90-minute presentation of PCT at
Oxford

I'm afraid that "ground breaking" , though it sounds great, is an
overstatement. This is actually the third talk I've been invited to
give on PCT at an academic institution. I think I've gotten a bit
better at it each time. My goal is to eventually have a nice, generic
PCT talk that can be easily tailored for different audiences. There
are people out there who want to learn what PCT is about and I want to
develop a reasonably interesting way of telling them about it.

and Richard Kennaway's equally impressive presentation of
hierarchical control at Cambridge not long ago, we can now celebrate
the
acceptance of a paper by Richard for presentation at a control-systems
conference in Bath, England, I believe for this Fall.

I agree that acceptance of Richard's paper -- which, though I haven't
read it, I presume is very good based on my knowledge of Richard's work
-- should be celebrated. Although it's nice to be invited to give
talks at places (like Oxford) that have some academic cachet, I think
it's even more valuable to get talks _and_ papers accepted through the
conventional review process.

I think that the only way to put "the Right Stuff in the Right Places"
is to publish it through the usual academic channels. It was my
publications in refereed journals that got me the invitation to Oxford.
  I know it's hard and often frustrating to get good PCT stuff
published. But I think it is well worth the effort.

I think it has been a mistake for you to have stopped trying to get
your work published in refereed journals. I know it's a pain to get
good PCT past the gatekeepers. But that is the only way to get the
attention of those who are in the Right Places. CSGNet cannot be the
venue where that can happen. Even if there were a review process on
CSGNet, such as the one you suggest -- which is eminently reasonable --
it would simply be rejected by those who are not interested in PCT as a
scientific model.

So my hat is off to Richard Kennaway and Dan Palmer, two people who I
know are working to publish (or present) quality PCT research through
the conventional channels. I think it would serve PCT much better if
you, too, would spend your time trying to publish in conventional
academic journals some of the remarkable work you've done in the last
decade rather than trying to deal with the agenda-based and often
vicious blather that passes for scientific discussion on CSGNet.
Although reviewers can be as agenda-based and vicious as some of the
contributors to CSGNet, at least there is the possibility of a highly
visible publication at the end of the process. There is no such silver
lining to arguments on CSGNet.

Regarding the talk at Oxford itself, the person who invited me (based
on my publications, which she liked) suggested that the topic that
might be of most interest (to an audience of experimental psychologists
and neuroscientists) would be something about the neuroscience
implications of PCT. So that's what I did. The talk was entitled
"Functional architecture of purposeful behavior: Implications of
control theory for neuroscience". I first talked about what purposeful
behavior is (control), how to recognize it (variables in reference
states, protected from disturbance), described the control model,
pointed out the difference between the PCT and manual control models of
behavior, explained control of perception (in terms of catching balls),
described the hierarchical control model and the implications of this
model for the organization of the neural architecture that underlies
behavior. I used several computer demos (run locally) to illustrate my
points, including my baseball catching model (to illustrate "complex
control" as the control of two different perceptual variables
simultaneously) and your pendulum balancing model (to illustrate
control of a hierarchy of different _types_ of perceptual variable). It
was a lot of material but I got through it all pretty efficiently. The
main questions afterwards concerned how control systems actually work;
for example, there was a question about how a control system would
behave when the perception was artificially forced to zero (as it is
when the egg is removed from the grey lag goose). Also, in the audience
was Peter McLeod, whose work on catching I have critiqued. He was aware
of my critiques and I think we agreed at the end that his model of
catching (which was described in _Nature_) is a control of perception
model. I think his model is a control model and I think we agreed that
if there is any difference between us it is in terms of how to go about
determining what variables are controlled. I plan to keep in touch with
Peter and his colleagues and see if we can start working together
rather than at cross purposes.

It is time that we began attracting not only attention but new people
with
relevant technical skills into the CSG fold.

I think that the only way to do this is through publication in refereed
journals. Giving talks in good venues is also good. But we won't be
invited to give those talks unless we have _current_ publications in
visible and respected mainstream journals. CSGNet has been great
because it gives us easy access to some really great discussions on
PCT. But it can also be a huge waste of time and effort. It's hard not
to succumb to defending oneself and one's work from some of the sludge
that is posted. But I think that when the sludge appears the best
thing to do is ignore it and and start working on writing up, say, the
pendulum or "little man" model in a form that would be publishable in
Psych Review, say. If you need help with the scholarship I'd be happy
to contribute. But that's what I think we should do. If good PCT gets
into the current, highly visible parts of the behavioral science
literature then it will definitely get the attention of new people with
relevant (and actual) skills and interests.

Best regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]

Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT) --

I think that the only way to put "the Right Stuff in the Right Places"
is to publish it through the usual academic channels. It was my
publications in refereed journals that got me the invitation to Oxford. I
know it's hard and often frustrating to get good PCT stuff published. But
I think it is well worth the effort.

That may be true, but I see myself as occupying a supporting role in such
efforts. I'm just not in a position to contribute through "usual academic
channels." As Bill Williams keeps pointing out, one is expected to be
familiar with the field to which one contributes even if one is offering
alternative ideas that apply in dozens of fields. It's not an unreasonable
demand; the chickens can't reasonably be expected to invite the wolf into
the henhouse. And anyway, it's a rare idea that is so totally novel that
similarities with older ideas can't be found; All in all, the independent
thinker is better off, I believe, simply writing books or otherwise going
on record, letting posterity sort out who or what was right. Posterity is
going to do that with or without my permission.

I need to unload some other thoughts that keep me awake nights. This
relates to the post from Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.19.1455).

If I were to give up the struggle right now, there would be relief or
triumph in some places. I don't think that those on the other side of the
struggle even understand what they're defending against. My unfortunate
tendency to respond to attacks in kind has obscured the true course of
events. The way arguments have usually started is for me to point out some
implication of PCT that has been overlooked or misunderstood, or some
methodological error related to modeling. The result, of course, is to
alarm the victim of this useful information, because if I am right, there
is a conflict between what the other person believes and the implications
of PCT, or some mistake in procedure.

People vary in their reactions to discovering their own mistakes. Some
genuinely want to know if they have made mistakes and immediately
investigate to find out what the mistake was, if any. These people, oddly,
are the ones who are most likely to catch me in a mistake of my own,
because they tend to be the ones who have the best understanding of the
theory. They are, unfortunately, outliers on the distribution.

Most people just wait for the dust to settle and don't make much of a
committment either way. But there is the other fringe, the people who, if
they ever consider they might be wrong at all, do so only by accident in
the fraction of a second before their defenses and counterattacks can be
brought into play. The first accusation is usually that I am declaring
myself the arbiter of PCT correctness, which of course I am, along with
anyone else with an equally thorough understanding of its basic principles.
In the same spirit, I can easily acknowledge Richard Kennaway as an arbiter
of mathematical correctness, or Martin Taylor as an arbiter of information
theory correctness, and so on. PCT correctness doesn't mean that PCT is
right; it just means that PCT is a coherent set of ideas that has to be
understood before you can claim either to believe in it or disbelieve in
it. If a person makes up things that are supposedly conclusions from PCT
but are not, then that person's objections to PCT mean nothing. Equally,
that person's support of PCT, if that's the way it turned out, also would
mean nothing. Agreement for mistaken reasons is no agreement at all. So PCT
correctness is quite important if we're going to have any rational
discussions about the subject.

Unfortunately, the ability to follow through a logical argument, a chain of
evidence, or a systematic investigation to whatever conclusion comes out of
it is rare. It's much more common to try to guess right away what the
conclusion is going to be, compare that with whatever one's
understandings, beliefs or prejudices demand, and accept or reject the
evidence or argument on that basis. This is the basic way that faith works;
it is the chief reason for the split between science and religion, and for
conflicts among religious factions. Science depends on not knowing the
conclusion in advance; only in that way can trustworthy conclusions be
reached. But certain forms of religion put faith in conclusions first, with
anything that tends to disturb the conclusion being something to be done
away with, something that is self-evidently false, even if it's another
religion. I'm not saying that defending conclusions against evidence, logic
and reason is wrong because some religious people do that; I'm saying it's
wrong because it does not lead to reliable conclusions, and that religious
people who do that are, and anyone who does that is, wrong for that same
reason. I do not limit the meaning of "religious people" to those who
believe there is a God.

The reason I am so strong for modeling and simulations is that once you
have frozen your premises in the form of a simulation, the conclusions from
those premises are out of your hands. You can still bend the results by
careful interpretation, but the goal of simulation is to state the model so
clearly that the least possible wiggle room is left for the interpretation.
To do this, however, one has to prefer that the conclusions follow
correctly from the premises, just the way they would in the real world --
with the least possible influence from one's own hopes, expectations, or
convictions. If one prefers that the conclusions support one's beliefs,
simulations will not seem very appealing, because they might not do so.

On CSGnet, the people who want to reach correct conclusions whatever they
may be have no difficulty in getting along together. If I have really made
a mistake, I want to know about it as soon as possible. I'm glad to know
about it because I can stop making it. Most of the people on CSGnet have
that attitude, I think. But there is a real conflict between those who are
glad to discover where they have been wrong and those who hate that
experience more than anything else, and refuse to have it. These two
attitudes simply can't coexist.People with those different attitudes can
hardly even talk with each other.

Bill Williams has said that he looks at the conclusions first, to see if
they are correct, before considering the argument. That puts him on the
other side, as far as I am concerned. I don't think he is the only one who
does this, but one is one too many. He would not be so concerned about my
learning all about economic thinking of the past, before offering my own
theory, if he thought I would probably draw conclusions from it radically
different from his. He thinks his conclusions are right, and that anyone
who read what he has read could only arrive at the same conclusions. In
fact, he thinks that if anyone does draw different conclusions (like the
ones I arrived at from reading Keynes), the person is prejudiced, weird,
out of step, ignorant, and self-evidently wrong. Wrongness is not to be
shown wrong by evidence, careful reasoning and explanation; it is simply to
be attacked. This is consistent with the view that conclusions matter more
than how one reaches them. This is why, when Williams cites literature in
support of his views, he quoted passages in which famous people state their
conclusions, not passages in which they reveal how they got to those
conclusions. How they got to them is irrelevant; they must be right if
Williams agrees with them.

Can we have any rational interaction with that view of understanding? I
have always hoped that somehow the air would clear and the excitement would
die out and we could get back to PCT and science and all that.Such hopes
die hard. But I am mostly convinced that they are futile. As everyone who
has been on CSGnet for a long time knows, it takes a great deal to make me
write someone off as hopeless. A great deal. There is always the nagging
thought that I have missed something, that the fault is mine, that the
persuasive argument can still be found, that the hidden good will can be
revealed. This is made no easier by consciousness of my own mistakes. But
those are delusions, they are wished-for conclusions, and I have to let go
of them. Bill Williams will never come around to my view, and I certainly
will never do things his way -- not again. We lose a valuable resource, a
potential modeler, by this, but he has denied himself to us.

I don't think there's any "if" any more (a word Bill Williams seems
inexplicably unable to grasp). It's no longer a matter of saying he ought
to be booted out if he continues in the present vein. I'm being
presumptuous, of course, but if anyone wishes to make a case for letting
him continue, now is the time to do it, right now. I will recommend that
silence be taken as assent to cutting him off, so speak up if you want to
make a case the other way. If there is no objection that holds water, I
will recommend ending Williams' access to CSGnet.

If there is anyone else due for this treatment, now is also the time to
mention that.

Sitting in judgement on other people. What a bummer.

Bill P.

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.20.0810)]

Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)--

Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT) --

I think that the only way to put "the Right Stuff in the Right Places"
is to publish it through the usual academic channels

That may be true, but I see myself as occupying a supporting role in
such
efforts. I'm just not in a position to contribute through "usual
academic
channels."

I disagree. Not only are you in a position to do it, you _have_ done
it by publishing several papers in refereed journals. It was your
article in Psych Review, not your book B:CP, that finally got me into
PCT. You've published in other refereed venues as well. I'm not all
that up on current academic scholarship myself anymore yet I have been
able to publish in refereed journals and book collections (which is
what I mean be the "usual academic channels"). Again, if you want help
putting the scholarship into a paper I would be happy to help.

the chickens can't reasonably be expected to invite the wolf into
the henhouse.

They don't invite us in, of course. But both you and I have been able
to insinuate ourselves into the henhouse quite often. It can be done.

And anyway, it's a rare idea that is so totally novel that
similarities with older ideas can't be found

All the more reason to get it into the henhouse.

All in all, the independent
thinker is better off, I believe, simply writing books or otherwise
going
on record, letting posterity sort out who or what was right. Posterity
is
going to do that with or without my permission.

I feel the same way. But while we're here I see nothing wrong with
spending some of the time between books trying to place papers in
refereed sources. Posterity is great but, since we're not there yet,
why not spend at least part of the time while we're still here giving
posterity a hand by putting papers in venues where they will be noticed.

If there is no objection that holds water, I
will recommend ending Williams' access to CSGnet.

It doesn't matter to me whether he goes or stays. I read his stuff for
fun now. It's a guilty pleasure that I probably would not miss if it
were gone.

Best regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.20.0910)]

Bill Williams (19 June 2004 11:55 PM CST) --

All living control systems all have an agenda, so what.

Only that non- PCT agendas keep people from contributing to the only
agenda I care about, the agenda to which CSGNet is presumably
dedicated: PCT.

And, the accusation of viciousness does not not meet
Bill Powers' standard for Peer review correctness.

I agree. Viciousness is a personal judgment. It's my personal judgment
regarding much of what you say on CSGNet.

Bill Powers recently said, as
I understand it, that he was giving up his effort to construct a PCT
based
model of the economy. I hope you will consider doing likewise.

I hope that Bill is not giving up his effort to construct a PCT based
model of the economy. I have other priorities at the moment. But I am
still interested in developing a model economy and I will work on it
when I have time.

Almost as unfortunate as your rather gratuitiously calling
Michelle "an ignorant slut."

This is an example of what I call "vicious blather". Saying that I
called Michelle an ignorant slut is simply slander, the dictionary
definition of which is "a false and malicious statement or report about
someone". Using this slander once was not very nice. But repeating it
in nearly every other post is what I consider vicious blather. You
have repeatedly made other personal attacks, some aimed at me, others
aimed at Bill Powers, which I also consider vicious blather. So
statements like the above are what I was referring to as the "vicious
blather that passes for scientific discussion on CSGNet".

Regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

From [Marc Abrams (2004.06.20.1143)]

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]

It's not an unreasonable
demand; the chickens can't reasonably be expected to invite the wolf

into

the henhouse. And anyway, it's a rare idea that is so totally novel

that

similarities with older ideas can't be found;

I'm afraid Bill Powers is a bit delusional. Control and negative
feedback are important mainstays in physiology and are becoming much
more prominent in microbiological research. Pick up any current college
level textbook on either subject.

What is novel is Bill's version of how control actually contributes to
all the processes & systems involved in our behavior. That is, HPCT.

'Applying' PCT to any field of endeavor is a worthwhile and important
project. Trying to 'shoehorn' HPCT (there is a difference between PCT &
HPCT) into an existing field of knowledge, I believe, will prove to be
next to useless.

If Bill Powers is serious about a 'bottoms-up' approach, than the
reasonable thing to do would be too start with what we do know about how
our various systems, that is, our nervous systems, endocrine & immune
systems interact and provide us with the 'intrinsic' basis for our
behavior and his hierarchy.

I believe the HPCT hierarchy as presently constructed makes a nice
metaphor for the operation of our cortex and cognits but is a long way
from revealing how our perceptions are actually constructed, reference
levels actually formed and maintained, and how both are affected by
emotion and imagination.

Keep in mind I'm not talking about Bill's 'ideas' or introspection about
these subjects. I think we need current hard research to guide our
efforts to understand these interactions and in turn the research needs
to be guided by a PCT perspective. This must be done by people actively
involved in their respective fields of study.

I don't believe this can happen as long as Bill demands that people try
to 'shoehorn' (this means to try and make something fit that really
doesn't) and validate his HPCT notions into their work. Let the data,
and not the ideology dictate what the structure and model needs too look
like

These neuroscientists at Oxford will not be impressed by HPCT's
perceptual model and although you might find some initial enthusiasm for
PCT I think it will quickly fade if you try to get these people to drop
their current line of thinking about perceptions and try to get them to
change to the HPCT view.

As long as the need for change is only seen and considered from the
point of view of the need for change from the adopters of the theory and
nothing required of the developers, PCT will remain a very small blip on
the radar screen.

Marc

Considering how often throughout history even intelligent people have
been proved to be wrong, it is amazing that there are still people who
are convinced that the only reason anyone could possibly say something
different from what they believe is stupidity or dishonesty.

Being smart is what keeps some people from being intelligent.

Thomas Sowell

Don't argue with an idiot; people watching may not be able to tell the
difference.

Anon

I don't approve of political jokes. I've seen too many of them get
elected

Anon

From: Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)
[mailto:CSGNET@listserv.uiuc.edu] On Behalf Of Bill Powers
Sent: Sunday, June 20, 2004 5:20 AM
To: CSGNET@listserv.uiuc.edu
Subject: Re: Marken and Kennaway, PCT heroes

Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT) --

>I think that the only way to put "the Right Stuff in the Right

Places"

>is to publish it through the usual academic channels. It was my
>publications in refereed journals that got me the invitation to

Oxford. I

>know it's hard and often frustrating to get good PCT stuff published.

But

>I think it is well worth the effort.

That may be true, but I see myself as occupying a supporting role in

such

efforts. I'm just not in a position to contribute through "usual

academic

channels." As Bill Williams keeps pointing out, one is expected to be
familiar with the field to which one contributes even if one is

offering

alternative ideas that apply in dozens of fields. All in all, the

independent

thinker is better off, I believe, simply writing books or otherwise

going

on record, letting posterity sort out who or what was right. Posterity

is

going to do that with or without my permission.

I need to unload some other thoughts that keep me awake nights. This
relates to the post from Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.19.1455).

If I were to give up the struggle right now, there would be relief or
triumph in some places. I don't think that those on the other side of

the

struggle even understand what they're defending against. My

unfortunate

tendency to respond to attacks in kind has obscured the true course of
events. The way arguments have usually started is for me to point out

some

implication of PCT that has been overlooked or misunderstood, or some
methodological error related to modeling. The result, of course, is to
alarm the victim of this useful information, because if I am right,

there

is a conflict between what the other person believes and the

implications

of PCT, or some mistake in procedure.

People vary in their reactions to discovering their own mistakes. Some
genuinely want to know if they have made mistakes and immediately
investigate to find out what the mistake was, if any. These people,

oddly,

are the ones who are most likely to catch me in a mistake of my own,
because they tend to be the ones who have the best understanding of

the

theory. They are, unfortunately, outliers on the distribution.

Most people just wait for the dust to settle and don't make much of a
committment either way. But there is the other fringe, the people who,

if

they ever consider they might be wrong at all, do so only by accident

in

the fraction of a second before their defenses and counterattacks can

be

brought into play. The first accusation is usually that I am declaring
myself the arbiter of PCT correctness, which of course I am, along

with

anyone else with an equally thorough understanding of its basic
principles.
In the same spirit, I can easily acknowledge Richard Kennaway as an
arbiter
of mathematical correctness, or Martin Taylor as an arbiter of

information

theory correctness, and so on. PCT correctness doesn't mean that PCT

is

right; it just means that PCT is a coherent set of ideas that has to

be

understood before you can claim either to believe in it or disbelieve

in

it. If a person makes up things that are supposedly conclusions from

PCT

but are not, then that person's objections to PCT mean nothing.

Equally,

that person's support of PCT, if that's the way it turned out, also

would

mean nothing. Agreement for mistaken reasons is no agreement at all.

So

PCT
correctness is quite important if we're going to have any rational
discussions about the subject.

Unfortunately, the ability to follow through a logical argument, a

chain

of
evidence, or a systematic investigation to whatever conclusion comes

out

of
it is rare. It's much more common to try to guess right away what the
conclusion is going to be, compare that with whatever one's
understandings, beliefs or prejudices demand, and accept or reject

the

evidence or argument on that basis. This is the basic way that faith
works;
it is the chief reason for the split between science and religion, and

for

conflicts among religious factions. Science depends on not knowing the
conclusion in advance; only in that way can trustworthy conclusions be
reached. But certain forms of religion put faith in conclusions first,
with
anything that tends to disturb the conclusion being something to be

done

away with, something that is self-evidently false, even if it's

another

religion. I'm not saying that defending conclusions against evidence,
logic
and reason is wrong because some religious people do that; I'm saying

it's

wrong because it does not lead to reliable conclusions, and that

religious

people who do that are, and anyone who does that is, wrong for that

same

reason. I do not limit the meaning of "religious people" to those who
believe there is a God.

The reason I am so strong for modeling and simulations is that once

you

have frozen your premises in the form of a simulation, the conclusions
from
those premises are out of your hands. You can still bend the results

by

careful interpretation, but the goal of simulation is to state the

model

···

-----Original Message-----
so
clearly that the least possible wiggle room is left for the
interpretation.
To do this, however, one has to prefer that the conclusions follow
correctly from the premises, just the way they would in the real world

--

with the least possible influence from one's own hopes, expectations,

or

convictions. If one prefers that the conclusions support one's

beliefs,

simulations will not seem very appealing, because they might not do

so.

On CSGnet, the people who want to reach correct conclusions whatever

they

may be have no difficulty in getting along together. If I have really

made

a mistake, I want to know about it as soon as possible. I'm glad to

know

about it because I can stop making it. Most of the people on CSGnet

have

that attitude, I think. But there is a real conflict between those who

are

glad to discover where they have been wrong and those who hate that
experience more than anything else, and refuse to have it. These two
attitudes simply can't coexist.People with those different attitudes

can

hardly even talk with each other.

Bill Williams has said that he looks at the conclusions first, to see

if

they are correct, before considering the argument. That puts him on

the

other side, as far as I am concerned. I don't think he is the only one

who

does this, but one is one too many. He would not be so concerned about

my

learning all about economic thinking of the past, before offering my

own

theory, if he thought I would probably draw conclusions from it

radically

different from his. He thinks his conclusions are right, and that

anyone

who read what he has read could only arrive at the same conclusions.

In

fact, he thinks that if anyone does draw different conclusions (like

the

ones I arrived at from reading Keynes), the person is prejudiced,

weird,

out of step, ignorant, and self-evidently wrong. Wrongness is not to

be

shown wrong by evidence, careful reasoning and explanation; it is

simply

to
be attacked. This is consistent with the view that conclusions matter

more

than how one reaches them. This is why, when Williams cites literature

in

support of his views, he quoted passages in which famous people state
their
conclusions, not passages in which they reveal how they got to those
conclusions. How they got to them is irrelevant; they must be right if
Williams agrees with them.

Can we have any rational interaction with that view of understanding?

I

have always hoped that somehow the air would clear and the excitement
would
die out and we could get back to PCT and science and all that.Such

hopes

die hard. But I am mostly convinced that they are futile. As everyone

who

has been on CSGnet for a long time knows, it takes a great deal to

make me

write someone off as hopeless. A great deal. There is always the

nagging

thought that I have missed something, that the fault is mine, that the
persuasive argument can still be found, that the hidden good will can

be

revealed. This is made no easier by consciousness of my own mistakes.

But

those are delusions, they are wished-for conclusions, and I have to

let go

of them. Bill Williams will never come around to my view, and I

certainly

will never do things his way -- not again. We lose a valuable

resource, a

potential modeler, by this, but he has denied himself to us.

I don't think there's any "if" any more (a word Bill Williams seems
inexplicably unable to grasp). It's no longer a matter of saying he

ought

to be booted out if he continues in the present vein. I'm being
presumptuous, of course, but if anyone wishes to make a case for

letting

him continue, now is the time to do it, right now. I will recommend

that

silence be taken as assent to cutting him off, so speak up if you want

to

make a case the other way. If there is no objection that holds water,

I

will recommend ending Williams' access to CSGnet.

If there is anyone else due for this treatment, now is also the time

to

mention that.

Sitting in judgement on other people. What a bummer.

Bill P.

[From Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.20.1000 CDT)]

Bill P. et al.,

[Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]

...I will recommend that
silence be taken as assent to cutting him off...
...
Sitting in judgement on other people. What a bummer.

I don't like it either. But I can't remain silent about my recommendation to
cut Bill W. off. I'll suggest what I believe are the needs of others.
First, Rick puts it very succinctly about the needs of others when he says:

[Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT)]
"I think it would serve PCT much better if you, too, would spend your time
trying to publish in conventional academic journals some of the remarkable
work you've done in the last decade rather than trying to deal with the
agenda-based and often vicious blather that passes for scientific discussion
on CSGNet. Although reviewers can be as agenda-based and vicious as some of
the contributors to CSGNet, at least there is the possibility of a highly
visible publication at the end of the process. There is no such silver
lining to arguments on CSGNet."

And the agenda of a refereed review of a PCT article (unless there is biased
and therefore not scientific review) is the publication of a PCT article in
that journal.

I am teaching about PCT, as Gary Cziko taught at the UIUC in classes I
attended. I am summarizing it to a relatively unsophisticated group, just to
give them a flavor of PCT, and that there is more out there than S/R,
Maslow, constructivism, etc. as explanations of human behavior. But if I
would let any of them into the CSGNET discussions (!) that Bill W. and
others have whipped up, I am sorry to say that I would be very embarrassed
for inviting them in.

With a firm freedom of speech stance, it should be reasonable to allow any
speech into a forum and accept or ignore it. However, in almost every public
or private interaction, there is an agreement, either explicit or implicit,
to play along. By play along, we mean agree to share a level of tolerance so
that a communication can be accomplished. But we already know that the
classic "freedom of speech" excludes yelling 'fire!' in a theatre. The same
thing goes for a forum with a particular agenda, such as business,
community, religious, special causes, family, and CSGNET. When a contributor
constantly takes the discussion off course, that is, hijacks the discussion,
it causes disturbance, grief, distrust, fear to contribute, and shame.
Dang-it, that hijacker, that coyote, that person needs to be corralled, and
finally dismissed. That is my view, and I am just as sorry about it as you
are, Bill P. It has to be done for the good of the CSGNET. Just as in the
article that Stefan cited about the needs of others vs. the disruption
caused by one:

[Stefan Balke (2004.06.18 CET)] citing:

"Wer den Unterricht stort, oder schlimmer, in der Klasse schreit, muss in
den Trainingsraum. Dort muss ein Plan erstellt werden, der belegen soll, wie
der Storenfried kunftig auf vernunftige Weise am Unterricht teilnehmen
will."

"He who disturbs the lesson, or worse, shouts in the class, must go to the
Training Room. There, a plan must be created that describes, how the
disrupter [~will return to the lesson, taking part in the class]." What does
that resemble here? I, for one, think that we have gone beyond that step on
CSGNET: Now, the disrupters simply have to go. "So it goes." (Vonnegut).

The identity of those who have disrupted in the past here at CSGNET are Bill
Williams, Marc Abrams, Boss Man, and perhaps a few others. Maybe me. I will
go if it means that they go. But the deal is that no one would have to go if
these guys would just mind their behavior. But sadly, this has not happened.
And here is where I have gone off track, as Rick *properly* accuses me, by
being distracted by these guys. My bad, equally. So we have to fix it. Have
to.

Each of us is individually controlling his/her perception of CSGNET by
posting/replying to CSGNET or by replying off-line, in order to arrive at a
CSGNET inbox perception that is least discrepant with our (_each person's_)
reference for how it should appear. Do I have that right? CSGNET control
also includes discussing PCT and its applications, describing basic research
(modeling, etc.), doing applied research (test of the self as a control
system), and even how to express PCT in a common understanding of perceptual
control (MSOB).

You know, I once innocently used the word *evangelize* (knowing full well
another meaning, religious evangelization, exists. I trusted that the
generic meaning would be the one taken instead), but the subject headings
that Williams used mocked my good intentions. Frankly, that sophomoric
behavior of his sickens me. Now, before I push with true equal force back
against his disturbance, let me merely explain what Bill W. and others have
been doing to this group. (I am not going to take time to pick the exact
terminology, but heck, those who would improperly pick at it, Bill W., Boss
Man, and Marc, still get deleted from my CSGNET inbox, so I won't see their
replies!)

First, they land a bombshell of some sort, on the basis of a person's
misplaced word/phrase, inexactly used terminology, or just, as Bill W. had
said before I cut him off, "for the fun of it." They use course or
unacceptable language in this forum as a weapon. What each of us does is
push back against these twistings of the CSGNET inbox (on each of our
computers), with varying amounts of gain and completeness. Then--- the
disrupters come out from their hiding place and describe, post facto, that
our subsequent pushing back is the real crime, shifting focus away from
their original bad behavior. Marc has in the past apologized for acting
badly like this, sure, but Bill W. actually exults in the trick. So what the
heck? Then, in the aftermath, they drop in posts that they reckon may cause
further grief or error (this is the Test of the Controlled Variable), and
then continue to milk the situation for what it's worth. This causes me,
Rick, Dick, Bill P. and Mary, Phil, and countless others severe grief, and
it doesn't seem that the original offenders mind at all. That is simply
untenable.

For example, when I hear someone examining "I see you have chosen" (you
know, *that* old one!) I see a tentative, qualitatively scientific
examination of how words don't seem to fit the theory, and an attempt to
work through it. That was my original view of that thing. Yet, there were
several coyotes who baited Rick, twisted that attempt, and destroyed what
good was intended. When I sincerely try to examine a topic in CSGNET, and
get my face ripped off by one of these coyotes, I feel that again, it was
not worth it, and that I am not meet ("I am not worthy!" -Meyers) for these
vast intellects who regularly post here. And then, I come back. Why? Because
its about PCT. See, that is why the coyotes have to go.

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]
...
I don't think there's any "if" any more (a word Bill Williams seems
inexplicably unable to grasp). It's no longer a matter of saying he ought
to be booted out if he continues in the present vein. I'm being
presumptuous, of course, but if anyone wishes to make a case for letting
him continue, now is the time to do it, right now. I will recommend that
silence be taken as assent to cutting him off, so speak up if you want to
make a case the other way. If there is no objection that holds water, I
will recommend ending Williams' access to CSGnet.

If there is anyone else due for this treatment, now is also the time to
mention that.

Sitting in judgement on other people. What a bummer.

Bill P.

Something that I understand is that Bill W. has a vendetta about some of us
for writing about his area of expertise. Maybe, but I do not know for sure.
What I recommend if this vendetta exists: Sometimes, it is better to DROP
IT. Likewise, when something rubs you the wrong way, drop it. And if you are
going to pop in and drop your bombs, and then leave and not take
responsibility, just go away. Mind you, I am not really annoyed here being
sensitive, being wimpy, rather I am just pushing back, attempting to correct
the problem and have more of you reply that Bill W. needs to go, and that
others who sidetrack the PCT discussion be removed, too. Now, see how I try
to push back equally (or at least in my own perception, equally) against the
disturbance(s)? That is according to PCT theory. And then they attack my
pushing back. But I am not personally offended, you know. :stuck_out_tongue: I am
professionally offended (oh, what flies this will draw!).

There seems to be a real problem that Bill W. has with so-called relativism
(changing one's mind, not taking a stand, etc.). I don't claim to know the
fullness of his argument, other than he seems to get annoyed when people
take various points of view at the same time, change one's mind according to
new information, or reuse terminology by revisiting old information, and so
on. Maybe he is a splitter and I am a lumper, and the two strategies are
mutually inconceivable. I thought that knowledge as growth (see H.
Perkinson) was a proper view of scientific thought, that no knowledge is
ever set, nothing is ever true, nothing is ever finished, that there is
always more data, more data, more data... But from some people's points of
view, changing your mind, waffling, or seeing both sides, etc., are less
authoritative, more wimpy, or a chicken-s++t way of debating. They say you
have to be strong, you have to take a stand. Taking a stand that way is not
really science, if it means fitting the data to one's preconceived beliefs.
Science is how new data reshapes a current theory.

So, I am sorry to explictly recommend final moderation of Bill W., but yes,
I think it has to happen, moderation is the solution here, because
self-moderation has not seemed to be a successful strategy for Bill W. PCT
has a chance to positively influence how human behavior is thought of, but
in the present format, the CSGNET cannot help that happen. I agree that
sometimes some of us use phraseology that was downright out of place, but
remember this is a text forum, and 1) we have to be more tolerant of those
faux pas's [Michelle], and 2) we have to choose NOT to use them [Rick]
because of the likelihood that some folks are going to run wild with that
faux pas [consider evangelizing PCT], with a certain misplaced glee. BTW, I
let that happen, my bad.

Hmmm, my homily (!) has now gotten almost as big as yours. Well, look, I
think PCT is the best explanation we have so far, but it can't be an
explanation unless it gets heard (hence Oxford and Bath). There is a wider
audience, acceptance, or application, IMHO, but the current CSGNET
discussion prevents a new audience from being invited and becoming involved.
You are the arbiter of PCT, but you do so in a way that attracts criticism,
which is good! However at times, the coyotes use critique as a hammer-blow
instead of the precision tool it is meant to be. You are not at fault
therefore.

Actually, Bill P., it is not that much of a bummer now, cutting off Bill W.,
because it has already been a burden for you in the past. You have done the
work, dealing with this so long, taking so much concern for both the
offenders as well as the victims benefits. You have my respect for that. But
Bill W., and anyone else who uses this forum for their own entertainment,
needs to know that they can be bounced, if they continually hijack the
conversation. We don't want to further wreck the train we are riding.

--Bryan

[Note, I believe the use of firstname-lastname in discourse can sound rude,
such as "Rick Marken thinks that blah blah blah...", when it is very likely
that Rick would read it. He like anyone else, might expect to be addressed
personally in the vocative case as "Rick" or "you." We have two Bills here
[right now] and so I have used Bill P. and Bill W. as a way to distinguish
them. It's analogous to the him/her/they failure of the English language.
It's not my desire to sound rude, but if that happens, it is not intended
rudeness.]

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.20.0910)]

Bill Williams (19 June 2004 11:55 PM CST) --

All living control systems all have an agenda, so what.

Only that non- PCT agendas keep people from contributing to the only
agenda I care about, the agenda to which CSGNet is presumably
dedicated: PCT.

One of the appealing features of a control theory analysis of economic
behaviour is that control theory analysis can support an analysis in
which there is more than one good. Orthodox economic analysis based
upon the principle of maximization can only support an analysis of a
one good economy. (A little known fact.) By your claim that PCT is your
_only_ agenda you are, if you are to be believe, which you are not,
missing out on the potential for seeing life in terms of more than one
good-- PCT. When as you say, you have some free time an nothing better
to do, you might consider, in a sense, getting a life and caring about
more than one agenda.

Almost as unfortunate as your rather gratuitously calling
Michelle "an ignorant slut."

This is an example of what I call "vicious blather". Saying that I
called Michelle an ignorant slut is simply slander, the dictionary
definition of which is "a false and malicious statement or report about
someone". Using this slander once was not very nice. But repeating it
in nearly every other post is what I consider vicious blather. You
have repeatedly made other personal attacks, some aimed at me, others
aimed at Bill Powers, which I also consider vicious blather. So
statements like the above are what I was referring to as the "vicious
blather that passes for scientific discussion on Cygnet".

Actually since I made my claim in type the proper word, if what I said
had been false would have been libel. However, since you did call
Michelle "an ignorant slut" which by the way wasn't very nice at all.
My pointing this out was truthful rather than as you say "vicious
blather." But, then PCT has been built on such just such sophistologies.

Bill Williams

From[Bill Williams 20 June 2004 3:20 PM CST]

[From Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.20.1000 CDT)]

Bill P. et al.,

[Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]

...I will recommend that
silence be taken as assent to cutting him off...
...
Sitting in judgement on other people. What a bummer.

I don't like it either.

I am sure many of us are for diverse reasons find this a sad occassion.

I am teaching about PCT, as Gary Cziko taught at the UIUC in classes I
attended. I am summarizing it to a relatively unsophisticated group,

I am confident that this "unsophisicated group" has just the teacher they
need.

And, they might if they were exposed to Bill Powers' argument that going
to Mars wasn't goint to cost anything be very impressed with the science of
PCT economics.

But if I
would let any of them into the CSGNET discussions (!) that Bill W. and
others have whipped up, I am sorry to say that I would be very embarrassed
for inviting them in.

Not to worry. Like I say, just advise them to read selectively. Read Rick for
example-- expecially when he calls Michelle "an ignorant slut." Rick is a
past master of human relations, and the sophistological logic of PCT.

With a firm freedom of speech stance, it should be reasonable to allow any
speech into a forum and accept or ignore it. However, in almost every public
or private interaction, there is an agreement, either explicit or implicit,
to play along. By play along, we mean agree to share a level of tolerance so
that a communication can be accomplished. But we already know that the
classic "freedom of speech" excludes yelling 'fire!' in a theatre.

Typing "lies" and "fraud" isn't likely to cause a panic.

The same
thing goes for a forum with a particular agenda, such as business,
community, religious, special causes, family, and CSGNET. When a contributor
constantly takes the discussion off course, that is, hijacks the discussion,

"Hijacks the discussion." Now here is a good example of PCt sophistology.

it causes disturbance, grief, distrust, fear to contribute, and shame.

Just like those nasty ragged ragheads, cause Rick a sour smomach.

Dang-it, that hijacker, that coyote, that person needs to be corralled, and
finally dismissed.

Why don't you just have Bill Powers bite me? Would that bee sufficient?

That is my view, and I am just as sorry about it as you
are, Bill P. It has to be done for the good of the CSGNET.

Yes, tjhe poor old CSGnet can not stand any more confusion about the cost or
the absence thereof, of going to Mars.

Just as in the
article that Stefan cited about the needs of others vs. the disruption
caused by one:

[Stefan Balke (2004.06.18 CET)] citing:

"Wer den Unterricht stort, oder schlimmer, in der Klasse schreit, muss in
den Trainingsraum. Dort muss ein Plan erstellt werden, der belegen soll, wie
der Storenfried kunftig auf vernunftige Weise am Unterricht teilnehmen
will."

"He who disturbs the lesson, or worse, shouts in the class, must go to the
Training Room. There, a plan must be created that describes, how the
disrupter [~will return to the lesson, taking part in the class]." What does

that resemble here? I, for one, think that we have gone beyond that step on
CSGNET: Now, the disrupters simply have to go. "So it goes." (Vonnegut).

I am sure Kurt would be proud to be quoted by Bryan.

The identity of those who have disrupted in the past here at CSGNET are Bill
Williams, Marc Abrams, Boss Man, and perhaps a few others. Maybe me. I will
go if it means that they go.

I guess Bryan wants to become a PCT hero too.

But the deal is that no one would have to go if
these guys would just mind their behavior.

Like bend over when Bill Powers wants to bite us?

But sadly, this has not happened.

Yes, and not it is time to say, "I see you have choosen.... "

And here is where I have gone off track, as Rick *properly* accuses me, by
being distracted by these guys. My bad, equally. So we have to fix it. Have
to.

Bryan, there is no reason for you to feel bad. There are other slow learners
in the regular classroom too.

Each of us is individually controlling his/her perception of CSGNET by
posting/replying to CSGNET or by replying off-line, in order to arrive at a
CSGNET inbox perception that is least discrepant with our (_each person's_)
reference for how it should appear. Do I have that right? CSGNET control
also includes discussing PCT and its applications, describing basic research
(modeling, etc.), doing applied research (test of the self as a control
system), and even how to express PCT in a common understanding of perceptual
control (MSOB).

And, when it gets boring telling fibs about how it isn't going to cost anything
to go to Mars.

You know, I once innocently used the word *evangelize* (knowing full well
another meaning, religious evangelization, exists. I trusted that the
generic meaning would be the one taken instead), but the subject headings
that Williams used mocked my good intentions.

I guess "mocking" is a non-PCT correct mode of expression on the CSGnet.
However, telling Michelle that she is "an ignorant slut" well that is an
different matter.

Frankly, that sophomoric behavior of his sickens me.

I don't have time today to explain to you that it is your reference level for
a certain kind of speach rather than my speech that "sickens" you.

Now, before I push with true equal force back against his disturbance, let
me merely explain what Bill W. and others have been doing to this group.
(I am not going to take time to pick the exact terminology, but heck, those
who would improperly pick at it, Bill W., Boss Man, and Marc, still get deleted
from my CSGNET inbox, so I won't see their replies!)

More slamming doors, or as the guy said, "Shut up, he explained."

First, they land a bombshell of some sort, on the basis of a person's
isplaced word/phrase, inexactly used terminology, or just, as Bill W. had
said before I cut him off, "for the fun of it."

And, what is wrong with having fun anyway?

They use course [sic coarse?] [or unacceptable language in this forum as
a weapon.

But, it perfectly OK if Bill Powers calls poor Ludwig von Mises an asshole.

What each of us does is push back against these twistings of the CSGNET
inbox (on each of our computers), with varying amounts of gain and
completeness.

Then--- the disrupters come out from their hiding place and describe,
post facto, that our subsequent pushing back is the real crime, shifting
focus away from their original bad behavior.

I suppose that if one really took the time they would find that Ludwig von
Mises probably called Bill Powers "dog poop." And, that made Bill Powers
call Ludwig an asshole.

Marc has in the past apologized for acting
badly like this, sure, but Bill W. actually exults in the trick.

Well, I did have a really hard time convincing Ludwig to call Bill Powers
dog poop. Maybe that was my most orginial sin.

So what the heck?

So what the heck indeed. But, not to worry. PCT sophistology will provide
an answer.

Then, in the aftermath, they drop in posts that they reckon may cause
further grief or error (this is the Test of the Controlled Variable), and
then continue to milk the situation for what it's worth.

Speaking of "milking the situation for what it's worth." What about people
like Bill Powers not telling the truth, or at least the whole truth in public,
Then other people are charging money for stuff that isn't the whole truth--
which probably won't be public because the people taking the money don't mind
not telling the truth. And, telling the truth might have an adverse impact on
the business plan. And, then people start worrying about things like who did
I tell the public "truth" to and who has the real inside skinny.

This causes me, Rick, Dick, Bill P. and Mary, Phil, and countless others
severe grief,

What ought to be causing these people and countless others grief, is the fraud
that is being put on. That is a genuine cause for if you want to be dramatic
about it grief.

Bryan likes to call me-- the original offender. For Bryan it

is simply untenable.

That someone would have the gall to question a system that Bill Powers and his
conspirers in a PCT sophistology have built up into a fraud.

For example, when I hear someone examining "I see you have chosen" (you
know, *that* old one!) I see a tentative, qualitatively scientific
examination of how words don't seem to fit the theory, and an attempt to
work through it. That was my original view of that thing. Yet, there were
several coyotes who baited Rick, twisted that attempt, and destroyed what
good was intended.

As a matter of record anyone that wishes to can check and see that Bill Powers
described Rick's motives in terms of, hatred.

When I sincerely try to examine a topic in CSGNET, and get my face ripped
off by one of these coyotes,

The CSGnet is not for the faint hearted.

I feel that again, it was not worth it, and that I am not meet[sic meat]
("I am not worthy!" -Meyers) for these vast intellects who regularly post
here. And then, I come back. Why? Because its about PCT.

See, that is why the coyotes have to go.

If Bryan is feel he needs to be protected from the "coyotes" then I guess the
coyotes have to go. then he may feel say to say, "Great post Bill." and there
won't be any doubt about which Bill feels safe to post scientific opinions--
like how it isn't going to cost anything to go to Mars.

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]
...
I don't think there's any "if" any more (a word Bill Williams seems
inexplicably unable to grasp). It's no longer a matter of saying he ought
to be booted out if he continues in the present vein.

Well if I stay, I don't plan on forgetting stuff-- like the learned economic
opinions-- like poor ole Ludwig being called an asshole, and it not costing
anything to go to Mars, and Keynes' User cost being a part of tax fraud.

I'm being presumptuous,

Nothing at all new, in Bill Powers being presumtuous.

of course, but if anyone wishes to make a case for letting
him continue, now is the time to do it, right now.

Everybody can step right up and Rick can call you "an ignorant slut."

I will recommend that
silence be taken as assent to cutting him off, so speak up if you want to
make a case the other way. If there is no objection that holds water, I
will recommend ending Williams' access to CSGnet.

I wonder if Bill Powers has ever read, Marc Twain's examination of Mary
Baker Eddie's consitutional charter for the Christian Science Church.

Something that I understand is that Bill W. has a vendetta about some of us
for writing about his area of expertise.

Even I feel inclined to stick up for poor ole Ludwig when Bill Powers calls
him an "asshole." And, calling my fable "Running Naked in the Forest" a
"vendetta" is a bit of a stretch. I was please to hear Bill Powers say that
dealing with the credentialized experts in economics was, I think he said,
difficult. And, I liked it when Rick said economics isn't for the faint-hearted.
But, it really is going to cost, even cost the economy, a lot if we send an
excursion to Mars.

Maybe, but I do not know for sure. What I recommend if this vendetta exists:
Sometimes, it is better to DROP IT.

Bryan, just because you capitalise "DrOP IT" do you really think this is going
to have any effect on me? Why should it when I know that Bill Powers has been
saying one thing in private and another thing in public-- and the two messages
are directly contradictory.

Likewise, when something rubs you the wrong way, drop it.

Uhm, Bryan, may I point out something to you? Like Kant's test for a policy.
What would happen if everybody took your advice and "dropped it." Suppose you
"dropped it." Would you have typed this Post that I am having such a good time
with?

And if you are going to pop in and drop your bombs, and then leave

I like your description of my posts as "bombs." But, I haven't mentioned anything
about "leaving." Bill Powers is threatening to kick me off the CSGnet, but that
is a differnt thing than my leaving.

Bryan takes up the phrase about " taking responsiblity." This is just as rich a
phrase as "I see you have chosen..."

and not take responsibility, just go away.

But, you see I do take responsiblity in the sense that I am ready to defend my
claims,

Rick really shouldn't have called Michelle "an ignorant slut."

Bill Powers didn't, at least shouldn't have needed to call Ludwig an asshole.

Bill Powers was very badly mistaken when he claimed it wouldn't cost anything to
go to Mars. ( I enjoyed it enourmously when Peter described me as having the soul
of an accountant. ) There will be you can be sure a substantial cost if we send
people to Mars.

Mind you, I am not really annoyed here being sensitive, being wimpy, rather I
am just pushing back, attempting to correct the problem.

Of course people telling one story in public and saying something else quite differnt
in private do have a problem. If people want to go on telling lies then they may need
a protected environment in which to tell their lies.

and have more of you reply that Bill W. needs to go, and that

others who sidetrack the PCT discussion be removed, too. Now, see how I try
to push back equally (or at least in my own perception, equally) against the
disturbance(s)? That is according to PCT theory.

PCT sophistology, I will admit is wonderful. I hope everyone knows how to say
"sophistology" and "relativism." These are words to remember.

And then they attack my pushing back. But I am not personally offended, you
know. :stuck_out_tongue: I am professionally offended (oh, what flies this will draw!).

Since people have figured out a business plan that allows them to take money
for dispensing a PCT sophistology, I don't see why Bryan need feel any particular
embarssment.

There seems to be a real problem that Bill W. has with so-called relativism
(changing one's mind, not taking a stand, etc.). I don't claim to know the
fullness of his argument, other than he seems to get annoyed when people
take various points of view at the same time, change one's mind according to
ew information, or reuse terminology by revisiting old information, and so
on.

I can fill Bryan in a bit here. When I see that people are saying one thing in
public and a directly contrary thing in private I think that I am justified in
calling this a fraud. When money is being taken in public for a program that
is being promoted in public for being one thing, while administration of the
program is in private is quite differnt in private then I think this is a fraud.

People can change their mind, but speaking with forked tongue is something quite
different.

Maybe he is a splitter and I am a lumper, and the two strategies are
mutually inconceivable.

I don't see this as the source of the difficulty. The source of the difficulty
as I see it is that people have gone down paths, perhaps innocently at first,
but mistakenly. Without having an adaquate insight as to where these paths
lead they have made some mistakes and then been unwilling to abandon them.
Stuff happens that they never intended, and then what to do? When they think
that they can lie their way out of an awkward spot then things can get nasty.

I thought that knowledge as growth (see H.
Perkinson) was a proper view of scientific thought, that no knowledge is
ever set, nothing is ever true, nothing is ever finished, that there is
always more data, more data, more data... But from some people's points of
view, changing your mind, waffling, or seeing both sides, etc., are less
authoritative, more wimpy, or a chicken-s++t way of debating.

I don't see that what Bryan is talking about here has anything to do with the
problem that has developed.

They say you
have to be strong, you have to take a stand. Taking a stand that way is not
really science, if it means fitting the data to one's preconceived beliefs.
Science is how new data reshapes a current theory.

I don't see that what Bryan is talking about here has anything to do with the
problem that has developed.

So,

Bryan make think that he has present a cogent argument. I don't see that any
argument has been presented.

I am sorry to explictly recommend final moderation of Bill W.,

Is this like a "final solution?"

but yes,
I think it has to happen, moderation is the solution here, because
self-moderation has not seemed to be a successful strategy for Bill W.

I think "a successful strategy for Bill Williams" is to go on pointing out that
despite what Bill Powers says, it really is going to cost something to go to Mars.
That the PCT sophistology eventuates into people being told, you should just
"Drop it." and nod your head. Lies are gettng told. Bryan's solution seems to
be to ignore the direction in which the mistaken PCT sophistology has gone.

PCT has a chance to positively influence how human behavior is thought
of, but in the present format, the CSGNET cannot help that happen.

I would think that a positive influence would be accompanied by fewer lies being
told. Instead PCT is being used to provide a cover for new lies.

I agree that sometimes some of us use phraseology that was downright out of
place,

I think the problem has gone well beyond a matter of an inept use of an unfamilar
nominclature.

but remember this is a text forum, and 1) we have to be more tolerant of those
faux pas's [Michelle], and 2) we have to choose NOT to use them [Rick]
because of the likelihood that some folks are going to run wild with that
faux pas [consider evangelizing PCT], with a certain misplaced glee. BTW, I
let that happen, my bad.

What Bryan call "running wild" could also be desscribed as making an effective use
of retoric to make a point persuasively. How words are used can sometimes make a
great difference in how the argument is percieved. In contemporary terms the
"framing" can make a great difference in how people perceive an argument that is
being made. Most people are not going to be prepared to make a judgment about the
merits of Keynesian economics, however, in the case of the costs of going to Mars,
many people after considering Bill Powers' argument that it isn't going to cost any
thing, and my criticism of Bill Powers' argument may find that there is a measure
of truth in the old adage-- "There is no such thing as a free lunch." I think for
one Dick Robertson may have seen the Mars project differently.

Hmmm, my homily (!) has now gotten almost as big as yours. Well, look, I
think PCT is the best explanation we have so far, but it can't be an
explanation unless it gets heard (hence Oxford and Bath).

Believe me PCT is getting heard. Getting the message out is one thing. But, there
is also the matter of whether when, as Ed Ford says, "The rubber hits the road."
people find the message believable. The thing about human beings is that, if they
have to they can listen to what you say, nod their heads, get on with their lives,
and permit you to tell them what they know are lies. Then you may later wonder
why is my program upside down in a ditch? Well, when no body with any power is
looking, the people without any power, the people who have been lied to and told
to just drop it and shut-up will throw some switches and everything will go smash.

There is a wider
audience, acceptance, or application, IMHO, but the current CSGNET
discussion prevents a new audience from being invited and becoming involved.
You are the arbiter of PCT, but you do so in a way that attracts criticism,
which is good! However at times, the coyotes use critique as a hammer-blow

I hope you are talking about my "Running Naked in the Forest fable."

instead of the precision tool it is meant to be.

I think someone once described satire as a bloodless knife. However, in my hands,
at least in my present stage of mastery, satire is not what you could call a
precison instrument.

You are not at fault therefore.

While Bill Powers may not actually be at fault, if it does turn out that the
Mars project actually does cost something could be send the tab to Bill Powers?

Actually, Bill P., it is not that much of a bummer now, cutting off Bill W.,
because it has already been a burden for you in the past.

No, I think Bill Powers may have reorganized away his former comittments. Or,
maybe this is just a bluff. Not that it makes any differnce, in whether I would
accept moderation that defends a lie.

You have done the work, dealing with this so long, taking so much concern
for both the offenders as well as the victims benefits.

Who are the victims? The people telling lies, or the people seeking to expose
the lies.

You have my respect for that.

How, can you respect a man who is attempting to defend lies?

But Bill W., and anyone else who uses this forum for their own entertainment,

So, I guess you believe that it won't cost anything to go to Mars?

needs to know that they can be bounced, if they continually hijack the
conversation.

"Hijack." I suppose what is worse is that I am a terrorist hijacker rathr than
simply a poor fool who hijacks because it is cheap "entertainment."

Byran concludes by saying,

> We don't want to further wreck the train we are riding.

When "train we are riding" becomes a lie, then the wreckage has already been in
large part done by the people who expect to be listened to by people who will
nod their heads.

[Note, I believe the use of firstname-lastname in discourse can sound rude,
such as "Rick Marken thinks that blah blah blah...", when it is very likely
that Rick would read it. He like anyone else, might expect to be addressed
personally in the vocative case as "Rick" or "you." We have two Bills here
[right now] and so I have used Bill P. and Bill W. as a way to distinguish
them. It's analogous to the him/her/they failure of the English language.
It's not my desire to sound rude, but if that happens, it is not intended
rudeness.]

No offense taken, I find dialog conducted by way of these E-mail posts has its
own peculiar awkwardness. Adjustments I suppose will take place and evenutally
people will learn how to use the new context more effetively. One of the things
that I expect might be learned is that if you lie you ought to expect to be
found out.

Bill Williams

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.20.2130)]

Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.20.1000 CDT) --

Something that I understand is that Bill W. has a vendetta about some
of us
for writing about his area of expertise.

I think it's more like possessiveness than vendetta. Bill W. believes
a degree in economics is needed before you can think about economics,
let alone talk about it. Economics is his baby and he doesn't want the
uncredentialed hoi polloi to rock the boat.

I agree that
sometimes some of us use phraseology that was downright out of place,
but
remember this is a text forum, and 1) we have to be more tolerant of
those
faux pas's [Michelle], and 2) we have to choose NOT to use them [Rick]
because of the likelihood that some folks are going to run wild with
that
faux pas [consider evangelizing PCT], with a certain misplaced glee.

There was no faux pas in my "ignorant slut" comment. I was asking
Michelle how she would feel if she were insulted. "Ignorant slut" was
the example I chose of an insulting phrase. I could have stated the
hypothetical differently, perhaps, like "what if someone called you an
ivory soap" but I don't think that such a phrase would have made the
point quite as well.

The point was that insults are disturbances to controlled variables and
its hard to resist pushing back against them. I asked Michelle how she
would feel if she were insulted because she had been chiding me for
responding to Bill Williams' insults (rather than chiding Bill Williams
for doing the insulting). I wanted to have Michelle think about how
she would feel if she were called an ignorant slut so that she could
see how hard it is to ignore such insults. Her reaction to my question
-- which was to push back against it as though I had insulted her--
makes my point. Michelle reacted to the hypothetical insult as though
I had actually insulted her, showing how hard it is to avoid reacting
to insults even when you are not being insulted.

Bill Williams has been having a great time making believe that I
actually did insult Michelle, but that's just how he operates. He finds
little phrases (or, more often, invents the phrases), turns them into
insulting little mantras, attributes the invented phrases to his
targets and repeats them ad nauseum, like "Bill Powers says the Mars
program doesn't cost anything" or "Rick Marken thinks pedophiles should
be police".

There's really nothing that can be done about this other than ignoring
it (or preventing Williams from posting; an attractive option because
it would instantly make CSGNet an attractive place to refer newcomers
to PCT). Most of Bill Williams' mantras are only vaguely related to
what people have said, the Mars program being an excellent example.
Bill Powers said that the Mars program would not cost the economy
anything. That's because the money is being transferred from one part
of the economy (government) to another (producer/consumers working on
the space industry). Bill Williams made up his little mantra to make
it seem like Bill Powers had said that the Mars program would cost
nothing, which, of course, is absurd. The government will pay
trillions for the program. But all those trillions are just moving from
one part of the economy (from all taxpayers via the government) to
another (the subset of taxpayers working on the Mars program). All
those trillions are still in the economy, so the Mars program has cost
the economy nothing.

Best regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

From[Bill Williams 20 June 2004 11:55 PM CST]

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.20.2130)]

Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.20.1000 CDT) --

Something that I understand is that Bill W. has a vendetta about some of us for writing about his area of expertise.

I think it's more like possessiveness than vendetta. Bill W. >believes a degree in economics is needed before you can think >about economics, let alone talk about it. Economics is his baby >and he doesn't want the uncredentialed hoi polloi to rock the >boat.

Given that Bill Powers is entirely serious, and so is Rick Marken that,

the Mars program [will] cost the economy nothing

I don't think either Bill Powers or Rick Marken will ever be considered as a prospect for director of the Congressional Budget Office. I don't think this little bit of economic analysis poses a danger of rocking any boats anywhere-- unless that is some people in boats happen to hear of this, and then the boats might start rocking as a result of people laughing.

If Bill Powers and Rick Marken want to defend the assertion that sending people to Mars won't cost anything then I am happy for them to use this bit of economic reasoning as an exemplar of the power of PCT econmics. It is an entirely worthy follow on to Bill Powers' dad's _leakages_ thesis.

And, Rick if you have to explain to Bryan why you never actually called Michelle "an ignorant slut" then Bryan's impression that you made a mistake might suggest to you that denying that you called her "an ignorant slut" is a lost cause. For a pyschologist you don't seem to know much about logic. Consider your ill advised statement to Bryan that,

There was no faux pas in my "ignorant slut" comment.

Well, of course not. Your calling Michelle "an ignorant slut." wasn't a "fux pas" at all. You did it on purpose. I think most people undertand this. Keep this up and pretty soon at least some people, maybe Bryan, will think you ate half of Lanna Turnner. After the mistake you made there isn't really anyway you can win this argument. I would have thought Bill Powers would have figured this out, but now he is starting to make the same mistake you are-- that is thinking you can win this argument.

Bill Williams

I agree that
sometimes some of us use phraseology that was downright out of place,
but
remember this is a text forum, and 1) we have to be more tolerant of
those
faux pas's [Michelle], and 2) we have to choose NOT to use them [Rick]
because of the likelihood that some folks are going to run wild with
that
faux pas [consider evangelizing PCT], with a certain misplaced glee.

There was no faux pas in my "ignorant slut" comment. I was asking
Michelle how she would feel if she were insulted. "Ignorant slut" was
the example I chose of an insulting phrase. I could have stated the
hypothetical differently, perhaps, like "what if someone called you an
ivory soap" but I don't think that such a phrase would have made the
point quite as well.

The point was that insults are disturbances to controlled variables and
its hard to resist pushing back against them. I asked Michelle how she
would feel if she were insulted because she had been chiding me for
responding to Bill Williams' insults (rather than chiding Bill Williams
for doing the insulting). I wanted to have Michelle think about how
she would feel if she were called an ignorant slut so that she could
see how hard it is to ignore such insults. Her reaction to my question
-- which was to push back against it as though I had insulted her--
makes my point. Michelle reacted to the hypothetical insult as though
I had actually insulted her, showing how hard it is to avoid reacting
to insults even when you are not being insulted.

Bill Williams has been having a great time making believe that I
actually did insult Michelle, but that's just how he operates. He finds
little phrases (or, more often, invents the phrases), turns them into
insulting little mantras, attributes the invented phrases to his
targets and repeats them ad nauseum, like "Bill Powers says the Mars
program doesn't cost anything" or "Rick Marken thinks pedophiles should
be police".

There's really nothing that can be done about this other than ignoring
it (or preventing Williams from posting; an attractive option because
it would instantly make CSGNet an attractive place to refer newcomers
to PCT). Most of Bill Williams' mantras are only vaguely related to
what people have said, the Mars program being an excellent example.
Bill Powers said that the Mars program would not cost the economy
anything. That's because the money is being transferred from one part
of the economy (government) to another (producer/consumers working on
the space industry). Bill Williams made up his little mantra to make
it seem like Bill Powers had said that the Mars program would cost
nothing, which, of course, is absurd. The government will pay
trillions for the program. But all those trillions are just moving from
one part of the economy (from all taxpayers via the government) to
another (the subset of taxpayers working on the Mars program). All
those trillions are still in the economy, so the Mars program has cost
the economy nothing.

Best regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.210815 MDT)]

Rick Marken (2004.06.20.2130) --

I think that from now on, when we say anything faintly critical of anyone
else's writings, a reference to the exact passage should be cited verbatim,
in context. This will be inconvenient sometimes, since it means either
searching through old posts for the reference or giving up on it. So
consider these statements of yours from today's post:

I think it's more like possessiveness than vendetta. Bill W. believes
a degree in economics is needed before you can think about economics,
let alone talk about it. Economics is his baby and he doesn't want the
uncredentialed hoi polloi to rock the boat.

and

I wanted to have Michelle think about how she would feel if she were
called an ignorant slut so that she could see how hard it is to ignore
such insults. Her reaction to my question -- which was to push back
against it as though I had insulted her-- makes my point.

These are examples of what I mean (as is my quotation of what you said).
The first paragraph above would be hard to substantiate since it is a
conclusion about what someone else thinks; you'd need some pretty strong
evidence, or you'd havbe to change the wording to something you could
support with citations. The second one might be easier, except that your
interpretation of what Michelle's reaction was doesn't seem to agree with
hers. So the readers, including me, would like to see exactly what she said
-- if re-reading doesn't lead you to change your mind, and if you still
think it's an argument worth winning..

In the past we've mixed public and private communications on the net
without paying much attention to the fact that there are a hundred or so
onlookers, perhaps many more through indirect channels. I think we need to
use direct email to say things we just want to vent, as opposed to things
we are willing to put on the record and justify. Simply having a strong
opinion isn't enough to go public with it. That's my take on "peer review",
anyway.

Best,

Bill P.

···

  Michelle reacted to the hypothetical insult as though
I had actually insulted her, showing how hard it is to avoid reacting
to insults even when you are not being insulted.

Bill Williams has been having a great time making believe that I
actually did insult Michelle, but that's just how he operates. He finds
little phrases (or, more often, invents the phrases), turns them into
insulting little mantras, attributes the invented phrases to his
targets and repeats them ad nauseum, like "Bill Powers says the Mars
program doesn't cost anything" or "Rick Marken thinks pedophiles should
be police".

There's really nothing that can be done about this other than ignoring
it (or preventing Williams from posting; an attractive option because
it would instantly make CSGNet an attractive place to refer newcomers
to PCT). Most of Bill Williams' mantras are only vaguely related to
what people have said, the Mars program being an excellent example.
Bill Powers said that the Mars program would not cost the economy
anything. That's because the money is being transferred from one part
of the economy (government) to another (producer/consumers working on
the space industry). Bill Williams made up his little mantra to make
it seem like Bill Powers had said that the Mars program would cost
nothing, which, of course, is absurd. The government will pay
trillions for the program. But all those trillions are just moving from
one part of the economy (from all taxpayers via the government) to
another (the subset of taxpayers working on the Mars program). All
those trillions are still in the economy, so the Mars program has cost
the economy nothing.

Best regards

Rick
---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

This is Phil Runkel commenting on Marken's news of 2004.06.19.1115:

Thanks for your news about your talk at Oxford. Glad it uncovered some
honest interest. Did you get no disparaging, belittling remarks?

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.21.1323 MDT)]

Bryan Thalhammer (2004.06.20.1000 CDT) --
Rick Marken (2004.06.19.1115 PDT) --

"I think it would serve PCT much better if you, too, would spend your time
trying to publish in conventional academic journals

I suppose I agree with both of you. I've been working sporadically on
possible papers, but without much enthusiasm. Visions of how they will be
received don't leave me feeling encouraged. But "the coward dies a thousand
deaths," so I will try to be brave and die but once.

Bill Williams' posts no longer reach me, so what is done on CSGnet will be
done for the sake of visitors. My vote is recorded.

Best,

Bill P.

···

And the agenda of a refereed review of a PCT article (unless there is biased
and therefore not scientific review) is the publication of a PCT article in
that journal.

I am teaching about PCT, as Gary Cziko taught at the UIUC in classes I
attended. I am summarizing it to a relatively unsophisticated group, just to
give them a flavor of PCT, and that there is more out there than S/R,
Maslow, constructivism, etc. as explanations of human behavior. But if I
would let any of them into the CSGNET discussions (!) that Bill W. and
others have whipped up, I am sorry to say that I would be very embarrassed
for inviting them in.

With a firm freedom of speech stance, it should be reasonable to allow any
speech into a forum and accept or ignore it. However, in almost every public
or private interaction, there is an agreement, either explicit or implicit,
to play along. By play along, we mean agree to share a level of tolerance so
that a communication can be accomplished. But we already know that the
classic "freedom of speech" excludes yelling 'fire!' in a theatre. The same
thing goes for a forum with a particular agenda, such as business,
community, religious, special causes, family, and CSGNET. When a contributor
constantly takes the discussion off course, that is, hijacks the discussion,
it causes disturbance, grief, distrust, fear to contribute, and shame.
Dang-it, that hijacker, that coyote, that person needs to be corralled, and
finally dismissed. That is my view, and I am just as sorry about it as you
are, Bill P. It has to be done for the good of the CSGNET. Just as in the
article that Stefan cited about the needs of others vs. the disruption
caused by one:

[Stefan Balke (2004.06.18 CET)] citing:

"Wer den Unterricht stort, oder schlimmer, in der Klasse schreit, muss in
den Trainingsraum. Dort muss ein Plan erstellt werden, der belegen soll, wie
der Storenfried kunftig auf vernunftige Weise am Unterricht teilnehmen
will."

"He who disturbs the lesson, or worse, shouts in the class, must go to the
Training Room. There, a plan must be created that describes, how the
disrupter [~will return to the lesson, taking part in the class]." What does
that resemble here? I, for one, think that we have gone beyond that step on
CSGNET: Now, the disrupters simply have to go. "So it goes." (Vonnegut).

The identity of those who have disrupted in the past here at CSGNET are Bill
Williams, Marc Abrams, Boss Man, and perhaps a few others. Maybe me. I will
go if it means that they go. But the deal is that no one would have to go if
these guys would just mind their behavior. But sadly, this has not happened.
And here is where I have gone off track, as Rick *properly* accuses me, by
being distracted by these guys. My bad, equally. So we have to fix it. Have
to.

Each of us is individually controlling his/her perception of CSGNET by
posting/replying to CSGNET or by replying off-line, in order to arrive at a
CSGNET inbox perception that is least discrepant with our (_each person's_)
reference for how it should appear. Do I have that right? CSGNET control
also includes discussing PCT and its applications, describing basic research
(modeling, etc.), doing applied research (test of the self as a control
system), and even how to express PCT in a common understanding of perceptual
control (MSOB).

You know, I once innocently used the word *evangelize* (knowing full well
another meaning, religious evangelization, exists. I trusted that the
generic meaning would be the one taken instead), but the subject headings
that Williams used mocked my good intentions. Frankly, that sophomoric
behavior of his sickens me. Now, before I push with true equal force back
against his disturbance, let me merely explain what Bill W. and others have
been doing to this group. (I am not going to take time to pick the exact
terminology, but heck, those who would improperly pick at it, Bill W., Boss
Man, and Marc, still get deleted from my CSGNET inbox, so I won't see their
replies!)

First, they land a bombshell of some sort, on the basis of a person's
misplaced word/phrase, inexactly used terminology, or just, as Bill W. had
said before I cut him off, "for the fun of it." They use course or
unacceptable language in this forum as a weapon. What each of us does is
push back against these twistings of the CSGNET inbox (on each of our
computers), with varying amounts of gain and completeness. Then--- the
disrupters come out from their hiding place and describe, post facto, that
our subsequent pushing back is the real crime, shifting focus away from
their original bad behavior. Marc has in the past apologized for acting
badly like this, sure, but Bill W. actually exults in the trick. So what the
heck? Then, in the aftermath, they drop in posts that they reckon may cause
further grief or error (this is the Test of the Controlled Variable), and
then continue to milk the situation for what it's worth. This causes me,
Rick, Dick, Bill P. and Mary, Phil, and countless others severe grief, and
it doesn't seem that the original offenders mind at all. That is simply
untenable.

For example, when I hear someone examining "I see you have chosen" (you
know, *that* old one!) I see a tentative, qualitatively scientific
examination of how words don't seem to fit the theory, and an attempt to
work through it. That was my original view of that thing. Yet, there were
several coyotes who baited Rick, twisted that attempt, and destroyed what
good was intended. When I sincerely try to examine a topic in CSGNET, and
get my face ripped off by one of these coyotes, I feel that again, it was
not worth it, and that I am not meet ("I am not worthy!" -Meyers) for these
vast intellects who regularly post here. And then, I come back. Why? Because
its about PCT. See, that is why the coyotes have to go.

> [From Bill Powers (2004.06.20.0107 MDT)]
> ...
> I don't think there's any "if" any more (a word Bill Williams seems
> inexplicably unable to grasp). It's no longer a matter of saying he ought
> to be booted out if he continues in the present vein. I'm being
> presumptuous, of course, but if anyone wishes to make a case for letting
> him continue, now is the time to do it, right now. I will recommend that
> silence be taken as assent to cutting him off, so speak up if you want to
> make a case the other way. If there is no objection that holds water, I
> will recommend ending Williams' access to CSGnet.
>
> If there is anyone else due for this treatment, now is also the time to
> mention that.
>
> Sitting in judgement on other people. What a bummer.
>
> Bill P.

Something that I understand is that Bill W. has a vendetta about some of us
for writing about his area of expertise. Maybe, but I do not know for sure.
What I recommend if this vendetta exists: Sometimes, it is better to DROP
IT. Likewise, when something rubs you the wrong way, drop it. And if you are
going to pop in and drop your bombs, and then leave and not take
responsibility, just go away. Mind you, I am not really annoyed here being
sensitive, being wimpy, rather I am just pushing back, attempting to correct
the problem and have more of you reply that Bill W. needs to go, and that
others who sidetrack the PCT discussion be removed, too. Now, see how I try
to push back equally (or at least in my own perception, equally) against the
disturbance(s)? That is according to PCT theory. And then they attack my
pushing back. But I am not personally offended, you know. :stuck_out_tongue: I am
professionally offended (oh, what flies this will draw!).

There seems to be a real problem that Bill W. has with so-called relativism
(changing one's mind, not taking a stand, etc.). I don't claim to know the
fullness of his argument, other than he seems to get annoyed when people
take various points of view at the same time, change one's mind according to
new information, or reuse terminology by revisiting old information, and so
on. Maybe he is a splitter and I am a lumper, and the two strategies are
mutually inconceivable. I thought that knowledge as growth (see H.
Perkinson) was a proper view of scientific thought, that no knowledge is
ever set, nothing is ever true, nothing is ever finished, that there is
always more data, more data, more data... But from some people's points of
view, changing your mind, waffling, or seeing both sides, etc., are less
authoritative, more wimpy, or a chicken-s++t way of debating. They say you
have to be strong, you have to take a stand. Taking a stand that way is not
really science, if it means fitting the data to one's preconceived beliefs.
Science is how new data reshapes a current theory.

So, I am sorry to explictly recommend final moderation of Bill W., but yes,
I think it has to happen, moderation is the solution here, because
self-moderation has not seemed to be a successful strategy for Bill W. PCT
has a chance to positively influence how human behavior is thought of, but
in the present format, the CSGNET cannot help that happen. I agree that
sometimes some of us use phraseology that was downright out of place, but
remember this is a text forum, and 1) we have to be more tolerant of those
faux pas's [Michelle], and 2) we have to choose NOT to use them [Rick]
because of the likelihood that some folks are going to run wild with that
faux pas [consider evangelizing PCT], with a certain misplaced glee. BTW, I
let that happen, my bad.

Hmmm, my homily (!) has now gotten almost as big as yours. Well, look, I
think PCT is the best explanation we have so far, but it can't be an
explanation unless it gets heard (hence Oxford and Bath). There is a wider
audience, acceptance, or application, IMHO, but the current CSGNET
discussion prevents a new audience from being invited and becoming involved.
You are the arbiter of PCT, but you do so in a way that attracts criticism,
which is good! However at times, the coyotes use critique as a hammer-blow
instead of the precision tool it is meant to be. You are not at fault
therefore.

Actually, Bill P., it is not that much of a bummer now, cutting off Bill W.,
because it has already been a burden for you in the past. You have done the
work, dealing with this so long, taking so much concern for both the
offenders as well as the victims benefits. You have my respect for that. But
Bill W., and anyone else who uses this forum for their own entertainment,
needs to know that they can be bounced, if they continually hijack the
conversation. We don't want to further wreck the train we are riding.

--Bryan

[Note, I believe the use of firstname-lastname in discourse can sound rude,
such as "Rick Marken thinks that blah blah blah...", when it is very likely
that Rick would read it. He like anyone else, might expect to be addressed
personally in the vocative case as "Rick" or "you." We have two Bills here
[right now] and so I have used Bill P. and Bill W. as a way to distinguish
them. It's analogous to the him/her/they failure of the English language.
It's not my desire to sound rude, but if that happens, it is not intended
rudeness.]

From[Bill Williams 21 June 2004 2:30 PM CST]

[From Bill Powers (2004.06.210815 MDT)]

In an extension to Burce Nevin's suggestions concerning a Peer review system Bill Powers proposes that observance of some rules would improve communications on the CSGnet. Bill Powers illustrates the application of these rules in the context of some recent posts by Rick Marken. I don't seen anything in Bill Powers' post that I would take exception to, at least exception in detail. Perhaps the illustration might have been more persuasive if Bill Powers had selected passages from his own posts for use in illustrating his point.

However helpful adherance to some rules might be, even if they are consistently adhered to, the adoption of rules of howewver well chosen rules, considered in issolation, seems to me unlikely to provide a solution to the problems which have been encountered on the CSGnet. Bill Powers has made it plain that his judgment is going to ultimately determine what happens in CSG and CSGnet. This is not compatible with my understanding of a peer review process, and it introduces an element of subjectivity. In a recent post Bill Powers' "Manefesto" as I understand that post made a forthright declaration that Martin Taylor, Bruce Nevin, and Bill Williams approached human behavior in ways that are incompatible with the way that Bill Powers wishes to study human behavior.

I have a continuing interest in economic issues, and as a part of Bill Powers' post is a passage from Rick Marken. It says,

Bill Williams made up his little mantra to make
it seem like Bill Powers had said that the Mars program would cost
nothing, which, of course, is absurd. The government will pay
trillions for the program. But all those trillions are just moving from
one part of the economy (from all taxpayers via the government) to
another (the subset of taxpayers working on the Mars program). All
those trillions are still in the economy, so the Mars program has cost
the economy nothing.

Consider, Rick charges me with having

made up his little mantra to make is seem that Bill Powers has said that the Mars program would cost nothing.

However, in the conclusion Rick says,

so the Mars program has cost the economy nothing.

In the middle of the passage Rick raises the issue of absurdity. The question seems to be who has generated the absurdity. In the past it has been argued that the space program has generated technological spin-offs that more have more than paied for the costs. An example that is often cited is the development of integrated circuits being rushed into production. As a result of the learning that occurred, it is argued, as a result of that experience the introduction of integrated circuits took place far earlier than would otherwise have been the case. My arguement can be illustrated by the question, "If we call a dog's tail a leg, then is it true that a dog has five legs?" The correct answer is no. Calling a dog's tail a leg, doesn't make it a leg. Rick finishes his arguement with the now often repeated claim that "the Mars program has cost the economy nothing." Yes, at least in the same sense that a dog has five legs.

I trust nothing in what I have said above could not potentially appear in a peer reviewed journal. If I have not adaqautely provided evidence of context, I think my mistake could be repaired. So, it seems to me that I have observed the rules that Bill Powers has proposed.

In the light of the above can Rick continue to argue that I am "making up" stuff? At least in the above passage I think there is sufficient context and all to make a fair judgment. Supposing Bill Powers rather than saying that "the Mars program would cost the economy nothing" had said the expense of the Mars program will be paid to suppliers and labor of the goods and services that will be consumed by the Mars project. Would that have changed the impression that Bill Powers' statement made? Could it be that in a reader's mind the people might view the Mars project differently if one says, "Trust me, it isn't going to cost anything at all." If people belived this statement, what would they be beliving? Would they from the context that Bill Powers supplied known that what they should do was translate "It isn't going to cost anything." to a statement that, "To go to Mars the government is going to spend trillions." Is this different than saying "What is the _cost_ gong to be of going to Mars?"

What then is wrong with my saying that, "Rather than it costing nothing to go to Mars, it is going to cost trillions."

What ever Bill Powers decides to do about kicking me off the CSGnet, this is an argument that Bill Powers and Rick have been losing. And, contrary to what I seem to remember about dismissal of this argument as being tired, I think it is an argument that is concise and crip and persuasive. Persuasive of what it might ask. Persuasive that the world isn't quite ready for the sophistology of PCT economics. Most people are not yet sufficiently sophisticated economicly to unerstand that when Bill Powers says that "It isn't going to cost anything to send people to Mars, what he actually means is that we are going to have pay trillions and trillions of dollars to send people to Mars. Before what Bill Powers has to say about the cost of going to Mars is going to be understood, Bruce Nevin is going to have to conduct an extended course on equvocation to prepare the audience so that they can understand what Bill Powers meant to say.

Bill Williams

Bill Powers claims that "Bill Williams doesn't undertand the meaning of "if." However, in the Post which I am discussing perhaps by his suggestion to Rick, Bill Powers may be coming to a realization that Williams understands the meaning of "if" better than he initially supposed. All I have to do is ask, "If" Rick's calling Michelle "an ignorant slut" is as Rick claims completely defensible, as supported by Bill Powers in the more distant past, then what sort of people are these?

[From Rick Marken (2004.06.21.1510)]

Phil Runkel commenting on Marken's news of 2004.06.19.1115:

Thanks for your news about your talk at Oxford. Glad it uncovered some
honest interest.

Hi Phil

I don't know if the interest was honest but it was certainly _polite_.

Did you get no disparaging, belittling remarks?

None. I only get those on CSGNet :wink:

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken
MindReadings.com
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