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[From Rick Marken (2004.07.16.1130)]

Bill Williams (15 July 2004 6:20 PM CST)

Rick Marken (2004.07.15.0830)--

I think "equivocation" is the latest
in a long line of slogans that have been developed as a way to
challenge PCT by those who can't challenge it using modeling or
experimentation.

How would one go about challeging solipcism using "modeling or
experiemntation?"

Bill Powers has explained how this is done in several posts. I don't want to
waste the time trying to find them since they seem to be of no interest to
you anyway. The short answer, for what it's worth, is as follows:
experimentation shows that there are consistent constraints on our ability
to produce intended perceptions and modeling shows that these constraints
are external to ourselves and, thus, represent a reality independent of
ourselves.

The equivocation is the confusion created when it is claimed that control
theory and PCT are the same thing.

I thought it was the equivocation about whether the CV was a perceptual or
an environmental variable. It seems to me that you are equivocating about
what we are equivocating about. Anyway, there is no equivocating about
whether or not PCT is control theory. PCT is precisely control theory (in
terms of the basic equations of closed loop negative feedback organizations
of variables and functions). PCT simply maps control theory onto behavior
differently than do other applications of control theory to behavior.

My interest is primarily economics.PCT economics has assumed the guise of Bill
Powers' dad's Leakages thesis. We've had your "giant leap in tbe wrong
direction."

Well, at least I tried. The main problem with the model was that the
composite producer/consumer controlled for GNP (PQ) rather than for goods
and services alone (Q). Given what I've seen of your programming and
mathematical abilities I doubt that your evaluation of the model is based on
any understanding it, which is why you can only parrot (partially) one of
Bill Powers' comments.

We've had your "noble" effort published under my name where you
demonstrated that you didn't understand the Giffen model.

I did make a mistake by saying that increasing the budget would lead to
decreased demand for the "inferior" good with increased price. In fact,
increasing the budget just eliminates the Giffen effect (increased demand
with increased price), as can be seen in my demo of the Giffen effect at
http://www.mindreadings.com/ControlDemo/Economics.html. The point I was
trying to make in your paper was simply that the control model could account
for _both_ the conventional, downward sloping demand curve (decrease in
demand with increase in price) and the "aberrant", upward sloping demand
curve of the Giffen effect. Which it can. I thought it was important for
you to point that out in the paper. I should have asked you to make that
revision yourself. But there were time constraints (and no e-mail at the
time) but I know that I did get your permission to make what I considered to
be the needed editorial changes. I'm sorry that one of those changes was
not stated as you would have stated it.

We've had Bill Powers' claim that "it isn't going to cost anything send
people to Mars."

That was not Bill's claim. His claim was that going to Mars would not cost
_the economy_ anything, where the economy is a collection of individuals
who produce the goods and services they consume. The economy can be
measured in terms of the total output produced by this collection of
producer/ consumers; this measure is called GDP and it's measured in
dollars. The dollars that are used to pay for the Mars program comes from
the governmental segment of the economy, which gets its dollars from the
producer/consumers that pay taxes. The government simply transfers these
dollars from one segment of the economy (one set of producer/ consumers) to
another. There is no change in the total dollars in the economy; GDP doesn't
change when the government does this. So the Mars program transfers dollars
from one segment of the economy -- taxpayers -- to another -- yhr
producer/consumers working on the Mars program, who are taxpayers
themselves. This transfer costs the economy nothing in the sense that GDP
does not change. The transfer simply _redistributes_ GDP from one set of
individuals to another. Of course, the Mars program will "cost" the economy
the ability to spend what is spent on the Mars program on something else.
If the mars program takes $10 billion of GDP each year, then that's $10
billion that cannot be spent on other things. That is a cost to the economy
-- but it's a resource allocation cost, not a dollar cost.

And, then the aspiration to develop an economic test bed which was taken
up, played with for a bit and then abandoned.

My own work on economics continues, but it certainly takes a backseat to my
other work. I'm sure Bill Powers will continue working on the testbed. But
I think he was hoping to be able to team up with a "real" economist, which
you are, at least by credential. I imagine that the work on the testbed has
been slowed by his disappointment over the way things have gone with you.

PCT seems to be on its way to becoming another episode in what Horgan
describes as "the catastrophy of cybernetics."

Let's hope so, for your sake.

Bill Powers used to talk about
the dangers involved when the "lunatic fringe" appeared. If I had been a bit
more perceptive, I might have recognized that the "lunatic" element was
present from the very beginning.

I think your problem was not so much lack of perceptiveness as lack of a
mirror.

Regards

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken
MindReadings.com
Home: 310 474 0313
Cell: 310 729 1400

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0716.1438)]

Bill Williams 16 July 2004 1:15 PM CST

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0716.1354)]

If this is the main point you have been trying to make, I find it hard to believe anyone >would disagree with you. Whatever you perceive a five-dollar bill to be and whatever I >perceive a five dollar bill to be, if you perceive yourself handing one to me and I >perceive myself receiving one from you, a social interaction has indeed taken place.

I would like to add that someone hands you a meter stick, or some other officially certified standard measuring device that has an official seal from the Bureau of Standards then this, in my perception, is also a social interaction.

Fine. But nothing in either interaction requires any modification to the basic PCT model. At least as far as I can see.

Bruce Gregory

Certainty has more appeal than truth.

Phil Runkel to Rick Marken:

Commenting on Bill P's of 2004.07.15.0949 MDT:

I just now reread, too, your "coming out of the closet" as a part of Dag
Forssell's website. I agree; it was courageous, forthright,
penetrating, and RIGHT.

[From Rick Marken (2004.07.16.1400)]

Bruce Nevin (2004.07.16 11:24 EDT)

A digression on equivocation:

> Rick Marken (2004.07.15.0830)--

I think "equivocation" is the latest
in a long line of slogans that have been developed as a way to
challenge PCT by those who can't challenge it using modeling or
experimentation.

Rick, why do you think I am challenging PCT?

You said that PCT equivocates about the nature of controlled variables,
sometimes saying they are perceptions and sometimes saying they are
environmental variables. This sounds like a challenge to the PCT definition
of a controlled variable.

Exposing muddled thinking and terminological confusion is not a challenge to
PCT.

Sure it is. But there is nothing wrong with challenging PCT. I think PCT
should be challenged. I just think it should be challenged using modeling
and experimentation. I think that's really the best way to expose muddled
thinking and terminological confusion. Your challenge, regarding
"equivocation" in the PCT definition of CV, fails by the test of modeling
and experimentation. A number of us have built models in which the
controlled variables are clearly defined as mathematical functions of
physical variables (eg. my baseball simulations, Kennaway's multi-joint
cranes) ; others have developed experimental methods that identify
controlled variables (like my "Mind reading" demo). Your "challenges" are
just not very challenging. If they were based on modeling and/or
experimentation, however, then they would be.

You may take it as a
challenge to you to clear up the muddled thinking about what is "the same"
when people are in conflict and to use technical terms like model and
simulation in consistent and unambiguous ways.

But there is no muddled thinking about what is "the same" when people are in
conflict -- except, possibly, yours. People are controlling the same
variable when they are controlling the same or a similar function of
physical variables in their common environment. This fact about the
"sameness" of the variable controlled in a conflict has been demonstrated
over and over again with models and experiments.

But to pretend that I am an enemy of PCT is just foolish.

I don't think you are an enemy of PCT. I think some of your "challenges"
(like the argument that there is "equivocation" about whether a CV is a
perceptual or environmental variable) are not challenging because they
reflect an understanding of PCT that is more verbal than scientific. I think
that may be why you think so highly of the non-challenging "challenges" to
PCT by people who are, indeed, its avowed enemies.

Regards

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken
MindReadings.com
Home: 310 474 0313
Cell: 310 729 1400

[From Bruce Nevin (2004.07.17 23:55 EDT)]

I would clean this up some more but I’m out of time.

Rick Marken (2004.07.16.1400)–

Rick, why do you think I am challenging
PCT?

You said that PCT equivocates about the nature of controlled
variables,

sometimes saying they are perceptions and sometimes saying they are

environmental variables. This sounds like a challenge to the PCT
definition

of a controlled variable.

Oh, is that all. I’m glad. I thought maybe you saw my proposal about
modeling the tester along with the observed control system as a
challenge, the proposal about the perception that the tester is
controlling (a perception which we might call the tester’s theory about
the controller’s perception of the controlled variable – or, more
briefly, the tester’s perception of the controller’s perception).

OK, let’s deal with the terminological issue first. It came up for me as
a question, which definition do you mean. Since it is perception that is
controlled, the CV is often referred to as the controlled perception.
That’s problematic because two people can’t have the same perception.

In B:CP, the definition of a “controlled quantity” is
An environmental variable corresponding to the perceptual signal in a
control system; a physical quantity (or a function of several physical
quantities) that is affected and controlled by the outputs from a control
system’s output function."This is unequivocal. It corresponds to the term EV in our recent
discussions. This definition says that EV is controlled by the outputs
from a control system’s output functions.
You give much the same definition in the section titled “Controlled
Variables” in the paper “The nature of behavior: Control as
fact and theory,” reprinted in Mind Readings:
A controlled event is a physical variable (or a function of several
variables) that remains stable in the face of factors that should produce
variability.

Again, in “Behavior in the first degree” in the section
titled “Controlled Variables”
A controlled (or intended) result is always some variable property of
the environment. Controlled results are called controlled
variables
.
In “Spreadsheet analysis of a hierarchical control system model
of behavior”, it is the input quantity i that is controlled,
where i is identified as being in the environment, where it is
influenced by the output variable o and disturbances
d.
In “Perceptual organization of behavior: A hierarchical control
model of coordinated behavior”, in the section titled “Basic
Control System,” the controlled variable (labeled Q) is identified
as being in the environment.
These are all in Mind Readings. Moving on to More Mind
Readings
, the paper “A science of purpose” in Figure 2 and
associated text identifies the controlled variable as B in the
environment.
In “The blind men and the elephant” the controlled variable is
the “sensory variable s” which is identified as being in
the environment (Fig. 1).

This all seems to contradict the slogan that behavior is the control of
perception. In “Mind reading: a look at changing intentions”,
you provided a more nuanced formulation:
To understand the behavior of a control system one must determine
what perceptions are being controlled. Although we cannot see what a
system perceives we can measure physical variables in the system’s
environment (such as the room temperature near a thermostat) which may
correspond to controlled perceptions.
“The dancer and the dance” (I like this paper especially,
BTW) identifies the controlled variable as the “proximate
cause” S of the outputs DV that together with
disturbances IV determine its state (Fig. 2). All of these are
variables that may be observed and (if modeling is to be possible)
measured in the environment. Farther on, in the section titled
“Controlled Variables,”
the visible “dance” of behavior makes sense as soon as we
know what sensory input (S) the subject is controlling. Controlled
sensory inputs are called controlled variables. So we can
understand the behavior of living control systems if we can identify the
variables they are controlling: controlled variables. Controlled
variables are aspects of the system’s own sensory experience that it is
keeping under control.
So S is in the environment, but it is identified as sensory
input. It is EV “at the input” of the controller. Hence, the
controlled variable for catching a ball is described as a change in the
retinal image, not as the movement of the ball through its trajectory
overhead.

In all of these writings, BTW, variables are in the environment and
quantities within the system are called signals in contradistinction to
variables. This is a distinction that Bjørn recently asked us to adhere
to. The term “Controlled Variable” according to this convention
could only refer to something in the environment. It could not refer to a
perception. A controlled perception could only be called a controlled
signal, not a controlled variable.

A bit farther on from the passage I quoted above from “The dancer
and the dance” you provide a very nice exposition of the relation of
observer’s perceptions to the perceptions of the observed system.
The fact that organisms are controlling their own perceptions
explains why it is often difficult to tell what an organism is doing,
even though we can see its every action. We see the dance of behavior
(the actions that keep perceptions under control) but not the reason for
the dance (the perceptions that the organism controls). For example, we
see a person bolting across the street but we don’t see why (to catch the
bus that is pulling away from the stop). It is difficult to tell what an
organism is doing because it is difficult to see what an organism is
controlling. Controlled variables are perceptual variables and we can’t
get inside an organism to see what it perceives. But we can determine
what aspects of our own perceptions of the environment correspond to the
perceptions the organism is controlling. In order to be able to tell what
an organism is doing (controlling) we have to be able to perceive the
world as the organism perceives it.

This sounds very much like what we commonly call empathy. The
observer develops an hypothesis about what it is like to perceive the
environment as the observed controller does, then tries very hard to
disprove that hypothesis. The hypothesis is a function of the observer’s
own perceptions, and is itself a perception. A guess or hypothesis as to
the controller’s perception is a perception of the controller’s
perception.

Here is an image representing the model of the observer that Bill
offered:

1a0cc9c2.jpg

The Observer has a perception of the variable CV as he perceives that the
Controller perceives it. He also has a perception of the perceptual input
to the Controller and the control output from the Controller (the two
arrows to the left of CV. In the diagram as shown he is controlling the
perception of the variable CV, but at another point in the investigation
he may control his perception of the Controller’s perceptual input (e.g.
obstructing the Controller’s view of the variable, since if control
continues undisturbed this shows that he is not controlling a visual
perception of the variable). And he may control his perception of the
Controller’s control actions to see if the Controller resists certain
influences of that type. All of these are perceptions inside the
Observer.

Now put the model of the Observer together with a model of the observed
Controller within a model of their shared environment:

1a0cc9ea.jpg

The Observer’s control of the perception CV(Observer) affects the
environment variable EV just as the Controller’s control of the variable
CV(Controller) also affects the environment variable EV. The Observer’s
control of the perception of the Controller’s input or output affects the
input from the environment which the Controller receives from EV, or
affects the influence that the Controller’s output into the environment
has on EV. What we have added is another point of view, the observer of
this model of a dyad. from this point of view we can confirm the
Observer’s theory about what the Controller is perceiving and
controlling.

As this observer outside the frame we have a model of the interior of the
Controller only because we are informed by theory (PCT), and we have a
model of the interior of the Observer because we are informed by our own
experience as observers Testing for controlled variables. To start with
we only have two black boxes and their interactions

1a0cca3a.jpg

But from this vantage point we perceive one variable, EV, the state of
which is influenced by the outputs of one control system, and should be
influenced by the outputs of the other but is not. From this observation
we can deduce the theoretical constructs inside them as shown above.

For another pair of controllers, we perceive one variable, EV, the state
of which is influenced by the outputs of both control systems, but not as
much as we would expect for their actions alone, because the effect of
each is countered by the effect of the other. From this observation we
can deduce the theoretical constructs inside them as shown below:

1a0cca8a.jpg

Then we come upon another pair of controllers, except that the outputs of
one have no effect upon the value of EV. The state of EV is completely
determined by the outputs of the other controller, for whom the outputs
of the first controller are among the disturbances that it successfully
resists.

So far, there is no difference between the model of the Observer applying
force to EV which the Controller completely counters, and the model of
the weak Controller applying force to EV which the strong Controller
completely counters. To see a difference, you have to add another level
of hierarchical control. In the weak Controller, there is a reference for
changing the state of the perception of EV, and in the Tester, according
to Bill, there is not.

Now, back to an aspect of this discussion that I said I was glad you did
not perceive as a challenge to PCT. I agree, it is not. It requires no
change to the theory. It just requires what is represented by Bill’s
model of the Observer’s perceptions to have company.

1a0ccad0.jpg

Each Controller perceives the other as a Controller much like himself.
“In order to be able to tell what an organism is doing (controlling)
we have to be able to perceive the world as the organism perceives
it.” Just as the Observer constructs a (hypothetical, theoretical)
perception CV of the environment variable EV as the observed Controller
perceives it, by the same kinds of processes people project their own
perceptions onto others. We fill in that black box labeled
“perception of controller” with our perceptions of the
environment, perhaps changed imaginatively as though perceived from their
viewpoint, and with our self-perceptions. Within that model of the other
person, just as within ourselves, is a perception of the other, only now
that “other” within the other is a perception of ourselves. So
we not only have (hypothetical, theoretical) perceptions of their
perceptions, in particular and most interestingly we have (hypothetical,
theoretical) perceptions of their perceptions of us.

Surely there can be no doubt that we harbor perceptions of what others
are perceiving. You do it yourself, e.g.

I think

that may be why you think so highly of the non-challenging
“challenges” to

PCT by people who are, indeed, its avowed enemies.

You are describing your perception that I perceive as a good thing
(“think highly of”) challenges to PCT by unnamed people who you
perceive as avowed enemies of PCT.

Once we acknowledge the phenomenon, I think maybe you can see that it
requires no change to PCT to account for it. Modeling such things will be
difficult because these are difficult things to quantify – and that, my
friend, is the fundamental reason that I have not plunged into
programming simulations yet – but conceptually it’s pretty
straightforward.

Now I wonder if you would be willing to go over some of your java code
with me in Chicago? There are no comments in it, and I would like to
understand it. The mind reading demo, perhaps? I will be flying to
California tomorrow early, and will get to Chicago late Wednesday night.
(Dick, I hope someone will be meeting me? UA Flight 152 from SF,
10pm.)

Now to bed.

    /Bruce

Nevin

···

At 02:04 PM 7/16/2004 -0700, Richard Marken wrote:

[From Kenny Kitzke (2004.07.18, 08:16EDT)]

<Bruce Nevin (2004.07.17 23:55 EDT)>

<I would clean this up some more but I’m out of time.>

Even without cleaning it up, all I can say is BRAVO! And, I look forward to seeking you in the windy city.

[From Rick Marken (2004.07.18.0930)]

Bruce Nevin (2004.07.17 23:55 EDT) --

OK, let's deal with the terminological issue first.

Thanks for all the quotes of my stuff. I'm glad _someone_ is reading
my books.

This all seems to contradict the slogan that behavior is the control
of perception.

It's hard to make it clear verbally. But, of course, the PCT model
does control its own perceptions. The main problem when talking about
this, I think, is the term "environmental variable" (EV), which refers
to the observer's perception of a variable that corresponds to the
"perceptual variable" that is being controlled by the controller. Like
the perception controlled by the controller, the EV is a _function_ of
physical variables in the environment. But from the observer's point of
view the EV is "in the environment". The EV is like the patterns of
coins controlled in the coin game. The pattern is the perception
controlled by the controller and the EV (also a perception, of course)
is what is perceived by the observer.

Hence, the controlled variable for catching a ball is described as a
change in the retinal image, not as the movement of the ball through
its trajectory overhead.

Right. The trajectory of the ball is a physical reality outside the
system. This trajectory is sensed by the system and some _function_ of
that sensed variable is what is perceived and controlled.

The term "Controlled Variable" according to this convention could only
refer to something in the environment.

I think Bill Powers tried to solve this problem by referring to the
controlled variable as a controlled "quantity". I think the best
solution is to learn the model, which makes these verbal ambiguities
less troubling. A controlled variable or EV (like the Z pattern of
coins controlled in the coin game) appears be in the environment. But,
like all perceptions, the EV is a function of variables that the
physics model says are actually "out there" in the environment. The EV
is a perception in the brain of the observer.

A bit farther on from the passage I quoted above from "The dancer and
the dance" you provide a very nice exposition of the relation of
observer's perceptions to the perceptions of the observed system.

The fact that organisms are controlling their own perceptions
explains why it is often difficult to tell what an organism is doing,
even though we can see its every action. We see the dance of behavior
(the actions that keep perceptions under control) but not the reason
for the dance (the perceptions that the organism controls). For
example, we see a person bolting across the street but we don't see
why (to catch the bus that is pulling away from the stop). It is
difficult to tell what an organism is doing because it is difficult
to see what an organism is controlling. Controlled variables are
perceptual variables and we can't get inside an organism to see what
it perceives. But we can determine what aspects of our own
perceptions of the environment correspond to the perceptions the
organism is controlling. In order to be able to tell what an organism
is doing (controlling) we have to be able to perceive the world as
the organism perceives it.

I agree. I think this is probably my clearest verbal statement of what
a controlled variable is: an aspect of one's own perceptions that
correspond to the perception that the organism is controlling.

This sounds very much like what we commonly call empathy.

Yes. I think that I, myself, have described The Test as "systematic
empathy".

A guess or hypothesis as to the controller's perception is a
perception of the controller's perception.

I think that's a rather confusing way to say it. You are not
perceiving the controller's perception. You are perceiving a variable
(like the pattern of coins) that appears to be in the environment of
the controller, noticing that it is protected from disturbances and
_imagining_ that what you are perceiving is what the controller is
perceiving (and controlling). Saying that you are perceiving the
controller's perceptions, I think, gives an impression of certainly
about what another agent is experiencing that is quite unwarranted.

Surely there can be no doubt that we harbor perceptions of what others
are perceiving. You do it yourself, e.g.

Actually, I have never perceived what another person is perceiving. I'm
pretty confident that I experience the world as others experience it.
So I _imagine_ that I perceive as others perceive. In your words, I
harbors "imaginings" of what others are perceiving. But I have never
harbored perceptions of what others are perceiving. What I have done,
using the Test as well as informal questioning methods, is an
approximation to "mind reading", which involves finding aspects of _my
own perceptions_ that correspond to those perceptions that are
experienced and, perhaps, controlled by others. What you seem to be
talking about is Heinlein's grokking, where one person actually becomes
one with another. If people could grok, then they could, indeed,
perceive what another person is perceiving. The Test can do something
very close to mind reading, but grokking is well beyond its current
capabilities.

I think that may be why you think so highly of the non-challenging
"challenges" to
PCT by people who are, indeed, its avowed enemies.

You are describing your perception that I perceive as a good thing
("think highly of") challenges to PCT by unnamed people who you
perceive as avowed enemies of PCT.

I am imagining that you see merit in Bill Williams' comments, for
example. But I don't perceive your perception of those comments.

Once we acknowledge the phenomenon

You mean the phenomenon you describe as perceiving others perceptions?
I think this "phenomenon" is just a poor way of describing what I
describe in the "Dancer and the Dance" paragraph that you quote above:
What we perceive about another's perceptions when we do the Test are
aspects of _our own_ perceptions that we imagine, with some confidence,
to correspond to perceptions that the controller is controlling.

, I think maybe you can see that it requires no change to PCT to
account for it.

I agree. Because it is a phenomenon already explained by PCT.

Modeling such things will be difficult because these are difficult
things to quantify

Modeling such things is what we do all the time when we build models of
behavior. We are putting into those models aspects of our own
perceptions that correspond to what we imagine to be the perceptions
the organism is controlling.

-- and that, my friend, is the fundamental reason that I have not
plunged into programming simulations yet -- but conceptually it's
pretty straightforward.

Well, then, tragically, I think, you've delayed taking the plunge
unnecessarily.

Now I wonder if you would be willing to go over some of your java code
with me in Chicago? There are no comments in it, and I would like to
understand it. The mind reading demo, perhaps?

Of course. I'll be very happy to go over them with you. If you know
java perhaps you could help me improve the user interface and upgrade
some of the code, which is now considered deprecated (though it still
compiles and runs).

Regards

Rick

···

---
Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

Richard S. Marken
marken@mindreadings.com
Home 310 474-0313
Cell 310 729-1400

[From Bruce Nevin (2004.07.19 20:55 PDT)]

Rick Marken (2004.07.18.0930)–

I’m glad someone is reading [what I
write]

I know the feeling.

This all seems to
contradict the slogan that behavior is the control

of perception.

It’s hard to make it clear verbally. But, of course, the PCT
model

does control its own perceptions.

There’s a little problem here with ambiguous use of the word
“model”. Better to distinguish between model and simulation. I
don’t think you mean the PCT model. The theoretical model is about the
control of perceptions, theory doesn’t have perceptions or control them.
I think you mean any given PCT simulation. A PCT simulation does control
its own perceptions, that is, quantities identified in the simulation as
perceptual signals. It also controls the quantity called EV, which is
equally well specified in the simulation as the quantities for perceptual
signals. In this respect, a simulation is different from the situation
that it simulates. In the real situation, the perceptual signal is well
specified to the controller but not to the observer; EV is known to the
controller only as the perceptual signal, and is a variable distinct from
the controller’s perceptual signal only for the observer. But the
observer does not know EV directly, but rather as a perception. So that
which the simulation represents as a quantity in the environment is
actually knowable only as a perception in the observer and a perception
in the controller.

The main problem when talking about

this, I think, is the term “environmental variable” (EV), which
refers

to the observer’s perception of a variable that corresponds to the

“perceptual variable” that is being controlled by the
controller.

Yes, EV refers to the observer’s perception of what (in the judgement of
the observer) the controller is controlling. Therefore, EV is a fortiori
the observer’s perception of the controller’s perception. This is
possible without input from the controller’s perceptual signal to some
kind of other-people’s-perceptual-signal-detector just as it is possible
for you to have a perception that I am not (or am) an enemy of PCT, or
that I do (or do not) agree with you.

Like the perception controlled by the
controller, the EV is a function of

physical variables in the environment.

Hang on. That’s an assumption. A very well supported assumption, having
the weight of all the physical sciences behind it, not to mention the
glacial weight of millennia of evolution. But the fulcrum of this dilemma
is expressed in the slogan “it’s all perception,” we cannot
leap so lightly and glibly to a contrary assumption.

But from the observer’s point of view the EV
is “in the environment”.

In a simulation, such as a simulation of the interaction of controller
and observer/tester, EV is in the environment as the
“physical variables” of which the perceptual signals of both
controller and observer are functions. The simulation pretends to direct
knowledge of the environment beyond the perceptual signals. In the
simulation it is perfectly clear that two systems in conflict are
controlling the same value EV at different reference values for the
corresponding perceptions. This is why I have been asking the question
“what exactly is the same?” again and again, to bring out this
unwarranted (thought well supported) assumption which flies in the face
of the slogan “it’s all perception”.

BTW, I wonder what conflict would look like in Bill’s multi-control demo.
If 100 controllers can control 100 unique perceptions, each perception
being a different function of a common set of environmental variables,
then it would seem that any two controllers would be in conflict over the
values at which they control the environmental variables while perceiving
different perceptions. If not, then the notion of the loop being closed
through the (unknowable) environment goes haywire.

Like the perception controlled by the
controller, the EV is a function of

physical variables in the environment. The EV is like the patterns
of

coins controlled in the coin game. The pattern is the perception

controlled by the controller and the EV (also a perception, of
course)

is what is perceived by the observer.

But what you go on to say here is that EV is no more than the observer’s
perception. EV is in the environment exactly to the extent that the
controller’s perception is in the environment. But the observer is
designing the simulation, so it is the observer’s perceptions that are
represented in the simulated environment.

Hence, the
controlled variable for catching a ball is described as a

change in the retinal image, not as the movement of the ball through

its trajectory overhead.

Right. The trajectory of the ball is a physical reality outside the

system.

The trajectory of the ball is another perception – one that both the
observer and the ball catcher might have, but if the ball-catcher has a
perception of ball trajectory, that is not the perception that he is
controlling. We assume that the trajectory is a physical reality, and the
assumption has all the weighty backing noted earlier, but in this context
where we know “it’s all perception” we cannot simply assert
that the assumption is so.

This trajectory is sensed by the system and
some function of

that sensed variable is what is perceived and
controlled.

We assume that something is really going on. Whatever is really going on
is sensed. The trajectory is one function of sensed variables.
Acceleration in the retinal image is another function of sensed
variables.

The EV is a perception in the brain of the
observer.

Oops! Now we are back again to the assertion that two systems in conflict
are controlling the same variable. See above, where I said

In a simulation, such as a simulation of the
interaction of controller and observer/tester, EV is in the
environment as the “physical variables” of which the perceptual
signals of both controller and observer are functions. The simulation
pretends to direct knowledge of the environment beyond the perceptual
signals. In the simulation it is perfectly clear that two systems in
conflict are controlling the same value EV at different reference values
for the corresponding perceptions. This is why I have been asking the
question “what exactly is the same?” again and again, to bring
out this unwarranted (thought well supported) assumption which flies in
the face of the slogan “it’s all perception”.

A simulation asserts something about the environment that we cannot know.
The observer, however, asserts something about the perceptions of the
observed controller. The Observer asserts

    CV(observer)

= CV(controller)

Or, if we accept that EV = CV(observer), the Observer asserts

    EV =

CV(controller)

The simulation, however, puts EV in the environment and not inside the
observer as a perception. The simulation therefore asserts something that
the observer cannot know

    CV(observer)

= EV = CV(controller)

a controlled variable is … an aspect of
one’s own perceptions that

corresponds to the perception that the organism is controlling.

This sounds very much like what we commonly
call empathy.

Yes. I think that I, myself, have described The Test as
"systematic

empathy".

And this is what I meant when I said that the observer has a perception
of the observed controller’s perception. By interaction with other
controllers, the observer develops perceptions about the environment,
about what other controllers are perceiving, and about how other
controllers are controlling those perceptions.

An aunt of mine, one of my mother’s sisters, was always teasing and
provoking conflict among others. I asked her why. She said she found
things out that way. I think this is pretty common.

A guess or
hypothesis as to the controller’s perception is a

perception of the controller’s perception.

I think that’s a rather confusing way to say it. You are not

perceiving the controller’s perception. You are perceiving a
variable

(like the pattern of coins) that appears to be in the environment of

the controller, noticing that it is protected from disturbances and

imagining that what you are perceiving is what the controller is

perceiving (and controlling). Saying that you are perceiving the

controller’s perceptions, I think, gives an impression of certainty

about what another agent is experiencing that is quite
unwarranted.

I agree that it is confusing. Careful adherence to principles of PCT does
result in awkward language sometimes. The principle I am trying to adhere
to is expressed in the slogan “it’s all perception.” A theory
is a perception. An imagined perception is a perception. However, if it
is imagined I am not clear how the “imagination connection”
works with this sort of perception. This is not an existing perception
whose inputs at some level or levels in the hierarchy are copies of
stored reference signals. The inputs are from the environment, and the
perception itself could be novel.

Surely there can be
no doubt that we harbor perceptions of what others

are perceiving. You do it yourself, e.g.

Actually, I have never perceived what another person is perceiving.
I’m

pretty confident that I experience the world as others experience
it.

So I imagine that I perceive as others perceive. In your words, I

harbor “imaginings” of what others are perceiving. But I have
never

harbored perceptions of what others are perceiving. What I have
done,

using the Test as well as informal questioning methods, is an

approximation to “mind reading”, which involves finding aspects
of _my

own perceptions_ that correspond to those perceptions that are

experienced and, perhaps, controlled by others. What you seem to be

talking about is Heinlein’s grokking,

Not at all. I am simply saying that it’s all perception. What you call
“imagining” is not exempt.

I am imagining that you see merit in Bill
Williams’ comments, for

example. But I don’t perceive your perception of those
comments.

The syllogism goes this way: Your imagining is a perception. It is an
imagining of my perception. Therefore it is a perception of my
perception. It sounds like you deny the major premise, that your
imagining is a perception. If it is not a perception, what is it? EV is
the controller’s perception. It is not the controller’s imagining which
is somehow something other than a perception.

Once we acknowledge
the phenomenon

You mean the phenomenon you describe as perceiving others
perceptions?

I think this “phenomenon” is just a poor way of describing
what I

describe in the “Dancer and the Dance” paragraph that you quote
above:

What we perceive about another’s perceptions when we do the Test are

aspects of our own perceptions that we imagine, with some
confidence,

to correspond to perceptions that the controller is
controlling.

Sure.

, I think maybe you
can see that it requires no change to PCT to

account for it.

I agree. Because it is a phenomenon already explained by
PCT.

Good. Then you agree that “theory of mind” phenomena underlying
culture are not challenging in the sense of requiring fundamental change
to the theory.

Modeling such
things will be difficult because these are difficult

things to quantify

Modeling such things is what we do all the time when we build models
of

behavior. We are putting into those models aspects of our own

perceptions that correspond to what we imagine to be the perceptions

the organism is controlling.

But we are not modelling two or more systems, each of which controls
perceptions – imaginings if you insist, or theories, or informed
guesses, but these are all perceptions – of what the other is
controlling.

Now I wonder if you
would be willing to go over some of your java code

with me in Chicago? There are no comments in it, and I would like to

understand it. The mind reading demo, perhaps?

Of course. I’ll be very happy to go over them with you. If you know

java perhaps you could help me improve the user interface and
upgrade

some of the code, which is now considered deprecated (though it
still

compiles and runs).

I don’t, but Ive done some programming and I’m willing to learn. I
brought a starter book with me and might even get some time to work
through some of it.

I’m in CA now for some training; my email contact is sporadic and
somewhat unpredictable.

    /Bruce
···

At 09:42 AM 7/18/2004 -0700, Rick Marken wrote:

From[Bill Williams 20 July 2004 5:00 AM CST]

[From Rick Marken (2004.07.16.1130)]

Bill Williams (15 July 2004 6:20 PM CST)

Rick Marken (2004.07.15.0830)--

I think "equivocation" is the latest
in a long line of slogans that have been developed as a way to
challenge PCT by those who can't challenge it using modeling or
experimentation.

How would one go about challeging solipcism using "modeling or
experiemntation?"

You use of "shows" indicates that you don't understand the meaning of "solipcism." The sort of agent to whom it is possible to "show" something is not a solipcist.

You argument is so internally inconsistent that it isn't worth worrying about. However, you could attend to Bruce Nevin's argument concerning the concept of "show."

The equivocation is the confusion created when it is claimed >>that control theory and PCT are the same thing.

I thought it was the equivocation about whether the CV was a >perceptual or
an environmental variable.

Equvication is everywhere.

It seems to me that you are equivocating about what we are
equivocating about.

When you one is talking to soplicists there is only one thing that is being equvocated and that is regarding perception.

Anyway, there is no equivocating about whether or not PCT is >control theory. PCT is precisely control theory (in
terms of the basic equations of closed loop negative feedback >organizations of variables and functions). PCT simply maps >control theory onto behavior differently than do other >applications of control theory to behavior.

What about the equivocation about the theory of perception? Is perception even proximately? Well, of course not.

My interest is primarily economics.PCT economics has assumed >>the guise of Bill Powers' dad's Leakages thesis. We've had your >>"giant leap in tbe wrong direction."

Well, at least I tried.

I wouldn't call what you did _trying_.

You say,

Given what I've seen of your programming and mathematical >abilities I doubt that your evaluation of the model is based on
any understanding it,

Is there actually something there that is worth _understanding_?

which is why you can only parrot >>>(partially) one of Bill Powers' comments.

You've forgotten my comment about your sophisticated use of control theory to make two sides of an indentity equal each other.

We've had your "noble" effort published under my name where you
demonstrated that you didn't understand the Giffen model.

I did make a mistake by saying that increasing the budget would >lead to decreased demand for the "inferior" good with increased >price. In fact, increasing the budget just eliminates the Giffen >effect (increased demand
with increased price), as can be seen in my demo of the Giffen >effect at

http://www.mindreadings.com/ControlDemo/Economics.html.

In fact? Well then you have still got it wrong. First of all the Giffen effect is not defined by a situation in which increased demand is associated with an increased price. In the standard version of economics increased demand generates an increased price, and an increased price genrates a decrease in the quantity demanded. You don't know what the terms mean so, of course, you made and make and will continute to make mistakes-- partly as a result of equvocation.

The point I was
trying to make in your paper was simply that the control model >could account
for _both_ the conventional, downward sloping demand curve >(decrease in
demand with increase in price) and the "aberrant", upward >sloping demand
curve of the Giffen effect. Which it can. I thought it was >important for
you to point that out in the paper.

Actually what you tried to do was eliminate the paper entirely. So, it is very doubtful how "important" anything in the paper was as a matter of your perception.

I should have asked you to make that
revision yourself. But there were time constraints (and no e->mail at the
time) but I know that I did get your permission to make what I >considered to
be the needed editorial changes.

I suppose you can producde a record of this? You seem to have forgotten we had a face to face talk in Boulder Colorado three days before the ABS paper issue came up. Did you take advantage of that face to face encounter to clear up this issue? No you did not. Your raising the time constraint, and lack of email is dishonest.

I'm sorry that one of those changes was not stated as you would > have stated it.

This isn't the issue. The way you changed the paper introduced a mistake that wasn't my fault. You keep attempting to avoid fessing up to the fact that you didn't understand the Giffen concept then, and apparently don't understand it now.

We've had Bill Powers' claim that "it isn't going to cost >>anything send people to Mars."

Your explaination adds more mistakes to what continues to be a growing exercise in equvocation.

You keep making mistakes such as equating GDP with "total output" which it is not. GDP is fairly obviously a "Gross" measure of domestic production.

I think your problem was not so much lack of perceptiveness as >lack of a mirror.

Well, I guess I fixed that didn't I?

Bill Williams

From[Bill Williams 20 July 2004 5:20 AM CST]

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0716.1438)]

        >Bill Williams 16 July 2004 1:15 PM CST

                [From Bruce Gregory (2004.0716.1354)]
          
                If this is the main point you have been trying to make, I find it hard to believe anyone >would disagree with you. Whatever you perceive a five-dollar bill to be and whatever I >perceive a five dollar bill to be, if you perceive yourself handing one to me and I >perceive myself receiving one from you, a social interaction has indeed taken place.

        >>I would like to add that someone hands you a meter stick, or some other >>officially certified standard measuring device that has an official seal from >>the Bureau of Standards then this, in my perception, is also a social >>interaction.

Fine. But nothing in either interaction requires any modification to the basic PCT >model. At least as far as I can see.

OK. Suppose what you say is true.

Then how would you explain Bill Powers' inability to understand the Keynesian system?

Or, the claim that it isn't going to cost anything to send people to Mars?

Bill Williams

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0720.0837)]

Bill Williams 20 July 2004 5:20 AM CST

OK. Suppose what you say is true.

Then how would you explain Bill Powers' inability to understand the Keynesian system?

Or, the claim that it isn't going to cost anything to send people to Mars?

I think it may be a good idea to keep our personal views (and shortcomings) distinct from what models predict. As far as I know, there are no semi-realistic PCT models of an economy based on large numbers of interacting agents.

Bruce Gregory

Certainty has more appeal than truth.

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0720.1235)]

Bruce Nevin (2004.07.19 20:55 PDT)

Yes, EV refers to the observer's perception of what (in the judgement of the observer) the controller is controlling. Therefore, EV is a fortiori the observer's perception of the controller's perception. This is possible without input from the controller's perceptual signal to some kind of other-people's-perceptual-signal-detector just as it is possible for you to have a perception that I am not (or am) an enemy of PCT, or that I do (or do not) agree with you.

Since Bruce Nevin is so committed to this way of talking about the model, I recommend that we all cease resisting. I not only perceive that he is in an enemy of PCT, I perceive that he perceives that he is an enemy of PCT. Or not. It's all perception, after all.

Bruce Gregory

Certainty has more appeal than truth.

[From Rick Marken (204.07.20.1045)]

Bruce Nevin (2004.07.19 20:55 PDT)

Rick Marken (2004.07.18.0930)--

The main problem when talking about
this, I think, is the term "environmental variable" (EV), which refers
to the observer's perception of a variable that corresponds to the
"perceptual variable" that is being controlled by the controller.

Yes, EV refers to the observer's perception of what (in the judgement of the
observer) the controller is controlling. Therefore, EV is a fortiori the
observer's perception of the controller's perception.

OK. This is kind of a metaphorical way of saying it. But as long as you
understand that the observer perceives only what the observer perceives and
not what the controller perceives then all is well.

Like the perception controlled by the controller, the EV is a _function_ of
physical variables in the environment.

Hang on. That's an assumption.

Of course. It's assumed that an EV, like the color of a cup, is a function
of physical variables in the environment, like the wavelengths of light
reflected from a cup. Say that the amplitude of three of those wavelengths
are x,y and z. Then the EV -- the color we see "out there" -- is f(x,y,z).
For example, EV = .2x+.4y+.8z. This variable, EV, is the perceived color of
the cup. It is not really out there in the environment. Rather, it's a
_function_ of variables that we assume, based on physics, to be out in the
environment. So the EV is really a _function_ of environmental (physical)
variables; but we call it an EV because it seems to be out in the
environment.

But the fulcrum of this dilemma is expressed in the slogan "it's all
perception," we cannot leap so lightly and glibly to a contrary assumption.

The assumption that there are variables (like x, y, and z) out in the
environment does not create a dilemma for PCT. The slogan "It's all
perception" doesn't mean that PCT assumes that nothing exists but one's own
perceptions. It means that all one one can know of the world outside oneself
is perception. There is very strong evidence that there _is_ a world beyond
one's own perceptions and that that world is well described by the models of
physics and chemistry. The physics/chemistry models have always been a part
of PCT, showing up in diagrams of control systems as the system's
"environment".

But from the observer's point of view the EV is "in the environment".

In a simulation, such as a simulation of the interaction of controller and
observer/tester, EV is in the environment as the "physical variables" of which
the perceptual signals of both controller and observer are functions.

Ah, I think I see your confusion. The EV is _not_ the physical variables in
the environment. The EV is a _function_ of those variables. It is a
perception (in the observer) that we _call_ an EV to distinguish it from the
perception (in the controller) that we call the controlled variable (CV).
This is really only complicated when one deals with it verbally. Once you
start doing the modeling it all becomes second nature and there is no
confusion.

The simulation pretends to direct knowledge of the environment beyond the
perceptual signals.

Yes, it "pretends" to knowledge based on the physics model. But a
sophisticated modeler knows that the physical variables in the environment
are known only via the physics model, not via direct knowledge.

In the simulation it is perfectly clear that two systems
in conflict are controlling the same value EV at different reference values
for the corresponding perceptions.

It doesn't have to be exactly the same value of EV. There can be conflict
even if two systems control different but very similar EVs. For example, if
one system controls .2x+.4y+.8z (which might correspond to the color green)
and the other controls for .2x+.4y+.6z (which might correspond to the color
bluish-green) there will be conflict (regarding how much z there should be).

This is why I have been asking the question "what exactly is the same?"
again and again, to bring out this unwarranted (thought well supported)
assumption which flies in the face of the slogan "it's all perception".

And I have answered it again and again. What is "the same" (or similar) in a
conflict is the _function_ of the physical variables in the environment that
is controlled by the parties to the conflict. This function of physical
variables is called the CV when we refer to the variable controlled by the
controller (or controllers) and the EV when we refer to the variable
perceived by the observer. There is no conflict with the phrase "It's all
perception" because PCT assumes that all that is known of the world by
anyone -- controllers and observers of controllers -- is their perception
of it. The physical variables in the PCT model are understood to be
assumptions (based on physics) about what is _really_ out there. The EV is
not part of the physics model, by the way, so it is not assumed to be really
out there. What is assumed to be really out there are the physical variables
-- x, y and z. The EV is a _function_ of those variables. It is an abstract
representation of some aspect of the physical variables that are assumed to
exist on the other side of our senses.

BTW, I wonder what conflict would look like in Bill's multi-control demo.

It would look like a conflict -- two or more systems trying to get the same
or a similar function of the elementary physical variables -- into different
states.

If 100 controllers can control 100 unique perceptions, each perception being
a different function of a common set of environmental variables, then it would
seem that any two controllers would be in conflict over the values at which
they control the environmental variables while perceiving different
perceptions.

But the point of the demonstration is that the 100 controllers _can_ control
100 different _functions_ of the 100 environmental (better to call them
physical) variables without any conflict. Each just has to control an
independent _function_ of the 100 physical variables.

But what you go on to say here is that EV is no more than the observer's
perception.

That's right. The EV is a perception in the observer. I think the confusion
is caused by the fact that we have been using the term "environmental
variable" to refer to both physical variables in the environment and the
_function_ of those variables that is seen by an observer to be controlled
by a controller. I think we can clear this up by referring to physical
variables in the environment as "physical variables" and using the term
"environmental variable" (EV) only to refer to the observer's perception of
the variable controlled by a controller.

The simulation, however, puts EV in the environment and not inside the
observer as a perception.

No, not at all. Actually, the EV doesn't generally even exist in a control
simulation. It exists only if one includes in the simulation a model of the
observer of the controller. In that case, the perception that the observer
takes to be the variable controlled by the controller is the EV.

The principle I am trying to adhere to is expressed in the slogan "it's
all perception."

I really think you would be better off sticking to the principles expressed
in the equations rather than in the slogans of PCT. If you must think in
terms of slogans, perhaps you would do better if you made the slogan a
little clearer. The slogan should probably be something "Living systems know
the presumed real world only as perception". I think that's a more accurate,
if less catchy, slogan.

Good. Then you agree that "theory of mind" phenomena underlying culture are
not challenging in the sense of requiring fundamental change to the theory.

Of course. I've always thought that. I think the CROWD program is a nice
demonstration of how to go about modeling these kinds of social phenomena.

Modeling such things will be difficult because these are difficult
things to quantify

Modeling such things is what we do all the time when we build models of
behavior. We are putting into those models aspects of our own
perceptions that correspond to what we imagine to be the perceptions
the organism is controlling.

But we are not modelling two or more systems, each of which controls
perceptions -- imaginings if you insist, or theories, or informed guesses, but
these are all perceptions -- of what the other is controlling.

That's because I haven't seen any evidence that there is a phenomenon to be
modeled. We're not modeling reincarnation either.

Regards

Rick

···

--
Richard S. Marken
MindReadings.com
Home: 310 474 0313
Cell: 310 729 1400

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0720.1452)]

Rick Marken (204.07.20.1045)

I really think you would be better off sticking to the principles expressed
in the equations rather than in the slogans of PCT. If you must think in
terms of slogans, perhaps you would do better if you made the slogan a
little clearer. The slogan should probably be something "Living systems know
the presumed real world only as perception". I think that's a more accurate,
if less catchy, slogan.

It's hard to imagine anyone disagreeing with it. (Which may limit its utility as a slogan for PCT.)

Bruce Gregory

Certainty has more appeal than truth.

[From Rick Marken (2004.07.20.1210)]

Bill Williams (20 July 2004 5:00 AM CST)

Bill Williams (15 July 2004 6:20 PM CST)

How would one go about challeging solipcism using "modeling or
experiemntation?"

You use of "shows" indicates that you don't understand the meaning of
"solipcism." The sort of agent to whom it is possible to "show" something is
not a solipcist.

That was my point, actually. You keep saying that PCT is solipsism but it's
not. You (like Bruce Nevin) seem to base your assessment on a slogan, "It's
all perception", which you take to be an assertion that there is nothing but
one's own perception; that one's own perception is the only reality (which
is what solipsism is). But that's not what the slogan means. It means that
organisms can know the real world only as perception. The reality of a world
separate from one's own perceptions has always been an explicit part of the
PCT model. This external reality exists in the form of disturbance
variables, physical variables (of which perceptual variables are a function)
and the feedback function (which represents real world constraints on the
way system outputs can affect the variables on which it's perceptions are a
function).

Anyway, there is no equivocating about whether or not PCT is control theory.

What about the equivocation about the theory of perception? Is perception even
proximately? Well, of course not.

What do you mean by "Is perception even proximately"?

Is there actually something there [in the H. Economicus model-RM] that is
worth _understanding_?

Yes.

I did make a mistake by saying that increasing the budget would lead to
decreased demand for the "inferior" good with increased price. In fact,
increasing the budget just eliminates the Giffen effect (increased demand
with increased price), as can be seen in my demo of the Giffen effect at

http://www.mindreadings.com/ControlDemo/Economics.html.

In fact?

Yes. Try the "Rich Man" version of the demo. The effect also disappears
(even in the "Poor man" version) if there is no preference for meat.

Well then you have still got it wrong.

Darn.

First of all the Giffen
effect is not defined by a situation in which increased demand is associated
with an increased price.

Really? Then what is the Giffen effect "defined by"?

In the standard version of economics increased demand
generates an increased price, and an increased price genrates a decrease in
the quantity demanded.

OK. So what's the Giffen effect?

You don't know what the terms mean

What terms?

so, of course, you made and make and will continute to make mistakes-- partly
as a result of equvocation.

You have just told me absolutely nothing about what mistake I made or what
the correct approach to the Giffen effect is. I imagine that this kind of
"argument" appeals to your base but it makes no sense to me.

You keep attempting to avoid fessing up to the fact that you didn't
understand the Giffen concept then, and apparently don't understand it
now.

Actually, the problem is that I think I did and still so think I understand
the Giffen concept pretty well. But it's certainly possible that I don't.
Perhaps you could explain what it is that I don't understand about the
Giffen effect. Perhaps the best way to do this is in the context of a nice,
tangible demonstration of the effect, like the one at:

http://www.mindreadings.com/ControlDemo/Economics.html

You keep making mistakes such as equating GDP with "total output" which it is
not. GDP is fairly obviously a "Gross" measure of domestic production.

You keep saying I make mistakes but you never explain what these mistakes
are. How about srating with a nice, clear explanation of what my mistake was
regarding the Giffen effect. Once we work that one out we can move to GDP
and all the other things I don't understand about economics.

RSM

···

--
Richard S. Marken
MindReadings.com
Home: 310 474 0313
Cell: 310 729 1400

[From Bruce Nevin (2004.07.20 21:04 PDT)]

Bruce Gregory (2004.0720.1235)

···

At 12:35 PM 7/20/2004 -0400, Bruce Gregory wrote:

Since Bruce Nevin is so committed to this way of talking about the model,
I recommend that we all cease resisting. I not only perceive that he is in
an enemy of PCT, I perceive that he perceives that he is an enemy of PCT.
Or not. It's all perception, after all.

That's your story and you're sticking with it?

[From Bruce Nevin (2004.07.20 19:03 PDT)]

Rick Marken (2004.06.29.1340)–

Bruce Gregory (2004.0629.1606)]

Bruce Nevin (2004.06.29 15:29 EDT)

Bill Powers (2004.06.29.0934 MDT)–

I make no conclusion that his perceptions are organized as mine
are. I

only construct a perception of his perception of a certain CV of
mine.

I’m sure this is obvious to people who understand PCT,

What’s wrong with the statement is the implication that we can perceive
what

another person perceives. We can, using The Test, perceive what we think
is

an analog or conformal transform of what another person is perceiving
and

controlling. But we can’t perceive their perception.

Not even if we could perceive the rate of firing in the relevant
neuron(s) in their brain. But we do have a perception of that person, as
in Bill’s model of the observer. And although the perception of the other
in Bill’s diagram was a black box with inputs and outputs, that’s not how
we perceive other people. We perceive them as having many attributes,
among them their motivations or goals and what they appear to be
perceiving. We construct a perceptual model of the other person, and the
perceptions and goals that we attribute to the person (via our perceptual
model of them) is what is meant by “theory of mind”. Our
perceptual model of another person often includes our perception of some
of their perceptions.

If we look at both the observer and the observed controller, together in
the same environment, and think about how to model their interaction,
there is additional information about each of them that we can attribute
to them from our viewpoint as modelers. I tried (Bruce Nevin 2004.07.17
23:55 EDT) to indicate that viewpoint in this crude diagram

1a0cc9ea.jpg

… and in this diagram

1a0ccad0.jpg

There are many perceptual inputs that are not indicated by arrows here,
inputs that contribute to the perceptual model of the other person. There
are also connections between the self-perception and the perception of
others, including especially that part of the model of the other that
concern the other’s perception of oneself, and relations of similarity
and difference of certain attributes. It is this complexity that must be
understood and modeled for real work on culture and language to be
undertaken.

Rick Marken (2004.03.24.1000)–

Michelle Ivers (2004.03.24. 0900
EST)–

Wouldn’t you agree then that as control systems we

don’t like being controlled?

This is often true, particularly in cases where someone is trying
to

directly control the state of another person’s controlled variables.

Probably by now the problem with this statement is obvious.

Rick Marken (2004.01.10.1800) –

What is most easily observed in this
disagreement (as in all conflicts) is the opposing output. In the case of
the dialog above, the opposing outputs are the statements made by each
party in opposition to the statements made by the other. In the
middle east it’s the suicide bombings that are done in opposition to the
settlement building and house bulldozing. What is hard to see is
the controlled variable that is in contention. In the dialog above, the
controlled variable is the intellectual concept in dispute. In the middle
east, the controlled variable its the perception of sovereignty over a
particular geographical area.

However hard it may be (and it varies), we agree that it is possible to
perceive the controlled variable in a conflict between two other parties.
Since the observer is not literally perceiving the perceptual signals of
the other two, nor even their proximal perceptual inputs (such as e.g.
the images on their retinas), any demonstration that they are controlling
the same variable is an assertion about the real nature of the
environment. This crux of corroboration is the social foundation on which
all the results of physics and the other sciences are built.

I hope that a phrase like “commonly controlled perception” is
not controversial. It wasn’t in the post below.

Rick Marken (203.12.20.1045)-- [sic: 2003.12.20.1045]

“Non-conflictive disturbance”
exists when there is disturbance to a

controlled variable but no conflict – no desire on the part of
both

parties to get that variable into different states. A recent
example

of “non-conflictive disturbance” is the discussion
between Bruce G.,

Bill and I regarding a PCT explanation of getting to work while

stopping for obstacles. There was no conflict because there was
no

difference in goals regarding the perception involved: the PCT

explanation of acceleration/braking. Bruce’s questions were a

disturbance to this perception and Bill and I reacted to this

disturbance by supplying the PCT explanation. My mistake was
assuming

that there was a conflict, that Bruce’s goal regarding the PCT

explanation was different than mine. Indeed, I took his goal to be

“there is no PCT explanation”, which, of course, differed from
my goal,

which was “there is a PCT explanation”. In fact, there
was no

conflict because Bruce didn’t have such a goal. He was really just

asking what the PCT explanation was. This asking is what I call

“non-conflictive disturbance”. I think a lot of
unnecessary conflict

occurs when “non-conflictive disturbances” are taken to be
active

attempts to move a commonly controlled perception to a different
state.

Here, you refer to a commonly controlled perception, that is, one that
three people were controlling concurrently (Bill, Bruce Gregory, and
you). You also refer to perceptions of another person’s “goal”,
that is, their reference value for a controlled perception. Obviously,
you cannot perceive a reference value for a perception apart from the
perception for which it is a reference value.

The present discussion provides a couple of examples of
“non-conflictive disturbance” leading to conflict, e.g., a
perceived inconsistency in use of the terms CV and EV was a disturbance
to me such that I sought clarification. Then my seeking clarification was
perceived as a challenge to PCT. Designing simulations with sufficient
complexity that each agent has a perceptual model of others with which it
interacts, including perceptions of how the other perceives it, that is a
challenge all right. But it is not a challenge to PCT. It is a challenge
to PCT researchers and modelers.

The Java for Dummies book is annoying. I’m going to try to get the
Nutshell book tonight. This training isn’t leaving me much time or energy
so far to pursue it, but we’ll see how it goes. If you step me through
your code, that will help.

    /Bruce

Nevin

···

At 01:37 PM 6/29/2004 -0700, Richard Marken wrote:

From[Bill Williams 20 July 2004 11:40 PM CST]

[From Bruce Gregory (2004.0720.0837)]

        >>Bill Williams 20 July 2004 5:20 AM CST

        >>OK. Suppose what you say is true.

        >>Then how would you explain Bill Powers' inability to understand the >>Keynesian system?

        >>Or, the claim that it isn't going to cost anything to send people to Mars?
  
        >I think it may be a good idea to keep our personal views (and >shortcomings) distinct from what models predict. As far as I know, there >are no semi-realistic PCT models of an economy based on large numbers >of interacting agents.
         
        I would agree that it it might "be a good idea to keep personal views" and
        "shortcomings" distinct in efforts to construct models. However, experience so far would seem to indicate that there is little or no chance of such a separation being mainatained. In effect Perceptual Control Theory
        becomes Powers' control theory. As a result what is described one day
        in terms of "hunches" is described another day as a logic that is as rigourous
        as that characteristic of physics. However, it is my impression that the connection between logic and physics in the 20th century was not all that dependable. Rather than from logic the growth in understanding in physics
        seems to have been driven by anomolous empirical results. And, even in
        physics "personal view (and shortcomings)" -- at least according to some
        of the participants -- had a prominent role.
         
        Your claim concerning the lack of "PCT models of an economy" might be made stronger by discarding the qualifications. The problem of conceptualizing "an economy" would appear to me to be a problem that is inheriently just as impossible as constructing a PCT model of a language.
        Bruce Nevin may be correct in thinkng that it is possible to create a PCT
        theory of language. However, Bill Powers seems to be dead set in
        opposition to the way Bruce Nevin is intent upon going about this task.
        I am inclined to permit Bill Powers to define what amounts to in my view
        as a "house brand" of sophistology. Bill Powers seems to think that his
        conclusion that "all that we can know is what we perceive" leads to some
        neccesary epistomologically neccesary conclusions do not appear to me
        to be conclusions that are based upon an inescapable chain of reasonaing starting with the principles of control theory. Instead, the primiary consistentcy expressed by the PCT sophistology would appear to be a matter of limitations that render it incapable of generating results in social
        theory. I am beginning to think that evolutionary theory and control theory
        might provide a way out of the impass represented by PCT. Evolutionary
        theory begins with a population--thus it does not allow for the solipcism
        and individualism that appears to be a basic axiom of PCT.
         
        I quote once again the conclusion that many people have reached after
        examining the results of individualistic and solipcist attempts to reason
        in issolation.
         
        Bruce Nevin informs me that "Hillary" is a he.

Nussbum, Martha C and Glover, Jonathan. eds. 1995 _Women, Culture, and

  Development: A Study of Human capabilities_ Oxford: Clarendon

  Press

  Hillary Putnam p. 22O.

    They "... insisted that when one human being in

    issolation tries to interpret even the best maxims for

    himself or hereself and does not allow to criticise the

    way in which he or she interpretes these maxims, or the

    way in which he or she applies them, then

    the kind of 'certainty' that results is always fatally

    tainted with subjectivity. Even the notion of 'truth'

    makes no sense in such a 'moral solitude' for

    'truth presupposes a standard external to the thinker'

    Notions like 'simplicity' for example have no clear

    meaning at all unless inquirers who have proven their

    competence in the practice of inquiry are able to agree,

    to some extent at least, on which theories do and which

    theores do not possess 'simplicity.' p. 22O.

Bill Williams

Bruce Gregory states:

Certainty has more appeal than truth.

Veblen, however says that in an ultimate conflict of views, that a "matter-of-fact attitude has the advantage.

From[Bill Williams 21 July 2004 1:20 AM CST]

[From Rick Marken (2004.07.20.1210)]

Bill Williams (20 July 2004 5:00 AM CST)

Bill Williams (15 July 2004 6:20 PM CST)

How would one go about challeging solipcism using "modeling >or

experiemntation?"

You use of "shows" indicates that you don't understand the meaning of
"solipcism." The sort of agent to whom it is possible to "show" something is
not a solipcist.

That was my point, actually.

Then you are almost totally confused. An agent to whom it is possible to "show" something is not the sort of agent that you have in mind. I refer you to Bruce Nevin's discussion of "show" in recent postings.

You keep saying that PCT is solipsism but it's not.

OK, it isn't even a solipcistic doctrine-- lets just call it an exercise in equvocation.

You (like Bruce Nevin) seem to base your assessment on a slogan, >"It's all perception", which you take to be an assertion that >there is nothing but one's own perception;

Either there is, or there isn't, or alternatively there is equvocation. In my opinion Bruce Nevin has recently demonstrated that there is massive equvocation.

that one's own perception is the only reality (which
is what solipsism is). But that's not what the slogan means.

Equvocation seems to be what it means.

It means that organisms can know the real world only as
perception.

You are getting iteven more confused. "All that is know is the perception." According to PCT that is all.

The reality of a world separate from one's own >perceptions has >always been an explicit part of the
PCT model.

Can not be. It isn't possible-- according to PCT.

This external reality exists in the form of disturbance
variables, physical variables (of which perceptual variables are >a function) and the feedback function (which represents real >world constraints on the way system outputs can affect the >variables on which it's perceptions are a function).

You forget-- "everything is perception-- according to PCT."

Anyway, there is no equivocating about whether or not PCT is control theory.

What about the equivocation about the theory of perception? Is perception even

proximately? Well, of course not.

What do you mean by "Is perception even proximately"?

Where is a perception located? Is there any proximate location? No. When you start with "everything is perception" then the cosmos vanishes into a perception and there is no way of getting anything back out into a proximate reality-- except through equvocation.

Is there actually something there [in the H. Economicus model-RM] that is
worth _understanding_?

Yes.

I did make a mistake by saying that increasing the budget would lead to
decreased demand for the "inferior" good with increased price. In fact,
increasing the budget just eliminates the Giffen effect (increased demand
with increased price), as can be seen in my demo of the Giffen effect at

http://www.mindreadings.com/ControlDemo/Economics.html.

In fact?

Yes. Try the "Rich Man" version of the demo. The effect also >disappears
(even in the "Poor man" version) if there is no preference for >meat.

The confusion keeps getting deeper. The more you say the worse your confusion is evident.

Well then you have still got it wrong.

Darn.

First of all the Giffen
effect is not defined by a situation in which increased demand is associated
with an increased price.

Really?

No. If you were familiar with the economics literature you would know of the Veblen price effect (snob effect), bandwagen effects, in which an increase in price is thought to generate an increased demand.

Then what is the Giffen effect "defined by"?

A situation in which a price increase for the _inferior commodity_ generates an increase in demand for the commodity.

In the standard version of economics increased demand
generates an increased price, and an increased price genrates a decrease in
the quantity demanded.

OK. So what's the Giffen effect?

See above-- the key element is the effect takes place in terms of the inferior commodity.

You don't know what the terms mean

What terms?

The economic terms of course.

so, of course, you made and make and will continute to make >>mistakes-- partly as a result of equvocation.

You have just told me absolutely nothing about what mistake I >made or what
the correct approach to the Giffen effect is. I imagine that >this kind of
"argument" appeals to your base but it makes no sense to me.

There you go-- I don't consider it neccesary to construct an argument that is going to make sense to a solipcist.

You keep attempting to avoid fessing up to the fact that you >didn't
understand the Giffen concept then, and apparently don't >understand it
now.

Actually, the problem is that I think I did

Yeah, I know. That is why you made the mistake of saying that a point is reached as the budget is increased at which the Giffen commodity becomes a normal commodity. And, you are right- the problem is that you think you undersand it. This is still the problem.

and still so think I understand the Giffen concept pretty well.

Then I am happy for you, and I feel no responsiblity for persuading you of anything different.

But it's certainly possible that I don't.

When in your perception you come to a realization that you don't understand the Giffen effect-- why not have Bill Powers explain it to you. I've got more interesting things to do than attempt to explain economics to you. You are not exactly a promising or even a rewarding pupil.

Bill Williams

From[Billl Willliams 21 July 2004 1:30 AM CST]

[From Rick Marken (204.07.20.1045)]

Rick explains to Bruce Nevin that,

I really think you would be better off sticking to the principles >expressed in the equations rather than in the slogans of PCT.

I think discarding the "slogans of PCT" is a great idea. Certainly better than making pedophiles into police officers.

The equations, of course, are control theory equations.

I am pleased that this issue has finally been resolved-- as Rick says, as I understand him, we should stick to the equations. Therefore we can discard the PCT sophistology and its misleading slogans.

PCT seems to be a product of bad, or at least a very limited and unsophisticated, epistomology. Bruce Nevin's version of PCT seems to me to be free of the defects of Bill Powers' PCT, but I question whether it is really PCT rather than NSCT-- Nevin's Social Control Theory. Alternatively using Control theory would permit the construction of a robust ontology as a theory of the life process.

Bill Williams