Hi Adam
RM: So it would be more appropriate to say that I was perceived to be accusing rather than intentionally accusing. What you saw as “accusing” was a side effect of me controlling for something else.
AM: There are not that many different interpretations of your “that thing is a statistical artifact”, though.
Yes, I can think of only two: 1) I was accusing “them” of not knowing how to do math or 2) I was pointing out an interesting fact about the consequence of doing a regression analysis without taking into account the mathematical relationship between the variables being regressed. Things could have gone so much better if “they” had chosen interpretation 2.
AM: I did notice you stopped mentioning the omitted bias hypothesis. Looks like you changed your opinion or aren’t so sure anymore.
I stopped talking about it because it is apparently a fact that is well known in the field. Both Pollick & Sapiro (1997) and Maoz, Portugaly, Flash & Weiss (2006) had already shown that the “power law” coefficient you get from regressing curvature on velocity depends on the correlation between what they called the affine velocity variable (and what we called the “omitted cross-product variable”) and the dependent (velocity) variable. If this correlation is 0, which it will be when the omitted variable is constant, then the power coefficient will be exactly 2/3 (or 1/3 depending on how velocity and curvature are computed).
RM: Our conclusion, based on this fact, was that the power coefficient depends on characteristics of the movement produced and has nothing to do with how it is produced; Pollick & Sapiro and Maoz, Portugaly, Flash & Weiss (2006) came to a different conclusion. Pollick & Sapiro actually suggested that the power law results from the fact that people control affine velocity. Seems like a hypothesis worth testing.
AM: As for the testing of the model, I’m sure you can do it. Just make a target move along an ellipse in about 1 cycle per second. A human can track this target without much problem. A position tracking model does not follow the target just like a human. So, model rejected.
RM: I really think it would be nice if you could post more details about this experiment. You’ve apparently done some research that shows that a control model can’t account for some controlling that people do. So it sounds like this study has some very important implications not only for the power law but for PCT as a model of behavior as well (to say the least)! So how about some details. In exactly what way does the model deviate from the behavior of the human? Were you unable to adjust the parameters of the model so that it fit the human behavior? Does the power law hold for the human but not the model? Etc.
AM: Position tracking model is great for tracking pseudorandom targets, that works great, and is confirmed many times. The speed-curvature power law is not consistently found in random scribbling, it often has low r2, etc, so random movement is not relevant.
RM: That is consistent with my idea that the finding of a power law depends on the nature of the trajectory of the movement and says nothing about how the movement was produced. Movement trajectories with constant affine velocity (like elliptical trajectories) will follow the “power law” while other movement trajectories will differ from the power law to the extent that the affine component of the velocity is correlated with the total velocity.
RM But I would really like the details on the failure of the PCT model to account for the rapid elliptical movements of humans. That sounds like a very important finding!
Best
Rick