Why??

[From Rick Marken (2008.09.13.1640)]

Jim Wuwert (2008.09.13.1850)

Dick Robertson, 2008.09.12.1715CDT]

Jim, this is to you. What would make you change your mind and give your vote
to Obama/Biden, instead of McCain/Palin?

I mentioned in my previous email the reasons why I am voting for
McCain/Palin. If in the next 6 weeks I perceive Obama/Biden to better match
my picture of what the next president should be, then I would change my vote
to Obama/Biden. Right now, I feel that Obama/Biden does not match my picture
of president of the U.S. McCain/Palin are more closely aligned with my
picture right now.

Of course. I've just got ask a couple more questions, just out of my
own curiosity (and I'd love any other McCain supporters out there to
answer too, if they would): Is your impression that things have gone
pretty well under the Bush administration? If so, what have you liked
about it? If not, why are you support people whose policies seem to be
indistinguishable from Bush's?

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
rsmarken@gmail.com

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.14.0403 MDT)]

Jim Wuwert 2008.09.13.1850

Jim, I wonder if I may enquire about a different level of the subjects
beings discussed in your exchanges with the two Richards, Marken and
Robertson. For example, Dick R.
says

Jim, this is to you. What would make you change your mind and give
your vote to Obama/Biden, instead of McCain/Palin?

And you reply,

I mentioned in my previous email the reasons why I am voting for
McCain/Palin. If in the next 6 weeks I perceive Obama/Biden to better
match my picture of what the next president should be, then I would
change my vote to Obama/Biden. Right now, I feel that Obama/Biden does
not match my picture of president of the U.S. McCain/Palin are more
closely aligned with my picture right now.
This answer seems to place you more or less in the role of a
somewhat helpless spectator in your own mind. That is, if you perceive
things one way you will vote for one ticket, and if you perceive them
another way, you’ll vote the other way. You’ll notice that I’m not
talking about which ticket is which; that doesn’t matter here.

What caught my attention was the apparent implication that you don’t know
what would influence your perception on way or the other. Is this
entirely up to the candidates, so you’ll just respond to whatever stimuli
they provide? Somehow I doubt that this is what you mean. How about
addressing that question? If my inferences are off the mark just say so,
and explain what’s really the case.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Dick Robertson,2008.09.14.1500CDT]

···

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.13.1850

[From Dick Robertson, 2008.09.12.1715CDT]

OK, I note that Jim replied to you without complaining about sensing any bias, so I guess my reservations were unfounded, but, just to give an example lit me cite:

I was reacting to the phrasing: Do you care? That carries a slight innuendo of “Do you really care?”

>> Honestyly, initially the wording hit me that way, but I chose to overlook it. I felt that if I reacted to it that it would not add any value to this discussion.

But as I’ve already said, it didn’t stear Jim away from you telling you what you were asking.

But now let me “take over” as you suggest.

Jim, this is to you. What would make you change your mind and give your vote to Obama/Biden, instead of McCain/Palin?

*> I mentioned in my previous email the reasons why I am voting for McCain/Palin. If in the next 6 weeks I perceive Obama/Biden to better match my picture of what the next president should be, then I would change my vote to Obama/Biden. Right now, I feel that Obama/Biden does not match my picture of president of the U.S. McCain/Palin are more closely aligned with my picture right now. *

Jim,

Do you intend to answer my question? I asked, what would make you change your allegiance? To say if you perceive them to better match (sic) my picture

No,No, No, What would make you change your mind? I meant what specific happening, or new information.

Best,

Dick R

Best,

Dick R

OK. So do you care at all about social level variables? Do you care
about the size of the deficit? The debt?

> I do care about those things. I think the solution is less government which would help eliminate the deficit. If we cut back government services we will have money to pay down the debt and more accountability for government.I think McCain/Palin will do this.

Rates of child poverty?

> Considering I work with child poverty everyday–I do care about it. I also accept that some people choose to live in poverty and want to stay there. I am okay with that. However, I think wealth is a better lifestyle. The love of wealth is the root of all evil. I think what I can do is listen to those in poverty, help them find opportunities to get out of it (if that is what they want), and follow through on commitments I make to them. I think private individuals do a better job in their communities to help poverty rates than the government. I am basing that on my own community. My perception of McCain is that he will help make this happen by reducing taxes and government pork barrell.

Abortion rates?

I think we know where Palin is on this one.

> Yes, I care about it. I am unfamiliar with the stats on this. Morally, I think it should be outlawed because I view it as murder. It’s black and white to me. There are so many people in this country who want to adopt. Abortion is something that destroys society. That unborn child however inconvenient could hold the idea that allows us to find a cure for cancer. Let’s do our best to preserve an innocent life. I don’t think legalizing that helps us preserve life or decrease the abortion rates. I feel like if it remains legal I am contributing to the murder of innocent children. It’s an innocent life.

Growth rate? Stock market growth? Jobs growth?

*> I care about all of these things. Again, I think McCain/Palin will cut taxes and put money back into the hands of individuals. I think they will save it in the stock market, start businesses which will increase jobs. I think this basic philosophy will help us. I think as (educated folk-and I include myself in that) we tend to overanalyze things with data instead of getting back to simplicity. In rare instances I think we need government regulation because of corruption or national security. Whatever happen to community culture where people hung out together, played games on the front lawn, told stories, and laughed. Nowadays, we go to a computer to do that, not that that isn’t fun. It is. *

> But, Where is the community pride? Where is our country pride? This country isn’t perfect but you know what it is pretty darn good. Perhaps we can build around our strengths and work from there rather than focusing our time and energy on what is wrong or bad. The bad will always be there because we are not perfect. Let’s focus on the good and make it better. Let’s do it together as liberals and conservatives, but let’s do it in our communities with little government intervention.

> I feel like John McCain and Sarah Palin will help facillitate that. They are change. I mean, can you believe it. We may have a lady vice-president who I think believes in family. I think Palin is authentic and real. Much more so than Obama or Biden.

Best

Rick

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER

[From Rick Marken (2008.09.13.1640)]

Of course. I’ve just got ask a couple more questions, just out of my
own curiosity (and I’d love any other McCain supporters out there to
answer too, if they would): Is your impression that things have gone
pretty well under the Bush administration? If so, what have you liked
about it? If not, why are you support people whose policies seem to be
indistinguishable from Bush’s?
I think that Palin is distinctly different than Bush. She is a woman for one. For another, she will in my mind not increase the size of government like Bush has done in his administration.

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER

From Jim Wuwert (2008.09.14.1750EST)

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.14.0403 MDT)]

This answer seems to place you more or less in the role of a somewhat helpless spectator in your own mind. That is, if you perceive things one way you will vote for one ticket, and if you perceive them another way, you’ll vote the other way. You’ll notice that I’m not talking about which ticket is which; that doesn’t matter here.
What caught my attention was the apparent implication that you don’t know what would influence your perception on way or the other. Is this entirely up to the candidates, so you’ll just respond to whatever stimuli they provide? Somehow I doubt that this is what you mean. How about addressing that question? If my inferences are off the mark just say so, and explain what’s really the case.
I disagree with you. If the other ticket said that on their first day in office that they would cut government expenses by 50%, outlaw abortion, and reduce my taxes by 50% , then I would consider changing my vote. I would strongly consider it.

I focus on perceptions because I think at some level neither of the parties are being 100% honest. All we have is what we see in the media or on t.v. Come on, do you really know Obama or McCain. If so, how well do you know them. Each will say whatever they think will get them votes. It’s politics. I don’t trust either one of them fully–it is like the lesser of two evils in my mind. Although I feel that Palin is more trustworthy than Obama, but I can’t be 100% for sure. What makes you so sure that OBAMA is going to deliver on what he says he is going to do? What proof or evidence do you have? You only have what you have heard and perceived from what he has said in the media about what he would like to do.

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.14.1758EST

*If they could guarantee me on the 1st day in office that they would cut government spending by 50%, outlaw abortion, and reduce my taxes by 50%, then I would strongly consider voting for the other ticket. All of that would be difficult to do. *

I think that you are operating under the assumption that what they say they will do they will do. I think Bush let us down in many ways by increasing spending. I don’t think anyone on the democratic (i.e. Obama/Biden) ticket will decrease spending because they have a history of being tax and spend people. I think McCain/Palin will reduce spending or at least advocate for that concept.

In this situation I only have two choices–well I guess I could try the libertarian candidate, but I don’t think he has a realistic shot at getting anything done. It seems that you are unsatisfied with my response about one candidate matching my picture better than the other. Why does that bother you?

Media influences what we believe about each candidate. How well do we really know each person? How are you so convinced that OBAMA is who he is and is not who the other side (i.e. republicans) says he is? It seems that you may be frustrated with how much influence the media has on the portrayal of our political candidates. Like it or love it–it is how it is. Being able to get to know a candidate fully is very difficult. Even if you had that opportunity, how do you know that you are not being played by either side? Only time will tell. Unfortunately, we do not have a trial period for president. We have to vote based on what we think he/she may do.

I choose to place my future in the hands of McCain/Palin because I have faith that they will get the job done the way I want it done. I could be wrong about them, but I am willing to take a risk in that direction. I am not willing to do that with Obama.

Does that answer your question?

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.13.1850

[From Dick Robertson, 2008.09.12.1715CDT]

OK, I note that Jim replied to you without complaining about sensing any bias, so I guess my reservations were unfounded, but, just to give an example lit me cite:

I was reacting to the phrasing: Do you care? That carries a slight innuendo of “Do you really care?”

>> Honestyly, initially the wording hit me that way, but I chose to overlook it. I felt that if I reacted to it that it would not add any value to this discussion.

But as I’ve already said, it didn’t stear Jim away from you telling you what you were asking.

But now let me “take over” as you suggest.

Jim, this is to you. What would make you change your mind and give your vote to Obama/Biden, instead of McCain/Palin?

*> I mentioned in my previous email the reasons why I am voting for McCain/Palin. If in the next 6 weeks I perceive Obama/Biden to better match my picture of what the next president should be, then I would change my vote to Obama/Biden. Right now, I feel that Obama/Biden does not match my picture of president of the U.S. McCain/Palin are more closely aligned with my picture right now. *

Jim,

Do you intend to answer my question? I asked, what would make you change your allegiance? To say if you perceive them to better match (sic) my picture

No,No, No, What would make you change your mind? I meant what specific happening, or new information.

Best,

Dick R

Best,

Dick R

OK. So do you care at all about social level variables? Do you care
about the size of the deficit? The debt?

> I do care about those things. I think the solution is less government which would help eliminate the deficit. If we cut back government services we will have money to pay down the debt and more accountability for government.I think McCain/Palin will do this.

Rates of child poverty?

> Considering I work with child poverty everyday–I do care about it. I also accept that some people choose to live in poverty and want to stay there. I am okay with that. However, I think wealth is a better lifestyle. The love of wealth is the root of all evil. I think what I can do is listen to those in poverty, help them find opportunities to get out of it (if that is what they want), and follow through on commitments I make to them. I think private individuals do a better job in their communities to help poverty rates than the government. I am basing that on my own community. My perception of McCain is that he will help make this happen by reducing taxes and government pork barrell.

Abortion rates?

I think we know where Palin is on this one.

> Yes, I care about it. I am unfamiliar with the stats on this. Morally, I think it should be outlawed because I view it as murder. It’s black and white to me. There are so many people in this country who want to adopt. Abortion is something that destroys society. That unborn child however inconvenient could hold the idea that allows us to find a cure for cancer. Let’s do our best to preserve an innocent life. I don’t think legalizing that helps us preserve life or decrease the abortion rates. I feel like if it remains legal I am contributing to the murder of innocent children. It’s an innocent life.

Growth rate? Stock market growth? Jobs growth?

*> I care about all of these things. Again, I think McCain/Palin will cut taxes and put money back into the hands of individuals. I think they will save it in the stock market, start businesses which will increase jobs. I think this basic philosophy will help us. I think as (educated folk-and I include myself in that) we tend to overanalyze things with data instead of getting back to simplicity. In rare instances I think we need government regulation because of corruption or national security. Whatever happen to community culture where people hung out together, played games on the front lawn, told stories, and laughed. Nowadays, we go to a computer to do that, not that that isn’t fun. It is. *

> But, Where is the community pride? Where is our country pride? This country isn’t perfect but you know what it is pretty darn good. Perhaps we can build around our strengths and work from there rather than focusing our time and energy on what is wrong or bad. The bad will always be there because we are not perfect. Let’s focus on the good and make it better. Let’s do it together as liberals and conservatives, but let’s do it in our communities with little government intervention.

> I feel like John McCain and Sarah Palin will help facillitate that. They are change. I mean, can you believe it. We may have a lady vice-president who I think believes in family. I think Palin is authentic and real. Much more so than Obama or Biden.

Best

Rick

=o: CSGNET@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU
From: Robertson Richard R-Robertson@NEIU.EDU
Sent by: “Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)” CSGNET@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU
Date: 09/14/2008 04:01PM
Subject: Re: Why??

[From Dick Robertson,2008.09.14.1500CDT]

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER

[From Rick Marken (2008.09.14.1700)]

Jim Wuwert (2008.09.14.1758EST) --

If they could guarantee me on the 1st day in office that they would cut
government spending by 50%, outlaw abortion, and reduce my taxes by 50%,
then I would strongly consider voting for the other ticket. All of that
would be difficult to do.

Let me guess: you don't believe in evolution either, right?

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
rsmarken@gmail.com

[from Gary Cziko 2008.09.14 19:27 CDT]

Rick:

If you had the same genome as Jim Wuwert and experienced the same environment he has, do you think you would be having this discussion with him right now? Or conversely, if he had your genome and had experienced in your environment?

I realize that this might seem like a really stupid question. But for some reason I find it a very interesting question. Indeed, I asked my wife if she had the same genome as Sarah Palin and the same environment if she would have the same political views as the GOP VP candidate. And she said “not necessarily.” This reflects the idea that there is something more than genome and its interaction with one’s environment. But what more can there be?

–Gary

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.l4.1900 MDT)]

Jim Wuwert (2008.09.14.1750 EST) –

I disagree with you. If
the other ticket said that on their first day in office that they would
cut government expenses by 50%, outlaw abortion, and reduce my taxes by
50% , then I would consider changing my vote. I would strongly consider
it.

OK. These are “reference conditions”, then, for three
variables: government expenses (50% of current level), abortion rate (0%
of current rate), and taxation rate (50% of current rate). The two
“50%” values might be preceded by “not greater than”,
I would guess. Whoever promises (most believably) to meet these criteria
would have your vote. Is that right?

I want to ask “why” about each of these, not in the sense of
implying that you need to defend your reference conditions, but in the
PCT sense. What goals of yours would come closer to being satisfied if
each of these criteria were actually met by whichever party wins? That
question calls for a small digression.

By butting in like this I’m trying to show Rick and others, and you of
course, the difference between the normal argumentative political
discourse, and another method of reaching understanding which I call
“exploring.” It’s a little strange in that I’m the one trying
to understand, but you’re the one who has to do the exploring. This is
not like an argument; it’s more like an interview, with me trying to put
aside my own biases or preferences and simply do my (variable) best to
bring out the structure of your control processes. I have only one
agenda, and that is to keep the discussion going always toward the
sources of the reference signals, and the sources of the sources, until
there is nowhere left to go. I won’t offer any opinions as to whether
you’re right or wrong, or try to pry into details that interest me (all
that counts is whether they interest you), or try to get you to change
anything.

So with that said, I’ll tack on a few more questions based on the rest of
this post:"

I focus on perceptions because I think at some level neither of the
parties are being 100% honest. All we have is what we see in the media or
on t.v. Come on, do you really know Obama or McCain. If so, how well do
you know them. Each will say whatever they think will get them votes.
It’s politics. I don’t trust either one of them fully–it is like the
lesser of two evils in my mind.

You say “It’s politics” and that you don’t trust either one of
them fully. Do politics and being untrustworthy go together? Could you
expand on that a bit?

Although I feel that Palin is more trustworthy than Obama, but I
can’t be 100% for sure. What makes you so sure that OBAMA is going to
deliver on what he says he is going to do? What proof or evidence do you
have? You only have what you have heard and perceived from what he has
said in the media about what he would like to do.

From this I get the idea that your main problem is not that you object
to what the candidates say they are going to do (or not to everything),
but that you don’t believe they will actually do it. Is that what you
mean by not trusting them? Do you wish that were not so? And since you’ll
probably go on in your mind to anticipate my next question, I’ll ask why
(if I guess right) you wish it weren’t so (the PCT “why”,
meaning what higher-level goals of your own would be reached if what you
want actually happened?).

That’s enough to explore for now.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.14.1940 MDT)]

Gary Cziko 2008.09.14 19:27 CDT --

You ask Rick:

If you had the same genome as Jim Wuwert and experienced the same environment he has, do you think you would be having this discussion with him right now? Or conversely, if he had your genome and had experienced in your environment?

...

[One answer] reflects the idea that there is something more than genome and its interaction with one's environment. But what more can there be?

I'm familiar with your provocative way of asking questions, which seems to imply that you have a particular viewpoint but in fact is your version of a poker face.

I will answer you as I usually do, by asking a somewhat ambiguous question. Two questions.

1. Does the "butterfly effect" of chaos theory apply here?

2. Is the outcome of reorganization predictable?

Best,

Bill P.

[from Gary Cziko 2008.09.14 19:27 CDT]

Rick:

If you had the same genome as Jim Wuwert and experienced the same environment
he has, do you think you would be having this discussion with him right now? Or
conversely, if he had your genome and had experienced in your environment?

I realize that this might seem like a really stupid question. But for some
reason I find it a very interesting question. Indeed, I asked my wife if she
had the same genome as Sarah Palin and the same environment if she would have
the same political views as the GOP VP candidate. And she said “not
necessarily.” This reflects the idea that there is something more than
genome and its interaction with one’s environment. But what more can there be?

–Gary

[from Ted Cloak
2008.09.14 22:55 MDT]

Are we agreed that in this respect “environment”
means “everything but the genome”, every molecule of air breathed, every sound
heard, every perception beginning with the formation of the egg and sperm from
which they were conceived? If yes, then there could be nothing more. Except
that you’d be married to Sarah Palin. No, because then your wife’s environment
would have been different from hers, at least since the moment you met. I
think the interaction between a genome and its environment must be utterly,
literally chaotic. “Not necessarily” is probably the best answer.

Regards,

Ted

[From Rick Marken (2008.09.14.2300)]

Gary Cziko (2008.09.14 19:27 CDT)_-

Rick:

If you had the same genome as Jim Wuwert and experienced the same
environment he has, do you think you would be having this discussion with
him right now? Or conversely, if he had your genome and had experienced in
your environment?

I've often wondered about that about myself; would I be the secular
humanist that I am if I had experienced a different environment. I'm
sure I would be different if I had a different genome because then I
might not be as smart, athletic and good-looking as I am with this
genome;-)

I realize that this might seem like a really stupid question. But for some
reason I find it a very interesting question. Indeed, I asked my wife if she
had the same genome as Sarah Palin and the same environment if she would
have the same political views as the GOP VP candidate. And she said "not
necessarily." This reflects the idea that there is something more than
genome and its interaction with one's environment. But what more can there
be?

I don't think there is much more than that. I think the reason you can
get different results for the same genome raised in the same
environment is, as Bill said in his reply, reorganization (which
involves variations in the genome-produced phenotype that are aimed at
producing a successful adaptation to the environment) are relatively
unpredictable.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
rsmarken@gmail.com

Are we agreed that in this
respect �environment� means �everything but the genome�, every molecule
of air breathed, every sound heard, every perception beginning with the
formation of the egg and sperm from which they were conceived? If
yes, then there could be nothing more.
[From Bill Powers (2008.09.15.0040 MDT)]

Ted Cloak 2008.09.14
22:55 MDT –

… except that the universe keeps spreading out and getting older, and
orbits keep interacting in nonrepeating ways, and the sun gradually
changes, and meteorites fall – it’s not possible to repeat the
environment that our ancestors experienced.

And anyway, if E. coli reorganization is actually at the root of changes
in organization, each organism that can do this is probably unique. When
there is an episode of reorganization, there are multiple bifurcations
and branchings of the possibilities offered for change. Identical twins
do not remain identical for long. The capacity to reorganize is
inherited, but because of that there can be no strict determinism in the
effects of either nature or nurture.

After I built my first computer from kits in the 1970s and started doing
tracking experiments in a fumbling sort of way, I needed a random noise
generator to produce unpredictable disturbances. The random number
generators then available as program algorithms weren’t very random and
repeated after relatively short times, so I made my own random number
generator. It consisted of an analog-to-digital converter hooked up to
the audio output of an FM radio tuned between stations. As we now know, a
good deal of that random noise came from the Big Bang. If you think about
Brownian movements and weather patterns and thermal agitation of
molecules, there are plenty of effectively random influences around to
serve as the basis for the E. coli sort of reorganization. Even if you
reject the quantum-physics stories about probability clouds,
simple-minded determinism really is nonexistent in this universe, on the
scale that matters to living systems.

So my answer to the question of which determines our behavior, nature or
nurture, is neither.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Dick Robertson,2008.09.15.1030CDT]

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.14.1758EST

OK, I think you are sort of answering my question, the one I said you didn’t answer the first time around. Although–since you don’t put in the header-- it is difficult to be sure just to whom you are speaking. Anyway, I assume you don’t mean to be taken completely literally, becuase no one could “guarantee me on the 1st day in office that they would cut government spending by 50%.” First, because about the only way to Guarantee something like that would be to do it, and no law can be passed in one day.

*> I think that you are operating under the assumption that what they say they will do they will do.

It’s not clear to whom you are speaking here, Jim. If you are speaking to me (Dick R) then I must tell you, you misunderstand me on this point.

I think Bush let us down in many ways by increasing spending. I don’t think anyone on the democratic (i.e. Obama/Biden) ticket will decrease spending because they have a history of being tax and spend people.

OK, this is pretty good, as I see it because you are going beyond saying you have these gut feelings. You offer a kind of evidence – past history – Not the best evidence IMHO, but evidence of a sort.

It does raise the question of how you would compare a “tax ans spend” approach, with a “Cut tax and borrow approach.”

I think McCain/Palin will reduce spending or at least advocate for that concept.

You THINK, OK, but you offered your evidence in the previous case – would you say that you are again using history as evidence for reaching your conclusion? Or something else?

···

*> In this situation I only have two choices–well I guess I could try the libertarian candidate, but I don’t think he has a realistic shot at getting anything done.

It seems that you are unsatisfied with my response about one candidate matching my picture better than the other. Why does that bother you?

It doesn’t bother me Jim, I judged it as not answering my question, which was, “What would make you reverse your loyalty?” Understand I wasn’t trying to get you to do that. I just wanted to know ON WHAT BASIS? What evidence do you make your choices on, or are you satisfied to go on “Gut Feelings?” Again, don’t think I am judging using gut feelings, a lot of people don’t really know why they make their decisions, but they are satisfied with their gut feelings. I don’t operate that way myself (at least I don’t think so), and I am interested in knowing how that works for people who do.

I also say your answer this time, although closer to answering my question was a sorta, because the criterion you posed is impossible in the real world, so either you wany me to not take you completely literally–in which case I must still say you haven’t given a concrete anser–or else you are really saying indirectly that there is Nothing that would make you change your mind. In the latter case I’m wondering whether you believe you have incontravertible evidence (So what is it?) or else you are a “go by my gut feelings person.”

So?? Again, I hope you are not reading me as trying to subtly get you to change your position. I just want to know.
Remember this started when Rick said he wanted to know how people who reach conclusions so opposite to his, and I accused him of giving you a loaded questionl
*

*> Media influences what we believe about each candidate. How well do we really know each person? How are you so convinced that OBAMA is who he is and is not who the other side (i.e. republicans) says he is? It seems that you may be frustrated with how much influence the media has on the portrayal of our political candidates.

Who is the “you” to whom you are reffering here? If you are addressing me (DR) personally, I don’t know where you got that idea. I accept that the media (all of it, blogs, fact check, the big magazines and newspapsers, etd.) deliver the information and misinformation from which I have to form my opinions. I’m not privy personally to any of the major players.

Like it or love it–it is how it is. Being able to get to know a candidate fully is very difficult. Even if you had that opportunity, how do you know that you are not being played by either side? Only time will tell. Unfortunately, we do not have a trial period for president. We have to vote based on what we think he/she may do.

Agreed.
*

*> I choose to place my future in the hands of McCain/Palin because I have faith that they will get the job done the way I want it done. I could be wrong about them, but I am willing to take a risk in that direction. I am not willing to do that with Obama.

Ah, at last I think you give your position: THere is no grounds upon which I would change me opinion.
*

*> Does that answer your question?

NO. Surely you remember that back in grade school, in English grammar, when they introduced the Subjunctive case, they discussed '“conditions contrary to fact.” Now for you the possibility of finding a reason to vote for Obama would be a “condition contrary to fact.”
But that is just what I was asking you to entertain. I wasn’t asking you to vote for Obama, I was asking you how you deal with hypotheticals–so you would share with us how your mind works. Anyone with an IQ above about 85 can deal with hypotheticals. Obviously, based upon the evidence of your posts you IQ is clearly way beyond that.

OK?

Best,

Dick R
*

[From Dick Robertson,2008.09.15.1120 CST]

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.14.1758EST

OK, I think you are sort of answering my question, the one I said you didn’t answer the first time around. Although–since you don’t put in the header-- it is difficult to be sure just to whom you are speaking. Anyway, I assume you don’t mean to be taken completely literally, becuase no one could “guarantee me on the 1st day in office that they would cut government spending by 50%.” First, because about the only way to Guarantee something like that would be to do it, and no law can be passed in one day.

> I think that you are operating under the assumption that what they say they will do they will do. *

It’s not clear to whom you are speaking here, Jim. If you are speaking to me (Dick R) then I must tell you, you misunderstand me on this point.

> I think Bush let us down in many ways by increasing spending. I don’t think anyone on the democratic (i.e. Obama/Biden) ticket will decrease spending because they have a history of being tax and spend people.

OK, this is pretty good, as I see it because you are going beyond saying you have these gut feelings. You offer a kind of evidence – past history – Not the best evidence IMHO, but evidence of a sort.

It does raise the question of how you would compare a “tax ans spend” approach, with a “Cut tax and borrow approach.”

>I think McCain/Palin will reduce spending or at least advocate for that concept.

You THINK, OK, but you offered your evidence in the previous case – would you say that you are again using history as evidence for reaching your conclusion? Or something else?*

> In this situation I only have two choices–well I guess I could try the libertarian candidate, but I don’t think he has a realistic shot at getting anything done. *
>It seems that you are unsatisfied with my response about one candidate matching my picture better than the other. Why does that bother you?

*It doesn’t bother me Jim, I judged it as not answering my question, which was, “What would make you reverse your loyalty?” Understand I wasn’t trying to get you to do that. I just wanted to know ON WHAT BASIS? What evidence do you make your choices on, or are you satisfied to go on “Gut Feelings?” Again, don’t think I am judging using gut feelings, a lot of people don’t really know why they make their decisions, but they are satisfied with their gut feelings. I don’t operate that way myself (at least I don’t think so), and I am interested in knowing how that works for people who do. *

I also say your answer this time, although closer to answering my question was a sorta, because the criterion you posed is impossible in the real world, so either you wany me to not take you completely literally–in which case I must still say you haven’t given a concrete anser–or else you are really saying indirectly that there is Nothing that would make you change your mind. In the latter case I’m wondering whether you believe you have incontravertible evidence (So what is it?) or else you are a “go by my gut feelings person.”

So?? Again, I hope you are not reading me as trying to subtly get you to change your position. I just want to know.
*Remember this started when Rick said he wanted to know how people who reach conclusions so opposite to his, and I accused him of giving you a loaded questionl **

> Media influences what we believe about each candidate. How well do we really know each person? How are you so convinced that OBAMA is who he is and is not who the other side (i.e. republicans) says he is? It seems that you may be frustrated with how much influence the media has on the portrayal of our political candidates. *

Who is the “you” to whom you are reffering here? If you are addressing me (DR) personally, I don’t know where you got that idea. I accept that the media (all of it, blogs, fact check, the big magazines and newspapsers, etd.) deliver the information and misinformation from which I have to form my opinions. I’m not privy personally to any of the major players.

  • Like it or love it–it is how it is. Being able to get to know a candidate fully is very difficult. Even if you had that opportunity, how do you know that you are not being played by either side? Only time will tell. Unfortunately, we do not have a trial period for president. We have to vote based on what we think he/she may do.*

Agreed.*

> I choose to place my future in the hands of McCain/Palin because I have faith that they will get the job done the way I want it done. I could be wrong about them, but I am willing to take a risk in that direction. I am not willing to do that with Obama. *

Ah, at last I think you give your position: THere is no grounds upon which I would change me opinion.*

> Does that answer your question? *

NO. Surely you remember that back in grade school, in English grammar, when they introduced the Subjunctive case, they discussed '“conditions contrary to fact.” Now for you the possibility of finding a reason to vote for Obama would be a “condition contrary to fact.”
But that is just what I was asking you to entertain. I wasn’t asking you to vote for Obama, I was asking you how you deal with hypotheticals–so you would share with us how your mind works. Anyone with an IQ above about 85 can deal with hypotheticals. Obviously, based upon the evidence of your posts you IQ is clearly way beyond that.

OK?*

Ted
Cloak 2008.09.15 10:27 MDT –

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.15.0040 MDT)]

Ted Cloak 2008.09.14 22:55 MDT –

Are we agreed that in this respect
environment means everything but the genome, every molecule
of air breathed, every sound heard, every perception beginning with the
formation of the egg and sperm from which they were conceived? If yes,
then there could be nothing more.

… except that the universe keeps spreading out and getting older, and orbits
keep interacting in nonrepeating ways, and the sun gradually changes, and
meteorites fall – it’s not possible to repeat the environment that our
ancestors experienced.

And anyway, if E. coli reorganization is actually at the root of changes in
organization, each organism that can do this is probably unique. When there is
an episode of reorganization, there are multiple bifurcations and branchings of
the possibilities offered for change. Identical twins do not remain identical
for long. The capacity to reorganize is inherited, but because of that there
can be no strict determinism in the effects of either nature or nurture.

After I built my first computer from kits in the 1970s and started doing
tracking experiments in a fumbling sort of way, I needed a random noise
generator to produce unpredictable disturbances. The random number generators
then available as program algorithms weren’t very random and repeated after
relatively short times, so I made my own random number generator. It consisted
of an analog-to-digital converter hooked up to the audio output of an FM radio
tuned between stations. As we now know, a good deal of that random noise came
from the Big Bang. If you think about Brownian movements and weather patterns
and thermal agitation of molecules, there are plenty of effectively random
influences around to serve as the basis for the E. coli sort of reorganization.
Even if you reject the quantum-physics stories about probability clouds,
simple-minded determinism really is nonexistent in this universe, on the scale
that matters to living systems.

So my answer to the question of which determines our behavior, nature or
nurture, is neither.

Best,

Bill P.

Ancestors schmancestors. The only
way one can be Sarah Palin is to be Sarah Palin. (But who would want
to?)

Best,

Ted

[Martin Taylor 2008.09.15.12.20]

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.14.1758EST
/If they could guarantee me on the 1st day in office that they would cut government spending by 50%, outlaw abortion, and reduce my taxes by 50%, then I would strongly consider voting for the other ticket. All of that would be difficult to do. /
//

Following Bill Powers's comments (I think, because I'm not 100% sure I understood what he asked--perhaps I'm just repeating them)...

The three things you mention suggest you are controlling perceptions of variables which we can label "government spending", "access to abortion", and "taxes I pay". For these you have reference values respectively of "50% less than at present", "only backstreet", and "50% less than at present".

If we believe in the basic premise of PCT, a reference value comes from somewhere, and if you believe in HPCT, then unless the controlled perception is at the highest level, that "somewhere" is the output of one or more higher-level perceptual control units.

All perceptual control is a means to some end or ends. So the obvious PCT-style question is "What higher-level perceptions are you controlling, with what reference values, that leads you to control these three perceptions at the reference levels you assign them?" In everyday language there are two related questions: "If government spending and taxes were reduced by 50%, and abortion was only performed in illegal backstreet venues, what would happen that would bring the world nearer to a world you want to live in?", and "What would that world look like?"

This in turn leads to another set of questions, which start with "Given the higher-level controlled perceptions that engender these three, with those reference values, what other perceptions do you control whose reference values are set by the outputs of those same higher-level control units?" In everyday language, "If the "better world" implied by getting what you want for the first three wishes were to come to pass, what else would happen, and would that affect anything else you would care about?"

Rick, and Dick Robertson, have asked what counterfactual condition might get you to change your vote. I assume that there could be two ways for this to happen. One is that you might get some data that would make it seem that the candidates other than your current choices would be more likely to bring about your desired state of affairs, while the other is that some disturbance to the controlled higher-level perceptions would alter the outputs that lead to the reference values of "50% less than at present", "only backstreet", and "50% less than at present". (A change in the reference values of these higher-level perceptions would do it, too, but I think this is carrying the idea of counterfactual a bit too far, as it is getting rather close to the controlled perception of self-image).

Anyway, as I said up front, maybe I'm just repeating Bill's questions in different words. But if I am, I don't think you have answered them. You have said that you can't get evidence for whether one set of candidates is more likely than the other to move your three controlled perceptions nearer your reference values for them, although you believe the Republicans are, so a satisfactory answer probably doesn't lie in that direction. Is there a better answer if you consider possible disturbances to the higher-level controlled perception(s) that set the reference values?

Remember we are dealing in counterfactuals, here: IF such and such were the case (which it isn't), THEN so and so would happen. But it's best if the "such and such" were plausible, in this case.

Martin

[From Kenny Kitzke(2008.09.15.00 EDT)]
<Ted Cloak 2008.09.15 10:27 MDT>

<Ancestors schmancestors. The only way one can be Sarah Palin is to be Sarah Palin. (But who would want to?)>

I assume that is a tongue in cheek parenthetical?

I am sure you are aware from polls and testimonials that millions of women would like to be (or at least be like) Sarah.

Come to think of it, Sarah has achieved far more results and admiration in her life that I seem to have achieved. I might want to be (more like) Sarah.

What’s your perception, seriosly? Are you suggesting there are a lot of people who would rather be (more like)Ted Cloak than Sarah Palin?

Kenny

In a message dated 9/15/2008 12:30:49 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time, tcloak@UNM.EDU writes:

···

Ted Cloak 2008.09.15 10:27 MDT –

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.15.0040 MDT)]

Ted Cloak 2008.09.14 22:55 MDT –

Are we agreed that in this respect environment means everything but the genome, every molecule of air breathed, every sound heard, every perception beginning with the formation of the egg and sperm from which they were conceived? If yes, then there could be nothing more.

… except that the universe keeps spreading out and getting older, and orbits keep interacting in nonrepeating ways, and the sun gradually changes, and meteorites fall – it’s not possible to repeat the environment that our ancestors experienced.

And anyway, if E. coli reorganization is actually at the root of changes in organization, each organism that can do this is probably unique. When there is an episode of reorganization, there are multiple bifurcations and branchings of the possibilities offered for change. Identical twins do not remain identical for long. The capacity to reorganize is inherited, but because of that there can be no strict determinism in the effects of either nature or nurture.

After I built my first computer from kits in the 1970s and started doing tracking experiments in a fumbling sort of way, I needed a random noise generator to produce unpredictable disturbances. The random number generators then available as program algorithms weren’t very random and repeated after relatively short times, so I made my own random number generator. It consisted of an analog-to-digital converter hooked up to the audio output of an FM radio tuned between stations. As we now know, a good deal of that random noise came from the Big Bang. If you think about Brownian movements and weather patterns and thermal agitation of molecules, there are plenty of effectively random influences around to serve as the basis for the E. coli sort of reorganization. Even if you reject the quantum-physics stories about probability clouds, simple-minded determinism really is nonexistent in this universe, on the scale that matters to living systems.

So my answer to the question of which determines our behavior, nature or nurture, is neither.

Best,

Bill P.

Ancestors schmancestors. The only way one can be Sarah Palin is to be Sarah Palin. (But who would want to?)

Best,

Ted


Psssst…Have you heard the news? There’s a new fashion blog, plus the latest fall trends and hair styles at StyleList.com.

(From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.15. 1457EST)

[From Bill Powers (2008.09.l4.1900 MDT)]

OK. These are “reference conditions”, then, for three variables: government expenses (50% of current level), abortion rate (0% of current rate), and taxation rate (50% of current rate). The two “50%” values might be preceded by “not greater than”, I would guess. Whoever promises (most believably) to meet these criteria would have your vote. Is that right?

I want to ask “why” about each of these, not in the sense of implying that you need to defend your reference conditions, but in the PCT sense. What goals of yours would come closer to being satisfied if each of these criteria were actually met by whichever party wins? That question calls for a small digression.

I feel that if the tax rate were at least cut in half that private individuals would have more opportunity to pool their money together to help people. I believe that they could develop better schools, better non-profits that would help those in poverty and those that need food, and better ways to help the sick. I think it would give individuals more freedom to spend money the way they want to spend it. I believe that they would do it in a way that would help alleviate or eliminate the problems described above.

I feel that cutting expenses in half would help pay down the debt that we have incurred. Although, if we cut expenses and taxes the government will need to set-up a time table for paying off the debt. We may not be able to reduce taxes as significantly as I stated above, but perhaps we can gradually work towards that. I think paying down our debt is a responsible thing to do, so that we are not at the mercy of our lenders. Again, I want our country to be free and owing someone money does not equal freedom.

I feel that making abortion illegal means that we as a society value life at conception. It means that we will protect the innocent life and stand for that as a society. The only exception to that would be when the life of a mother is at stake. Outlawing abortion would say to the rest of the world that we value life and we live it out with how we treat an unborn fetus. I think that is important in helping us get to an even freer society.

So with that said, I’ll tack on a few more questions based on the rest of this post:"

I focus on perceptions because I think at some level neither of the parties are being 100% honest. All we have is what we see in the media or on t.v. Come on, do you really know Obama or McCain. If so, how well do you know them. Each will say whatever they think will get them votes. It’s politics. I don’t trust either one of them fully–it is like the lesser of two evils in my mind.

You say “It’s politics” and that you don’t trust either one of them fully. Do politics and being untrustworthy go together? Could you expand on that a bit?

*I feel that they do go together, but I wish that they would not go together. In my limited experience, just about every politician that I have met or read about has lied. Very few that I can recall have actually done what they say they will do. I equate politics and lying as being synonymous. I think it is the name of their game. I only like to play that game when I know I have a great percentage of winning. If I don’t, then I try to avoid it. I don’t feel like I could be authentic in politics because everyone hangs on your every word. If you say one thing that is taken out of context it is blown up into something that it is not. Then, you have to do damage control and apologize and try to say things in a nice way to try to get people to like you again. It’s just a game. I don’t think it is real or even a bit authentic. *

What if we had a system whereby the players in the debate were actually honest? What if they did what they said they were going to do? I want to be able to trust them and I don’t. If they did what they said they were going to do, then I think that would be a much better system for everyone. Each person lays out what they think we should try to accomplish and then their plan for how it should be accomplished. Then we vote on that. If we approached it that way, we would have some unity in this country. I value unity and if these rascals were actually honest and believed in what they said, then I think we would have a unified country and one that more of us would be proud of. We need pride in this country. It is a great country.

Best,

Bill P.

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.15.1524EST

From Jim Wuwert 2008.09.14.1758EST

It does raise the question of how you would compare a “tax ans spend” approach, with a “Cut tax and borrow approach.”*

I don’t believe in cut tax and borrow. I believe in cut tax and cut expenses.

[From Dick Robertson,2008.09.15.1030CDT]

>I think McCain/Palin will reduce spending or at least advocate for that concept.
You THINK, OK, but you offered your evidence in the previous case – would you say that you are again using history as evidence for reaching your conclusion? Or something else?

Pure speculation on my part. I have no hard evidence other than what they have said, which I don’t hold too high. McCain/Palin talk about this more than Obama.

It doesn’t bother me Jim, I judged it as not answering my question, which was, “What would make you reverse your loyalty?” Understand I wasn’t trying to get you to do that. I just wanted to know ON WHAT BASIS? What evidence do you make your choices on, or are you satisfied to go on “Gut Feelings?” Again, don’t think I am judging using gut feelings, a lot of people don’t really know why they make their decisions, but they are satisfied with their gut feelings. I don’t operate that way myself (at least I don’t think so), and I am interested in knowing how that works for people who do.

**I wouldn’t say that I am basing my decision soley on gut reaction. My decision to go with McCain/Palin is based on reading, hearing , and seeing the issues. I use that evidence to draw my conclusions. When I first heard about Palin being the nominee, someone told me McCain picked this girl from Alaska with no experience. I was shocked and initially said to myself–it looks like Obama is going to slam dunk this election now. Then, I read more about Palin and saw her speak on t.v. I drew my own conclusion from that. So, my decision is not based on gut reaction. I process data as well. *
I also say your answer this time, although closer to answering my question was a sorta, because the criterion you posed is impossible in the real world, so either you wany me to not take you completely literally–in which case I must still say you haven’t given a concrete anser–or else you are really saying indirectly that there is Nothing that would make you change your mind. In the latter case I’m wondering whether you believe you have incontravertible evidence (So what is it?) or else you are a “go by my gut feelings person.”
So?? Again, I hope you are not reading me as trying to subtly get you to change your position. I just want to know.
Remember this started when Rick said he wanted to know how people who reach conclusions so opposite to his, and I accused him of giving you a loaded questionl *

Bingo. I think it would be impossible to change my mind about Obama at this point. Although, I would leave the door open because anyone can change. I am not sure it would be change I would believe in. :slight_smile:

> I choose to place my future in the hands of McCain/Palin because I have faith that they will get the job done the way I want it done. I could be wrong about them, but I am willing to take a risk in that direction. I am not willing to do that with Obama.
Ah, at last I think you give your position: THere is no grounds upon which I would change me opinion.

There really isn’t because Obama is who he is. Unless he does a 180 on all of his issues my position on him would not change. I think he is going in a direction that is contrary to the way I want to go.
NO. Surely you remember that back in grade school, in English grammar, when they introduced the Subjunctive case, they discussed '“conditions contrary to fact.” Now for you the possibility of finding a reason to vote for Obama would be a “condition contrary to fact.”
But that is just what I was asking you to entertain. I wasn’t asking you to vote for Obama, I was asking you how you deal with hypotheticals–so you would share with us how your mind works. Anyone with an IQ above about 85 can deal with hypotheticals. Obviously, based upon the evidence of your posts you IQ is clearly way beyond that.

Since I don’t know you well enough, I am not sure if your last sentence about IQ is a sarcastic comment or genuine. If it’s sarcastic, what value does that bring to this forum?

Best,
Dick R*

All e-mail correspondence to and from this address
is subject to the North Carolina Public Records Law,
which may result in monitoring and disclosure to
third parties, including law enforcement.
AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY/AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER