Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

Why do you consider it imperative to run an experimental TCV? What’s the difference between measuring the CV and simply asking the person what they are controlling for?

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 12:02 PM, Bruce Nevin bnhpct@gmail.com wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert
···

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), * Doing research on
purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental
psychology*. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

      It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and

elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of
the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of
science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that
spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in
this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental
psychology.

      The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the

center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us
that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not
purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished
a century ago in a drive to make psychology more
scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of
science.

      The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked

out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in
everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but
behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money,
and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to
‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

      This view was attractive to managers of a discontented

workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the
rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise
goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp.
Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian
distribution.

      The promise to predict and control behavior has been

inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the
invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was
announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The
metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable.
Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing
an information processing device between stimulus and
response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with
devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution:
Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp.
151-175).

      Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of

nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are
not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the
purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a
‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do
you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific
way?

      The key insight is that we do not control our behavior.

Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent
necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to
be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of
psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n ,
published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

      "The feeling among ... psychologists seems to be that

simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a
sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into
account in one’s research" (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does
not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the
methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample
explanatory fruits.

      In "Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses",

the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a
number phenomena that have previously been given
stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with
reference to online computer simulations so that the reader
can directly experience how the given behavior results from
negative-feedback control.

      What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one?

The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a
variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to
the given subject. This step is called the Test for the
Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled
variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of
the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the
environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the
condition to which the subject restores the controlled
variable when an environmental disturbance affects that
condition.

      Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of

view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose
controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions
are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside
observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does
a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These
and more are explicated in the papers in the first section,
“Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

      The papers in the second section, "Illusions and

confusions", explain how and why well-meaning scientists have
continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When
experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent
variables in a linear way, they control that perception as
well as they can by averaging results for many instances of
behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical
results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and
worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior
are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly
perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the
stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral
means resisting environmental disturbances. The major
disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out
of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment,
e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it
will do whatever it takes to get some food.

      Essay 8, "Control theory for whom?", is a review of a

textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control
systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral
scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent,
the authors fail to address the perceptions that an
experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.)
must recognize and control. This is because control systems
engineers do not understand control systems from the inside
out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the
point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing
its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables
are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system
and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An
experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled
variables and their reference levels must be experimentally
inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

      This methodological revolution is the subject of the last

major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10,
“Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the
behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of
models. However, the models being constructed and tested are
still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The
building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This
paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that
is necessary for the construction of adequate models of
behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can
replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater
than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the
deviations from perfect control that are seen in the
individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for
publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’
sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable
in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and
chemistry.

      As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions

of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress
so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric
astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated
epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent
third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined
50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book
could be part of your participation that progression from
illusion to explanation.

  1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.

  2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), * Doing research on
purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental
psychology*. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

      It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and

elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of
the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of
science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that
spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in
this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental
psychology.

      The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the

center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us
that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not
purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished
a century ago in a drive to make psychology more
scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of
science.

      The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked

out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in
everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but
behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money,
and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to
‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

      This view was attractive to managers of a discontented

workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the
rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise
goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp.
Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian
distribution.

      The promise to predict and control behavior has been

inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the
invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was
announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The
metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable.
Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing
an information processing device between stimulus and
response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with
devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution:
Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp.
151-175).

      Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of

nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are
not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the
purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a
‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do
you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific
way?

      The key insight is that we do not control our behavior.

Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent
necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to
be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of
psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n ,
published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

      "The feeling among ... psychologists seems to be that

simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a
sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into
account in one’s research" (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does
not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the
methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample
explanatory fruits.

      In "Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses",

the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a
number phenomena that have previously been given
stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with
reference to online computer simulations so that the reader
can directly experience how the given behavior results from
negative-feedback control.

      What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one?

The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a
variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to
the given subject. This step is called the Test for the
Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled
variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of
the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the
environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the
condition to which the subject restores the controlled
variable when an environmental disturbance affects that
condition.

      Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of

view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose
controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions
are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside
observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does
a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These
and more are explicated in the papers in the first section,
“Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

      The papers in the second section, "Illusions and

confusions", explain how and why well-meaning scientists have
continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When
experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent
variables in a linear way, they control that perception as
well as they can by averaging results for many instances of
behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical
results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and
worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior
are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly
perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the
stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral
means resisting environmental disturbances. The major
disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out
of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment,
e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it
will do whatever it takes to get some food.

      Essay 8, "Control theory for whom?", is a review of a

textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control
systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral
scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent,
the authors fail to address the perceptions that an
experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.)
must recognize and control. This is because control systems
engineers do not understand control systems from the inside
out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the
point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing
its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables
are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system
and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An
experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled
variables and their reference levels must be experimentally
inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

      This methodological revolution is the subject of the last

major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10,
“Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the
behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of
models. However, the models being constructed and tested are
still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The
building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This
paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that
is necessary for the construction of adequate models of
behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can
replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater
than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the
deviations from perfect control that are seen in the
individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for
publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’
sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable
in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and
chemistry.

      As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions

of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress
so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric
astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated
epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent
third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined
50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book
could be part of your participation that progression from
illusion to explanation.

No no no. You misunderstand the question. I didn’t  say, how does the fairy tale end with a happily ever after. I was hinting toward: how will the experimental techniques evolve? What sort of knowledge are we going to seek? What kind of technology are we going to develop to do so?Â

If you think anybody in the real world gives a **** about Bill or PCT, then I feel bad bursting your bubble. I’ll just say, GO FOR IT SON!

But if you want to change the world, take it from me (I’m an expert at this already): you don’t change the world by asking your own questions and answering those same questions. You have to attack established questions in the form they are asked. You have to go deep into mathematics and tear the heart out of standing questions. You have to use PCT as an intermediate step to bigger and better things, not as a complete solution unto itself. You have to build technology. And the technology has to be better than other technology by virtue of itself, not because of the axiomatics upon which it relies. PCT may have something to say about experimental design. But the world is all about engineering.Â

Build something. Not a simulation or a model. An actual thing. Using materials. Go and do it. You’ll see how the competition overwhelms you because you can no longer sit back on your ivory tower and merely comment on the researchers’ assumptions. Â

Go build a device which saves peoples lives. Say to yourself “I’m controlling a perception of me saving somebody’s life”. And go do it. Never return until you do.Â

How will PCT save lives? Riddle me this, and you will finally understand something.Â

···

On Monday, October 19, 2015, Fred Nickols fred@nickols.us wrote:

[From Fred Nickols (2015.10.19.1800)]

Â

Aha! Finally, something I understand.

Â

The future of PCT – to me â– looks something like this: “Purposeâ€? will be an accepted component or element in any respectable view of human behavior. Bill Powers will be widely recognized as the genius he was. Rick Marken will become respectable, even to Boris Hartman. My colleagues will say, “Gee, I guess you weren’t so nuts after all.â€? And the business world, the worlds of power and politics, the military (my former home for 20 years), and the profs at Yale, Harvard, etc., etc., will all be heard saying, “Oh, shit, I guess we’d better get on board.â€?

Â

Fred Nickols

Â

From: PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN [mailto:pyeranos@ucla.edu]
Sent: Monday, October 19, 2015 5:56 PM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: Re: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

Â

1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.   Â

Â

2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

Â

I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?     Â

Â

Â

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

Â

Â

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

Â

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

Â

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection  tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.Â

Â

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.Â

Â

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

Â

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Â

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?Â

Â

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perception, published in 1973 by William T. Powers. Â

Â

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.Â

Â

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

Â

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Â

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

Â

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.Â

Â

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.Â

Â

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.  Â

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As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

Â

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Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

BN: That was for a general audience. I posted it on Amazon. For this audience, I would add that in PCT we need more attention to methods for identifying controlled variables and reference values in naturalistic or field situations where it is difficult or impossible to rule out extraneous disturbances and impractical and sometimes unethical to vary disturbances experimentally. In these situations we are often dealing with collective control resulting from a plurality of controllers or a public. We need clarification of methodology and standards of verification, the line between experimentation which requires informed consent and observation which does not, and much else.

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 12:02 PM, Bruce Nevin bnhpct@gmail.com wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

PJY: What’s the difference between measuring the CV and simply asking the person what they are controlling for?

BN: Here are two reasons:

  1. People aren’t always aware of controlling, they aren’t always aware of the perceptions that they are controlling, and they aren’t always aware of the reference values according to which they are controlling. These inattentions occur in various combinations with each other.
  2. People don’t always tell what they know, even when asked. Sometimes saying engenders an internal conflict, sometimes they withhold information for other reasons, sometimes they lie.

These are problems for introspection as well as for interviewing. You can’t be sure of reliable answers when you ask yourself what you are controlling and what your reference values are for your controlled perceptions. It’s not easy to apply the TCV to yourself, but it’s always interesting and sometimes quite enlightening to try.

PJY: Why do you consider it imperative to run an experimental TCV?

BN: I don’t. it is possible to observe resistance to naturally occurring disturbances. In my follow-up I said we need to clarify the methodology of naturalistic ‘field’ observation. Some years ago I posted a summary of guidelines developed by Bill Labov and his students for sociolinguistics. They provide a suggestive start.

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 2:26 PM, PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN pyeranos@ucla.edu wrote:

Why do you consider it imperative to run an experimental TCV? What’s the difference between measuring the CV and simply asking the person what they are controlling for?

On Monday, October 19, 2015, Bruce Nevin bnhpct@gmail.com wrote:

BN: That was for a general audience. I posted it on Amazon. For this audience, I would add that in PCT we need more attention to methods for identifying controlled variables and reference values in naturalistic or field situations where it is difficult or impossible to rule out extraneous disturbances and impractical and sometimes unethical to vary disturbances experimentally. In these situations we are often dealing with collective control resulting from a plurality of controllers or a public. We need clarification of methodology and standards of verification, the line between experimentation which requires informed consent and observation which does not, and much else.

/BN

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 12:02 PM, Bruce Nevin bnhpct@gmail.com wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

[From Fred Nickols (2015.10.19.1800)]

Aha! Finally, something I understand.

The future of PCT – to me – looks something like this: “Purposeâseâ€? will be an accepted component or element in any respectable view of human behavior. Bill Powers will be widely recognized as the genius he was. Rick Marken will become respectable, even to Boris Hartman. My colleagues will say, “Gee, I guess you weren’t so nuts after all.â€? And the business world, the worlds of power and politics, the military (my former home for 20 years), and the profs at Yale, Harvard, etc., etc., will all be heard saying, “Oh, shit, I guess we’d better get on board.â€?

Fred Nickols

···

From: PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN [mailto:pyeranos@ucla.edu]
Sent: Monday, October 19, 2015 5:56 PM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: Re: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

  1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.

  2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perception, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

[From Rick Marken (2015.10.19.1650)]

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 9:02 AM, Bruce Nevin bnhpct@gmail.com wrote:

BN: Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

RM: Thank you so much, Bruce, for this wonderful review of Doing Research on Purpose (affectionately known as DRoP). Of course, like any parent, I love to hear nice things said about my offspring. But I think this is an excellent review, not only because it is positive but also because it is accurate and informative. It is very well written and does what a good book review should do: it gives a potential reader a very good idea of what the book is about.

RM: I am very impressed by the knowledge and understanding of my work evidenced by you in this review and I am also quite moved that you did it. I can’t tell you how much I appreciate it. (And, no, I am not drunk;-)

RM: Again, thank you so much!

Best regards

Rick

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

Richard S. Marken

www.mindreadings.com
Author of Doing Research on Purpose.
Now available from Amazon or Barnes & Noble

[From Rick Marken (2015.10.19.1740)]

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 2:56 PM, PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN pyeranos@ucla.edu wrote:

PY: 1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.

RM: I think introspection is a good first step. That’s what we’re using to create the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JmS6tOjt_nvrpmD5sGySwup0ZZCU_hYtZqlHxW80dME/edit#gid=0

RM: But the science of PCT is aimed at getting a precise – and, if possible, quantitative – description of of controlled variables. That’s what all my work on object interception is aimed at demonstrating. I did that work, not because I have a particular interest in catching fly balls or intercepting toy helicopters. I did it to demonstrate the goal of PCT research, which is to get a precise, quantitative definition of the perceptual variable(s) controlled when an organism is seen performing a particular behavior (like catching a fly ball).

RM: I doubt that anyone would be able to tell, based on introspection, that the perceptions they are controlling when they catch a ball (or intercept a toy helicopter) is the vertical optical velocity (dv/dt) and horizontal displacement of dh/dt) of the ball (or helicopter).

PY: 2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

RM: It is actually impossible to fake control (or non-control) of a variable. If you are controlling a variable the TCV will reveal what it is. If you are not controlling a variable the TCV will reveal that as well.

PY: I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

RM: These are excellent questions and, in fact, I have no definitive answers. Powers describes his vision of the future of PCT in the “Cybernetic Model for Research…” chapter of LCS I. I’m trying to carry out that vision by creating the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet. But where we go with PCT is still not all that clear to me. T

RM: The future of PCT will be determined by those who are doing research and modeling aimed at determining the perceptual variables organisms are actually controlling when they are doing various behaviors and how they control those perceptions. I imagine that the science of PCT will look like a careful, quantitative description (in the form of working models or, better, robotic systems) of the perceptual variables organisms control when they are doing things like walking, talking, playing chess or brushing their teeth. I imagine that many of the same perceptual variables – perceptions of limb angles, for example – that are used when performing many different behaviors. But there will also be research on how people collectively control various perceptions (such as the perception of a complex computer program, like Excel, that is written by a team of software developers) as well as research on conflict between two or more control systems.

RM: So what PCT will look like in the future will be determined by the people who are doing the research and modeling based on an understanding of living systems as purposive systems: systems that control.

Best

Rick


Richard S. Marken

www.mindreadings.com
Author of Doing Research on Purpose.
Now available from Amazon or Barnes & Noble

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), * Doing research on
purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental
psychology*. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

      It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and

elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of
the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of
science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that
spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in
this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental
psychology.

      The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the

center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us
that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not
purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished
a century ago in a drive to make psychology more
scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of
science.

      The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked

out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in
everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but
behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money,
and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to
‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

      This view was attractive to managers of a discontented

workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the
rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise
goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp.
Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian
distribution.

      The promise to predict and control behavior has been

inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the
invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was
announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The
metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable.
Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing
an information processing device between stimulus and
response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with
devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution:
Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp.
151-175).

      Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of

nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are
not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the
purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a
‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do
you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific
way?

      The key insight is that we do not control our behavior.

Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent
necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to
be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of
psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n ,
published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

      "The feeling among ... psychologists seems to be that

simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a
sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into
account in one’s research" (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does
not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the
methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample
explanatory fruits.

      In "Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses",

the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a
number phenomena that have previously been given
stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with
reference to online computer simulations so that the reader
can directly experience how the given behavior results from
negative-feedback control.

      What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one?

The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a
variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to
the given subject. This step is called the Test for the
Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled
variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of
the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the
environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the
condition to which the subject restores the controlled
variable when an environmental disturbance affects that
condition.

      Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of

view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose
controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions
are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside
observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does
a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These
and more are explicated in the papers in the first section,
“Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

      The papers in the second section, "Illusions and

confusions", explain how and why well-meaning scientists have
continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When
experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent
variables in a linear way, they control that perception as
well as they can by averaging results for many instances of
behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical
results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and
worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior
are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly
perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the
stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral
means resisting environmental disturbances. The major
disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out
of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment,
e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it
will do whatever it takes to get some food.

      Essay 8, "Control theory for whom?", is a review of a

textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control
systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral
scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent,
the authors fail to address the perceptions that an
experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.)
must recognize and control. This is because control systems
engineers do not understand control systems from the inside
out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the
point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing
its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables
are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system
and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An
experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled
variables and their reference levels must be experimentally
inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

      This methodological revolution is the subject of the last

major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10,
“Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the
behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of
models. However, the models being constructed and tested are
still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The
building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This
paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that
is necessary for the construction of adequate models of
behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can
replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater
than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the
deviations from perfect control that are seen in the
individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for
publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’
sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable
in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and
chemistry.

      As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions

of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress
so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric
astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated
epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent
third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined
50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book
could be part of your participation that progression from
illusion to explanation.

RM: I doubt that anyone would be able to tell, based on introspection, that the perceptions they are controlling when they catch a ball (or intercept a toy helicopter) is the vertical optical velocity (dv/dt) and horizontal displacement of dh/dt) of the ball (or helicopter).

PY: Have you ever tried catching a flyball? I don’t think it would be impossible to tell that the ball follows such a path in the FOV. All you have to do is really pay attention to what’s going on subconsciously and bring a bit of Bruce’s naturalistic observation into play. Baseball players might not prefer to use the words optics or velocity or displacement (because it doesn’t matter to them). But I don’t agree with your supposition that these variables are somehow hard to detect without the use of cameras. Sorry for busting your balls.

RM: It is actually impossible to fake control (or non-control) of a variable. If you are controlling a variable the TCV will reveal what it is. If you are not controlling a variable the TCV will reveal that as well.

PY: It’s quite easy to fake non-control of a variable. For instance, suppose someone is trying to conceal the fact that they are controlling perception A. They may do so by flamboyantly controlling a perception B and ignoring perception A so long as you are observing them. As soon as you stop observing them, they will control perception A and ignore perception B. Of course, this doesn’t happen in your demos, but it happens in real life every day. It’s called misdirection.

RM: Powers describes his vision of the future of PCT in the “Cybernetic Model for Research…” chapter of LCS I. I’m trying to carry out that vision by creating the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet.

PY: A bold move.

RM: So what PCT will look like in the future will be determined by the people who are doing the research and modeling based on an understanding of living systems as purposive systems: systems that control.

PY: You’ve been modelling for 40 years. I expect some penetrating insight. What kinds of models will you be building over the next 40 years? And when will we see cognitive and behavioral psychology blown to smithereens? Is it after you sell the 1 millionth copy of DRoP? Or is it when the Behavior is Control excel spreadsheet overflows the capacity of your computer’s main memory?

···

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 5:40 PM, Richard Marken rsmarken@gmail.com wrote:

[From Rick Marken (2015.10.19.1740)]

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 2:56 PM, PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN pyeranos@ucla.edu wrote:

PY: 1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.

RM: I think introspection is a good first step. That’s what we’re using to create the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JmS6tOjt_nvrpmD5sGySwup0ZZCU_hYtZqlHxW80dME/edit#gid=0

RM: But the science of PCT is aimed at getting a precise – and, if possible, quantitative – description of of controlled variables. That’s what all my work on object interception is aimed at demonstrating. I did that work, not because I have a particular interest in catching fly balls or intercepting toy helicopters. I did it to demonstrate the goal of PCT research, which is to get a precise, quantitative definition of the perceptual variable(s) controlled when an organism is seen performing a particular behavior (like catching a fly ball).

RM: I doubt that anyone would be able to tell, based on introspection, that the perceptions they are controlling when they catch a ball (or intercept a toy helicopter) is the vertical optical velocity (dv/dt) and horizontal displacement of dh/dt) of the ball (or helicopter).

PY: 2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

RM: It is actually impossible to fake control (or non-control) of a variable. If you are controlling a variable the TCV will reveal what it is. If you are not controlling a variable the TCV will reveal that as well.

PY: I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

RM: These are excellent questions and, in fact, I have no definitive answers. Powers describes his vision of the future of PCT in the “Cybernetic Model for Research…” chapter of LCS I. I’m trying to carry out that vision by creating the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet. But where we go with PCT is still not all that clear to me. T

RM: The future of PCT will be determined by those who are doing research and modeling aimed at determining the perceptual variables organisms are actually controlling when they are doing various behaviors and how they control those perceptions. I imagine that the science of PCT will look like a careful, quantitative description (in the form of working models or, better, robotic systems) of the perceptual variables organisms control when they are doing things like walking, talking, playing chess or brushing their teeth. I imagine that many of the same perceptual variables – perceptions of limb angles, for example – that are used when performing many different behaviors. But there will also be research on how people collectively control various perceptions (such as the perception of a complex computer program, like Excel, that is written by a team of software developers) as well as research on conflict between two or more control systems.

RM: So what PCT will look like in the future will be determined by the people who are doing the research and modeling based on an understanding of living systems as purposive systems: systems that control.

Best

Rick


Richard S. Marken

www.mindreadings.com
Author of Doing Research on Purpose.
Now available from Amazon or Barnes & Noble

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), * Doing research on
purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental
psychology*. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

      It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and

elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of
the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of
science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that
spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in
this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental
psychology.

      The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the

center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us
that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not
purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished
a century ago in a drive to make psychology more
scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of
science.

      The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked

out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in
everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but
behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money,
and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to
‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

      This view was attractive to managers of a discontented

workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the
rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise
goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp.
Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian
distribution.

      The promise to predict and control behavior has been

inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the
invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was
announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The
metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable.
Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing
an information processing device between stimulus and
response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with
devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution:
Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp.
151-175).

      Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of

nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are
not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the
purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a
‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do
you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific
way?

      The key insight is that we do not control our behavior.

Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent
necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to
be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of
psychology is Behavior: The control of perceptio**n ,
published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

      "The feeling among ... psychologists seems to be that

simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a
sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into
account in one’s research" (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does
not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the
methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample
explanatory fruits.

      In "Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses",

the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a
number phenomena that have previously been given
stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with
reference to online computer simulations so that the reader
can directly experience how the given behavior results from
negative-feedback control.

      What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one?

The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a
variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to
the given subject. This step is called the Test for the
Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled
variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of
the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the
environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the
condition to which the subject restores the controlled
variable when an environmental disturbance affects that
condition.

      Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of

view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose
controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions
are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside
observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does
a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These
and more are explicated in the papers in the first section,
“Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

      The papers in the second section, "Illusions and

confusions", explain how and why well-meaning scientists have
continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When
experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent
variables in a linear way, they control that perception as
well as they can by averaging results for many instances of
behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical
results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and
worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior
are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly
perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the
stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral
means resisting environmental disturbances. The major
disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out
of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment,
e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it
will do whatever it takes to get some food.

      Essay 8, "Control theory for whom?", is a review of a

textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control
systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral
scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent,
the authors fail to address the perceptions that an
experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.)
must recognize and control. This is because control systems
engineers do not understand control systems from the inside
out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the
point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing
its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables
are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system
and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An
experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled
variables and their reference levels must be experimentally
inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

      This methodological revolution is the subject of the last

major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10,
“Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the
behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of
models. However, the models being constructed and tested are
still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The
building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This
paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that
is necessary for the construction of adequate models of
behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can
replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater
than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the
deviations from perfect control that are seen in the
individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for
publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’
sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable
in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and
chemistry.

      As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions

of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress
so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric
astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated
epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent
third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined
50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book
could be part of your participation that progression from
illusion to explanation.

Soory, there are some good questions here, and I again broke my promise.

PY : I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

HB : This is an interesting question…

RM: These are excellent questions and, in fact, I have no definitive answers. Powers describes his vision of the future of PCT in the “Cybernetic Model for Research…” chapter of LCS I. I’m trying to carry out that vision by creating the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet. But where we go with PCT is still not all that clear to me.

HB :

Well, well…. Is this again »blind street« ?

Yogi Berry quotes :

“If you don’t know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.”

“You’ve got to be very careful if you don’t know where you’re going, because you might not get there.”

So I think that basic goal has to be fullfilled in PCT.

Bill P. at all (50th Anniversary, 2011) :

Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) provides a general theory of functioning for organisms. At the core concept of the theory is the obervation that living things control perceived environment by means of their behavior. Consequently, the phenomen of control takes center stage in PCT, with observable behavior playing an important but supporting role.

So I think that for basic understanding of PCT is necesary to understand generic diagram properly (I took this one from LCS III) or at least that PCT members understand it in aproximatelly tha same way :

image00411.jpg

I think that article (2011) and Bill’s diagram should be enough for start to know where CSGnet is »going«.

Maybe it’s also good for the »closer« understanding of PCT where it should go, that »The coin game« is studyed very carefully, what Rick mentioned so many times. From example »Coin game« as I see it, »TCV« is quite unusefull tool. But it sounds great and it’s original PCT tool. But real usefullness is in question. If it would try to explore »inside« controlled variables, it’s usefullness would probably increas, but for that we need »the whole understanding of PCT«.

HB : So it’s somehow obvious to me, that PCT has to develope »whole picture model« of organism and imply knowledge which will reveal how organism (nervous system) work and how it produces behavior or how can we conclude from behavior, what is really controlled in organism to keep steady-state, equlibrium, homeostasis, etc. Whatever balanced state we can imgine that is keeping organism alive.

The best way how organism can be modeled in PCT is by my oppinion picture on p. 191 of B:CP, 2005, which should give the »whole picture« of PCT. Dag offered Bill’s last correction, and hopped that some day will come some »data«, which will help to make some decissions :

image00510.jpg

The »whole picture« can by my poppinion give rise to many reseaches not only in PCT but also in other sciences. If it’s properly presented. But on this stage its’ just an evidence of »mis-match« in PCT. Imagine you are presenting somebody diagram of the »whole picture« of PCT with so ambigous and contradicting meaning.

And for better explanation it is offered that when data occurs better decissions can be made how to solve the ambiguity. It seems not serious to me.Â

HB : Another problem in PCT as I see it, is definition of »reorganization« and it’s application to »E-colli«. I think that Bill left »door« opened in LCS III to some other possible approcahes which could maybe clear some things about cells and make it more usefull for research in other sciences.

So if I try to answer Philip’s question :

PY :

Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

HB : …I would say :

About future of PCT I expect some crucial steps :

  1.   Researches in direction to fulfill the gap between PCT model and »how organisms really work«.
    
  2.   PCT should be placed into Psychological Dictionary as Carl R. Rogers predicted : »Here is a profound and original book with which every psychological-indeed every behavioral scientist-should be acquanted« (B:CP, 1973). So I think that efforts of PCT members should be also directed into »putting« PCT to Psychological Dictionary. But not in the way Rick did it with his egoistic approach.
    
  3.   Ricks' wrong demos and tests should be deleted or »repaired« so that they would work in the manner  of PCT
    
  4.   The main directions of use of PCT can be  : Health and psycho-therapy help to people, support for psychiatry, biology, medicine, robotics and so on.
    

These are only some hints.

But for sure I wouldn’t do something what Philip very sharply recognized :

RM: So what PCT will look like in the future will be determined by the people who are doing the research and modeling based on an understanding of living systems as purposive systems: systems that control.

PY: You’ve been modelling for 40 years. I expect some penetrating insight. What kinds of models will you be building over the next 40 years? And when will we see cognitive and behavioral psychology blown to smithereens? Is it after you sell the 1 millionth copy of DRoP? Or is it when the Behavior is Control excel spreadsheet overflows the capacity of your computer’s main memory?

HB :

I don’t know exactly why I share a bad feeling with Philip. Maybe because similar spreadshits as Rick is also the tool psychologist use (who Rick sharply criticise). Psychologist usually use reseaches of numerous behaviors and then make statistics or more preciselly »Factor analyses« to find some »deep internal mechanisms«. But with no obvious success.

RM: I am available for methodological consulting; special rates for CSG members;-)

HHB : It seems that testing and demonstrating PCT leads to nowhere. It’s impression that it leads to slef-regulation. Â Whether it stays a toy for Rick’s testing and demonstrating or it goes serious scientific way which can help humanitiy as Philip noticed. And is available to other sciences for research.

Best,

Boris

···

From: Fred Nickols [mailto:fred@nickols.us]
Sent: Tuesday, October 20, 2015 12:05 AM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: RE: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

[From Fred Nickols (2015.10.19.1800)]

Aha! Finally, something I understand.

The future of PCT – to me – looks something liklike this: “Purposeâ€? will be an accepted component or element in any respectable view of human behavior. Bill Powers will be widely recognized as the genius he was. Rick Marken will become respectable, even to Boris Hartman. My colleagues will say, “Gee, I guess you weren’t so nuts after all.â€? And the business world, the worlds of power and politics, the military (my former home for 20 years), and the profs at Yale, Harvard, etc., etc., will all be heard saying, “Oh, shit, I guess we’d better get on board.â€?

Fred Nickols

From: PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN [mailto:pyeranos@ucla.edu]
Sent: Monday, October 19, 2015 5:56 PM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: Re: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

  1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.

  2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perception, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

[From Rick Marken (2015.10.24.0825)]

image00411.jpg

image00510.jpg

···

On Fri, Oct 23, 2015 at 9:28 PM, Boris Hartman boris.hartman@masicom.net wrote:

BH: Soory, there are some good questions here, and I again broke my promise.

RM: So I presume you won’t be ordering your copy of DRoP any time soon?

Best

Rick

Â

PY : I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

Â

HB : This is an interesting question…

Â

RM: These are excellent questions and, in fact, I have no definitive answers. Powers describes his vision of the future of PCT in the “Cybernetic Model for Research…” chapter of LCS I. I’m trying to carry out that vision by creating the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet. But where we go with PCT is still not all that clear to me.

Â

HB :

Well, well…. Iss this again »blind street« ?

Â

Yogi Berry quotes :

“If you don’t know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.”

“You’ve got to be very careful if you don’t know where you’re going, because you might not get there.”

Â

So I think that basic goal has to be fullfilled in PCT.

Â

Bill P. at all (50th Anniversary, 2011) :

Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) provides a general theory of functioning for organisms. At the core concept of the theory is the obervation that living things control perceived environment by means of their behavior. Consequently, the phenomen of control takes center stage in PCT, with observable behavior playing an important but supporting role.

Â

So I think that for basic understanding of PCT is necesary to understand generic diagram properly (I took this one from LCS III) or at least that PCT members understand it in aproximatelly tha same way :

Â

Â

I think that article (2011) and Bill’s diagram should be enough for start to know where CSGnet is »going«.

Â

Maybe it’s also good for the »closer« understanding of PCT where it should go, that »The coin game« is studyed very carefully, what Rick mentioned so many times. From example »Coin game« as I see it, »TCV« is quite unusefull tool. But it sounds great and it’s original PCT tool. But real usefullness is in question. If it would try to explore »inside« controlled variables, it’s usefullness would probably increas, but for that we need »the whole understanding of PCT«.

Â

Â

HB : So it’s somehow obvious to me, that PCT has to develope »whole picture model« of organism and imply knowledge which will reveal how organism (nervous system) work and how it produces behavior or how can we conclude from behavior, what is really controlled in organism to keep steady-state, equlibrium, homeostasis, etc. Whatever balanced state we can imgine that is keeping organism alive.

Â

The best way how organism can be modeled in PCT is by my oppinion picture on p. 191 of B:CP, 2005, which should give the »whole picture« of PCT. Dag offered Bill’s last correction, and hopped that some day will come some »data«, which will help to make some decissions :

Â

Â

The »whole picture« can by my poppinion give rise to many reseaches not only in PCT but also in other sciences. If it’s properly presented. But on this stage its’ just an evidence of »mis-match« in PCT. Imagine you are presenting somebody diagram of the »whole picture« of PCT with so ambigous and contradicting meaning.

And for better explanation it is offered that when data occurs better decissions can be made how to solve the ambiguity. It seems not serious to me.Â

Â

Â

HB : Another problem in PCT as I see it, is definition of »reorganization« and it’s application to »E-colli«. I think that Bill left »door« opened in LCS III to some other possible approcahes which could maybe clear some things about cells and make it more usefull for research in other sciences.

Â

Â

Â

So if I try to answer Philip’s question :

Â

PY :

Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?     Â

Â

HB : …I would say :

Â

About future of PCT I expect some crucial steps :

1.      Researches in direction to fulfill the gap between PCT model and »how organisms really work«.

2.      PCT should be placed into Psychological Dictionary as Carl R. Rogers predicted : »Here is a profound and original book with which every psychological-indeed every behavioral scientist-should be acquanted« (B:CP, 1973). So I think that efforts of PCT members should be also directed into »putting« PCT to Psychological Dictionary. But not in the way Rick did it with his egoistic approach.

3.      Ricks’ wrong demos and tests should be deleted or »repaired« so that they would work in the manner of PCT

4.      The main directions of use of PCT can be : Health and psycho-therapy help to people, support for psychiatry, biology, medicine, robotics and so on.

Â

These are only some hints.

Â

But for sure I wouldn’t do something what Philip very sharply recognized :

Â

RM: So what PCT will look like in the future will be determined by the people who are doing the research and modeling based on an understanding of living systems as purposive systems: systems that control.

Â

PY: You’ve been modelling for 40 years. I expect some penetrating insight. What kinds of models will you be building over the next 40 years? And when will we see cognitive and behavioral psychology blown to smithereens? Is it after you sell the 1 millionth copy of DRoP? Or is it when the Behavior is Control excel spreadsheet overflows the capacity of your computer’s main memory? Â

Â

HB :

I don’t know exactly why I share a bad feeling with Philip. Maybe because similar spreadshits as Rick is also the tool psychologist use (who Rick sharply criticise). Psychologist usually use reseaches of numerous behaviors and then make statistics or more preciselly »Factor analyses« to find some »deep internal mechanisms«. But with no obvious success.

Â

RM: I am available for methodological consulting; special rates for CSG members;-)

Â

HHB : It seems that testing and demonstrating PCT leads to nowhere. It’s impression that it leads to slef-regulation. Whether it stays a toy for Rick’s testing and demonstrating or it goes serious scientific way which can help humanitiy as Philip noticed. And is available to other sciences for research.

Â

Best,

Â

Boris

Â

From: Fred Nickols [mailto:fred@nickols.us]
Sent: Tuesday, October 20, 2015 12:05 AM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: RE: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

Â

[From Fred Nickols (2015.10.19.1800)]

Â

Aha! Finally, something I understand.

Â

The future of PCT – to mee – looks something like this: “Purposeâ€? will be an accepted component or element in any respectable view of human behavior. Bill Powers will be widely recognized as the genius he was. Rick Marken will become respectable, even to Boris Hartman. My colleagues will say, “Gee, I guess you weren’t so nuts after all.â€? And the business world, the worlds of power and politics, the military (my former home for 20 years), and the profs at Yale, Harvard, etc., etc., will all be heard saying, “Oh, shit, I guess we’d better get on board.â€?

Â

Fred Nickols

Â

From: PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN [mailto:pyeranos@ucla.edu]
Sent: Monday, October 19, 2015 5:56 PM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: Re: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

Â

1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.   Â

Â

2. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

Â

I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?     Â

Â

Â

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

Â

Â

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

Â

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

Â

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection  tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.Â

Â

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.Â

Â

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

Â

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Â

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?Â

Â

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perception, published in 1973 by William T. Powers. Â

Â

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.Â

Â

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

Â

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Â

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

Â

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.Â

Â

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.Â

Â

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.  Â

Â

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

Â

Â

Â


Richard S. MarkenÂ

www.mindreadings.com
Author of  Doing Research on Purpose
Now available from Amazon or Barnes & Noble

[From Rick Marken (2015.10.24.0825)]

BH: Soory, there are some good questions here, and I again broke my promise.

RM: So I presume you won’t be ordering your copy of DRoP any time soon?

HB : As I said Rick.in previous post. You are behavioral scientist, and I’m interesed in »Perception«….:slight_smile:

Best,

Boris

image00411.jpg

image00510.jpg

···

From: Richard Marken [mailto:rsmarken@gmail.com]
Sent: Saturday, October 24, 2015 5:27 PM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: Re: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

On Fri, Oct 23, 2015 at 9:28 PM, Boris Hartman boris.hartman@masicom.net wrote:

PY : I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

HB : This is an interesting question…

RM: These are excellent questions and, in fact, I have no definitive answers. Powers describes his vision of the future of PCT in the “Cybernetic Model for Research…” chapter of LCS I. I’m trying to carry out that vision by creating the “Behavior is Control” spreadsheet. But where we go with PCT is still not all that clear to me.

HB :

Well, well…. Is this again »blind street« ?

Yogi Berry quotes :

“If you don’t know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.”

“You’ve got to be very careful if you don’t know where you’re going, because you might not get there.”

So I think that basic goal has to be fullfilled in PCT.

Bill P. at all (50th Anniversary, 2011) :

Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) provides a general theory of functioning for organisms. At the core concept of the theory is the obervation that living things control perceived environment by means of their behavior. Consequently, the phenomen of control takes center stage in PCT, with observable behavior playing an important but supporting role.

So I think that for basic understanding of PCT is necesary to understand generic diagram properly (I took this one from LCS III) or at least that PCT members understand it in aproximatelly tha same way :

cid:image001.jpg@01D10FF8.DF936560

I think that article (2011) and Bill’s diagram should be enough for start to know where CSGnet is »going«.

Maybe it’s also good for the »closer« understanding of PCT where it should go, that »The coin game« is studyed very carefully, what Rick mentioned so many times. From example »Coin game« as I see it, »TCV« is quite unusefull tool. But it sounds great and it’s original PCT tool. But real usefullness is in question. If it would try to explore »inside« controlled variables, it’s usefullness would probably increas, but for that we need »the whole understanding of PCT«.

HB : So it’s somehow obvious to me, that PCT has to develope »whole picture model« of organism and imply knowledge which will reveal how organism (nervous system) work and how it produces behavior or how can we conclude from behavior, what is really controlled in organism to keep steady-state, equlibrium, homeostasis, etc. Whatever balanced state we can imgine that is keeping organism alive.

The best way how organism can be modeled in PCT is by my oppinion picture on p. 191 of B:CP, 2005, which should give the »whole picture« of PCT. Dag offered Bill’s last correction, and hopped that some day will come some »data«, which will help to make some decissions :

cid:image002.jpg@01D10FF8.DF936560

The »whole picture« can by my poppinion give rise to many reseaches not only in PCT but also in other sciences. If it’s properly presented. But on this stage its’ just an evidence of »mis-match« in PCT. Imagine you are presenting somebody diagram of the »whole picture« of PCT with so ambigous and contradicting meaning.

And for better explanation it is offered that when data occurs better decissions can be made how to solve the ambiguity. It seems not serious to me.

HB : Another problem in PCT as I see it, is definition of »reorganization« and it’s application to »E-colli«. I think that Bill left »door« opened in LCS III to some other possible approcahes which could maybe clear some things about cells and make it more usefull for research in other sciences.

So if I try to answer Philip’s question :

PY :

Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

HB : …I would say :

About future of PCT I expect some crucial steps :

  1.   Researches in direction to fulfill the gap between PCT model and »how organisms really work«.
    
  1.   PCT should be placed into Psychological Dictionary as Carl R. Rogers predicted : »Here is a profound and original book with which every psychological-indeed every behavioral scientist-should be acquanted« (B:CP, 1973). So I think that efforts of PCT members should be also directed into »putting« PCT to Psychological Dictionary. But not in the way Rick did it with his egoistic approach.
    
  1.   Ricks' wrong demos and tests should be deleted or »repaired« so that they would work in the manner  of PCT
    
  1.   The main directions of use of PCT can be  : Health and psycho-therapy help to people, support for psychiatry, biology, medicine, robotics and so on.
    

These are only some hints.

But for sure I wouldn’t do something what Philip very sharply recognized :

RM: So what PCT will look like in the future will be determined by the people who are doing the research and modeling based on an understanding of living systems as purposive systems: systems that control.

PY: You’ve been modelling for 40 years. I expect some penetrating insight. What kinds of models will you be building over the next 40 years? And when will we see cognitive and behavioral psychology blown to smithereens? Is it after you sell the 1 millionth copy of DRoP? Or is it when the Behavior is Control excel spreadsheet overflows the capacity of your computer’s main memory?

HB :

I don’t know exactly why I share a bad feeling with Philip. Maybe because similar spreadshits as Rick is also the tool psychologist use (who Rick sharply criticise). Psychologist usually use reseaches of numerous behaviors and then make statistics or more preciselly »Factor analyses« to find some »deep internal mechanisms«. But with no obvious success.

RM: I am available for methodological consulting; special rates for CSG members;-)

HHB : It seems that testing and demonstrating PCT leads to nowhere. It’s impression that it leads to slef-regulation. Whether it stays a toy for Rick’s testing and demonstrating or it goes serious scientific way which can help humanitiy as Philip noticed. And is available to other sciences for research.

Best,

Boris

From: Fred Nickols [mailto:fred@nickols.us]
Sent: Tuesday, October 20, 2015 12:05 AM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: RE: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

[From Fred Nickols (2015.10.19.1800)]

Aha! Finally, something I understand.

The future of PCT – to me – looks ks something like this: “Purposeâ€? will be an accepted component or element in any respectable view of human behavior. Bill Powers will be widely recognized as the genius he was. Rick Marken will become respectable, even to Boris Hartman. My colleagues will say, “Gee, I guess you weren’t so nuts after all.â€? And the business world, the worlds of power and politics, the military (my former home for 20 years), and the profs at Yale, Harvard, etc., etc., will all be heard saying, “Oh, shit, I guess we’d better get on board.â€?

Fred Nickols

From: PHILIP JERAIR YERANOSIAN [mailto:pyeranos@ucla.edu]
Sent: Monday, October 19, 2015 5:56 PM
To: csgnet@lists.illinois.edu
Subject: Re: Review: R. S. Marken, Doing research on purpose

  1. In my experience, people are generally aware of what they’re doing. If you ask them, “what are you doing”, they never say, “I have no idea”. They say, “I’m driving”, or “I’m trying to solve this problem”, or “I’m trying to open this can”, etc. They may not express it in terms of “I am controlling a perception of the car in the lane or a perception of the lid off the can”. But that’s besides the point. People always know what they’re doing, even if they don’t describe the situation as the control of some perceptual variable.
  1. If someone is lying about what they’re doing, that’s another story. And a TCV won’t reveal the truth, because people can always pretend to be doing something else. The only way to get past this is by cross-referencing alibis, like a detective would do.

I don’t understand what you envision the future of PCT to be. Could everyone describe what the future of PCT research is? Ok, we can have more and more people designing Rick’s demos. But what’s the real endgame in PCT? What’s it going to look like?

On Mon, Oct 19, 2015 at 1:53 PM, Rupert Young rupert@perceptualrobots.com wrote:

Sounds great! I’ve put it on my Saturnalia list.

Rupert

On 19/10/2015 17:02, Bruce Nevin wrote:

Review: Richard S. Marken (2014), Doing research on purpose: A Control Theory approach to experimental psychology. Villa Ridge, MO: New View.

It took a peculiar courage for Galileo to defend and elaborate the Copernican theory that the earth was just one of the planets orbiting around the sun, when the consensus of science was that the sun moves along a celestial sphere that spins about the earth. Such is the courage demonstrated in this third volume of papers by Richard Marken in experimental psychology.

The title points to the problem. Just as the sun is at the center of the solar system, simple introspection tells us that purpose is at the center of behavior. Our actions are not purposeless. But purpose and introspection both were banished a century ago in a drive to make psychology more scientific–and more serviceable to moneyed patrons of science.

The mathematical basis for understanding purpose was worked out by engineers in the 1930s and has been put to work in everything from cruise control to cruise missiles, but behaviorism held the inertial weight of methodologies, money, and professional reputations. Stimuli cause an organism to ‘emit’ responses according to conditioning.

This view was attractive to managers of a discontented workforce and commanders of a volunteer army. Control the rewards and punishments that motivate people, the promise goes, and the direction of their behavior is in your grasp. Note the plural. The individual disappeared into a Gaussian distribution.

The promise to predict and control behavior has been inherited by cognitive psychology, which arose with the invention of the programmable digital computer. ENIAC was announced in 1946 as the first ‘electronic brain’. The metaphor of the digital computer has been irresistable. Cognitive psychology differs from behaviorism by interposing an information processing device between stimulus and response. Marken lays out the inadequacies of this view with devastating effect in paper 9, “You say you had a revolution: Methodological foundations of closed-loop psychology” (pp. 151-175).

Hindsight again and again demonstrates that the secrets of nature are hidden in plain view. The causes of behavior are not out among the stimuli of the environment, they are the purposes harbored within each individual. What counts as a ‘stimulus’ depends upon what matters to the individual. How do you identify and study these interior purposes in a scientific way?

The key insight is that we do not control our behavior. Rather, behavior is variable in just the manner and extent necessary to make our experience be the way we want it to be. The title of the locus classicus of this science of psychology is Behavior: The control of perception, published in 1973 by William T. Powers.

“The feeling among … psychologists seems to be that simply being aware of the purposeful nature of behavior is a sufficient basis for saying that one is taking purpose into account in one’s research” (p. 1). But mere hand-waving does not a science make. In these papers, Marken demonstrates the methodology of Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) and its ample explanatory fruits.

In “Looking at behavior through Control Theory glasses”, the first essay in this collection, Marken reinterprets a number phenomena that have previously been given stimulus-response ‘explanations’, and he does so with reference to online computer simulations so that the reader can directly experience how the given behavior results from negative-feedback control.

What is a purpose, and how do you identify and specify one? The fundamental step in PCT research methodology identifies a variable in the environment whose perceived state matters to the given subject. This step is called the Test for the Controlled Variable. The preferred state of a controlled variable, its ‘reference condition’, specifies the purpose of the subject with respect to that variable as perceived in the environment. The reference (or setpoint) is inferred to be the condition to which the subject restores the controlled variable when an environmental disturbance affects that condition.

Crucially, this cannot be done without taking the point of view of the subject. What perception is the greylag goose controlling by her ‘egg-rolling’ behavior? What perceptions are the individual birds controlling, such that we outside observers perceive ‘flocking behavior’? What perceptions does a baseball player control in order to catch a fly ball? These and more are explicated in the papers in the first section, “Looking for the purpose of behavior”.

The papers in the second section, “Illusions and confusions”, explain how and why well-meaning scientists have continued to misinterpret behavior for so long. When experimenters expect independent variables to cause dependent variables in a linear way, they control that perception as well as they can by averaging results for many instances of behavior and many behaving individuals. Any statistical results better than a coin-toss are deemed significant and worthy of publication. The actual data of individual behavior are discarded after the statistical analysis. When properly perceived, these data for individuals demonstrate the stabilization of selected variables by variable behavioral means resisting environmental disturbances. The major disturbance in a conditioning experiment is kept virtually out of sight as the ‘establishing condition’ for the experiment, e.g. starving an animal to 85% of its body weight so that it will do whatever it takes to get some food.

Essay 8, “Control theory for whom?”, is a review of a textbook, Control theory for humans, in which two control systems engineers aim to explain control theory to behavioral scientists. Although the technical presentation is excellent, the authors fail to address the perceptions that an experimental psychologist (or sociologist, linguist, etc.) must recognize and control. This is because control systems engineers do not understand control systems from the inside out. What I mean by this is that they naturally assume the point of view of an engineer operating a system and analyzing its performance. The engineer knows in advance what variables are to be controlled, and the engineer reaches into the system and adjusts the reference levels for those variables. An experimental psychologist can do neither. The controlled variables and their reference levels must be experimentally inferred from the Test for Controlled Variables.

This methodological revolution is the subject of the last major section. Paper 9 was mentioned above. Paper 10, “Methods, models and revolutions”, alludes to a shift in the behavioral sciences from statistical methods to the testing of models. However, the models being constructed and tested are still derived from the same old IV-DV methodology. The building and testing of models is fundamental to PCT. This paper succinctly delineates the methodological revolution that is necessary for the construction of adequate models of behavior. Until a working, generative computer model can replicate the measured behavior of an individual with greater than 95% fidelity (preferably greater than 99%), with the deviations from perfect control that are seen in the individual’s actual performance, it is not ready for publication. This is how to raise the so-called ‘soft’ sciences above standards of acceptance that would be laughable in the ‘hard’ sciences a level on a par with physics and chemistry.

As the older generation, deeply committed to the illusions of IV-DV methodologies, retire and die, science will progress so as to replace received opinion, just as heliocentric astronomy eventually replaced the mathematically sophisticated epicycles of Ptolemy. The final chapter of this excellent third collection of Marken’s publications is an imagined 50-year retrospective from the year 2053. Reading this book could be part of your participation that progression from illusion to explanation.

Richard S. Marken

www.mindreadings.com
Author of Doing Research on Purpose.

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