Live and Learn

[From Samuel Saunders (2007.07.05 0926 MDT)]

[From Bill Powers (2007.07.05.0750 MDT)]

Samuel Saunders (2007.07.04.2302 MDT) --

I enjoyed your post greatly. I'll bet Mike Acree is happy to have you
as an ally.

I am a Libertarian at heart ("get off my back!") but have problems
with taking that position all the way to its logical conclusions. It
seems to me that not enough provision is made for the spoilers, those
who refuse to play the game and thereby make it necessary to have
laws, regulations, taxes, and all the rest. I do not approve of
arming the general populace, as I have met few people I would trust
with a gun (I met a deputy sherriff once who bragged that when people
saw his gun, they weren't likely to argue with him over who got to a
parking place first).

I agree that there is a legitimate role for government in protecting life and property. The tricky part is deciding what is necessary to protect life and property, and what goes beyond that into the realm of "it would be nice if everybody .." I suppose I would prefer to err on the side of too little than too much.

If people were naturally inclined to behave as Libertarians, wouldn't
that already be the social system? And if they're not, how do you
make them change -- and still behave like a Libertarian yourself?

I am willing to accept that people need to be convinced, and need reasoned arguement and evidence to get them there. If I have something I thinks is important for people to understand, then it is my responsibility to find a way to communicate it. In a way it is a little like scientific communication- I remember the first couple of times I submitted papers, I was angry that the reviewers misunderstood what I thought I had said, and got involved in rounds of argueing back and forth. The third time, I suddenly realised that it wasn't their job to understand what I wrote, it was my job to write so they would understand.

Best,

Bill P.

Samuel

···

On Thu, Jul 05, 2007 at 08:05:48AM -0600, Bill Powers wrote:
--
Samuel Spence Saunders, Ph.D.

Partner, West River Research Associates

[From Rick Marken (2007.07.05.0900)]

Bill Powers (2007.07.05.0750 MDT)--

I am a Libertarian at heart ("get off my back!") but have problems with
taking that position all the way to its logical conclusions. It seems to me
that not enough provision is made for the spoilers, those who refuse to play
the game and thereby make it necessary to have laws, regulations, taxes, and
all the rest.

Why are laws, regulations, taxes and all the rest seen only as ways of
dealing with the spoilers? I'm a libertarian at heart, too, in the
sense that I think people should be able to do whatever they want as
long as it doesn't hurt anyone else (though it's not easy to define
what constitutes hurting someone else; I think we just have to work
these things out as best as we can). But I see many laws, regulations,
taxes and the rest as being people's efforts to coordinate their
actions voluntarily for the good of the group. Sure, violation of
agreed on rules often has punitive consequences. And individual
prerogatives often get in the way of the best laid plans. But laws,
like the law requiring payment of taxes, seems to me like a nice way
to coordinate people's efforts to get things done for the common good.
I personally might still voluntarily donate money to charity if there
were no taxes. But this seems like a pretty inefficient way to
cooperate. The charity would never know what it could count on getting
and so it couldn't plan for the kinds of investments it thinks should
be made. I think if you want to get things done collectively -- using
the coordinated efforts of many people as effectively as possible -- I
think you're just going to have to have laws and rules so that people
will know how to coordinate their actions. I think the game of society
will always be one of trying to respect individual autonomy as much as
possible while trying to recognize that individual autonomy (control)
can actually be improved by coordinated efforts that produce benefits
at the group level. Either of the extreme approaches to dealing with
society -- anarchy, which goes completely toward respecting individual
autonomy, and dictatorship, which goes completely toward regimented
cooperation with no respect for autonomy -- produce, I believe,
demonstrably catastrophic results.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
Lecturer in Psychology
UCLA
rsmarken@gmail.com

I agree that there is a
legitimate role for government in protecting life and property. The
tricky part is deciding what is necessary to protect life and property,
and what goes beyond that into the realm of “it would be nice if
everybody …” I suppose I would prefer to err on the side of
too little than too much.

If people were naturally
inclined to behave as Libertarians, wouldn’t

that already be the social system? And if they’re not, how do you

make them change – and still behave like a Libertarian
yourself?

I am willing to accept that people need to be convinced, and need
reasoned arguement and evidence to get them there.
[From Bill Powers (2007.07.05.1030 MDT)]

Samuel Saunders (2007.07.05 0926 MDT) –

As Rick Marken reminded me, there’s more to it than that. What
about social projects that a group of people decides to carry out? For
example, suppose a lot of people think it would be great to have a
high-speed interstate highway system. Do Libertarians allow a majority
decision to be reached by vote? Or is that considered coercive of the
minority, so the vote would not be binding on the losers? If not binding
on the losers, what do we do about those who voted no, and who contribute
nothing to building the highway, but insist on driving their cars on it,
or on using services that travel on the highway such as emergency
vehicles, grocery delivery trucks, and so forth? Do we each have to go
out and patrol the highway to keep the freeloaders off? Do we stop the
trucks to see where their loads are going? Can’t we delegate people to do
this for pay? If we can, then we have a police force.

I don’t see how you can have a big complex society based on Libertarian
principles without inevitably having to use majority decisions and
establishing some sort of system of laws and law enforcement. Even
if some people see nothing wrong with being serial rapists who neither
take lives nor steal or destroy property, can’t the rest of us decide not
to allow that, and hire people whose job it is to prevent such things and
remove offenders from circulation? Or it up to the victims to protect
themselves, if they can? And if they can’t, do we just say “tough
luck”?

What if that doesn’t do it? All they have to do is disagree with some
important premise, and they will not find your logic convincing. Anyway,
who gives you the right to change anyone else’s mind? Isn’t that their
prerogative? Aren’t Libertarians more or less committed to supporting
everyone’s right to think and do as they please without interference? If
others think laws are necessary, who are you to decide they should think
otherwise? Isn’t Libertarianism sort of self-cancelling?

Best,

Bill P.

[From Rick Marken (2007.07.05.1020)]

Samuel Saunders (2007.07.04.2302 MDT)--

I am sending this recluctantly, because I am not sure I have the time to continue
this discussion as I should. I also am reluctant since Marken posed the issue
as having only two alternative, continuing the health care system as it is today
or instituting a single-payer system.

I'm sorry. I didn't mean to imply that there were only two options.
It's just that the data I am familiar with compares countries with
some kind of single payer system to the US and our multi-payer system.
If you have data on a system that works better than single payer (in
terms of the variables that matter to me: cost and outcomes) then
that would be great. I'd love to hear about it. I'm more interested
in implementing what works rather than what is _supposed_ to work
based on some theory or ideology.

That may be another characteristic of what I consider "liberal": a
willingness to revise one's theory or ideology based on data.
Obviously, not all people called "liberals" behave this way, or even
try. But my kind of "liberals" do, or, like me, at least _try_ to.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
Lecturer in Psychology
UCLA
rsmarken@gmail.com

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.03)]

<Bill Powers (2007.07.03.1305 MDT)>

Rick Marken (2007.07.03.0830) –
To Kenny: What I still
would like to hear, though, is why you think the Bible is true.

I believe this is a fair question. You may conclude that my reasons are foolish and that I am crazy, but I will have some questions for you too.

<I think we have to start one level above that. For me, the questions are what constitutes evidence, and how we use evidence to decide anything. Kenny says the evidence for the existence of God is overwhelming. So what are the rules of evidence in this case? Is it sufficient to have a feeling of conviction, a strong sense of “knowing” something is true? To prove that a proposition is true is it enough to show that some alternate proposition is false? Probably the best way to examine these questions is to start with some evidence, and then look at how we get from the evidence to the conclusions.>

I would think that the rules of evidence used in our justice system would suffice? Based on such evidence, juries make judgments of guilt or innocence beyond a reasonable doubt. Its not a case of true or false but one of belief. If it is good enough for determining guilt or innocence, death or life, I would presume it is sufficiently rationale for a belief in the existence of the God of the Bible. I hope you don’t insist on my proving God’s existence beyond any doubt for anyone?

<Another important question is whether these rules, once we agree on what they are, are to be applied to all competing propositions. For example, someone who says that a strong feeling that God exists is enough to prove the case would have to say whether that would apply equally well to someone else who has a strong feeling that God does not exist. Whatever the rules, can all parties to the discussion use the same rules?>

My guess is that the rules would be very unfair for someone trying to prove a negative such as “Kenny cannot fly like a bird.”

Another question concerns the structure of the hierarchy regarding such a high-level reference as the existence of a living being called “God.” I would imagine that God is a systems level reference perception?

Below that are a variety of beliefs about this systems level concept. The being is believed to be “eternal-without beginning or end,” the “Creator of all things,” etc. In one sense these various beliefs build up to the systems level conception of “God.” Yet, if any of these beliefs are, well, not believable due to a lack of sufficient evidence, would that make mean that this being did not exist? I think not.

So, when you say “one level above that-Kenny’s beliefs in the Bible” it seems more HPCTish to be talking about evidence one level below the system called God as expressed in claims or beliefs made in the Bible about this “God.” Is this making any sense at all? Will that allow us to get closer to evidence and rules?

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.

[From Rick Marken (2007.07.06.0840)]

Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.03)]

>Rick Marken (2007.07.03.0830) --
>What I still would like to hear, though, is _why_ you think the Bible is true.

I believe this is a fair question. You may conclude that my reasons are
foolish and that I am crazy, but I will have some questions for you too.

That would be great. So what are your reasons? I ask this in the
spirit of MOL; I will try not to get into judging your reasons. I'm
mainly interested in seeing how you think about this.

I would think that the rules of evidence used in our justice system would
suffice?

Yes, indeed. That is exactly how I would approach it. I would go in to
the courtroom assuming that the defendant is innocent; in this case,
that would be the assumption that the bible is not true. Then I would
look at the evidence -- evidence for the bible being true and not true
-- and see if it convinced me to reject the assumption that the bible
is not true.

Perhaps the first thing for you to do, as prosecuting attorney, is to
describe your case. Keeping up the courtroom analogy, what exactly is
the bible accused of ? That is, what does it mean for the bible to be
true? Once we've got that down, then you can present your evidence,
counselor.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
Lecturer in Psychology
UCLA
rsmarken@gmail.com

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.06.0840)]

<Rick Marken (2007.07.06.0840)>

<That would be great. So what are your reasons? I ask this in the
spirit of MOL; I will try not to get into judging your reasons. I’m
mainly interested in seeing how you think about this.>

I thought I made it clear that I would be happy to do this at the Conference but not on CSGNet. I don’t feel that personal beliefs/opinions, whether about politics or “religion” only tangentially related to HPCT, belong on this forum. Further, I find email to be a poor communication vehicle when exploring personal and typically complex, beliefs/preferences/perceptions, etc. To have essentially an audience tends to make a reasonable debate into a win/lose game of wit.

My beliefs about “God” or the Bible as God’s word certainly should fit within HPCT…if it is valid! So, a late night lounge debate will be just fine for those who are interested.

<Yes, indeed. That is exactly how I would approach it. I would go in to
the courtroom assuming that the defendant is innocent; in this case,
that would be the assumption that the bible is not true. Then I would
look at the evidence – evidence for the bible being true and not true
– and see if it convinced me to reject the assumption that the bible
is not true.>

I first read the Bible in 1990, when I was 47. My impressions about its voracity and validity changed as I studied its claims and found them rock solid in my knowledge and experience in life.

BTW, I have not paid you awaiting word from Shelley about a single room. She never responded to my email. Am I on the registration list and what do I owe you?

Kenny

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.

[From Bill Powers (2007.07.06.0750 MDT)]

Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.03)

···

I would think that the rules of
evidence used in our justice system would suffice? Based on such
evidence, juries make judgments of guilt or innocence beyond a reasonable
doubt. Its not a case of true or false but one of belief. If
it is good enough for determining guilt or innocence, death or life, I
would presume it is sufficiently rationale for a belief in the existence
of the God of the Bible. I hope you don’t insist on my proving
God’s existence beyond any doubt for anyone?

To some extent the rules of evidence of a courtroom would help, for
example the rules against “hearsay” evidence (one person
reporting a memory of what he heard another person say about something, a
notoriously unreliable kind of second-hand evidence about the something).
Is “beyond a reasonable doubt” a way of deciding between
alternate theories? This is why I asked whether we would apply the same
rules to all alternative propositions. What is “reasonable”? At
one time, it would have been considered unreasonable to doubt that the
Earth was flat or that the heavens revolved around the Earth, or any
number of other “facts” which have proven to be false. It’s
perfectly possible for people, large numbers of people and even the
majority, to believe something “beyond reasonable doubt” when
it is false. Of course that would also apply to a scientific theory which
had no better support than that. So if we used that same “reasonable
doubt” criterion for all competing theories, and we wanted to know
the truth to a high probability, all we could really conclude would be
that we can’t reach a conclusion yet.
Actually, I would expect you to prove God’s existence beyond
reasonable doubt for anyone who can offer a clear definition of
“reasonable.” The whole point of science is to define
“reasonable” in an open public way and to insist that we
discard facts that are not true within some probability limits. If you
include only people who are eager and willing to accept even the
sketchiest evidence supporting the existence of God as
“reasonable,” and who consider any evidence to the contrary
unreasonable no matter how well demonstrated it is, you have trivialized
the whole process of reason.

But putting that aside, if you say we can all play by the same rules,
then all I have to do to prove the scientific alternative is to find
people who passionately believe in science and consider anything else
unreasonable, and ask them what they think is true beyond reasonable
doubt. Then we are back where we started. “Reasonable doubt” as
used in the law is too elastic a concept to serve as a way of determining
truth. And lawyers know that. They don’t speak of guilty and innocent.
They speak of convicted and acquitted, which are not the same
thing.

In my way of thinking, we determine truth by tightening up our
definitions of what is a reasonable doubt until one and only one answer
passes the test. Then we adopt that answer as our current working
truth.

My guess is that the rules would be
very unfair for someone trying to prove a negative such as “Kenny
cannot fly like a bird.”

I don’t think so – not if the rules are those of science. The rules of
science say that if Kenny is provided everything he needs according to
his claim, and we observe him flying like a bird, we would have to accept
that he can fly like a bird. If he can’t do it, then he can’t fly like a
bird – yet – no matter how many excuses he makes.

Another question concerns the
structure of the hierarchy regarding such a high-level reference as the
existence of a living being called
“God.”

That’s a perception, not a reference. If it’s a reference, then it’s
something you intend to perceive, and you will do whatever you have to do
to create the necessary perception. That includes imagining data,
selecting facts that support the right perception and rejecting facts
that don’t, and so on through the whole list of scientific sins. But of
course it can be done; that sort of thing is done all the time, even by
juries trying to be fair and objective.

I would imagine that God is a
systems level reference perception?

That’s an ambiguous way of putting it. If it’s a perception, then it’s a
report on something derived by 11th-level input functions from
lower-level perceptions, mainly principles (if you believe me). If it’s a
reference, it’s a target set by a higher system, or by
reorganization, or by the genes, or by God, that commands you to create a
perception to match it by whatever means you can find that works. When I
use a term like “reference perception” (which I shouldn’t do
without explanation, but I do) I’m using it as a shorthand expression for
“the state of perception which would match the reference level
currently set for this control system.”

Below that are a variety of beliefs
about this systems level concept. The being is believed to be
“eternal-without beginning or end,” the “Creator of all
things,” etc. In one sense these various beliefs build up to
the systems level conception of “God.” Yet, if any of
these beliefs are, well, not believable due to a lack of sufficient
evidence, would that make mean that this being did not exist? I
think not.
So, when you say “one level
above that-Kenny’s beliefs in the Bible” it seems more HPCTish to be
talking about evidence one level below the system called God as expressed
in claims or beliefs made in the Bible about this “God.”
Is this making any sense at all? Will that allow us to get closer
to evidence and rules?

All right, the rule there seems to be that if you make a proposition
about something, a lack of evidence for it doesn’t mean that the
proposition is false. I accept that. The example I’ve used before is this
proposition: In the center of the crater Tsiolkovsky [sp?] on the other
side of the Moon there is a one-inch cube of cheddar cheese. There is no
evidence that this statement is true, but on the other hand, that doesn’t
prove that the statement is false, so the statement might still be true.
Of course the question then becomes, is that sufficient grounds for
believing the statement?

Do we have to believe every statement that someone can make that we can’t
demonstrate is false? This is the other side of Popper’s
“falsifiability” coin. Scientific statements are supposed to be
falsifiable, so in the event they happen to be wrong we have a way to
find that out. But is that all that’s required? Don’t we also have to
have some reason to think they are true? Without the requirement for
positive support of propositions, the universe would very quickly
overflow with all the possible statements that could be made and which
we haven’t yet proven are false. Do we have to land on the far side
of the moon to determine that there is no such one-inch cube of cheese (a
one-inch cube is too small to see from orbit)? Or can we simply ignore
that statement because so far it totally lacks any supporting
evidence?

A lot of people get into trouble because they don’t realize that not
every idea that occurs to them, or that someone gives to them, is true
just because they can’t prove it’s false (or don’t even try to). “My
boyfriend hates me” is a thought that might occur to someone, but
what does one do after that? One way of handling the thought is to start
interpreting as much of the boyfriend’s behavior as possible as evidence
to support the idea. “He’s not looking at me – he hates the way I
look, so he does hate me.” But another way to handle it is simply to
realize that there’s no positive evidence of that that shows up, as it
were, without effort, so there’s no reason to believe it. It was just an
idea.

The same goes for thoughts about God. You can’t prove that God doesn’t
exist, because non-existence doesn’t create any sort of observable
evidence. On the other hand, what positive evidence is there that God
does exist, that couldn’t be explained in a different, and possibly more
credible, way?

Kenny, you always make sense even when I disagree with you. The problem
isn’t your ability to make sense.

I think there’s an issue behind this argument that hasn’t been brought
out yet. Are perceptions the same thing as reality? In one sense, yes,
because they’re the only reality we can know, and no one can doubt that a
perception did occur, even if the thing it supposedly represents is not
seen by anyone else. When you see a beautiful face, the beauty seems to
be right there in the face, yet the person next to you might be unmoved.
Beauty is a perception, not something outside of you (that has been said
more poetically).

There are many examples of perceptions that we know are inside us, not
outside. So why do we apparently balk at saying this is true of ALL
perceptions? Partly, I think, because that’s a scarey thought. If
perceptions are not exactly the same thing as the Real Reality that
exists outside of us, what could be lurking there within arm’s reach, or
claw’s reach, that I don’t know about? And anyway, we have to get
on with life, so we just have to assume that what we see is what we’ve
got and act as if that’s true.

On the other hand, when it comes to the existence of God, I think it’s
important to realize that this IS a perception, and there is no way to
tell whether there’s anything in the external world corresponding to it.
The arguments are not about whether one can learn to see the world as if
there is a God in it. We all know that is not only possible, but highly
likely in this culture and several others, at least if you believe what
people tell interviewers (I used to write “Protestant” in the
blank for Religion, since I had to write something, and “None”
just invited funny looks in the Navy and in personnel offices).

The real argument is about what this perception corresponds to in Real
Reality, if anything. The “if anything” part is what bothers
religious people. Yet if they stopped to think, they could probably name
a hundred things in ten minutes in the “if anything” category.
Do we accept the reality of perceptions just because we would like them
to be real, or because we’re afraid of what would happen if they weren’t?
Do such considerations have anything to do with truth? If you don’t want
your check to bounce, do you just tell yourself you believe there is
enough in the checking account to cover it, or do you find out what your
balance is first? I’m sure we’ve all done both, but we know which is the
right way to do it. We know that a perception of “enough money in
the account” can be manufactured by hopeful thinking just as well as
by sight of the up-to-date check register. We treat it as real either
way. But only one way correctly predicts the consequences of writing the
check.

Over to you.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Rick Marken (2007.07.06.1010)]

Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.06.0840)--

I thought I made it clear that I would be happy to do this at the Conference
but not on CSGNet.

OK.

BTW, I have not paid you awaiting word from Shelley about a single room.
She never responded to my email. Am I on the registration list and what do
I owe you?

I'm copying to Shelley; I hope she is making reservations and handling
meeting management issues. I'm just collecting money. It's $300. You
can pay me at the meeting if you like. I trust you;-)

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
Lecturer in Psychology
UCLA
rsmarken@gmail.com

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)]

<Bill Powers (2007.07.06.0750 MDT)>

<To some extent the rules of evidence of a courtroom would help, for example the rules against “hearsay” evidence (one person reporting a memory of what he heard another person say about something, a notoriously unreliable kind of second-hand evidence about the something).>

If you want to claim that what Moses wrote down in the Five Books (Torah) is hearsay and therefore is not evidence, I am not sure I have anything valid to present to you. Rick succinctly asked me to present evidence I use to support that the Bible is true. My hypothesis is that it is true, in fact infallible, in its original autographs. Do you accept this post, this autograph written by my own fingers, as my truthful testimony about my reactions to your post on this day? Barring any evidence that I am purposely misrepresenting my thoughts, I would hope you would accept it as accurate and trustworthy? I see the Bible in the same way. If it is wrong, what evidence do we have? Saying I am not sure or they might just be stories would not persuade me from holding my hypothesis.

<Is “beyond a reasonable doubt” a way of deciding between alternate theories? This is why I asked whether we would apply the same rules to all alternative propositions. What is “reasonable”? At one time, it would have been considered unreasonable to doubt that the Earth was flat or that the heavens revolved around the Earth, or any number of other “facts” which have proven to be false. It’s perfectly possible for people, large numbers of people and even the majority, to believe something “beyond reasonable doubt” when it is false. Of course that would also apply to a scientific theory which had no better support than that. So if we used that same “reasonable doubt” criterion for all competing theories, and we wanted to know the truth to a high probability, all we could really conclude would be that we can’t reach a conclusion yet.>

The concept is as it is because it is impossible to define what is factual precisely in advance. I can’t conceive that whether the belief is “there is a God,” “there is no God,” “Kenny is Joseph’s son,” Bill weighs 211," etc., pounds the standard would be different? I don’t claim that I am right that the Bible is true, I claim that right now I believe it is true and the evidence is very satisfactory to me.
<Actually, I would expect you to prove God’s existence beyond reasonable doubt for anyone who can offer a clear definition of “reasonable.” The whole point of science is to define “reasonable” in an open public way and to insist that we discard facts that are not true within some probability limits. If you include only people who are eager and willing to accept even the sketchiest evidence supporting the existence of God as “reasonable,” and who consider any evidence to the contrary unreasonable no matter how well demonstrated it is, you have trivialized the whole process of reason.>

I intend to be as reasonable as you are. If you believe God does not exist, I will assess your reasons for an alternate view.

<But putting that aside, if you say we can all play by the same rules, then all I have to do to prove the scientific alternative is to find people who passionately believe in science and consider anything else unreasonable, and ask them what they think is true beyond reasonable doubt. Then we are back where we started. “Reasonable doubt” as used in the law is too elastic a concept to serve as a way of determining truth. And lawyers know that. They don’t speak of guilty and innocent. They speak of convicted and acquitted, which are not the same thing.>

I don’t know what legal system you are referring to but guilt or innocence to a charge is precisely what a jury is to determine beyond a reasonable doubt. I know a man who rejects and mocks the Bible in deference to science. When I asked him if he ever read the Bible. He said, “no.” Is that credible. Are those who reject PCT or HPCT, based on a sentence or two written by a critic, credible for assessing whether you are guilty or innocent of speaking falsely about human behavior?

<In my way of thinking, we determine truth by tightening up our definitions of what is a reasonable doubt until one and only one answer passes the test. Then we adopt that answer as our current working truth.>

Sure, in theory. Do you expect a few hours of discussion at the Conference will allow us to tighten up definitions well enough on the subject of the truthfulness of the Bible or the existence of God as current working truth (whatever that means)? These questions have been asked for thousands of years by men far smarter than me (an perhaps even you). I am not hopeful to reach one shared answer. About all I would hope for is a better understanding of each another’s perceptions of belief and an “reasonable” assessment of our evidence in a conscious, hierarchal human sense.

My guess is that the rules would be very unfair for someone trying to prove a negative such as “Kenny cannot fly like a bird.”

<I don’t think so – not if the rules are those of science. The rules of science say that if Kenny is provided everything he needs according to his claim, and we observe him flying like a bird, we would have to accept that he can fly like a bird. If he can’t do it, then he can’t fly like a bird – yet – no matter how many excuses he makes.>

Now we have switched to the rules of science rather than the rules of evidence. Who has provided the rules of science and enforces them? How did they fail the scientists who thought the earth was flat or that the sun revolved around the earth? How do they support Darwinian evolution or the “Big Bang” theory of creation? Or, are they just theories of scientists?

Another question concerns the structure of the hierarchy regarding such a high-level reference as the existence of a living being called “God.”

<That’s a perception, not a reference. If it’s a reference, then it’s something you intend to perceive, and you will do whatever you have to do to create the necessary perception. That includes imagining data, selecting facts that support the right perception and rejecting facts that don’t, and so on through the whole list of scientific sins. But of course it can be done; that sort of thing is done all the time, even by juries trying to be fair and objective.>

I am not sure I understand your distinction. Of course, I compare my sensed perceptions to my desired reference perceptions. I have a reference for the existence of the God of the Bible. I have done whatever I can do to compare my sensed perceptions to that reference. If my sensed perceptions were perpetually and hopelessly contrary to my reference, would not I “reorganize” and alter my reference to minimize my error?

I would imagine that God is a systems level reference perception?

<That’s an ambiguous way of putting it. If it’s a perception, then it’s a report on something derived by 11th-level input functions from lower-level perceptions, mainly principles (if you believe me). If it’s a reference, it’s a target set by a higher system, or by reorganization, or by the genes, or by God, that commands you to create a perception to match it by whatever means you can find that works. When I use a term like “reference perception” (which I shouldn’t do without explanation, but I do) I’m using it as a shorthand expression for “the state of perception which would match the reference level currently set for this control system.”>

I don’t think there is a difference in understanding here, just incomplete or careless words. We do have differences about how the highest level references get set. Both are just theories not well tested.

Below that are a variety of beliefs about this systems level concept. The being is believed to be “eternal-without beginning or end,” the “Creator of all things,” etc. In one sense these various beliefs build up to the systems level conception of “God.” Yet, if any of these beliefs are, well, not believable due to a lack of sufficient evidence, would that make mean that this being did not exist? I think not.

<All right, the rule there seems to be that if you make a proposition about something, a lack of evidence for it doesn’t mean that the proposition is false. I accept that.>

Wonderful. It does come down to accepting propositions as true or false is sometimes just possible by being beyond a reasonable doubt.

<The example I’ve used before is this proposition: In the center of the crater Tsiolkovsky [sp?] on the other side of the Moon there is a one-inch cube of cheddar cheese. There is no evidence that this statement is true, but on the other hand, that doesn’t prove that the statement is false, so the statement might still be true. Of course the question then becomes, is that sufficient grounds for believing the statement?>

<Do we have to believe every statement that someone can make that we can’t demonstrate is false? This is the other side of Popper’s “falsifiability” coin. Scientific statements are supposed to be falsifiable, so in the event they happen to be wrong we have a way to find that out. But is that all that’s required? Don’t we also have to have some reason to think they are true?>

Sure, and that is what Rick asked of me, “Why do I think the Bible is true?”

<Without the requirement for positive support of propositions, the universe would very quickly overflow with all the possible statements that could be made and which we haven’t yet proven are false. Do we have to land on the far side of the moon to determine that there is no such one-inch cube of cheese (a one-inch cube is too small to see from orbit)? Or can we simply ignore that statement because so far it totally lacks any supporting evidence?>

I would ignore it because it does not matter to me. The existence of God, or whether He has spoken to His creation matters to me. If it does not matter to you, then ignore it.

<A lot of people get into trouble because they don’t realize that not every idea that occurs to them, or that someone gives to them, is true just because they can’t prove it’s false (or don’t even try to). “My boyfriend hates me” is a thought that might occur to someone, but what does one do after that? One way of handling the thought is to start interpreting as much of the boyfriend’s behavior as possible as evidence to support the idea. “He’s not looking at me – he hates the way I look, so he does hate me.” But another way to handle it is simply to realize that there’s no positive evidence of that that shows up, as it were, without effort, so there’s no reason to believe it. It was just an idea.

The same goes for thoughts about God. You can’t prove that God doesn’t exist, because non-existence doesn’t create any sort of observable evidence. On the other hand, what positive evidence is there that God does exist, that couldn’t be explained in a different, and possibly more credible, way?>

I don’t know why all this fuss about rules and evidence as a precondition to a discussion? I will share my perceptions about the credibility of the Bible and the God it describes as a real being. You may find my reasons unreasonable and life will go on. I was asked. I am responding. Big deal? Probably not.

So, when you say “one level above that-Kenny’s beliefs in the Bible” it seems more HPCTish to be talking about evidence one level below the system called God as expressed in claims or beliefs made in the Bible about this “God.” Is this making any sense at all? Will that allow us to get closer to evidence and rules?

<Kenny, you always make sense even when I disagree with you. The problem isn’t your ability to make sense.

I think there’s an issue behind this argument that hasn’t been brought out yet. Are perceptions the same thing as reality?>

The issue has been addressed extensively in the archieves. Has it been resolved to beyond everyone’s reasonable doubt? I sense that there is a reality. I sense that my perception of that reality is subjective…merely in my head. If there is more to it than that, I surely am not able to explain it.

<In one sense, yes, because they’re the only reality we can know, and no one can doubt that a perception did occur, even if the thing it supposedly represents is not seen by anyone else. When you see a beautiful face, the beauty seems to be right there in the face, yet the person next to you might be unmoved. Beauty is a perception, not something outside of you (that has been said more poetically).

There are many examples of perceptions that we know are inside us, not outside. So why do we apparently balk at saying this is true of ALL perceptions? Partly, I think, because that’s a scarey thought. If perceptions are not exactly the same thing as the Real Reality that exists outside of us, what could be lurking there within arm’s reach, or claw’s reach, that I don’t know about? And anyway, we have to get on with life, so we just have to assume that what we see is what we’ve got and act as if that’s true.>

I pretty much have reached the same conclusion as long as things unseen can be just as real to us (like beauty or God) as anything we can see with our eyes.

<On the other hand, when it comes to the existence of God, I think it’s important to realize that this IS a perception, and there is no way to tell whether there’s anything in the external world corresponding to it. The arguments are not about whether one can learn to see the world as if there is a God in it. We all know that is not only possible, but highly likely in this culture and several others, at least if you believe what people tell interviewers (I used to write “Protestant” in the blank for Religion, since I had to write something, and “None” just invited funny looks in the Navy and in personnel offices).

The real argument is about what this perception corresponds to in Real Reality, if anything. The “if anything” part is what bothers religious people. Yet if they stopped to think, they could probably name a hundred things in ten minutes in the “if anything” category. Do we accept the reality of perceptions just because we would like them to be real, or because we’re afraid of what would happen if they weren’t?>

I have studied the evidence and have not found a better answer than what the Bible contains. And, neither did Sir Isaac Newton, an acclaimed scientist and a disciple of Christ. To each his own reality.

<Do such considerations have anything to do with truth? If you don’t want your check to bounce, do you just tell yourself you believe there is enough in the checking account to cover it, or do you find out what your balance is first? I’m sure we’ve all done both, but we know which is the right way to do it. We know that a perception of “enough money in the account” can be manufactured by hopeful thinking just as well as by sight of the up-to-date check register. We treat it as real either way. But only one way correctly predicts the consequences of writing the check.

Over to you.>

The Bible makes a lot of claims of the only one way and the only God. I can’t prove them but I can believe them based upon all the evidence I have beyond a reasonable doubt.

That’s just me. See you in Minneapolis, my friend; God willing, of course. :sunglasses:

<Best,

Bill P.>

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.

[From Bryan Thalhammer (2007.07.08.1035 CDT)]

Kenny,

I THOUGHT you weren't gonna do this. Very well.

The only evidence about the Bible is that someone must have sat down and wrote
it. We do not have any solid evidence of authorship, inspiration, actual
events, other than the string of words in the manuscripts, the resulting words,
and the editorial process (yes, we do have much of that evidence, even down to
the point of translation and interpretation mistakes in some bits of it that
have led to world-wide murder, pain, death, and sorrow). We also have evidence
in some archeaological remains (but not many) that some of the events depicted
were wrong as written. When we do have humane and civilization-building actions
inspired by the Bible, we find them to be few and far between, and usually
criticized by Biblical fanatics, thumpers, and social dominators (witness the
case of Jimmy Carter and Habitat for Humanity, etc., etc.). Other than that,
Biblically-inspired actions have been to marginalize, murder, and such like.

God told Bush to act so that this would happen??? Such utter rot.
http://mindprod.com/politics/iraqwarpix.html

(Watch out, this is very, VERY graphic.)

The Bible is only accurate as to its current text content. We can only trust
that it was once first written among many other documents at the same time, that
it was redacted numerous times, translated many times as well, and then selected
against other stories and accounts and then preserved when other accounts were
burnt, buried or forgotten. All of this points to human minds and hands, no
more. Find a divine fingerprint, then get back to me.

The study of the Bible as a cultural document does not require a belief one way
or the other about divine existence. It doesn't even require that any of the
events and characters depicted had to be true and trustworthy, except how and
why people (important and incidental) control those perceptions for themselves
and how they try to control the behaviors of others with those same perceptions
in mind.

We provide the rules of science, Kenny. We developed them over thousands of
years, and in spite of thousands of assassinations, murders, and tortures. The
rules (the procedures) of science were solely developed by proto-scientist,
philosophers, researchers, observers and of course by true scientists, who are
defined by the scientific method itself. These rules of science use common
words, more or less, including hypothesis, theory, fact, data, evidence,
research, assertion, refutation, and acceptance. These terms MUST be used with
their established meanings, not in a popular, dessicated, misuse by
Creationists, snake-oil salesmen, and masters of alternative non-science. There
is only one science, and that is the scientific method. Intelligent Design, and
all that pablum is not doing Science. Don't misuse the term theory to allow a
perversion such as Creationism to be called Creation Science or an alternate
theory of creation. It doesn't wash in a scientific setting. If you want to talk
about belief, fine, but don't pollute this forum with biblical science.

Darn it, you said you wouldn't talk about this, and then you did, regardless
whether your treatise here is a preview of the conference backroom chats or not.
So I feel perfectly justified in pushing back against this attempt to
misrepresent Science.

Sorry, but that is what I feel you are doing. (And I know you will twist that
bit of politeness in my rather direct refutation of what you wrote, but that is
typical.) But since I am a minor player here in CSGnet, unlike Rick who always
bears the brunt of your attempts to merge PCT with the Bible, or whatever it is
you believe, I feel I can kvetch a bit, and I won't feel too damage with your
reply.

Everyone else, please refer to an earlier post, where I charge you with being
the protectors of science. If you are one day shown the instruments of torture
in a little room with an overhead light, as they say "You are Obsolete," don't
blame me.

Sincerely,

--Bryan

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)]

<Bill Powers (2007.07.06.0750 MDT)>

<To some extent the rules of evidence of a courtroom would help, for example
the rules against "hearsay" evidence (one person reporting a memory of what
he heard another person say about something, a notoriously unreliable kind of
second-hand evidence about the something).>

If you want to claim that what Moses wrote down in the Five Books (Torah) is
hearsay and therefore is not evidence, I am not sure I have anything valid
to present to you. Rick succinctly asked me to present evidence I use to
support that the Bible is true. My hypothesis is that it is true, in fact
infallible, in its original autographs. Do you accept this post, this
autograph
written by my own fingers, as my truthful testimony about my reactions to your
post on this day? Barring any evidence that I am purposely misrepresenting
my thoughts, I would hope you would accept it as accurate and trustworthy? I
see the Bible in the same way. If it is wrong, what evidence do we have?
Saying I am not sure or they might just be stories would not persuade me from
holding my hypothesis.

<Is "beyond a reasonable doubt" a way of deciding between alternate
theories? This is why I asked whether we would apply the same rules to all
alternative propositions. What is "reasonable"? At one time, it would have been
considered unreasonable to doubt that the Earth was flat or that the heavens
revolved around the Earth, or any number of other "facts" which have proven to
be
false. It's perfectly possible for people, large numbers of people and even the
majority, to believe something "beyond reasonable doubt" when it is false.
Of course that would also apply to a scientific theory which had no better
support than that. So if we used that same "reasonable doubt" criterion for all
competing theories, and we wanted to know the truth to a high probability,
all we could really conclude would be that we can't reach a conclusion yet.>

The concept is as it is because it is impossible to define what is factual
precisely in advance. I can't conceive that whether the belief is "there is a
God," "there is no God," "Kenny is Joseph's son," Bill weighs 211," etc.,
pounds the standard would be different? I don't claim that I am right that
the Bible is true, I claim that right now I believe it is true and the
evidence is very satisfactory to me.

<actually, I would expect you to prove God's existence beyond reasonable
doubt for anyone who can offer a clear definition of "reasonable." The whole
point of science is to define "reasonable" in an open public way and to insist
that we discard facts that are not true within some probability limits. If you
include only people who are eager and willing to accept even the sketchiest
evidence supporting the existence of God as "reasonable," and who consider
any evidence to the contrary unreasonable no matter how well demonstrated it
is, you have trivialized the whole process of reason.>

I intend to be as reasonable as you are. If you believe God does not exist,
I will assess your reasons for an alternate view.

<But putting that aside, if you say we can all play by the same rules, then
all I have to do to prove the scientific alternative is to find people who
passionately believe in science and consider anything else unreasonable, and
ask them what they think is true beyond reasonable doubt. Then we are back
where we started. "Reasonable doubt" as used in the law is too elastic a
concept
to serve as a way of determining truth. And lawyers know that. They don't
speak of guilty and innocent. They speak of convicted and acquitted, which are
not the same thing.>

I don't know what legal system you are referring to but guilt or innocence
to a charge is precisely what a jury is to determine beyond a reasonable
doubt. I know a man who rejects and mocks the Bible in deference to science.
When I asked him if he ever read the Bible. He said, "no." Is that credible.
Are those who reject PCT or HPCT, based on a sentence or two written by a
critic, credible for assessing whether you are guilty or innocent of speaking
falsely about human behavior?

<In my way of thinking, we determine truth by tightening up our definitions
of what is a reasonable doubt until one and only one answer passes the test.
Then we adopt that answer as our current working truth.>

Sure, in theory. Do you expect a few hours of discussion at the Conference
will allow us to tighten up definitions well enough on the subject of the
truthfulness of the Bible or the existence of God as current working truth
(whatever that means)? These questions have been asked for thousands of years
by
men far smarter than me (an perhaps even you). I am not hopeful to reach one
shared answer. About all I would hope for is a better understanding of each
another's perceptions of belief and an "reasonable" assessment of our
evidence in a conscious, hierarchal human sense.

My guess is that the rules would be very unfair for someone trying to prove
a negative such as "Kenny cannot fly like a bird."

<I don't think so -- not if the rules are those of science. The rules of
science say that if Kenny is provided everything he needs according to his
claim, and we observe him flying like a bird, we would have to accept that he
can
fly like a bird. If he can't do it, then he can't fly like a bird -- yet --
no matter how many excuses he makes.>

Now we have switched to the rules of science rather than the rules of
evidence. Who has provided the rules of science and enforces them? How did
they
fail the scientists who thought the earth was flat or that the sun revolved
around the earth? How do they support Darwinian evolution or the "Big Bang"
theory of creation? Or, are they just theories of scientists?

Another question concerns the structure of the hierarchy regarding such a
high-level reference as the existence of a living being called "God."

<That's a perception, not a reference. If it's a reference, then it's
something you intend to perceive, and you will do whatever you have to do to
create
the necessary perception. That includes imagining data, selecting facts that
support the right perception and rejecting facts that don't, and so on
through the whole list of scientific sins. But of course it can be done; that
sort
of thing is done all the time, even by juries trying to be fair and
objective.>

I am not sure I understand your distinction. Of course, I compare my sensed
perceptions to my desired reference perceptions. I have a reference for the
existence of the God of the Bible. I have done whatever I can do to compare
my sensed perceptions to that reference. If my sensed perceptions were
perpetually and hopelessly contrary to my reference, would not I "reorganize"
and
alter my reference to minimize my error?

I would imagine that God is a systems level reference perception?

<That's an ambiguous way of putting it. If it's a perception, then it's a
report on something derived by 11th-level input functions from lower-level
perceptions, mainly principles (if you believe me). If it's a reference, it's
a
target set by a higher system, or by reorganization, or by the genes, or by
God, that commands you to create a perception to match it by whatever means
you can find that works. When I use a term like "reference perception" (which I
shouldn't do without explanation, but I do) I'm using it as a shorthand
expression for "the state of perception which would match the reference level
currently set for this control system.">

I don't think there is a difference in understanding here, just incomplete
or careless words. We do have differences about how the highest level
references get set. Both are just theories not well tested.

Below that are a variety of beliefs about this systems level concept. The
being is believed to be "eternal-without beginning or end," the "Creator of
all things," etc. In one sense these various beliefs build up to the systems
level conception of "God." Yet, if any of these beliefs are, well, not
believable due to a lack of sufficient evidence, would that make mean that this
being did not exist? I think not.

<all right, the rule there seems to be that if you make a proposition about
something, a lack of evidence for it doesn't mean that the proposition is
false. I accept that.>

Wonderful. It does come down to accepting propositions as true or false is
sometimes just possible by being beyond a reasonable doubt.

<The example I've used before is this proposition: In the center of the
crater Tsiolkovsky [sp?] on the other side of the Moon there is a one-inch cube
of cheddar cheese. There is no evidence that this statement is true, but on the
other hand, that doesn't prove that the statement is false, so the statement
might still be true. Of course the question then becomes, is that sufficient
grounds for believing the statement?>

<Do we have to believe every statement that someone can make that we can't
demonstrate is false? This is the other side of Popper's "falsifiability"
coin. Scientific statements are supposed to be falsifiable, so in the event
they
happen to be wrong we have a way to find that out. But is that all that's
required? Don't we also have to have some reason to think they are true?>

Sure, and that is what Rick asked of me, "Why do I think the Bible is true?"

<Without the requirement for positive support of propositions, the universe
would very quickly overflow with all the possible statements that could be
made and which we haven't yet proven are false. Do we have to land on the far
side of the moon to determine that there is no such one-inch cube of cheese
(a one-inch cube is too small to see from orbit)? Or can we simply ignore that
statement because so far it totally lacks any supporting evidence?>

I would ignore it because it does not matter to me. The existence of God,
or whether He has spoken to His creation matters to me. If it does not matter
to you, then ignore it.

<a lot of people get into trouble because they don't realize that not every
idea that occurs to them, or that someone gives to them, is true just because
they can't prove it's false (or don't even try to). "My boyfriend hates me"
is a thought that might occur to someone, but what does one do after that?
One way of handling the thought is to start interpreting as much of the
boyfriend's behavior as possible as evidence to support the idea. "He's not
looking
at me -- he hates the way I look, so he does hate me." But another way to
handle it is simply to realize that there's no positive evidence of that that
shows up, as it were, without effort, so there's no reason to believe it. It
was just an idea.

The same goes for thoughts about God. You can't prove that God doesn't
exist, because non-existence doesn't create any sort of observable evidence. On
the other hand, what positive evidence is there that God does exist, that
couldn't be explained in a different, and possibly more credible, way?>

I don't know why all this fuss about rules and evidence as a precondition to
a discussion? I will share my perceptions about the credibility of the
Bible and the God it describes as a real being. You may find my reasons
unreasonable and life will go on. I was asked. I am responding. Big deal?
Probably not.

So, when you say "one level above that-Kenny's beliefs in the Bible" it
seems more HPCTish to be talking about evidence one level below the system
called
God as expressed in claims or beliefs made in the Bible about this "God."
Is this making any sense at all? Will that allow us to get closer to evidence
and rules?

<Kenny, you always make sense even when I disagree with you. The problem
isn't your ability to make sense.

I think there's an issue behind this argument that hasn't been brought out
yet. Are perceptions the same thing as reality?>

The issue has been addressed extensively in the archieves. Has it been
resolved to beyond everyone's reasonable doubt? I sense that there is a
reality.
I sense that my perception of that reality is subjective...merely in my
head. If there is more to it than that, I surely am not able to explain it.

<In one sense, yes, because they're the only reality we can know, and no one
can doubt that a perception did occur, even if the thing it supposedly
represents is not seen by anyone else. When you see a beautiful face, the beauty
seems to be right there in the face, yet the person next to you might be
unmoved. Beauty is a perception, not something outside of you (that has been
said
more poetically).

There are many examples of perceptions that we know are inside us, not
outside. So why do we apparently balk at saying this is true of ALL
perceptions?
Partly, I think, because that's a scarey thought. If perceptions are not
exactly the same thing as the Real Reality that exists outside of us, what
could
be lurking there within arm's reach, or claw's reach, that I don't know about?
And anyway, we have to get on with life, so we just have to assume that
what we see is what we've got and act as if that's true.>

I pretty much have reached the same conclusion as long as things unseen can
be just as real to us (like beauty or God) as anything we can see with our
eyes.

<On the other hand, when it comes to the existence of God, I think it's
important to realize that this IS a perception, and there is no way to tell
whether there's anything in the external world corresponding to it. The
arguments
are not about whether one can learn to see the world as if there is a God in
it. We all know that is not only possible, but highly likely in this culture
and several others, at least if you believe what people tell interviewers (I
used to write "Protestant" in the blank for Religion, since I had to write
something, and "None" just invited funny looks in the Navy and in personnel
offices).

The real argument is about what this perception corresponds to in Real
Reality, if anything. The "if anything" part is what bothers religious people.
Yet
if they stopped to think, they could probably name a hundred things in ten
minutes in the "if anything" category. Do we accept the reality of perceptions
just because we would like them to be real, or because we're afraid of what
would happen if they weren't?>

I have studied the evidence and have not found a better answer than what the
Bible contains. And, neither did Sir Isaac Newton, an acclaimed scientist
and a disciple of Christ. To each his own reality.

<Do such considerations have anything to do with truth? If you don't want
your check to bounce, do you just tell yourself you believe there is enough in
the checking account to cover it, or do you find out what your balance is
first? I'm sure we've all done both, but we know which is the right way to do
it. We know that a perception of "enough money in the account" can be
manufactured by hopeful thinking just as well as by sight of the up-to-date
check
register. We treat it as real either way. But only one way correctly predicts
the
consequences of writing the check.

Over to you.>

The Bible makes a lot of claims of the only one way and the only God. I
can't prove them but I can believe them based upon all the evidence I have
beyond a reasonable doubt.

That's just me. See you in Minneapolis, my friend; God willing, of course.
:sunglasses:

<Best,

Bill P.>

[From Bill Powers (2007.07.08.1110 MDT)]

Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)

···

<To some extent the rules of
evidence of a courtroom would help, for example the rules against
“hearsay” evidence (one person reporting a memory of what he
heard another person say about something, a notoriously unreliable kind
of second-hand evidence about the something).>

If you want to claim that what Moses wrote down in the Five Books (Torah)
is hearsay and therefore is not evidence, I am not sure I have anything
valid to present to you.

I have the word of someone who wrote in the Bible
that Moses wrote things that are in the Five Books. If that person
actually saw Moses do that, and is of good character and not subject to
delusions (which I can’t vouch for but can accept temporarily), then I
can accept that Moses did write things that are in the Five Books. As to
what he wrote there, that is hearsay, second-hand evidence at best. We
have a Bible to read, but whether it contains the same things that Moses
wrote can’t be verified. And even if he did write those things, I have no
idea whether the things he wrote are true or even correctly reported. He
might have truly believed that an angel of the Lord, and then God,
appeared to him and spoke to him from a burning bush, but clearly that
doesn’t mean it really happened, or if it happened, that the whole thing
wasn’t a show put on for Moses’ benefit by someone who was manipulating
him. Moses never actually saw God in the bush, according to the Bible; he
was afraid to look. He heard voices, but whether they were outside or
inside him we have no way to know, and if outside, anyone could have been
speaking to this terrified yokel from behind a bush that had been set on
fire.

My own reading of Exodus is that Moses was interacting with some local
king or warlord, maybe a “Levite”, who wanted Moses to go
around Egypt telling all the other kings, especially the Pharoah, that
Moses’ king was the greatest and most powerful one. What God was asking
Moses to do does not sound to me like something an omniscient and
omnipotent being would have to do, or care about. I don’t think that if
Moses was really talking with God Himself, he would have argued back,
telling God he, Moses, couldn’t spread the word because he was “slow
of speech and of a slow tongue.” His brother Aaron was better at
public speaking, God explained, and would teach him.

Would a real God get mad at Moses and argue back, and try to persuade
him? And if the Lord “met him and sought to kill him,” can
anyone imagine that this fantastically powerful Author of the Universe
wouldn’t have just done it? Those passages are horribly confused; they
sound like about six stories stitched together without sense or
continuity. Lots of passages in the Bible sound like that.

Rick succinctly asked me to present
evidence I use to support that the Bible is true. My hypothesis is
that it is true, in fact infallible, in its original
autographs.

Of course if you set that up as a fact to be accepted without proof,
you’re playing the game with a wild card, and anyone else can use the
same wild card. My hypothesis, I could say, is that scientific theories
are true and infallible, and that would make my beliefs just as valid as
yours – unless you say you can use that rule, but I can’t. Is that what
you’re saying?

This is why I was asking about the ground rules. We can’t have a
meaningful discussion about anything until we agree on the kinds of
reasoning we will use, and on how we determine whether any report of a
fact is to be accepted.

Do you accept this post, this
autograph written by my own fingers, as my truthful testimony about my
reactions to your post on this day? Barring any evidence that I am
purposely misrepresenting my thoughts, I would hope you would accept it
as accurate and trustworthy?

Yes, all things considered, I accept that you did write what is in that
post and that it represents what you think and believe.

I see the Bible in the same
way. If it is wrong, what evidence do we
have?

I can accept the Bible in the same way. It represents the thoughts and
beliefs of the people who wrote it. I have no reason to think that any of
its authors were deliberately lying about their own thoughts and beliefs.
But I would need some way to determine whether their thoughts and beliefs
corresponded to anything in reality, before I could accept what they
wrote as the truth about anything but the author’s state of mind. After
all, when Bryan writes diatribes against religion, do you doubt that his
words truly reflect his thoughts and beliefs? I’m sure you can accept
that his words convey his true state of mind, without agreeing that his
thoughts and beliefs are correct.

I can’t conceive that whether the
belief is “there is a God,” “there is no God,”
“Kenny is Joseph’s son,” Bill weighs 211," etc.,
pounds the standard would be different? I don’t claim that I am
right that the Bible is true, I claim that right now I believe it is true
and the evidence is very satisfactory to
me.

If you don’t care whether the evidence is satisfactory to anyone else,
the discussion is over, isn’t it? You have the right to believe whatever
you want, as long as it doesn’t harm anyone else. Maybe this is the whole
issue here: not whether there really is or isn’t a God, or whether the
Bible’s stories are about things that really did or didn’t happen, but
simply about whether you believe what you believe. If that’s all we’re
talking about I can accept immediately that you believe the Bible to be
true and infallible. That has nothing to do with whether it actually is
those things.

Best,

Bill P.

[From Bryan Thalhammer (2007.07.08.1420 CDT)]

Dear All,

Documentation and data is everything:

Re: Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08) --

Here is the Congressional Committee on Oversight and Government Reform to
"Examine Allegations of Political Interference with Government Climate Change
Science." The hearing happened on Monday (19 March), and it even got a bit of
media coverage in the process.

Enjoy, scientists.

--Bry

{rtsp://video.c-span.org/project/energy/energy031907_climate.rm}

It's some 4:50 hours from CSPAN. If you have a faster link, you can jump to the
place where James Hansen speaks.

Witnesses:

* Philip Cooney, former Chief of Staff, White House Council on Environmental
Quality
* James Hansen, Director, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, National
Aeronautics and Space Administration
* George Deutsch, former public affairs officer, National Aeronautics and Space
Administration
* James Connaughton, Chairman, White House Council on Environmental Quality
* Roy Spencer, University of Alabama in Huntsville

[From Rick Marken (2007.07.08.1340)]

Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)--

Rick succinctly asked me to present evidence I use to
support that the Bible is true. My hypothesis is that it is true, in fact
infallible, in its original autographs.

But what's the evidence you use to decide whether to accept or reject
that hypothesis. I though we were doing this like we would in a
courtroom. You come in with a hypothesis, then you show the evidence
on which you are to base your decision about whether or not to reject
the hypothesis. So what's the evidence?

I have studied the evidence and have not found a better answer than what the
Bible contains.

What is the evidence? Is it like Bush's evidence that Iraq had WMD and
connections to Al Queda? I sure hope you are not doing what
Bush/Cheney did, which is making the mistake of confusing desires
(references) with evidence (actual perceptions).

The Bible makes a lot of claims of the only one way and the only God. I
can't prove them but I can believe them based upon all the evidence I have
beyond a reasonable doubt.

What is that evidence?

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
Lecturer in Psychology
UCLA
rsmarken@gmail.com

[From Rick Marken (2007.07.08.1255)]

Bryan Thalhammer (2007.07.08.1035 CDT) --

The only evidence about the Bible is that someone must have sat down and wrote
it. We do not have any solid evidence of authorship, inspiration, actual
events, other than the string of words in the manuscripts, the resulting words,
and the editorial process

To say nothing of the fact that the collection of texts that are
called "the Bible" are manuscripts (scrolls) were "voted in or out" as
canonical (meaning they were _really_ the word of god). So a bunch of
rabbis decided what was canonical Torah ("Old" testament) and a bunch
of bishops decided what was canonical "New" testament (St. Thomas
didn't make the cut). A lot of human judgment went into the process
of deciding what God said. Kind of makes you think that God is a human
concept, no?

Very nice post, by the way, Bryan.

Best

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken PhD
Lecturer in Psychology
UCLA
rsmarken@gmail.com

[From Bryan Thalhammer (2007.07.08.1520 CDT)]

Ohhhhhhhhhh I am watching the hearing now.

{rtsp://video.c-span.org/project/energy/energy031907_climate.rm}

They are nailing the alternate-science people to the walls...

--Bry

[Rick Marken (2007.07.08.1255)]

> Bryan Thalhammer (2007.07.08.1035 CDT) --

> The only evidence about the Bible is that someone must have sat down and
wrote
> it. We do not have any solid evidence of authorship, inspiration, actual
> events, other than the string of words in the manuscripts, the resulting
words,
> and the editorial process

To say nothing of the fact that the collection of texts that are
called "the Bible" are manuscripts (scrolls) were "voted in or out" as
canonical (meaning they were _really_ the word of god). So a bunch of
rabbis decided what was canonical Torah ("Old" testament) and a bunch
of bishops decided what was canonical "New" testament (St. Thomas
didn't make the cut). A lot of human judgment went into the process
of deciding what God said. Kind of makes you think that God is a human
concept, no?

Hah, there is "a lot" in the Bible that passes for truth that is really opinion
of the power brokers back then. Ptolemy, Herod, Clement, Marcian, Arius,
Constantine, Theodosius, etc.

Very nice post, by the way, Bryan.

Welcome. I was just pushing back, controlling for seeing Carl Sagan smile (re:
The Dragons of Eden: Speculations on the Evolution of Human Intelligence) again.

···

Best

Rick

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)]

<Bill Powers (2007.07.08.1110 MDT)>

<If you don’t care whether the evidence is satisfactory to anyone else, the discussion is over, isn’t it?>

If that is your criteria for learning what evidence I use for my beliefs (I think that is essentially going up a level?), then I guess the discussion with you is over on this subject. That’s okay. What is not so okay is you putting words or intentions in my mouth. I never said what you “if’ed.” Of course, I care…to some degree.

<You have the right to believe whatever you want, as long as it doesn’t harm anyone else. Maybe this is the whole issue here: not whether there really is or isn’t a God, or whether the Bible’s stories are about things that really did or didn’t happen, but simply about whether you believe what you believe. If that’s all we’re talking about I can accept immediately that you believe the Bible to be true and infallible. That has nothing to do with whether it actually is those things.>

Nor does your belief that it is not, or may not be, true or trustworthy testimony have anything to do with the actual events. I guess that leaves us nowhere hanging on to and defending what we already believe if challenged with other perceptions. Live and learn, indeed?

Instead of continuing, we can talk about your theories or beliefs such as PCT, HPCT and the human reorganization system as they affect what we do. That is a “why” for my being on this Forum.

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)]

<Rick Marken (2007.07.08.1340)>

<But what’s the evidence you use to decide whether to accept or reject
that hypothesis. I though we were doing this like we would in a
courtroom. You come in with a hypothesis, then you show the evidence
on which you are to base your decision about whether or not to reject
the hypothesis. So what’s the evidence?>

I said I would provide it to you (and Dick, and anyone else who is interested in such a discussion) at the Conference; not on this forum. And, I gave you reasons. Apparently, Bill rejects the testimony in the Bible as “hearsay” and not as written evidence to be evaluated. That seems like saying the testimony of any witness in a court trial should not even be evaluated or considered because it might be false?

Deciding whether the Bible is true and trustworthy seems to me to require considering its testimony against other reliable information. It is going up a level saying, “Why is this testimony believable?” If this testimony is determined to be false beyond a reasonable doubt, then the belief must be questioned or abandoned.

<I sure hope you are not [doing what
Bush/Cheney did, which is; this is irrelevant to what I am doing] making the mistake of confusing desires
(references) with evidence (actual perceptions).>

If I am, I will be happy to have you straighten me out in Minneapolis.

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)]

<Rick Marken (2007.07.08.1255)>

<To say nothing of the fact that the collection of texts that are
called “the Bible” are manuscripts (scrolls) were “voted in or out” as
canonical (meaning they were really the word of god). So a bunch of
rabbis decided what was canonical Torah (“Old” testament) and a bunch
of bishops decided what was canonical “New” testament (St. Thomas
didn’t make the cut). A lot of human judgment went into the process
of deciding what God said. Kind of makes you think that God is a human
concept, no?>

No. I think the process was more to confirm the testimony of the writers as credible witnesses to avoid the reasoning of men who were not witnesses to the claimed events and wanted to speculate.

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.

[From Kenny Kitzke (2007.07.08)]

<Bryan Thalhammer (2007.07.08.1035 CDT)>

<Kenny,

I THOUGHT you weren’t gonna do this. Very well.>

Bry, I did not provide the evidence that Rick sought which justify to me my beliefs. That was something I said I would offer a the Conference.

I did reply to a number of issues raised by Bill. He seemed to anticipate an answer.

At least we agree on that. It was written by men, just like our posts are. Our posts

<We do not have any solid evidence of authorship, inspiration, actual
events, other than the string of words in the manuscripts, the resulting words,>

In most cases, the author identifies him self. Whether the original writings were “inspired” is a study unto itself. I think there is a pretty good case for God’s inspiration of the author’s words.

<and the editorial process (yes, we do have much of that evidence, even down to
the point of translation and interpretation mistakes in some bits of it that
have led to world-wide murder, pain, death, and sorrow).>

That and politics and power too I reckon.

<We also have evidence
in some archeaological remains (but not many) that some of the events depicted
were wrong as written.>

I am not aware of any undisputed archeaological findings that contradict the Bible. Can you cite some? The number of confirmations seems to grow as more advanced scientific methods of investigation are developed and new discoveries unearthed. But, I don’t claim to have studied that in depth to refute your claims (which I assume are those you have read about rather than studied personally?).

I do subscribe to Biblical Archaeology Review. One long-held perception was that no evidence outside of scripture existed for King David, a major character in the Bible. Yet, in the last decade, I recall that a coin with his inscription was found.

<When we do have humane and civilization-building actions
inspired by the Bible, we find them to be few and far between, and usually
criticized by Biblical fanatics, thumpers, and social dominators (witness the
case of Jimmy Carter and Habitat for Humanity, etc., etc.). Other than that,
Biblically-inspired actions have been to marginalize, murder, and such like.>

Well, many historians claim that the very country you reside in (reputedly the greatest in history) was built on Biblical precepts. :sunglasses:

···

See what’s free at AOL.com.