What's it all about

[From Rick Marken (941204.1720)]

Bill Leach (941204.12:14 EST(EDT)--

I suppose that I am remiss by even proposing this without having
tried it myself but I also assert that Bruce's models were control
system models.

Yes. The "law of effect" model was a control model; the parameters of
this model, however, were selected by the consequences of previous
behavior (tumbles) so the model could end up not controlling.

Your own "demonstation of failure" [ of the law of effect model] was
not a demonstration of the failure of the model but rather a
demonstration that the perception under control was not
the one that was being assumed.

I don't think this is quite right.My (and Bill's) demonstration of the
failure of the law of effect model had nothing to do with differences in
the perception under control. We showed that control could not be based
on "selection by consequences"; the law of effect model controls only if
the consequences of behavior are very cooperative -- that is, if they
"select" values for the control parameters that result in control.

Bruce Abbott (941203.1930 EST) --

I have nowhere claimed that the consequences are selecting the
behavior in the sense that you take it.

Here is the sense in which I mean "selecting":

    if LNut>0 then
      if Diff >= 0 then
        put PlusAfterPlus+1 into PlusAfterPlus
      else
        put MinusAfterPlus+1 into MinusAfterPlus
      end if
    end if
    if LNut<=0 then
      if Diff >= 0 then
        put PlusAfterMinus+1 into PlusAfterMinus
      else
        put MinusAfterMinus+1 into MinusAfterMinus
      end if
    end if

    put n+1 into n
    put MinusAfterPlus/(MinusAfterPlus+ PlusAfterPlus) into
pTumbleMinus
    put MinusAfterMinus/(PlusAfterMinus+ MinusAfterMinus) into
pTumblePlus

LNut is the gradient before the tumble and Diff is the "reinforcing"
consequence -- the difference between the gradient before and after the
tumble. Diff (the consequences of a tumble) directly determines the
probabilities of tumbling in positive and negative gradients
(pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus, respectively). The effect of Diff is
cumulative, so the current values of pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus
always depend on the organism's history of experience with its
consequences. This is what I mean (and what I think Skinner meant)
by "selection by consequences"; the probabilities of response --
pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus -- are selected (determined by)
previous consequences of the organism's behavior.

The whole point of my effort at e. coli modelling was different: to
demonstrate how a set of appropriate behaviors could be acquired and
maintained as a function of an organism's experience with their
consequences.

Well, then we were working on two very different verbal goals. If,
indeed, our goal was simpy to show that "a set of appropriate behaviors
could be acquired and maintained as a function of an organism's
experience", then I take it that you understood all along that the
behaviorist notion that operant behaviors are "selected by their
consequences" is just a description of one of the "behavioral illusions"
discussed in Bill Powers' 1973 Science article. In fact, it was just this
behavioral illustion that Baum didn't see (or understand) in his reply
to Bill's paper.

How else can you represent learning?

In PCT, learning is represented as a change in a structural characteristic
of the model: a change, for example, in the _nature_ of the perceptual,
comparator and/or output functions. Read the chapter in BCP on
"reorganization" for a more detailed discussion. Changes in
parameters of control, such as gain or slowing, can typically be handled
as a part of other control processes.

If a response that led to a mild shock on the last three occasions now
produces a bit of food, will this not tend to increase responding on the
lever?

If your point was only that the law of effect APPEARS to be a correct
description of the situation, then I would have had no argument and
the modelling would have been unnecessary. PCT theorists already
know that control can look like stimulus-response, selection by
consequences (law of effect) and generated output (see my "Blind men
and the elephant" paper). When you build a model of a law of effect
process, however, I presume that you are doing so to show that some
observed characteristic of behavior can be accounted for by the model. I
thought you built the law of effect model to show that control can be
modelled using "selection by consequences" (law of effect). Bill and I
showed that, in general, it cannot.

the "law of effect" model will learn such control, given that the
consequences its learning system monitors are such as to permit it.
The result is a lower-level control system whose parameters have
been determined by experience.

The result is NOT a lower-level control system; the system is already
structured as a control system. The law of effect process will bring the
parameters of this control system (pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus)
to the "right" values (the ones that result in control) ONLY IF (as you
say) the consequences "permit it". The law of effect model is a control
system with control parameters that are manipulated (selected) by the con-
sequences of behavior. The best that can be said about it is that it's
a lousy control system.

I seem to recall some very strong (and satirical) statements on your
part which came down to the idea that only fools and idiots believe
that there is any value in the law of effect.

Well, I thought I'd sworn off using the word "idiot" but, now that you
mention it...:wink:

Actually, I can't imagine having said such a thing. People who believe
in the law of effect are neither stupid nor stubborn; they are just like
the second blind man in my "Bind men" paper. A person who is
blindfolded (that is, a person who is not familiar with the nature of the
phenomenon of control) can only "feel" the "elephant" of control
(using conventional psychological methodology) so this person is being
perfectly reasonable when he describes one aspect of the elephant
(operant conditioning) as being "like a snake" (law of effect) ; after
all, all he can feel is the tail.

Me:

It is my experience that one has a better chance of learning PCT by
taking classes in it than by giving them -- awake or not;-)

Bruce:

Ouch. I think my classes have been quite instructive. However, since
I am evidently not, in your opinion, qualified to teach, I'll be happy to
let you take over.

Sorry, but I got pretty upset about your "sleeping in class" remark to
Tom. Even though that comment was made in jest, it hit a nerve.
Tom Bourbon happens to be one of the very few people who has
actually done extensive, high quality PCT research and modelling.
Tom REALLY understands PCT because he has worked with it --
watching control happen in real live people and in models that match
the behavior of these people to near perfection. Tom hasn't just kicked
the PCT tires; he's gone under the hood and seen how it works.

Because Tom understands PCT, he understands what it means for
conventional psychology and he (like me) has paid the price of this
understanding -- dropping out of an idyllic, tenured position in a
psychology department because he knew that the conventional
psychology curriculum is, well, hogwash. And he has gone through
the ultimate trial by fire; he has tried to publish the results of his PCT
research and modelling efforts in conventional psychology journals.
Tom had the courage to learn PCT and he paid the price (the biggest
price is the fact that there is only one other scientific psychologist in the
world who knows that he's NOT crazy and, worse still, that psychologist
is ME).

So it gets me more than a little ticked off when people who have done
no PCT research and modelling, let alone tried to publish it, start
teaching us about PCT and its relationship to conventional theories of
behavior. We may be stupid as hell but we've been in the scientific
trenches ALONE for quite a while; some of us (like me) are just a tad
shell-shoked.

PCT is not your garden variety "new theory" of psychology; there is a
reason why VERY few people are doing PCT; there's a reason why
Baum reacted strongly to Bill Powers' Science article. There's a reason
why PCT is ignored in all psych texts. Read Bill's 1978 Psych Review
paper; read the 1973 Science article. It's not easy to present PCT
honestly and not seem like you are intentionally "dis-ing" someone's
most cherished idea about what constitutes a fact or theory of
psychology. If you want to learn PCT, you have to at least be WILLING
to CHANGE the structure of your most basic ideas about behavior.

By the way, I'm very well aware of the fact that Tom and Bill and I are
not always right; and we welcome challenges to anything we say about
PCT. In fact, it is important to challenge PCT ideas -- that's how you
learn it. That's how I learned it. But it would sure be nice if this
challenging were done in the spirit of trying to _learn_ PCT. You can't
learn PCT if you already know it.

You ask the following question about Thorkdike's law of effect. My
answers are included:
.

Imagine Thorndike's cat in the puzzle box. It would like to get out of
the box and have a bit of that fish that's in the plate just outside.

1. What brought about the changes in the cat's behavior?

Reorganization; random changes in the structure of and connections
between control systems in the cat; the rate of such changes varies
depending on the deviation of the intrinsic variable (say, nutrient
level) from its reference. The changes are the visible output of the
reorganizing system -- a control system using variations in the rate of
random changes in existing control systems to control intrinsic
variables. Tom Bourbon and Bill Powers have built models of this
process.

2. Do these changes have anything to do with the consequences of
pulling the string? Explain.

Yes. Since pulling the string affects a physical variable (food) that
affects an intrinsic variable (nutrient level), control systems that
control perceptual variables such as "closeness to the string", "force
exerted on the string", etc., will tend to be built and/or connected to
existing control systems in the perceptual control hierarchy.

3. What would happen if you disabled the cat's sensory apparatus so
that it could no longer tell that its string-pulling had in fact unlatched
the door?

Possibly nothing. If the cat can control variables (like the sensed
position of its paw) that get the string pulled, then it might not need to
control the perceptual variables directly related to string pulling.
Deafferented monkeys, for example, can learn to control sensed
variables (like visible arm position) using now unsensed variables (like
felt arm position), though, of course, they cannot control the unsensed
variables so it looks like they are "thowing" their arms to the intended
position. Their ability to regain control of a visual variable after spinal
deafferentiation is evidence of reorganization.

Now I'll go sit in the back with the rest of the class; you come up front

here and fully answer these questions from a PCT perspective.

Thanks for listening;-)

Bill Powers (941204.1020 MST) --

To get here, everybody must start somewhere else.

True. But in 40 years, only three or four people have gotten here (doing
PCT reseach and modelling). People are starting in different places but
they're not ending up at PCT.

We still have a lot to learn about how to serve as guides on the
journey.

Well, I'd say that that's the understatement of the century!! I'm
beginning to think that there's really nothing to learn about how to
serve as guides because people will not be guided unless that want to be
-- isn't that PCT?

Best

Rick

Tom Bourbon [941205.1662]

Awakening, as though from a bad dream -- or was it from the lecture that was
droning in the background while my head rested against the wall at the rear
of the classroom. ;->

[From Rick Marken (941204.1720)]

. . .

Bruce Abbott (941203.1930 EST) --

I have nowhere claimed that the consequences are selecting the
behavior in the sense that you take it.

Rick:

Here is the sense in which I mean "selecting":

   if LNut>0 then
     if Diff >= 0 then
       put PlusAfterPlus+1 into PlusAfterPlus
     else
       put MinusAfterPlus+1 into MinusAfterPlus
     end if
   end if
   if LNut<=0 then
     if Diff >= 0 then
       put PlusAfterMinus+1 into PlusAfterMinus
     else
       put MinusAfterMinus+1 into MinusAfterMinus
     end if
   end if

   put n+1 into n
   put MinusAfterPlus/(MinusAfterPlus+ PlusAfterPlus) into
pTumbleMinus
   put MinusAfterMinus/(PlusAfterMinus+ MinusAfterMinus) into
pTumblePlus

LNut is the gradient before the tumble and Diff is the "reinforcing"
consequence -- the difference between the gradient before and after the
tumble. Diff (the consequences of a tumble) directly determines the
probabilities of tumbling in positive and negative gradients
(pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus, respectively). The effect of Diff is
cumulative, so the current values of pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus
always depend on the organism's history of experience with its
consequences. This is what I mean (and what I think Skinner meant)
by "selection by consequences"; the probabilities of response --
pTumblePlus and pTumbleMinus -- are selected (determined by)
previous consequences of the organism's behavior.

And that, Rick, was also my understanding of "selection by consequences."
I'll admit I am an outsider to EAB, but, in one way or another, every
behaviorist I have read said that the probabilities of an organism's
responses are altered by (selected by, determined by) the history of
previous consequences of those responses. Maybe I slept through the place
where things changed, but I remember that Bruce built his earlier Ecoli
models so that consequences of tumbling, or not tumbling, directly altered
later probabilities of tumbling, or not tumbling, respectively.

It was Bruce's direct alteration of probabilities that prompted me to send a
post in which I asked what kinds of things these probabilities might be,
that they can be altered directly by the consequences of something else --
of "behaviors." To my undergraduate brain, that has always been one of the
more vexing aspects of behaviorism. This time, the prof ignored my
question. Maybe that's when I began to nod off. :slight_smile: (Hey, this is _FUN_,
after spending 27 years on the _other side_ of this kind of exchange
between prof and student!)

Later,

Tom

[Martin Taylor 941208 16:00]

Hello, again. Sorry to say, I'm back --jet-lagged but not (to quote
Rick, shell-shoked).

Rick Marken (941204.1720)

In my role as invited guest editor for an issue of a "conventional
psychology journal" all about PCT, I am more than a little disturbed
when I join (A) the fact that, after several reminders spread over many
months, I have received exactly one (1) draft paper from the
PCT community (other than my own), with (B) the following comments:

... And he has gone through
the ultimate trial by fire; he has tried to publish the results of his PCT
research and modelling efforts in conventional psychology journals.
Tom had the courage to learn PCT and he paid the price
...

So it gets me more than a little ticked off when people who have done
no PCT research and modelling, let alone tried to publish it,

we've been in the scientific
trenches ALONE for quite a while; some of us (like me) are just a tad
shell-shoked.

There's a reason why PCT is ignored in all psych texts.

Is the reason, perchance, that when golden opportunities are presented
on a silver platter, those opportunities are spurned in favour of
contention and argumentation on the net? It's too much trouble to
submit a paper that has a high probability of being accepted? To have
a paper accepted would reduce the force of the argument that PCT is
necessarily ignored and rejected? The journal in question is TOO
reputable and widely read, perhaps?

I have a promise of one (1) further paper ready to be delivered. And
vapourware from the rest of the PCT community. On my recent trip I got
a proposal for another paper from someone who says he has been applying
PCT professionally for over a decade, but does not contribute to CSG-L
(No names, no pack drill). I gave that person until mid-Feburary to
submit what I think should be a very interesting paper. But the rest
of you have had, if I remember well, a year or more to produce a first
draft. And what have I received? The aforementioned one (1) draft, and
that from Bill Powers.

How about taking a rest from bitching, and writing a paper for a conventional
widely respected psychology journal that WANTS it?

Happy Holidays. I'll probably get back to technical comment next week.

Meanwhile, the lack of draft paper submissions, which should have been here
on my return from the previous trip, upsets me nearly as much as the lack
of paper acceptances seems (and I emphasize "seems") to upset Rick. Maybe
I'd get the draft submissions sooner if I promised to reject them all?

Martin

[From Rick Marken (941208.2200)]

Martin Taylor (941208 16:00) --

Me:

There's a reason why PCT is ignored in all psych texts.

Martin:

Is the reason, perchance, that when golden opportunities are
presented on a silver platter, those opportunities are spurned in
favour of contention and argumentation on the net?

No. The reason PCT is ignored is because it contradicts the
fundamental assumptions of scientific psychology (such as the notion
that behavior is guided by perceptual information).

The fact of the matter is that I have published papers on PCT in quite a
few visible forums (JEP, Psychological Science, Behavioral Science,
Behavioral Neuroscience, etc) and I have edited a volume of the American
Behavioral Scientist that was dedicated exclusively to PCT. Despite all
this publication, PCT continues to be ignored. Now you suggest that
things will suddenly change if I "submit a paper that has a high
probability of being accepted" to an editor who has not published a
single refereed research paper on PCT. I'm not convinced.

How about taking a rest from bitching, and writing a paper for a
conventional widely respected psychology journal that WANTS it?

The only "bitching" that was going on was my bitching about Bruce
Abbott trying to "teach" Tom Bourbon PCT. I was not bitching about
not getting papers accepted -- I've gotten papers accepted. Paper
acceptance is not my measure of PCT acceptance anyway. My measure
of PCT acceptance is the number of people DOING PCT -- testing for
controlled variables and modelling the behavior of living control
systems. By that measure, there has been no increase at all in the
acceptance of PCT over the last several years.

I am no longer impressed with the value of promulgating PCT via
journal articles. That doesn't mean that we shouldn't try publishing
the best examples of PCT research in psychology journals; they provide
a nice archive. But I don't think we can count on people learning PCT
from what we publish. Many people will read an article or book on
PCT, like what they THINK it's about and then assume that they have
learned PCT. Some of these people actually go off and publish research
based on "Powers' control theory"; the result almost never has
anything to do with PCT; it's just warmed over S-R theory with a few
new words (reference signal, feeback) thrown in for effect.

I feel that the most valuable way for me to spend my writing time these
days is writing posts on the net. Why waste time writing more journal
articles that will unquestionably be misunderstood -- if they are even read?
No, I would rather spend time discussing PCT with people who are at least
interested enough to participate in the dialogs on the net. If just one
person starts DOING PCT -- REAL PCT -- as a result my efforts on the net,
it would be worth a thousand journal articles to me.

Bruce Abbott (941208.1730 EST)--

By the way, the learning model contained in ECOLI4a represents a
tradition in learning theory that dates back to Thurstone (of factor
analysis fame) in 1930.

We know. It's a tradition that can now be profitably abandoned because
it is based on a fundemental misconception about the nature of behavior.
It is based on the idea that behavior is controlled output (controlled
by the environment or the organism itself). Now we know that behavior
is controlled input: behavior is the control of perception. This (as
Lee Iacoca would say) changes EVERYTHING.

Tom Bourbon said:

I'll be a happy guy when I see a model of a control system that learns
without benefit of arbitrary adjustments to the descriptive statistical
features of its behavior.

Bruce:

You have already seen one. It's called ECOLI4a.

You can call it learning if you want, but it's the most dysfunctional
example of learning I can imagine. The ECOLI4a model only learns
to control in one, specific environmental circumstance; change the
circumstance (so that the chances of an improved gradient after a tumble
is the same after going up or down the gradient) and the model "learns"
how NOT TO control. The model learns to be dysfunctional in circumstances
that pose NO PROBLEM for a real control model (one where the parameters of
control are independent of external circumstances) and no problem for a real
person. Again, the ECOLI4a model is an excellent demonstration of what is
WRONG with letting external circumstances (the consequences of tumbles)
select behavior or behavioral parameters. If this model convinces you that
current models of "learning" or "performance" are satisfactory imitations
of living systems then it's time to bid a fond "Yes, you're right" from
the deck of the Enterprise and move on.

Best

Rick