[Sorry for duplication – there was an error in the To field that may or
may not have bombed the transmision]
[From Bill Powers (2004.04.26.1739 MST)
My point in my reply above to
Bossman was merely that his assertion that persistent error triggers
“reorganization” was misleading if not outright
erroneous.
Since you are indeed the definer of the concept called
“reorganization,” I hope you would correct such misleading
statements and help Bossman learn something about
HPCT.
I think (on admittedly sparse evidence) that he already knows
considerable about HPCT. I do prefer to think of reorganization as a
process that occurs at varying rates depending on the magnitude of
intrinsic error, so I might take exception to the “triggering”
idea. Maybe the problem you’re concerned with here is that of how much
intrinsic error is needed to produce significant rates of reorganization.
Normally, as you say, control errors are always present, but they are
usually quite small relative to the total range of the associated
perceptual signal. In a tracking task, where we can vary the magnitude
and speed of disturbances and so adjust the amount of error the
controller is experiencing, a mean tracking error of 10% of the total
range of target movement is enough to make most people give up – it
feels like failure.
The trickiest question you implicitly raise is the difference between
just plain error in the hierarchy, and intrinsic error, which is what I
have proposed as the driver of reorganization. Hierarchical error (i.e.,
tracking error in a learned control system) can have an indirect
connection to intrinsic error: the person may go into conflict between
continuing and quitting when hierarchical error gets large enough, or the
excessive efforts required to counteract disturbances that are large and
fast could lead to tension and fatigue. I’ve seen people get pretty
emotional when they’re not used to computers and are afraid they’re
failing some sort of test. So that kind of connection to intrinsic error
isn’t hard to understand. Ray Pavloski actually measured heart rate
during difficult tracking tasks (in which a television picture of the
participant’s hand was shown in relation to the target – but rotated by
amounts from a little to a lot). Heart rate went up with difficulty, so
that may have been a symptom of intrinsic error.
But it’s been suggested a number of times (Martin Taylor proposed this
quite a while ago) that error signals in the hierarchy could themselves
function as intrinsic error signals, in addition to their normal role in
control systems. If error signals get too high – higher than the normal
range – that can indicate (to some monitoring system) a problem without
the nature of the problem having to be understood. I assume that the
reorganizing process can’t be intelligent or make use of higher mental
functions, since it has to work from birth or perhaps before that, and it
has to work in animals, too. This is why I don’t want error signals to be
recognized in terms of what they mean – only in the sense that any large
and protracted error signifies loss of control, no matter what is being
controlled.
It is my understanding that having
persistent error in our hierarchy is indicative that we are alive.
Persistent error disappears completely only when we die. Without
any perception of error, we would not behave or act to try to reduce the
error. It would be like being in the state of
coma.
Right, That’s what I think, too.
In the tracking experiments, error
is persistent. No reorganization is triggered or required to deal
with the error. We just behave/act to reduce the error. Is
this the correct understanding?
I don’t know if it’s correct, but that agrees with my
understanding.
And, I asked Bossman if when I play
golf, and experience persistent error with my shots and score, how and
when does reorganization come into play. I don’t think it
does. Reorganization is needed for other reasons, some of which you
address below. So, perhaps we can learn something from your
conception of it?
I think it really does. Mary was commenting today about the effects of
practice, where you try something over and over (i.e., attempt to match
perceptions to the same reference picture over and over), and gradually
get better at it, you hope. That just seems like ordinary learning, but
when you delve a little deeper, I think you’ll find reorganization
lurking just beneath the surface. A record of achievement during practice
doesn’t yield just a simple monotonic curve rising to an ultimate highest
level. Instead the curve goes up and down fairly randomly, especially
when the curve starts to level off, getting better sometimes and worse
sometimes, with an overall upward trend. I think Dick Robertson did some
literature searching on that subject for his Phantom Plateau paper. It’s
that randomness that makes me think of reorganization. Why should a
systematic process ever go the wrong way? But we know that the e. Coli
method of biased random reorganization often goes the wrong way, though
it’s biased in the right direction.
If
you’re already at your peak of performance, reorganizing can only makeit
worse. What happens is that the performance gets better in one way and
worse in another as random changes go on, so the overall performance just
sort of wanders around near the best performance, but never remains
constant.
I wonder how you know this to be
true? Have you tested this? Is this true in all circumstances
of behavior to some performance level?
How I know what to be true? If reorganization is a process of random
change (trial and error), then it follows that when you’re doing as well
as possible, any change of organization will make performance worse.
That’s just logic: if the premised is true, the conclusion is true… In
support of this I then offered the observation from ordinary experience
that when one is performing at the peak, the measure of performance
wanders around some average but ceases to improve. The champion runner
does the 100-meter dash is 9.4, 9.8, 9.6. 10.2, 9.3 seconds, in
successive races. I think this hold true in just about any sport I know
of. Do the best bowlers roll nothing but perfect games? Do the tennis
champions serve nothing but aces? Does the winning bridge player never
make a bad bid? Does Tiger Woods always hit the fairway?
I would think that by your
definition if a golfer wants to improve his handicap (having reached a
peak in personal performance level), reorganization is the only way to
lower their handicap?
For example, he could buy new clubs with anti-slice characteristics, he
could take lessons from a pro, he could increase his strength or agility
or endurance. I would not call these changes in behavior
reorganization, would you?
Pretty much, yes. Buying a club with anti-slice characteristics is a stab
in the dark; your slice may be caused by something quite different from
the club, such as opening the club face on the downswing. As you know,
golf is a game with about 50 interacting parameters to adjust, and people
get better mostly by trial and error. Look at the pros who keep trying
new putters by the dozen. They’re reorganizing, not systematically
finding the root of the problem and fixing it. I’m not saying that there
is never any systematic method behind learning – only that when
systematic methods have done all they can, which often isn’t a lot, all
that is left is reorganization.
And beyond that, once you have reorganized to the point where inherent
uncertainties at various places in your control systems cause irreducible
variations in performance, reorganization can cause things to change but
there will be no further systematic improvements.
If they are examples of
reorganization, would you claim they are random because that person has
never tried them to solve their problem of a too high handicap
before?
No, I’d say they were definitely random if measures of performance showed
a fairly large random variation. There is some hope of measuring such
things.
If they are not, what would be an
example of reorganization be for a golfer who, unless he can win a
tournament this year, will jump off a bridge? I am trying to
hypothesize an intrinsic variable. Life is no longer worth living
if I can’t win a golf tournament. It may be somewhat farfetched,
but is not inconceivable.
It’s not the jumping off the bridge that shows intrinsic error, it’s the
state of the biochemical organism being far from its “design
center.” Phil Michelson, who finally won his first major tournament
(the Masters) after something like 20 years, was in the kind of bind you
may be thinking of. He really, really wanted to win a major, meaning that
he had a GREAT BIG error signal about winning. And until this year, he
was getting more and more erratic, taking changes when he knew he
shouldn’t, trying different swings and different clubs, and generally
showing what looked to me like symptoms of somebody reorganizing himself
out of top shape. This year he seemed to settle down, playing more
conservatively and more relaxed, and Bingo. The green jacket.
So, please clarify this. Does
reorganization come into play only when an intrinsic variable is in
persistent error? Can you tell me what might be an intrinsic
variable that a golfer would experience in a state of persistent
error? How would the gain or rate of change apply to a golfer at
any performance level? Are gain and rate of change separate and
distinct attributes in reorganization by a golpher? Examples might
help.
I’m just giving you my best guesses, which maybe some day could become
the basis for some experiments. Do the experiments, then we’ll really
know.
But while we’re guessing, intrinsic errors aren’t that hard to imagine.
If you find yourself in a screaming rage, stomping on your driver,
throwing your bag (or caddy) in the lagoon, your heart pounding and your
lungs heaving and your face purple, I think it would be reasonable to
guess that your intrinsic variables are not all matched nicely to their
intrinsic reference levels. I would think it safe to assume that
reorganization is going on. How you get yourself into a state like this
is an individual matter, but clearly we can do this to ourselves. If you
keep flagellating yourself for not doing better, feel shame about your
performance and outrage at what others are doing to do, you’re probably
going into reorganization. Even if you just want something nice for
yourself, so much that you’re aching and longing and yearning and
pleading for it, you’re probably putting yourself into a state conducive
to reorganization. I really don’t think you have to get any more subtle
about it than this.
But, if there is no error why would
there be a negative emotion?
Remember that in my theory of emotion, a true emotion arises when, for
any reason, the action needed to correct the error doesn’t happen or is
ineffective. So you have a state of high error, plus preparation to
action, and are unable to correct the error. So you have a negative
emotion while you want to avoid something and can’t, or while you are
yearning for something positive but haven’t yet achieved it (and here, I
go along with suggestions that the rate of change of the error probably
has something to do with the emotion). Remember the cynical phrase from
the days before women’s lib: “Sure, he’s crazy about you. Give him
what he wants and then you’ll see just how much he loves you.”
Meaning, of course, that when the error’s gone, the emotion’s gone too –
though I’m not quite that cynical about love.
This is the change in your
conception of reorganization that made me more comfortable with your
perceptions of the role of “reorganization” by some
“reorganization system” in human behavior. For, I have
long maintained that the highest level human and self goals can be
brought about through imagination and be done intentionally without any
“random” reorganization taking place and without persistent
error.
However, you were once in a state where that was not happening, and then
you were in a state where it was happening. How did that change come
about? I know you have a theory about it, but reorganization is
also able to explain that kind of change. I don’t, offhand, have any test
that would settle the issue, but I hope you agree that it is an
issue.
This is fascinating. I doubt
that you understand why Tiger Woods game deteriorates. Yet, you
propose a solution?
Well, I’ve observed his game for six or seven years now, pretty
regularly. I’ve seem him indulge in some displays of temper and disgust
at his own bad shots or bad breaks, and I’ve seen his long accurate shots
gradually develop random dispersion, to the point where right now he’s
lucky to hit half the fairways with his drives. I don’t think there’s any
doubt that the organization of his golf-playing systems has been
changing, becoming less precise, more erratic. Watching and hearing, it
seems to me he is struggling not to let his slump get him down, and
partly from my own experience and partly from theory, my best guess would
be that he’s reorganizing – that he feels worse about his game than he
wants anyone to know, and that things about his game are changing that he
would rather not change. Of course I don’t know why this is happening. As
you say,
I suspect there are many reasons
and angles to Tiger’s play that you, nor many of his competitors, have
ever even considered.
You also say,
I also suspect that if small errors
were not treated with high gain, Tiger would be a caddy, or a duffer like
me, instead of a super star golfer.
Yes, as long as his control systems are organized optimally, as they were
for five years. High gain means small error – in the hierarchy. But
even in the hierarchy, there is such a thing as too high a gain. All
hierarchical control involves irreducible time delays, and that puts a
limit on the combination of speed and accuracy of control. If you start
overcorrecting, control goes down the tube. Cranking the gain up as high
as it will go is a guarantee of loss of control.
The reorganizing system is, hypogthetically of course, much slower than
the hierarchy, since it deals in tides of biochemistry in the whole body,
not signals zipping around in a brain. If reorganization goes too fast,
there will not be time to recognize that a change in behavior has reduced
intrinsic error, and to reduce the rate of reorganization appropriately.
(I say this as if these processes involved conscious decisions; poetic
license).
I think of the whole reorganization story as a proposal being set up for
testing, not as an established truth. I’ve done quite a lot of homework
in trying to fit this theory to experiences I’ve had or heard about, but
that’s just how you get your hypotheses in shape to be put to
experimental test. Now if we just had some nifty experiments that got
right to the point …
Best,
Bill P.